Probability of Exceed
Issued by NWS
Issued by NWS
Versions:
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756 FXUS04 KWNC 211331 POELTD TEMPERATURE PROB. OF EXCEEDENCE OUTLOOKS - DIVISIONS NWS CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD 830 AM UTC THU 21 NOV 2024 VALID: MARCH - MAY 2025 ...TEMPERATURE IN FAHRENHEIT... #. DIVISION NAME CLIM LINE1 98 95 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 5 2 LINE2 ________________________________________________________________ 1. N NEW ENGLAND 37.7 33.6 34.5 35.3 36.3 37.0 37.6 38.2 38.8 39.4 40.1 41.1 41.9 42.8 2. NE NEW ENGLAND 42.3 38.9 39.7 40.4 41.2 41.8 42.4 42.8 43.3 43.9 44.5 45.3 46.0 46.8 3. N NEW YORK 42.4 38.5 39.4 40.2 41.1 41.8 42.4 42.9 43.5 44.0 44.7 45.7 46.4 47.3 4. S NEW ENGLAND 47.1 44.2 44.9 45.5 46.3 46.8 47.3 47.7 48.1 48.6 49.1 49.9 50.5 51.2 5. E GRT LAKES 45.3 41.4 42.3 43.0 43.9 44.6 45.1 45.7 46.2 46.8 47.4 48.3 49.1 49.9 6. OHIO 50.8 47.2 48.0 48.7 49.5 50.1 50.7 51.1 51.7 52.2 52.8 53.7 54.4 55.2 7. MID-ATL COAST 52.7 50.0 50.7 51.3 52.0 52.5 53.0 53.4 53.9 54.3 54.8 55.6 56.2 56.9 8. N APPALACHNS 47.9 44.7 45.4 46.1 46.9 47.5 47.9 48.4 48.9 49.3 49.9 50.7 51.4 52.1 9. CENT APPALACHNS 51.9 48.9 49.6 50.2 51.0 51.5 52.0 52.4 52.8 53.3 53.9 54.6 55.2 55.9 10. COASTL VIRG 57.3 55.0 55.7 56.2 56.8 57.3 57.7 58.1 58.5 58.8 59.3 60.0 60.5 61.1 11. S APPALACHNS 55.2 52.5 53.1 53.7 54.5 55.0 55.4 55.8 56.2 56.7 57.2 57.9 58.5 59.2 12. COASTL CAROLNAS 62.5 60.3 61.0 61.5 62.2 62.6 63.0 63.4 63.8 64.2 64.7 65.4 65.9 66.5 13. INTERIOR CAROLNAS 60.5 58.1 58.7 59.3 60.0 60.5 60.9 61.3 61.7 62.1 62.7 63.3 63.9 64.6 14. UPPER MICH 39.6 33.6 34.8 35.8 37.1 38.1 38.9 39.6 40.4 41.2 42.1 43.4 44.5 45.7 15. N MINN 38.8 31.8 33.2 34.5 36.0 37.1 38.0 38.8 39.7 40.7 41.8 43.3 44.5 45.9 16. E NORTH DAK 40.1 32.7 34.2 35.5 37.0 38.2 39.2 40.1 41.0 42.0 43.1 44.7 46.0 47.5 17. W NORTH DAK 41.0 34.5 35.7 36.8 38.2 39.1 39.9 40.7 41.5 42.3 43.3 44.6 45.7 46.9 18. E MONT 43.0 36.6 37.8 38.8 40.1 41.0 41.8 42.5 43.2 44.0 44.9 46.2 47.2 48.4 19. N-CENT MONT 41.9 35.4 36.5 37.5 38.7 39.6 40.3 41.0 41.7 42.5 43.3 44.6 45.5 46.7 20. S-CENT MONT 42.7 37.5 38.5 39.3 40.3 41.1 41.7 42.3 42.9 43.5 44.3 45.3 46.1 47.1 21. W MONT 42.1 37.9 38.7 39.3 40.1 40.7 41.2 41.7 42.2 42.7 43.2 44.1 44.7 45.5 22. N-CENT MICH 43.8 38.9 39.9 40.8 41.8 42.6 43.3 43.9 44.5 45.2 46.0 47.0 47.9 48.9 23. S MICH 48.0 43.5 44.4 45.2 46.3 47.0 47.6 48.2 48.8 49.4 50.2 51.2 52.0 53.0 24. E-CENT ILL 51.8 47.3 48.2 49.0 50.0 50.7 51.3 51.9 52.5 53.1 53.8 54.8 55.6 56.5 25. N ILL 47.3 42.0 43.1 44.0 45.1 46.0 46.7 47.3 48.0 48.7 49.5 50.7 51.6 52.7 26. N WISC 42.1 35.7 37.0 38.1 39.5 40.5 41.3 42.1 42.9 43.7 44.7 46.1 47.2 48.5 27. SE MINN 43.8 37.2 38.6 39.7 41.2 42.2 43.0 43.8 44.7 45.6 46.6 48.0 49.2 50.5 28. E SOUTH DAK 43.3 36.5 37.9 39.1 40.5 41.6 42.5 43.3 44.2 45.1 46.2 47.6 48.8 50.2 29. CENT SOUTH DAK 44.7 38.3 39.6 40.7 42.1 43.1 43.9 44.7 45.5 46.4 47.4 48.8 49.9 51.2 30. W SOUTH DAK 44.3 38.6 39.7 40.7 41.9 42.8 43.5 44.2 44.9 45.7 46.5 47.7 48.7 49.8 31. NE WYOMING 43.0 38.3 39.3 40.1 41.0 41.8 42.4 42.9 43.5 44.1 44.8 45.8 46.6 47.5 32. NW WYOMING 41.5 37.0 37.9 38.7 39.7 40.4 41.0 41.5 42.1 42.7 43.4 44.4 45.2 46.1 33. E IOWA 48.2 42.8 43.9 44.8 46.0 46.8 47.5 48.2 48.9 49.6 50.5 51.6 52.6 53.7 34. NW IOWA 47.4 41.3 42.5 43.6 44.9 45.8 46.6 47.4 48.1 48.9 49.9 51.2 52.2 53.5 35. CENT NEBRASKA 47.9 42.7 43.7 44.6 45.7 46.5 47.2 47.9 48.5 49.2 50.0 51.1 52.0 53.0 36. S NEBRASKA 50.2 44.9 45.9 46.9 48.0 48.8 49.5 50.2 50.9 51.6 52.4 53.5 54.5 55.5 37. W NEBR/CHEYENE 45.4 41.0 41.9 42.7 43.6 44.3 44.9 45.4 46.0 46.6 47.3 48.2 49.0 49.9 38. E KENTUCKY 54.6 51.2 52.0 52.6 53.4 54.0 54.5 55.0 55.4 55.9 56.5 57.3 58.0 58.7 39. W KENTUCKY 56.4 52.5 53.3 54.1 55.0 55.6 56.2 56.7 57.2 57.7 58.4 59.3 60.0 60.8 40. SE MISSOURI 56.4 52.2 53.0 53.8 54.7 55.4 56.0 56.5 57.0 57.6 58.2 59.2 59.9 60.8 41. NE MISSOURI 53.3 48.4 49.4 50.3 51.3 52.1 52.7 53.3 54.0 54.6 55.4 56.5 57.3 58.3 42. NW MISSOURI 53.8 48.9 49.9 50.8 51.8 52.6 53.2 53.8 54.5 55.1 55.9 57.0 57.8 58.8 43. E KANSAS 56.1 51.4 52.4 53.2 54.2 54.9 55.6 56.1 56.7 57.3 58.1 59.1 59.9 60.8 44. CENT KANSAS 54.4 49.5 50.5 51.4 52.4 53.2 53.8 54.4 55.0 55.6 56.4 57.4 58.3 59.2 45. W KANSAS 53.4 49.1 50.0 50.7 51.7 52.3 52.9 53.4 54.0 54.5 55.2 56.1 56.9 57.7 46. NE COLO 45.4 41.4 42.2 42.9 43.8 44.4 44.9 45.4 45.9 46.4 47.1 47.9 48.6 49.4 47. SE COLO 47.5 44.2 44.9 45.5 46.3 46.8 47.3 47.7 48.1 48.6 49.2 49.9 50.5 51.2 48. W COLO 43.5 40.2 41.0 41.6 42.4 43.0 43.4 43.9 44.3 44.8 45.4 46.2 46.8 47.5 49. SW WYOMING 39.2 34.8 35.7 36.5 37.4 38.1 38.7 39.2 39.8 40.4 41.0 42.0 42.8 43.6 50. CENT TENN 58.3 54.9 55.7 56.3 57.1 57.7 58.2 58.7 59.1 59.6 60.2 61.0 61.7 62.4 51. W TENN 60.9 57.5 58.2 58.8 59.6 60.2 60.7 61.1 61.6 62.1 62.6 63.4 64.1 64.8 52. OZARK MOUNTNS 58.4 54.8 55.5 56.2 57.0 57.5 58.0 58.5 59.0 59.4 60.0 60.8 61.5 62.2 53. CENT OKLAHOMA 59.8 56.0 56.8 57.4 58.3 58.8 59.3 59.8 60.3 60.8 61.4 62.2 62.9 63.6 54. TX W OF ABILENE 62.8 59.1 59.9 60.6 61.5 62.1 62.6 63.1 63.6 64.1 64.7 65.6 66.3 67.1 55. N HI PLAINS TX 58.8 55.7 56.4 57.0 57.8 58.4 58.8 59.3 59.7 60.2 60.8 61.5 62.2 62.9 56. N GEORGIA 62.1 59.6 60.3 60.9 61.6 62.1 62.6 63.0 63.4 63.8 64.4 65.1 65.7 66.4 57. N ALABAMA 62.3 59.7 60.4 61.0 61.7 62.2 62.6 63.0 63.4 63.9 64.4 65.1 65.7 66.3 58. CENT MISSISSIPPI 64.5 61.9 62.5 63.1 63.8 64.3 64.7 65.1 65.6 66.0 66.5 67.2 67.7 68.4 59. S ARKANSAS 63.4 60.5 61.1 61.7 62.4 62.9 63.3 63.7 64.1 64.6 65.1 65.8 66.3 67.0 60. E TX 65.6 62.9 63.5 64.1 64.8 65.2 65.7 66.1 66.5 66.9 67.4 68.1 68.6 69.3 61. DALLAS REG TX 64.9 62.1 62.8 63.3 64.1 64.6 65.0 65.4 65.8 66.3 66.8 67.5 68.1 68.7 62. SAN ANTONIO REG TX 69.9 67.7 68.3 68.9 69.6 70.2 70.6 71.0 71.4 71.8 72.4 73.1 73.7 74.3 63. FAR S TX 73.6 71.1 71.8 72.5 73.3 73.9 74.4 74.8 75.3 75.8 76.3 77.1 77.8 78.5 64. W-CENT TX 66.9 64.3 65.1 65.7 66.5 67.1 67.5 68.0 68.4 68.9 69.5 70.3 70.9 71.7 65. W TX PANHANDLE 66.1 63.6 64.3 65.0 65.8 66.3 66.8 67.2 67.7 68.2 68.8 69.5 70.2 70.9 66. JAXONVIL FLA REG 67.1 64.7 65.4 66.0 66.8 67.4 67.8 68.3 68.7 69.2 69.8 70.6 71.2 71.9 67. CENT FLA 71.8 69.4 70.1 70.7 71.5 72.1 72.5 72.9 73.4 73.9 74.4 75.2 75.8 76.5 68. S FLA 74.0 72.1 72.7 73.2 73.8 74.2 74.6 75.0 75.3 75.7 76.1 76.7 77.2 77.8 69. FLA PANHANDLE 66.2 63.9 64.6 65.1 65.9 66.4 66.8 67.2 67.7 68.1 68.6 69.3 69.9 70.6 70. COASTL LOUISIANA 68.0 65.5 66.2 66.8 67.5 68.0 68.5 68.9 69.3 69.8 70.3 71.1 71.7 72.3 71. COASTL TX NR HOUST 68.8 66.7 67.2 67.8 68.4 68.9 69.3 69.6 70.0 70.4 70.9 71.5 72.0 72.6 72. NW WASH 46.9 43.2 43.9 44.5 45.3 45.8 46.3 46.7 47.1 47.6 48.1 48.9 49.5 50.2 73. PENDELTON REG OREG 46.6 43.3 43.9 44.5 45.2 45.7 46.1 46.5 46.9 47.3 47.8 48.5 49.1 49.8 74. CENT WASH 49.4 46.1 46.7 47.3 48.0 48.5 48.9 49.3 49.7 50.1 50.6 51.3 51.8 52.5 75. SEATTLE REG WASH 47.8 44.2 44.9 45.5 46.3 46.8 47.3 47.7 48.2 48.6 49.2 49.9 50.5 51.2 76. COASTL WASH 49.0 45.7 46.4 47.0 47.7 48.2 48.6 49.0 49.4 49.9 50.4 51.1 51.7 52.3 77. E IDAHO 43.9 39.5 40.4 41.2 42.1 42.8 43.4 43.9 44.4 45.0 45.7 46.6 47.4 48.3 78. IDAHO CENT MOUNTNS 42.9 39.0 39.7 40.4 41.2 41.8 42.2 42.7 43.2 43.7 44.2 45.0 45.7 46.4 79. SW IDAHO 49.4 45.8 46.5 47.2 47.9 48.5 49.0 49.4 49.8 50.3 50.9 51.6 52.3 53.0 80. E OREG 45.4 41.7 42.4 43.0 43.8 44.4 44.9 45.4 45.8 46.3 46.9 47.7 48.4 49.1 81. OREG COASTL VALLEY 50.6 47.0 47.7 48.4 49.1 49.7 50.2 50.6 51.1 51.6 52.2 52.9 53.6 54.3 82. OREG COAST 50.2 46.7 47.4 48.0 48.8 49.3 49.8 50.2 50.7 51.1 51.7 52.5 53.1 53.8 83. NE UTAH 44.8 40.9 41.8 42.5 43.3 44.0 44.5 45.0 45.5 46.0 46.7 47.5 48.3 49.1 84. SE UTAH 52.1 48.9 49.7 50.3 51.2 51.7 52.2 52.7 53.2 53.7 54.3 55.1 55.7 56.5 85. W UTAH 49.2 45.3 46.2 46.9 47.8 48.4 48.9 49.4 50.0 50.5 51.2 52.0 52.8 53.6 86. NE NEVADA 44.1 39.7 40.5 41.3 42.3 43.0 43.5 44.1 44.6 45.2 45.9 46.8 47.6 48.5 87. NW NEVADA 47.8 43.2 44.1 44.9 45.9 46.6 47.2 47.8 48.3 49.0 49.7 50.7 51.5 52.4 88. SACRMNTO REG CALIF 53.7 49.1 50.0 50.8 51.8 52.5 53.2 53.7 54.3 54.9 55.7 56.7 57.5 58.4 89. N CALIF COAST 53.9 50.2 51.0 51.6 52.4 53.0 53.5 53.9 54.4 54.9 55.5 56.2 56.9 57.7 90. CENT NEVADA 50.1 45.9 46.8 47.5 48.4 49.1 49.7 50.2 50.7 51.3 51.9 52.8 53.6 54.5 91. FRESNO REG CALIF 58.2 53.6 54.5 55.3 56.3 57.0 57.6 58.2 58.8 59.3 60.1 61.0 61.8 62.7 92. CENT CALIF COAST 56.9 53.2 54.0 54.6 55.4 56.0 56.5 56.9 57.4 57.8 58.4 59.2 59.8 60.6 93. S CALIF COAST 59.8 55.9 56.7 57.4 58.2 58.8 59.3 59.8 60.3 60.8 61.4 62.3 62.9 63.7 94. SE CALIF 64.2 59.3 60.3 61.2 62.2 63.0 63.7 64.3 64.9 65.6 66.3 67.4 68.2 69.2 95. LAS VEGAS NEV REG 64.6 60.6 61.5 62.2 63.2 63.8 64.4 64.9 65.4 66.0 66.7 67.6 68.3 69.2 96. SW ARIZONA 67.0 63.7 64.5 65.2 66.0 66.6 67.1 67.6 68.1 68.6 69.2 70.0 70.7 71.5 97. NE ARIZONA 50.5 48.2 48.8 49.4 50.0 50.5 50.9 51.3 51.7 52.1 52.6 53.3 53.8 54.5 98. SE ARIZONA 62.5 60.2 60.8 61.4 62.1 62.5 63.0 63.4 63.8 64.2 64.7 65.4 65.9 66.6 99. N NEW MEX 46.1 44.1 44.6 45.0 45.6 46.0 46.3 46.7 47.0 47.3 47.7 48.3 48.8 49.3 100. E NEW MEX 57.9 55.6 56.2 56.8 57.4 57.9 58.3 58.7 59.1 59.5 60.0 60.7 61.2 61.8 101. CENT NEW MEX 51.7 50.1 50.6 51.0 51.5 51.9 52.2 52.5 52.8 53.1 53.5 54.0 54.5 54.9 102. S NEW MEX 59.7 57.8 58.4 58.9 59.5 59.9 60.3 60.6 61.0 61.3 61.8 62.4 62.9 63.4 $$ $$