Probability of Exceed
Issued by NWS
Issued by NWS
Versions:
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757 FXUS06 KWNC 211331 POELTF TEMPERATURE PROB. OF EXCEEDENCE OUTLOOKS - DIVISIONS NWS CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD 830 AM UTC THU 21 NOV 2024 VALID: MAY - JULY 2025 ...TEMPERATURE IN FAHRENHEIT... #. DIVISION NAME CLIM LINE1 98 95 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 5 2 LINE2 ________________________________________________________________ 1. N NEW ENGLAND 58.7 56.9 57.5 58.0 58.5 59.0 59.3 59.6 60.0 60.3 60.8 61.3 61.8 62.3 2. NE NEW ENGLAND 61.6 59.9 60.5 60.9 61.5 61.8 62.2 62.5 62.8 63.2 63.6 64.1 64.6 65.1 3. N NEW YORK 62.2 60.1 60.7 61.2 61.8 62.2 62.6 63.0 63.3 63.7 64.1 64.7 65.2 65.8 4. S NEW ENGLAND 65.5 63.8 64.3 64.8 65.3 65.8 66.1 66.4 66.8 67.1 67.5 68.1 68.5 69.0 5. E GRT LAKES 63.9 61.4 62.0 62.6 63.2 63.7 64.1 64.5 64.9 65.3 65.8 66.5 67.0 67.7 6. OHIO 68.2 65.1 65.8 66.4 67.1 67.7 68.1 68.5 69.0 69.4 70.0 70.7 71.3 72.0 7. MID-ATL COAST 70.0 67.8 68.4 69.0 69.6 70.1 70.5 70.9 71.3 71.7 72.2 72.8 73.4 74.0 8. N APPALACHNS 65.4 63.1 63.7 64.2 64.9 65.3 65.7 66.1 66.5 66.8 67.3 67.9 68.5 69.1 9. CENT APPALACHNS 67.6 65.0 65.6 66.1 66.8 67.3 67.7 68.1 68.5 68.9 69.4 70.0 70.6 71.2 10. COASTL VIRG 72.7 70.5 71.1 71.7 72.3 72.8 73.2 73.5 73.9 74.3 74.8 75.4 75.9 76.5 11. S APPALACHNS 69.3 67.2 67.7 68.2 68.7 69.1 69.5 69.8 70.2 70.5 70.9 71.5 71.9 72.5 12. COASTL CAROLNAS 76.2 74.3 74.9 75.3 75.9 76.3 76.6 77.0 77.3 77.6 78.1 78.6 79.1 79.6 13. INTERIOR CAROLNAS 74.7 72.7 73.2 73.7 74.3 74.7 75.1 75.5 75.8 76.2 76.6 77.2 77.7 78.3 14. UPPER MICH 59.9 56.4 57.1 57.8 58.5 59.1 59.5 60.0 60.5 60.9 61.5 62.3 62.9 63.6 15. N MINN 60.4 56.6 57.4 58.0 58.9 59.5 60.0 60.4 60.9 61.4 62.0 62.8 63.5 64.3 16. E NORTH DAK 62.3 58.6 59.3 60.0 60.8 61.4 61.8 62.3 62.8 63.3 63.9 64.7 65.3 66.1 17. W NORTH DAK 61.7 58.0 58.7 59.4 60.2 60.8 61.3 61.7 62.2 62.7 63.3 64.1 64.7 65.5 18. E MONT 62.6 58.8 59.6 60.2 61.0 61.6 62.1 62.6 63.0 63.5 64.1 64.9 65.6 66.3 19. N-CENT MONT 59.6 56.6 57.2 57.8 58.5 59.0 59.4 59.8 60.2 60.7 61.2 61.8 62.4 63.1 20. S-CENT MONT 59.5 56.5 57.1 57.7 58.4 59.0 59.4 59.8 60.2 60.7 61.2 61.9 62.5 63.2 21. W MONT 57.5 54.9 55.5 56.0 56.7 57.2 57.5 57.9 58.3 58.7 59.1 59.8 60.3 60.9 22. N-CENT MICH 63.3 59.9 60.6 61.2 62.0 62.6 63.0 63.5 63.9 64.4 65.0 65.7 66.4 67.1 23. S MICH 66.8 63.7 64.4 65.0 65.7 66.2 66.7 67.1 67.5 68.0 68.5 69.2 69.8 70.5 24. E-CENT ILL 69.5 66.4 67.1 67.7 68.4 68.9 69.3 69.7 70.1 70.6 71.1 71.8 72.3 73.0 25. N ILL 66.6 63.2 63.9 64.5 65.2 65.8 66.2 66.6 67.1 67.5 68.1 68.8 69.4 70.1 26. N WISC 62.6 58.9 59.7 60.3 61.1 61.6 62.1 62.6 63.0 63.5 64.1 64.9 65.5 66.2 27. SE MINN 64.9 61.3 62.0 62.6 63.4 64.0 64.4 64.9 65.3 65.8 66.4 67.2 67.8 68.5 28. E SOUTH DAK 64.9 61.1 61.8 62.5 63.3 63.9 64.4 64.9 65.3 65.8 66.4 67.2 67.9 68.7 29. CENT SOUTH DAK 65.4 61.3 62.1 62.8 63.7 64.4 64.9 65.4 65.9 66.5 67.1 68.0 68.7 69.6 30. W SOUTH DAK 64.0 59.5 60.4 61.2 62.2 62.9 63.5 64.0 64.6 65.2 65.9 66.8 67.6 68.5 31. NE WYOMING 61.6 57.9 58.7 59.3 60.2 60.8 61.3 61.8 62.3 62.8 63.4 64.2 64.9 65.7 32. NW WYOMING 58.7 55.8 56.5 57.0 57.8 58.3 58.7 59.1 59.5 60.0 60.5 61.2 61.8 62.5 33. E IOWA 67.6 64.2 64.9 65.5 66.2 66.8 67.2 67.6 68.1 68.5 69.0 69.8 70.4 71.0 34. NW IOWA 67.5 63.7 64.5 65.1 65.9 66.5 67.0 67.5 68.0 68.5 69.0 69.8 70.5 71.3 35. CENT NEBRASKA 66.9 63.4 64.1 64.7 65.5 66.1 66.5 67.0 67.4 67.9 68.5 69.2 69.9 70.6 36. S NEBRASKA 69.1 65.6 66.3 66.9 67.7 68.2 68.7 69.1 69.6 70.0 70.6 71.3 72.0 72.7 37. W NEBR/CHEYENE 63.7 60.3 61.0 61.6 62.4 63.0 63.4 63.9 64.3 64.8 65.4 66.1 66.8 67.5 38. E KENTUCKY 70.2 67.5 68.1 68.6 69.3 69.8 70.2 70.5 70.9 71.3 71.8 72.4 72.9 73.6 39. W KENTUCKY 72.5 69.7 70.3 70.8 71.5 72.0 72.4 72.8 73.1 73.5 74.0 74.7 75.2 75.8 40. SE MISSOURI 72.8 69.8 70.4 71.0 71.7 72.2 72.6 73.0 73.4 73.8 74.4 75.1 75.6 76.3 41. NE MISSOURI 71.0 68.0 68.6 69.2 69.8 70.3 70.7 71.1 71.5 71.9 72.4 73.1 73.7 74.3 42. NW MISSOURI 71.5 68.2 68.9 69.5 70.2 70.7 71.2 71.6 72.0 72.4 73.0 73.7 74.3 74.9 43. E KANSAS 73.3 70.0 70.7 71.3 72.1 72.6 73.1 73.5 74.0 74.4 75.0 75.8 76.4 77.1 44. CENT KANSAS 72.9 69.3 70.1 70.8 71.6 72.2 72.7 73.1 73.6 74.1 74.7 75.5 76.2 77.0 45. W KANSAS 71.6 68.4 69.1 69.8 70.6 71.1 71.6 72.1 72.5 73.0 73.6 74.4 75.0 75.8 46. NE COLO 62.7 59.6 60.3 61.0 61.7 62.3 62.8 63.2 63.7 64.1 64.7 65.4 66.1 66.8 47. SE COLO 64.8 62.0 62.7 63.3 64.1 64.6 65.1 65.5 65.9 66.4 66.9 67.7 68.3 69.0 48. W COLO 60.3 57.6 58.3 59.0 59.8 60.4 60.8 61.3 61.8 62.3 62.8 63.6 64.3 65.0 49. SW WYOMING 56.8 54.0 54.6 55.2 56.0 56.5 56.9 57.3 57.8 58.2 58.7 59.5 60.0 60.7 50. CENT TENN 72.9 70.5 71.0 71.5 72.1 72.5 72.9 73.2 73.6 73.9 74.4 74.9 75.4 76.0 51. W TENN 75.8 73.6 74.1 74.6 75.1 75.6 75.9 76.2 76.6 76.9 77.3 77.9 78.4 78.9 52. OZARK MOUNTNS 73.8 70.9 71.5 72.1 72.8 73.3 73.8 74.2 74.6 75.1 75.6 76.3 76.9 77.5 53. CENT OKLAHOMA 76.2 73.1 73.8 74.5 75.3 75.9 76.3 76.8 77.3 77.8 78.4 79.2 79.8 80.6 54. TX W OF ABILENE 78.1 74.7 75.6 76.4 77.4 78.1 78.7 79.2 79.8 80.4 81.1 82.1 82.9 83.8 55. N HI PLAINS TX 74.4 71.7 72.4 73.1 73.9 74.5 75.0 75.5 75.9 76.4 77.0 77.8 78.5 79.2 56. N GEORGIA 75.3 73.2 73.8 74.3 74.9 75.3 75.7 76.0 76.3 76.7 77.1 77.7 78.2 78.7 57. N ALABAMA 75.7 73.7 74.2 74.6 75.2 75.6 76.0 76.3 76.6 77.0 77.4 77.9 78.4 78.9 58. CENT MISSISSIPPI 77.3 75.6 76.1 76.5 77.0 77.4 77.7 78.0 78.3 78.6 79.0 79.5 79.9 80.4 59. S ARKANSAS 77.3 75.1 75.7 76.2 76.8 77.2 77.6 77.9 78.3 78.6 79.1 79.7 80.2 80.7 60. E TX 78.8 76.7 77.2 77.7 78.4 78.8 79.2 79.6 79.9 80.3 80.8 81.4 81.9 82.5 61. DALLAS REG TX 79.1 76.7 77.4 78.0 78.7 79.3 79.7 80.1 80.6 81.0 81.6 82.3 82.9 83.6 62. SAN ANTONIO REG TX 81.1 79.3 79.9 80.3 80.9 81.3 81.7 82.0 82.3 82.7 83.1 83.7 84.2 84.7 63. FAR S TX 83.5 81.8 82.3 82.8 83.3 83.8 84.1 84.4 84.8 85.2 85.6 86.2 86.6 87.2 64. W-CENT TX 79.5 77.3 78.0 78.6 79.3 79.8 80.3 80.7 81.1 81.6 82.1 82.8 83.4 84.1 65. W TX PANHANDLE 79.1 77.1 77.7 78.2 78.9 79.4 79.8 80.1 80.5 80.9 81.4 82.0 82.6 83.2 66. JAXONVIL FLA REG 78.4 76.9 77.4 77.7 78.2 78.5 78.8 79.1 79.3 79.6 79.9 80.4 80.8 81.2 67. CENT FLA 80.0 79.0 79.3 79.6 79.9 80.2 80.3 80.5 80.7 80.9 81.2 81.5 81.8 82.1 68. S FLA 80.8 79.8 80.1 80.3 80.7 80.9 81.1 81.2 81.4 81.6 81.8 82.1 82.4 82.7 69. FLA PANHANDLE 77.9 76.3 76.8 77.2 77.7 78.1 78.4 78.7 79.0 79.3 79.7 80.2 80.6 81.0 70. COASTL LOUISIANA 79.3 77.8 78.2 78.6 79.1 79.4 79.7 79.9 80.2 80.5 80.8 81.3 81.7 82.1 71. COASTL TX NR HOUST 80.0 78.6 79.0 79.4 79.8 80.1 80.4 80.7 80.9 81.2 81.5 82.0 82.3 82.7 72. NW WASH 61.6 58.6 59.3 59.9 60.7 61.2 61.7 62.1 62.6 63.0 63.6 64.4 65.0 65.7 73. PENDELTON REG OREG 60.7 57.8 58.5 59.2 59.9 60.5 61.0 61.4 61.9 62.4 62.9 63.7 64.3 65.1 74. CENT WASH 63.5 60.3 61.1 61.8 62.6 63.2 63.7 64.1 64.6 65.1 65.7 66.5 67.2 67.9 75. SEATTLE REG WASH 58.6 55.7 56.4 57.0 57.7 58.2 58.7 59.1 59.6 60.0 60.6 61.3 61.9 62.6 76. COASTL WASH 57.5 55.2 55.7 56.2 56.7 57.2 57.5 57.8 58.2 58.5 59.0 59.5 60.0 60.5 77. E IDAHO 60.4 57.7 58.4 59.0 59.8 60.3 60.8 61.2 61.7 62.1 62.7 63.4 64.0 64.8 78. IDAHO CENT MOUNTNS 58.1 55.2 55.9 56.5 57.3 57.8 58.3 58.7 59.2 59.6 60.2 61.0 61.6 62.3 79. SW IDAHO 65.1 62.3 63.0 63.7 64.5 65.1 65.6 66.0 66.5 67.0 67.6 68.4 69.0 69.8 80. E OREG 59.3 56.4 57.2 57.8 58.6 59.1 59.6 60.0 60.5 61.0 61.5 62.3 62.9 63.7 81. OREG COASTL VALLEY 62.0 59.2 59.8 60.4 61.2 61.7 62.1 62.5 62.9 63.4 63.9 64.6 65.2 65.8 82. OREG COAST 57.6 55.5 56.0 56.4 57.0 57.4 57.7 58.0 58.4 58.7 59.1 59.6 60.1 60.6 83. NE UTAH 61.8 59.2 60.0 60.6 61.5 62.1 62.6 63.0 63.5 64.0 64.6 65.4 66.1 66.9 84. SE UTAH 69.8 66.8 67.7 68.4 69.4 70.1 70.7 71.2 71.8 72.4 73.1 74.0 74.8 75.7 85. W UTAH 66.5 63.7 64.5 65.2 66.2 66.8 67.3 67.9 68.4 68.9 69.6 70.5 71.2 72.1 86. NE NEVADA 60.5 57.8 58.6 59.3 60.1 60.7 61.2 61.7 62.2 62.7 63.3 64.1 64.8 65.6 87. NW NEVADA 63.3 60.6 61.3 62.0 62.8 63.5 64.0 64.4 64.9 65.4 66.0 66.9 67.6 68.3 88. SACRMNTO REG CALIF 67.1 64.1 64.9 65.5 66.3 66.9 67.4 67.9 68.3 68.8 69.4 70.2 70.9 71.6 89. N CALIF COAST 63.5 61.2 61.8 62.2 62.8 63.2 63.6 63.9 64.3 64.6 65.1 65.7 66.1 66.7 90. CENT NEVADA 66.5 63.9 64.7 65.3 66.2 66.8 67.3 67.8 68.3 68.8 69.4 70.2 70.9 71.7 91. FRESNO REG CALIF 71.3 68.4 69.2 69.8 70.6 71.1 71.6 72.1 72.5 73.0 73.6 74.3 75.0 75.7 92. CENT CALIF COAST 63.7 61.3 61.9 62.3 63.0 63.4 63.8 64.1 64.4 64.8 65.2 65.8 66.3 66.9 93. S CALIF COAST 67.9 65.7 66.2 66.7 67.3 67.7 68.1 68.4 68.8 69.1 69.6 70.2 70.7 71.2 94. SE CALIF 79.6 76.8 77.5 78.2 79.0 79.6 80.1 80.5 81.0 81.5 82.1 82.9 83.5 84.3 95. LAS VEGAS NEV REG 81.4 78.5 79.3 80.1 81.0 81.6 82.2 82.7 83.2 83.8 84.5 85.4 86.1 87.0 96. SW ARIZONA 82.5 80.1 80.8 81.4 82.1 82.6 83.1 83.5 83.9 84.3 84.8 85.6 86.1 86.8 97. NE ARIZONA 66.3 64.1 64.7 65.3 66.1 66.6 67.1 67.5 67.9 68.4 68.9 69.7 70.2 70.9 98. SE ARIZONA 76.9 74.7 75.3 75.9 76.5 77.0 77.4 77.8 78.2 78.6 79.1 79.8 80.3 80.9 99. N NEW MEX 62.1 59.9 60.5 61.1 61.7 62.2 62.7 63.0 63.5 63.9 64.4 65.1 65.6 66.3 100. E NEW MEX 73.4 71.0 71.7 72.3 73.0 73.6 74.0 74.4 74.8 75.3 75.8 76.5 77.1 77.8 101. CENT NEW MEX 66.9 64.9 65.5 66.0 66.6 67.1 67.5 67.8 68.2 68.6 69.1 69.7 70.3 70.8 102. S NEW MEX 74.7 72.6 73.2 73.7 74.4 74.9 75.3 75.7 76.1 76.5 77.0 77.6 78.2 78.8 $$ $$