Probability of Exceed
Issued by NWS
Issued by NWS
Versions:
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723 FXUS05 KWNC 211331 POELTE TEMPERATURE PROB. OF EXCEEDENCE OUTLOOKS - DIVISIONS NWS CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD 830 AM UTC THU 21 NOV 2024 VALID: APRIL - JUNE 2025 ...TEMPERATURE IN FAHRENHEIT... #. DIVISION NAME CLIM LINE1 98 95 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 5 2 LINE2 ________________________________________________________________ 1. N NEW ENGLAND 49.6 47.4 47.9 48.4 49.0 49.4 49.7 50.0 50.4 50.7 51.1 51.7 52.2 52.7 2. NE NEW ENGLAND 53.0 51.1 51.6 52.0 52.5 52.9 53.2 53.5 53.8 54.1 54.5 55.0 55.4 55.8 3. N NEW YORK 53.7 51.5 52.1 52.5 53.1 53.5 53.9 54.2 54.5 54.9 55.3 55.9 56.4 56.9 4. S NEW ENGLAND 57.3 55.5 56.0 56.4 56.9 57.3 57.6 57.9 58.2 58.5 58.9 59.4 59.8 60.3 5. E GRT LAKES 55.9 53.5 54.1 54.6 55.2 55.7 56.0 56.4 56.8 57.2 57.6 58.2 58.7 59.3 6. OHIO 60.8 58.1 58.8 59.3 60.0 60.5 60.9 61.3 61.7 62.2 62.7 63.4 63.9 64.6 7. MID-ATL COAST 62.4 60.1 60.7 61.2 61.9 62.4 62.8 63.2 63.6 64.0 64.5 65.1 65.7 66.3 8. N APPALACHNS 57.9 55.7 56.2 56.7 57.3 57.8 58.1 58.5 58.8 59.2 59.6 60.2 60.7 61.3 9. CENT APPALACHNS 60.9 58.4 59.0 59.6 60.3 60.8 61.2 61.5 62.0 62.4 62.9 63.5 64.1 64.7 10. COASTL VIRG 66.0 63.6 64.3 64.8 65.5 66.1 66.5 66.9 67.3 67.7 68.2 68.9 69.5 70.2 11. S APPALACHNS 63.2 60.8 61.4 62.0 62.6 63.1 63.5 63.9 64.3 64.7 65.2 65.8 66.3 67.0 12. COASTL CAROLNAS 70.1 67.9 68.6 69.1 69.8 70.3 70.7 71.1 71.5 71.9 72.4 73.1 73.7 74.3 13. INTERIOR CAROLNAS 68.4 66.1 66.8 67.3 68.0 68.5 69.0 69.3 69.8 70.2 70.7 71.4 72.0 72.6 14. UPPER MICH 51.0 47.1 47.9 48.6 49.4 50.1 50.6 51.0 51.5 52.1 52.7 53.5 54.2 55.0 15. N MINN 51.3 47.0 47.9 48.6 49.5 50.2 50.8 51.3 51.8 52.4 53.0 53.9 54.7 55.5 16. E NORTH DAK 53.0 48.9 49.7 50.4 51.3 52.0 52.5 53.0 53.6 54.1 54.8 55.6 56.4 57.2 17. W NORTH DAK 52.5 49.0 49.7 50.3 51.1 51.7 52.1 52.5 53.0 53.5 54.0 54.8 55.4 56.1 18. E MONT 53.4 50.3 50.9 51.5 52.2 52.6 53.1 53.4 53.8 54.3 54.8 55.4 56.0 56.6 19. N-CENT MONT 51.3 48.0 48.7 49.2 49.9 50.4 50.9 51.3 51.7 52.1 52.6 53.3 53.9 54.6 20. S-CENT MONT 51.0 47.7 48.4 49.0 49.7 50.2 50.6 51.0 51.5 51.9 52.4 53.1 53.7 54.4 21. W MONT 49.7 46.2 46.9 47.5 48.3 48.8 49.3 49.7 50.1 50.6 51.2 51.9 52.5 53.2 22. N-CENT MICH 54.8 51.5 52.2 52.8 53.6 54.1 54.6 55.0 55.5 56.0 56.5 57.3 57.9 58.6 23. S MICH 58.8 56.0 56.6 57.2 57.9 58.4 58.8 59.2 59.6 60.0 60.5 61.1 61.7 62.3 24. E-CENT ILL 62.1 59.1 59.8 60.3 61.0 61.6 62.0 62.4 62.8 63.3 63.8 64.5 65.1 65.7 25. N ILL 58.2 55.1 55.7 56.3 57.0 57.5 58.0 58.4 58.8 59.2 59.8 60.5 61.0 61.7 26. N WISC 53.8 49.8 50.6 51.3 52.1 52.8 53.3 53.8 54.3 54.8 55.4 56.3 57.0 57.8 27. SE MINN 56.0 52.1 52.9 53.6 54.4 55.0 55.5 56.0 56.5 57.0 57.6 58.5 59.2 59.9 28. E SOUTH DAK 55.7 51.7 52.5 53.2 54.1 54.7 55.2 55.7 56.2 56.8 57.4 58.2 59.0 59.8 29. CENT SOUTH DAK 55.9 52.0 52.8 53.5 54.3 54.9 55.4 55.9 56.4 56.9 57.6 58.4 59.1 59.9 30. W SOUTH DAK 54.5 50.5 51.3 52.0 52.9 53.5 54.0 54.5 55.0 55.6 56.2 57.1 57.8 58.6 31. NE WYOMING 52.1 48.3 49.0 49.7 50.5 51.2 51.7 52.1 52.6 53.1 53.7 54.6 55.2 56.0 32. NW WYOMING 50.1 46.2 47.0 47.7 48.5 49.1 49.7 50.1 50.6 51.2 51.8 52.6 53.3 54.1 33. E IOWA 59.4 56.2 56.8 57.4 58.1 58.6 59.1 59.5 59.9 60.3 60.8 61.5 62.1 62.8 34. NW IOWA 58.8 54.8 55.6 56.3 57.1 57.8 58.3 58.8 59.3 59.8 60.4 61.2 61.9 62.7 35. CENT NEBRASKA 57.9 54.1 54.8 55.5 56.3 57.0 57.5 57.9 58.4 58.9 59.5 60.4 61.0 61.8 36. S NEBRASKA 60.7 56.9 57.6 58.3 59.1 59.7 60.2 60.7 61.2 61.7 62.3 63.1 63.8 64.5 37. W NEBR/CHEYENE 54.5 50.5 51.3 52.0 52.9 53.5 54.1 54.5 55.1 55.6 56.2 57.1 57.8 58.6 38. E KENTUCKY 63.5 61.0 61.6 62.2 62.8 63.3 63.7 64.1 64.5 64.9 65.4 66.1 66.6 67.2 39. W KENTUCKY 65.6 62.8 63.5 64.1 64.8 65.3 65.7 66.1 66.6 67.0 67.5 68.2 68.8 69.5 40. SE MISSOURI 65.7 62.8 63.5 64.1 64.8 65.3 65.7 66.1 66.5 67.0 67.5 68.2 68.8 69.4 41. NE MISSOURI 63.5 60.4 61.0 61.6 62.3 62.8 63.3 63.7 64.1 64.6 65.1 65.8 66.4 67.0 42. NW MISSOURI 63.7 60.6 61.3 61.9 62.6 63.1 63.5 63.9 64.4 64.8 65.3 66.0 66.6 67.3 43. E KANSAS 65.5 62.4 63.1 63.7 64.4 65.0 65.4 65.8 66.3 66.7 67.2 68.0 68.6 69.3 44. CENT KANSAS 64.4 60.7 61.5 62.2 63.0 63.6 64.2 64.6 65.1 65.7 66.3 67.1 67.8 68.6 45. W KANSAS 63.1 59.6 60.3 61.0 61.8 62.5 63.0 63.4 63.9 64.4 65.1 65.9 66.6 67.3 46. NE COLO 54.1 50.6 51.3 52.0 52.8 53.4 53.9 54.4 54.9 55.4 56.0 56.8 57.5 58.2 47. SE COLO 56.5 53.1 53.9 54.6 55.4 56.0 56.5 57.0 57.5 58.0 58.6 59.5 60.2 60.9 48. W COLO 52.2 48.6 49.4 50.1 51.0 51.7 52.2 52.7 53.2 53.8 54.5 55.3 56.1 56.9 49. SW WYOMING 48.1 44.2 45.0 45.6 46.5 47.1 47.6 48.1 48.6 49.1 49.8 50.6 51.3 52.1 50. CENT TENN 66.5 63.9 64.6 65.1 65.8 66.3 66.7 67.1 67.5 67.9 68.4 69.1 69.7 70.3 51. W TENN 69.4 67.1 67.7 68.2 68.8 69.2 69.6 70.0 70.3 70.7 71.2 71.8 72.3 72.8 52. OZARK MOUNTNS 66.9 64.2 64.9 65.4 66.1 66.6 67.0 67.3 67.7 68.1 68.6 69.3 69.8 70.4 53. CENT OKLAHOMA 68.6 65.6 66.3 66.9 67.7 68.2 68.7 69.1 69.6 70.0 70.6 71.3 71.9 72.6 54. TX W OF ABILENE 71.1 67.9 68.8 69.5 70.4 71.0 71.6 72.1 72.6 73.1 73.8 74.7 75.4 76.2 55. N HI PLAINS TX 67.3 64.4 65.2 65.9 66.7 67.3 67.9 68.3 68.8 69.4 70.0 70.8 71.5 72.3 56. N GEORGIA 69.4 67.4 67.9 68.4 69.0 69.5 69.9 70.2 70.6 70.9 71.4 72.0 72.5 73.0 57. N ALABAMA 69.6 67.7 68.2 68.7 69.3 69.8 70.1 70.4 70.8 71.2 71.6 72.2 72.6 73.2 58. CENT MISSISSIPPI 71.7 69.8 70.3 70.8 71.3 71.7 72.1 72.4 72.7 73.1 73.5 74.0 74.5 75.0 59. S ARKANSAS 71.1 68.9 69.5 70.0 70.6 71.1 71.4 71.8 72.2 72.5 73.0 73.6 74.1 74.7 60. E TX 72.8 70.6 71.2 71.7 72.3 72.8 73.2 73.5 73.9 74.3 74.7 75.3 75.9 76.4 61. DALLAS REG TX 72.6 70.2 70.8 71.4 72.1 72.6 73.0 73.4 73.8 74.3 74.8 75.5 76.1 76.7 62. SAN ANTONIO REG TX 76.2 74.1 74.7 75.3 75.9 76.4 76.8 77.2 77.6 78.0 78.5 79.2 79.7 80.4 63. FAR S TX 79.4 76.9 77.6 78.3 79.0 79.6 80.1 80.5 81.0 81.4 82.0 82.8 83.4 84.2 64. W-CENT TX 74.0 71.3 72.1 72.8 73.6 74.2 74.8 75.2 75.7 76.2 76.8 77.7 78.4 79.1 65. W TX PANHANDLE 73.8 71.5 72.2 72.8 73.5 74.1 74.5 75.0 75.4 75.9 76.4 77.2 77.8 78.5 66. JAXONVIL FLA REG 73.4 71.5 72.1 72.6 73.2 73.6 74.0 74.3 74.7 75.0 75.4 76.0 76.5 77.1 67. CENT FLA 76.5 75.0 75.4 75.8 76.3 76.7 77.0 77.3 77.6 77.8 78.2 78.7 79.1 79.5 68. S FLA 77.8 76.5 76.9 77.2 77.7 78.0 78.2 78.4 78.7 78.9 79.2 79.7 80.0 80.4 69. FLA PANHANDLE 72.7 71.1 71.6 72.0 72.6 72.9 73.3 73.6 73.9 74.2 74.6 75.2 75.6 76.1 70. COASTL LOUISIANA 74.3 72.8 73.2 73.7 74.2 74.5 74.8 75.1 75.4 75.7 76.1 76.6 77.0 77.5 71. COASTL TX NR HOUST 75.1 73.5 74.0 74.4 74.9 75.2 75.6 75.8 76.1 76.4 76.8 77.3 77.7 78.2 72. NW WASH 54.2 50.5 51.3 51.9 52.7 53.3 53.8 54.2 54.7 55.2 55.8 56.6 57.2 58.0 73. PENDELTON REG OREG 53.2 49.5 50.2 50.9 51.7 52.3 52.8 53.2 53.7 54.2 54.8 55.6 56.3 57.0 74. CENT WASH 56.2 52.4 53.2 53.8 54.7 55.3 55.8 56.2 56.7 57.2 57.8 58.6 59.3 60.1 75. SEATTLE REG WASH 53.1 49.3 50.1 50.7 51.5 52.1 52.6 53.1 53.5 54.0 54.6 55.4 56.1 56.8 76. COASTL WASH 53.2 50.2 50.8 51.3 52.0 52.4 52.8 53.2 53.6 54.0 54.5 55.1 55.7 56.3 77. E IDAHO 52.0 48.4 49.1 49.8 50.6 51.2 51.7 52.1 52.6 53.1 53.7 54.5 55.2 55.9 78. IDAHO CENT MOUNTNS 50.3 46.3 47.1 47.8 48.7 49.3 49.8 50.3 50.8 51.3 51.9 52.8 53.5 54.2 79. SW IDAHO 56.7 52.8 53.5 54.2 55.1 55.7 56.2 56.7 57.2 57.7 58.3 59.1 59.8 60.6 80. E OREG 51.7 47.8 48.6 49.3 50.1 50.7 51.2 51.7 52.2 52.7 53.2 54.1 54.8 55.5 81. OREG COASTL VALLEY 55.9 52.2 53.0 53.6 54.4 54.9 55.4 55.9 56.3 56.8 57.4 58.1 58.8 59.5 82. OREG COAST 53.7 50.5 51.1 51.7 52.4 52.9 53.3 53.7 54.1 54.5 55.0 55.7 56.3 56.9 83. NE UTAH 53.1 49.0 49.9 50.7 51.7 52.4 53.0 53.5 54.0 54.6 55.3 56.3 57.1 58.0 84. SE UTAH 61.0 57.4 58.3 59.1 60.1 60.8 61.4 61.9 62.5 63.1 63.8 64.8 65.6 66.4 85. W UTAH 57.5 53.5 54.4 55.2 56.2 56.9 57.5 58.0 58.6 59.2 59.9 60.9 61.7 62.6 86. NE NEVADA 51.8 47.5 48.5 49.2 50.2 50.9 51.5 52.0 52.6 53.2 53.9 54.9 55.7 56.6 87. NW NEVADA 55.0 50.9 51.7 52.5 53.4 54.0 54.6 55.1 55.7 56.2 56.9 57.8 58.5 59.4 88. SACRMNTO REG CALIF 60.1 55.6 56.5 57.3 58.3 59.0 59.6 60.1 60.7 61.3 62.0 63.0 63.8 64.7 89. N CALIF COAST 58.5 55.1 55.8 56.4 57.1 57.6 58.1 58.5 58.9 59.4 59.9 60.6 61.2 61.9 90. CENT NEVADA 58.0 53.7 54.6 55.5 56.5 57.2 57.9 58.5 59.1 59.7 60.5 61.5 62.3 63.3 91. FRESNO REG CALIF 64.5 60.2 61.1 61.8 62.8 63.4 64.0 64.5 65.1 65.6 66.3 67.2 68.0 68.8 92. CENT CALIF COAST 60.3 57.0 57.7 58.2 58.9 59.4 59.9 60.3 60.7 61.1 61.6 62.3 62.9 63.6 93. S CALIF COAST 63.6 60.5 61.1 61.7 62.4 62.9 63.4 63.8 64.2 64.6 65.2 65.9 66.4 67.1 94. SE CALIF 71.9 67.6 68.6 69.4 70.4 71.2 71.8 72.4 73.0 73.6 74.4 75.4 76.3 77.2 95. LAS VEGAS NEV REG 73.0 69.6 70.4 71.2 72.1 72.7 73.3 73.8 74.3 74.9 75.6 76.5 77.2 78.1 96. SW ARIZONA 75.0 72.2 73.0 73.7 74.5 75.0 75.5 76.0 76.5 77.0 77.6 78.4 79.0 79.8 97. NE ARIZONA 58.7 56.0 56.8 57.4 58.3 58.9 59.4 59.8 60.3 60.8 61.4 62.2 62.9 63.7 98. SE ARIZONA 70.4 68.0 68.7 69.3 70.1 70.6 71.1 71.6 72.0 72.5 73.0 73.8 74.4 75.1 99. N NEW MEX 54.5 51.9 52.6 53.2 53.9 54.5 54.9 55.3 55.8 56.2 56.7 57.5 58.1 58.8 100. E NEW MEX 66.5 63.9 64.6 65.2 66.0 66.6 67.1 67.5 68.0 68.5 69.1 69.8 70.5 71.2 101. CENT NEW MEX 59.9 57.5 58.2 58.8 59.5 60.1 60.5 60.9 61.4 61.8 62.4 63.1 63.7 64.4 102. S NEW MEX 68.0 65.7 66.4 67.0 67.7 68.2 68.7 69.1 69.6 70.0 70.6 71.3 71.9 72.6 $$ $$