Probability of Exceed
Issued by NWS
Issued by NWS
Versions:
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839 FXUS07 KWNC 211332 POELTG TEMPERATURE PROB. OF EXCEEDENCE OUTLOOKS - DIVISIONS NWS CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD 830 AM UTC THU 21 NOV 2024 VALID: JUNE - AUGUST 2025 ...TEMPERATURE IN FAHRENHEIT... #. DIVISION NAME CLIM LINE1 98 95 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 5 2 LINE2 ________________________________________________________________ 1. N NEW ENGLAND 63.1 61.6 62.0 62.4 62.9 63.2 63.5 63.8 64.1 64.4 64.7 65.2 65.6 66.0 2. NE NEW ENGLAND 66.2 64.5 65.0 65.4 65.9 66.3 66.6 66.8 67.2 67.5 67.8 68.3 68.7 69.2 3. N NEW YORK 66.0 64.1 64.6 65.1 65.7 66.1 66.4 66.8 67.1 67.5 67.9 68.5 69.0 69.5 4. S NEW ENGLAND 69.8 67.8 68.3 68.8 69.4 69.8 70.1 70.5 70.8 71.2 71.6 72.2 72.6 73.2 5. E GRT LAKES 67.8 65.2 65.9 66.4 67.1 67.6 68.0 68.4 68.8 69.2 69.7 70.3 70.9 71.5 6. OHIO 71.7 68.8 69.5 70.0 70.7 71.2 71.7 72.0 72.4 72.9 73.4 74.1 74.6 75.3 7. MID-ATL COAST 73.9 71.9 72.4 72.9 73.4 73.8 74.2 74.5 74.8 75.2 75.6 76.1 76.6 77.1 8. N APPALACHNS 69.2 67.0 67.5 68.0 68.6 69.0 69.4 69.7 70.1 70.4 70.8 71.4 71.9 72.5 9. CENT APPALACHNS 71.1 68.9 69.4 69.8 70.3 70.7 71.1 71.4 71.7 72.0 72.4 72.9 73.4 73.9 10. COASTL VIRG 76.2 74.4 74.8 75.2 75.7 76.1 76.4 76.7 76.9 77.2 77.6 78.1 78.5 78.9 11. S APPALACHNS 72.5 70.7 71.1 71.5 72.0 72.3 72.6 72.9 73.1 73.4 73.8 74.2 74.6 75.1 12. COASTL CAROLNAS 79.2 77.6 77.9 78.3 78.7 79.0 79.3 79.5 79.8 80.0 80.3 80.7 81.1 81.5 13. INTERIOR CAROLNAS 77.9 76.0 76.5 76.9 77.4 77.7 78.0 78.3 78.6 78.9 79.3 79.8 80.2 80.6 14. UPPER MICH 64.4 60.9 61.7 62.3 63.1 63.7 64.1 64.6 65.0 65.5 66.1 66.9 67.5 68.2 15. N MINN 64.7 61.3 62.0 62.7 63.4 63.9 64.4 64.8 65.2 65.7 66.2 67.0 67.6 68.3 16. E NORTH DAK 66.7 62.7 63.5 64.2 65.1 65.7 66.2 66.7 67.2 67.7 68.4 69.2 69.9 70.7 17. W NORTH DAK 66.6 62.4 63.2 64.0 64.9 65.6 66.1 66.6 67.2 67.7 68.4 69.3 70.1 70.9 18. E MONT 67.8 64.0 64.8 65.5 66.4 67.0 67.5 68.0 68.5 69.1 69.7 70.5 71.2 72.1 19. N-CENT MONT 64.4 61.4 62.1 62.8 63.5 64.1 64.6 65.0 65.5 66.0 66.5 67.3 68.0 68.7 20. S-CENT MONT 64.5 61.7 62.5 63.2 64.0 64.6 65.1 65.6 66.0 66.5 67.1 67.9 68.6 69.4 21. W MONT 62.0 59.5 60.2 60.7 61.4 61.9 62.3 62.7 63.1 63.6 64.1 64.8 65.3 66.0 22. N-CENT MICH 67.5 64.1 64.8 65.4 66.2 66.8 67.3 67.7 68.2 68.7 69.2 70.0 70.7 71.4 23. S MICH 70.6 67.4 68.1 68.7 69.4 70.0 70.4 70.8 71.3 71.7 72.3 73.0 73.6 74.3 24. E-CENT ILL 72.9 69.9 70.5 71.1 71.8 72.3 72.7 73.1 73.5 73.9 74.4 75.1 75.7 76.3 25. N ILL 70.5 66.9 67.6 68.3 69.1 69.7 70.1 70.6 71.1 71.5 72.1 72.9 73.5 74.3 26. N WISC 66.6 63.4 64.1 64.7 65.4 65.9 66.3 66.7 67.1 67.6 68.1 68.8 69.4 70.0 27. SE MINN 68.8 65.1 65.8 66.5 67.3 67.9 68.4 68.8 69.3 69.8 70.4 71.2 71.8 72.6 28. E SOUTH DAK 69.1 65.0 65.8 66.5 67.4 68.0 68.6 69.1 69.6 70.1 70.7 71.6 72.3 73.1 29. CENT SOUTH DAK 70.5 65.8 66.7 67.5 68.6 69.3 69.9 70.5 71.1 71.7 72.4 73.4 74.3 75.2 30. W SOUTH DAK 69.5 65.5 66.4 67.1 68.1 68.7 69.3 69.8 70.4 71.0 71.6 72.6 73.3 74.2 31. NE WYOMING 67.3 64.4 65.2 65.9 66.8 67.4 67.9 68.4 69.0 69.5 70.1 71.0 71.7 72.5 32. NW WYOMING 63.7 61.2 62.0 62.6 63.4 64.0 64.5 64.9 65.4 65.9 66.5 67.3 67.9 68.7 33. E IOWA 71.4 67.9 68.6 69.2 69.9 70.5 70.9 71.4 71.8 72.3 72.8 73.6 74.2 74.9 34. NW IOWA 71.5 67.5 68.3 69.0 69.9 70.5 71.0 71.5 72.0 72.6 73.2 74.1 74.8 75.6 35. CENT NEBRASKA 71.8 67.5 68.3 69.1 70.0 70.7 71.2 71.8 72.3 72.8 73.5 74.4 75.2 76.0 36. S NEBRASKA 73.3 69.6 70.3 71.0 71.8 72.4 72.8 73.3 73.8 74.3 74.9 75.7 76.3 77.1 37. W NEBR/CHEYENE 68.9 65.8 66.6 67.2 68.0 68.6 69.1 69.6 70.1 70.6 71.1 71.9 72.6 73.4 38. E KENTUCKY 73.7 71.2 71.7 72.2 72.8 73.2 73.6 74.0 74.3 74.7 75.1 75.7 76.2 76.8 39. W KENTUCKY 75.9 73.2 73.8 74.3 74.9 75.4 75.8 76.2 76.6 76.9 77.4 78.1 78.6 79.2 40. SE MISSOURI 76.3 73.4 74.0 74.6 75.3 75.8 76.2 76.6 77.0 77.4 77.9 78.6 79.1 79.7 41. NE MISSOURI 74.7 71.6 72.2 72.8 73.4 73.9 74.4 74.7 75.1 75.6 76.1 76.7 77.3 77.9 42. NW MISSOURI 75.5 71.8 72.5 73.2 74.0 74.5 75.0 75.5 75.9 76.4 77.0 77.8 78.4 79.2 43. E KANSAS 77.4 74.2 74.9 75.5 76.3 76.8 77.3 77.7 78.1 78.6 79.2 79.9 80.5 81.2 44. CENT KANSAS 77.4 74.1 74.8 75.4 76.2 76.7 77.2 77.6 78.1 78.5 79.1 79.8 80.4 81.1 45. W KANSAS 76.2 73.2 73.9 74.5 75.3 75.8 76.3 76.7 77.2 77.6 78.2 78.9 79.6 80.3 46. NE COLO 67.5 64.8 65.5 66.1 66.9 67.5 67.9 68.4 68.8 69.3 69.9 70.6 71.3 72.0 47. SE COLO 69.2 66.7 67.4 68.0 68.8 69.3 69.8 70.2 70.6 71.1 71.6 72.4 73.0 73.7 48. W COLO 64.8 62.5 63.2 63.8 64.5 65.1 65.5 65.9 66.4 66.8 67.4 68.1 68.7 69.4 49. SW WYOMING 61.8 59.5 60.2 60.8 61.5 62.1 62.5 63.0 63.4 63.9 64.4 65.1 65.7 66.4 50. CENT TENN 76.2 73.8 74.4 74.8 75.4 75.9 76.2 76.6 76.9 77.3 77.7 78.3 78.8 79.4 51. W TENN 79.0 76.6 77.1 77.6 78.3 78.7 79.1 79.4 79.8 80.2 80.7 81.3 81.8 82.4 52. OZARK MOUNTNS 77.7 74.6 75.3 75.9 76.7 77.3 77.8 78.2 78.7 79.2 79.8 80.6 81.2 82.0 53. CENT OKLAHOMA 80.4 77.4 78.2 78.9 79.7 80.4 80.9 81.4 81.9 82.4 83.0 83.9 84.6 85.4 54. TX W OF ABILENE 81.8 78.9 79.8 80.5 81.4 82.1 82.7 83.2 83.7 84.3 85.0 85.9 86.6 87.5 55. N HI PLAINS TX 78.0 75.7 76.3 76.9 77.7 78.2 78.7 79.1 79.5 80.0 80.5 81.2 81.9 82.6 56. N GEORGIA 78.4 76.2 76.7 77.2 77.7 78.1 78.4 78.8 79.1 79.4 79.8 80.3 80.8 81.3 57. N ALABAMA 78.8 76.6 77.1 77.6 78.2 78.6 78.9 79.3 79.6 80.0 80.4 81.0 81.4 82.0 58. CENT MISSISSIPPI 80.3 78.3 78.8 79.2 79.8 80.2 80.5 80.8 81.1 81.4 81.8 82.4 82.8 83.3 59. S ARKANSAS 80.6 78.2 78.8 79.4 80.1 80.6 81.0 81.4 81.8 82.2 82.7 83.4 84.0 84.6 60. E TX 82.2 79.9 80.6 81.2 81.9 82.4 82.8 83.2 83.6 84.1 84.6 85.3 85.9 86.6 61. DALLAS REG TX 82.9 80.4 81.2 81.8 82.6 83.2 83.7 84.1 84.6 85.1 85.7 86.4 87.1 87.8 62. SAN ANTONIO REG TX 83.8 82.2 82.7 83.1 83.7 84.0 84.4 84.7 85.0 85.3 85.7 86.3 86.7 87.2 63. FAR S TX 85.8 84.2 84.6 85.1 85.6 85.9 86.2 86.5 86.8 87.2 87.5 88.0 88.4 88.9 64. W-CENT TX 82.4 80.4 81.0 81.6 82.2 82.7 83.1 83.4 83.8 84.2 84.7 85.3 85.8 86.4 65. W TX PANHANDLE 81.3 79.3 79.9 80.5 81.1 81.6 82.0 82.3 82.7 83.1 83.6 84.2 84.7 85.3 66. JAXONVIL FLA REG 80.8 79.2 79.6 79.9 80.3 80.6 80.9 81.1 81.4 81.6 81.9 82.3 82.7 83.0 67. CENT FLA 81.8 80.6 80.9 81.2 81.5 81.7 81.9 82.1 82.3 82.5 82.7 83.0 83.2 83.5 68. S FLA 82.5 81.4 81.7 81.9 82.1 82.3 82.5 82.7 82.8 83.0 83.2 83.4 83.6 83.9 69. FLA PANHANDLE 80.5 78.6 79.1 79.5 80.0 80.3 80.6 80.9 81.2 81.5 81.9 82.4 82.8 83.2 70. COASTL LOUISIANA 81.8 80.3 80.7 81.0 81.5 81.8 82.0 82.3 82.5 82.8 83.1 83.5 83.9 84.3 71. COASTL TX NR HOUST 82.6 81.2 81.6 82.0 82.4 82.7 83.0 83.2 83.5 83.7 84.0 84.5 84.8 85.2 72. NW WASH 65.9 63.3 63.9 64.5 65.2 65.7 66.1 66.5 66.9 67.3 67.8 68.5 69.1 69.8 73. PENDELTON REG OREG 65.4 62.8 63.5 64.1 64.8 65.4 65.9 66.3 66.8 67.2 67.8 68.5 69.2 69.9 74. CENT WASH 67.8 65.2 65.9 66.5 67.2 67.7 68.2 68.6 69.0 69.4 69.9 70.6 71.2 71.9 75. SEATTLE REG WASH 62.1 59.5 60.1 60.7 61.3 61.8 62.2 62.6 63.0 63.4 63.8 64.5 65.1 65.7 76. COASTL WASH 60.1 58.4 58.8 59.2 59.6 59.9 60.2 60.5 60.7 61.0 61.3 61.8 62.2 62.6 77. E IDAHO 65.3 63.2 63.8 64.4 65.1 65.7 66.1 66.5 66.9 67.3 67.9 68.6 69.2 69.8 78. IDAHO CENT MOUNTNS 62.6 60.4 61.0 61.6 62.3 62.8 63.2 63.6 64.0 64.4 64.9 65.6 66.2 66.8 79. SW IDAHO 70.0 67.5 68.3 68.9 69.7 70.3 70.8 71.3 71.8 72.2 72.8 73.6 74.3 75.0 80. E OREG 63.9 61.7 62.3 62.8 63.5 64.0 64.4 64.8 65.2 65.6 66.1 66.8 67.3 68.0 81. OREG COASTL VALLEY 65.9 63.7 64.2 64.7 65.3 65.7 66.1 66.4 66.7 67.1 67.5 68.1 68.6 69.2 82. OREG COAST 60.2 58.4 58.9 59.3 59.7 60.1 60.3 60.6 60.9 61.2 61.5 62.0 62.4 62.8 83. NE UTAH 67.1 64.6 65.3 66.0 66.8 67.4 67.9 68.4 68.9 69.4 70.0 70.8 71.5 72.3 84. SE UTAH 74.6 72.3 73.0 73.6 74.4 74.9 75.4 75.8 76.3 76.7 77.3 78.0 78.7 79.4 85. W UTAH 72.0 69.6 70.3 70.9 71.7 72.3 72.8 73.2 73.7 74.2 74.8 75.5 76.2 76.9 86. NE NEVADA 65.7 63.5 64.2 64.8 65.5 66.0 66.5 66.9 67.3 67.7 68.2 69.0 69.6 70.2 87. NW NEVADA 68.2 65.6 66.3 66.9 67.7 68.2 68.7 69.1 69.6 70.0 70.6 71.3 71.9 72.6 88. SACRMNTO REG CALIF 71.2 68.7 69.3 69.8 70.5 71.0 71.4 71.7 72.1 72.5 73.0 73.7 74.2 74.8 89. N CALIF COAST 66.6 64.9 65.3 65.7 66.1 66.4 66.7 66.9 67.2 67.5 67.8 68.2 68.6 69.0 90. CENT NEVADA 71.5 69.3 69.9 70.5 71.1 71.6 72.0 72.4 72.8 73.2 73.7 74.3 74.8 75.4 91. FRESNO REG CALIF 75.6 73.3 73.9 74.4 74.9 75.4 75.7 76.0 76.4 76.7 77.2 77.7 78.2 78.7 92. CENT CALIF COAST 66.1 64.3 64.7 65.1 65.5 65.8 66.1 66.3 66.6 66.9 67.2 67.6 68.0 68.4 93. S CALIF COAST 71.4 69.2 69.7 70.2 70.7 71.1 71.5 71.8 72.1 72.4 72.8 73.4 73.8 74.4 94. SE CALIF 84.3 82.0 82.6 83.1 83.7 84.1 84.5 84.9 85.2 85.6 86.0 86.6 87.1 87.7 95. LAS VEGAS NEV REG 86.2 83.8 84.5 85.1 85.8 86.3 86.7 87.1 87.6 88.0 88.5 89.2 89.8 90.4 96. SW ARIZONA 87.0 85.2 85.7 86.1 86.6 87.0 87.3 87.6 87.9 88.3 88.7 89.2 89.6 90.1 97. NE ARIZONA 70.6 68.7 69.2 69.7 70.3 70.8 71.1 71.5 71.8 72.2 72.6 73.2 73.7 74.3 98. SE ARIZONA 80.3 78.5 79.0 79.4 80.0 80.4 80.7 81.0 81.4 81.7 82.1 82.6 83.1 83.6 99. N NEW MEX 66.2 64.6 65.1 65.5 66.1 66.5 66.8 67.1 67.4 67.8 68.2 68.7 69.1 69.6 100. E NEW MEX 76.7 74.5 75.2 75.7 76.4 76.9 77.4 77.8 78.2 78.6 79.1 79.8 80.4 81.0 101. CENT NEW MEX 70.5 68.8 69.3 69.8 70.3 70.7 71.0 71.3 71.7 72.0 72.4 72.9 73.4 73.9 102. S NEW MEX 77.9 76.1 76.7 77.2 77.8 78.2 78.6 78.9 79.2 79.6 80.0 80.6 81.1 81.7 $$ $$