Probability of Exceed
Issued by NWS
Issued by NWS
Versions:
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729 FXUS03 KWNC 211331 POELTC TEMPERATURE PROB. OF EXCEEDENCE OUTLOOKS - DIVISIONS NWS CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD 830 AM UTC THU 21 NOV 2024 VALID: FEBRUARY - APRIL 2025 ...TEMPERATURE IN FAHRENHEIT... #. DIVISION NAME CLIM LINE1 98 95 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 5 2 LINE2 ________________________________________________________________ 1. N NEW ENGLAND 25.9 21.3 22.4 23.3 24.5 25.3 26.0 26.6 27.3 28.0 28.9 30.0 31.0 32.0 2. NE NEW ENGLAND 32.0 27.5 28.5 29.5 30.6 31.4 32.0 32.7 33.3 34.0 34.8 35.9 36.8 37.9 3. N NEW YORK 31.4 26.5 27.6 28.6 29.8 30.7 31.4 32.1 32.8 33.5 34.4 35.5 36.5 37.6 4. S NEW ENGLAND 37.5 33.5 34.4 35.3 36.3 37.1 37.7 38.3 38.9 39.5 40.3 41.3 42.2 43.1 5. E GRT LAKES 35.2 30.4 31.5 32.4 33.5 34.3 35.0 35.6 36.3 37.0 37.8 38.9 39.8 40.9 6. OHIO 40.9 36.0 37.0 37.9 39.0 39.8 40.4 41.0 41.7 42.3 43.1 44.2 45.1 46.1 7. MID-ATL COAST 43.8 40.1 41.0 41.7 42.7 43.4 44.0 44.5 45.0 45.6 46.3 47.2 48.0 48.9 8. N APPALACHNS 38.3 33.9 34.8 35.7 36.8 37.5 38.2 38.8 39.4 40.1 40.8 41.9 42.8 43.7 9. CENT APPALACHNS 43.2 39.4 40.3 41.0 41.9 42.5 43.1 43.6 44.1 44.7 45.3 46.2 47.0 47.8 10. COASTL VIRG 49.3 46.3 47.0 47.7 48.5 49.0 49.5 50.0 50.5 50.9 51.5 52.3 52.9 53.7 11. S APPALACHNS 47.4 44.2 44.9 45.6 46.4 47.0 47.5 47.9 48.4 48.9 49.5 50.2 50.9 51.6 12. COASTL CAROLNAS 55.2 52.6 53.4 54.0 54.8 55.3 55.8 56.2 56.7 57.2 57.7 58.5 59.1 59.8 13. INTERIOR CAROLNAS 52.8 50.2 50.9 51.5 52.2 52.7 53.2 53.6 54.0 54.5 55.0 55.7 56.3 57.0 14. UPPER MICH 28.6 21.3 22.8 24.0 25.6 26.7 27.7 28.6 29.5 30.4 31.6 33.1 34.4 35.8 15. N MINN 25.6 17.8 19.3 20.6 22.2 23.4 24.4 25.3 26.3 27.2 28.4 30.0 31.4 32.8 16. E NORTH DAK 26.5 17.4 19.0 20.5 22.2 23.5 24.6 25.6 26.6 27.7 29.0 30.8 32.2 33.9 17. W NORTH DAK 29.1 19.4 21.1 22.6 24.4 25.7 26.8 27.9 29.0 30.1 31.4 33.2 34.7 36.4 18. E MONT 32.1 23.2 24.8 26.2 27.9 29.1 30.1 31.1 32.1 33.1 34.3 36.0 37.4 39.0 19. N-CENT MONT 32.3 23.1 24.8 26.2 28.0 29.3 30.4 31.4 32.5 33.6 34.9 36.6 38.1 39.8 20. S-CENT MONT 34.5 27.4 28.7 29.9 31.3 32.4 33.2 34.0 34.9 35.8 36.8 38.2 39.4 40.7 21. W MONT 34.1 28.6 29.6 30.5 31.6 32.4 33.1 33.7 34.4 35.0 35.8 36.9 37.8 38.8 22. N-CENT MICH 33.3 27.0 28.3 29.4 30.7 31.7 32.6 33.3 34.1 35.0 36.0 37.3 38.4 39.7 23. S MICH 37.5 31.7 32.9 33.9 35.2 36.1 36.8 37.5 38.3 39.1 40.0 41.2 42.2 43.4 24. E-CENT ILL 41.3 35.5 36.6 37.6 38.9 39.8 40.6 41.3 42.0 42.8 43.7 44.9 46.0 47.1 25. N ILL 36.2 29.4 30.7 31.9 33.4 34.5 35.3 36.2 37.0 37.9 39.0 40.4 41.6 43.0 26. N WISC 30.0 22.2 23.7 25.1 26.8 28.0 29.0 30.0 31.0 32.0 33.2 34.9 36.3 37.8 27. SE MINN 31.1 22.9 24.5 26.0 27.7 29.0 30.1 31.1 32.1 33.2 34.5 36.2 37.7 39.3 28. E SOUTH DAK 30.5 21.4 23.1 24.6 26.4 27.7 28.8 29.9 30.9 32.0 33.4 35.2 36.7 38.3 29. CENT SOUTH DAK 33.5 24.8 26.4 27.7 29.4 30.6 31.6 32.6 33.6 34.6 35.8 37.5 38.9 40.4 30. W SOUTH DAK 34.5 26.4 27.8 29.1 30.7 31.8 32.8 33.6 34.5 35.5 36.6 38.2 39.5 40.9 31. NE WYOMING 34.3 28.2 29.3 30.3 31.5 32.4 33.1 33.8 34.5 35.3 36.2 37.4 38.3 39.5 32. NW WYOMING 32.8 27.5 28.6 29.5 30.5 31.4 32.0 32.6 33.3 34.0 34.7 35.8 36.7 37.8 33. E IOWA 36.5 29.4 30.8 32.1 33.6 34.7 35.6 36.5 37.4 38.3 39.4 41.0 42.2 43.6 34. NW IOWA 35.7 28.7 30.1 31.2 32.7 33.7 34.6 35.4 36.2 37.1 38.2 39.6 40.8 42.1 35. CENT NEBRASKA 38.2 32.4 33.5 34.5 35.6 36.5 37.2 37.9 38.6 39.3 40.2 41.4 42.4 43.5 36. S NEBRASKA 39.7 33.4 34.6 35.7 37.1 38.1 38.9 39.7 40.5 41.3 42.3 43.6 44.7 46.0 37. W NEBR/CHEYENE 37.1 32.4 33.3 34.1 35.0 35.8 36.4 36.9 37.5 38.1 38.8 39.8 40.6 41.5 38. E KENTUCKY 45.7 41.9 42.7 43.4 44.3 44.9 45.5 46.0 46.5 47.0 47.6 48.5 49.2 50.0 39. W KENTUCKY 47.2 42.3 43.3 44.1 45.2 45.9 46.6 47.2 47.8 48.4 49.2 50.2 51.0 52.0 40. SE MISSOURI 47.2 42.1 43.1 44.0 45.1 45.9 46.6 47.2 47.8 48.5 49.3 50.4 51.3 52.3 41. NE MISSOURI 43.0 36.9 38.2 39.2 40.5 41.5 42.3 43.0 43.8 44.6 45.5 46.8 47.9 49.1 42. NW MISSOURI 43.8 37.8 39.0 40.1 41.4 42.3 43.1 43.8 44.6 45.4 46.4 47.7 48.7 50.0 43. E KANSAS 46.7 41.1 42.2 43.2 44.4 45.3 46.0 46.7 47.4 48.2 49.0 50.2 51.2 52.3 44. CENT KANSAS 44.7 39.0 40.2 41.2 42.4 43.3 44.0 44.7 45.5 46.2 47.1 48.3 49.3 50.5 45. W KANSAS 44.5 39.7 40.6 41.5 42.5 43.2 43.9 44.5 45.1 45.7 46.5 47.5 48.3 49.3 46. NE COLO 37.6 33.4 34.3 35.0 35.9 36.5 37.1 37.6 38.1 38.7 39.3 40.2 41.0 41.8 47. SE COLO 39.6 35.9 36.7 37.3 38.1 38.6 39.1 39.6 40.0 40.5 41.1 41.9 42.5 43.2 48. W COLO 35.2 31.4 32.2 32.9 33.7 34.4 34.9 35.4 35.9 36.4 37.0 37.9 38.6 39.4 49. SW WYOMING 30.4 25.4 26.4 27.2 28.3 29.1 29.8 30.4 31.0 31.7 32.5 33.6 34.5 35.5 50. CENT TENN 50.2 46.5 47.3 48.0 48.8 49.5 50.0 50.4 50.9 51.5 52.1 52.9 53.6 54.4 51. W TENN 52.5 47.9 48.8 49.6 50.6 51.3 51.9 52.5 53.0 53.6 54.3 55.3 56.1 57.0 52. OZARK MOUNTNS 50.1 45.5 46.4 47.2 48.2 48.9 49.6 50.1 50.7 51.3 52.1 53.1 53.9 54.8 53. CENT OKLAHOMA 51.2 46.4 47.4 48.2 49.2 50.0 50.6 51.2 51.8 52.4 53.1 54.2 55.0 55.9 54. TX W OF ABILENE 54.5 50.7 51.5 52.2 53.1 53.7 54.3 54.8 55.3 55.8 56.5 57.3 58.0 58.9 55. N HI PLAINS TX 50.7 47.2 48.0 48.7 49.5 50.0 50.5 51.0 51.4 51.9 52.5 53.3 54.0 54.7 56. N GEORGIA 55.0 52.0 52.7 53.4 54.3 54.9 55.4 55.8 56.3 56.8 57.5 58.3 59.0 59.8 57. N ALABAMA 55.0 51.9 52.7 53.4 54.2 54.8 55.3 55.8 56.3 56.8 57.4 58.3 59.0 59.7 58. CENT MISSISSIPPI 57.3 53.9 54.7 55.5 56.3 57.0 57.5 58.0 58.6 59.1 59.8 60.6 61.4 62.2 59. S ARKANSAS 55.8 52.0 52.8 53.5 54.4 55.0 55.5 56.0 56.5 57.1 57.7 58.6 59.3 60.1 60. E TX 58.5 54.9 55.7 56.5 57.3 57.9 58.5 59.0 59.5 60.0 60.6 61.5 62.2 63.0 61. DALLAS REG TX 57.4 53.7 54.6 55.3 56.2 56.8 57.4 57.9 58.4 59.0 59.7 60.5 61.3 62.1 62. SAN ANTONIO REG TX 63.5 60.4 61.2 62.0 62.9 63.5 64.1 64.6 65.1 65.7 66.4 67.3 68.0 68.9 63. FAR S TX 67.4 64.4 65.2 66.0 67.0 67.7 68.2 68.8 69.3 69.9 70.6 71.6 72.3 73.2 64. W-CENT TX 59.6 56.7 57.4 58.1 59.0 59.5 60.1 60.5 61.0 61.5 62.2 63.0 63.7 64.4 65. W TX PANHANDLE 58.6 56.2 56.9 57.5 58.3 58.8 59.2 59.7 60.1 60.6 61.1 61.8 62.5 63.1 66. JAXONVIL FLA REG 60.9 58.3 59.1 59.8 60.6 61.2 61.8 62.2 62.7 63.3 63.9 64.7 65.4 66.2 67. CENT FLA 67.3 64.7 65.5 66.2 67.0 67.7 68.2 68.6 69.1 69.6 70.2 71.1 71.8 72.5 68. S FLA 70.5 68.1 68.8 69.5 70.3 70.9 71.4 71.8 72.3 72.8 73.4 74.2 74.9 75.6 69. FLA PANHANDLE 59.6 56.7 57.5 58.3 59.2 59.8 60.4 60.9 61.4 61.9 62.6 63.5 64.2 65.0 70. COASTL LOUISIANA 61.6 58.5 59.3 60.0 60.9 61.6 62.1 62.6 63.1 63.7 64.3 65.2 65.9 66.7 71. COASTL TX NR HOUST 62.5 59.4 60.2 60.9 61.7 62.3 62.9 63.3 63.8 64.4 65.0 65.8 66.5 67.3 72. NW WASH 39.2 34.0 34.9 35.7 36.7 37.4 38.0 38.5 39.1 39.7 40.4 41.4 42.2 43.1 73. PENDELTON REG OREG 40.1 35.7 36.5 37.2 38.1 38.8 39.3 39.8 40.3 40.8 41.5 42.3 43.1 43.9 74. CENT WASH 42.4 38.0 38.8 39.5 40.3 41.0 41.5 42.0 42.5 43.0 43.6 44.4 45.1 45.9 75. SEATTLE REG WASH 43.0 38.9 39.6 40.3 41.1 41.6 42.1 42.6 43.0 43.5 44.1 44.9 45.6 46.3 76. COASTL WASH 45.3 41.8 42.4 42.9 43.6 44.1 44.5 44.9 45.3 45.7 46.2 46.9 47.4 48.0 77. E IDAHO 35.5 30.0 31.1 32.1 33.2 34.1 34.8 35.5 36.2 36.9 37.7 38.9 39.8 40.9 78. IDAHO CENT MOUNTNS 35.2 30.8 31.6 32.3 33.2 33.9 34.5 35.0 35.5 36.0 36.7 37.6 38.3 39.2 79. SW IDAHO 42.2 38.2 39.0 39.7 40.5 41.2 41.7 42.2 42.7 43.2 43.8 44.7 45.4 46.2 80. E OREG 39.6 35.8 36.5 37.2 37.9 38.5 39.0 39.4 39.9 40.3 40.9 41.7 42.3 43.0 81. OREG COASTL VALLEY 46.1 42.7 43.3 43.9 44.6 45.1 45.5 45.9 46.3 46.7 47.2 47.9 48.4 49.1 82. OREG COAST 47.5 44.0 44.6 45.2 45.9 46.4 46.8 47.2 47.6 48.0 48.5 49.2 49.8 50.5 83. NE UTAH 36.7 31.9 32.9 33.7 34.7 35.5 36.1 36.7 37.2 37.9 38.6 39.6 40.5 41.4 84. SE UTAH 43.9 41.1 41.7 42.2 42.9 43.4 43.8 44.2 44.6 45.0 45.5 46.1 46.7 47.3 85. W UTAH 41.5 37.7 38.5 39.2 40.0 40.6 41.2 41.6 42.1 42.6 43.2 44.1 44.8 45.6 86. NE NEVADA 37.0 32.8 33.6 34.3 35.2 35.9 36.5 37.0 37.5 38.1 38.7 39.6 40.3 41.2 87. NW NEVADA 41.5 37.7 38.5 39.1 39.9 40.5 41.0 41.5 41.9 42.4 43.0 43.8 44.5 45.2 88. SACRMNTO REG CALIF 48.6 44.6 45.4 46.1 47.0 47.6 48.1 48.6 49.1 49.6 50.3 51.1 51.8 52.6 89. N CALIF COAST 50.1 46.5 47.2 47.8 48.6 49.2 49.7 50.1 50.5 51.0 51.6 52.3 53.0 53.7 90. CENT NEVADA 43.3 40.2 40.8 41.4 42.1 42.6 43.0 43.4 43.8 44.2 44.7 45.3 45.9 46.5 91. FRESNO REG CALIF 53.0 49.2 50.0 50.7 51.5 52.1 52.6 53.0 53.5 54.0 54.6 55.4 56.1 56.9 92. CENT CALIF COAST 54.2 50.7 51.4 52.0 52.8 53.3 53.8 54.2 54.6 55.1 55.6 56.4 57.0 57.7 93. S CALIF COAST 56.8 53.0 53.8 54.4 55.3 55.9 56.4 56.8 57.3 57.8 58.5 59.3 60.0 60.7 94. SE CALIF 57.7 53.9 54.7 55.4 56.2 56.9 57.4 57.9 58.4 58.9 59.6 60.4 61.1 61.9 95. LAS VEGAS NEV REG 57.3 54.3 54.9 55.5 56.2 56.7 57.1 57.5 57.9 58.4 58.9 59.6 60.1 60.8 96. SW ARIZONA 60.3 57.6 58.2 58.8 59.5 60.0 60.4 60.8 61.2 61.6 62.1 62.8 63.3 63.9 97. NE ARIZONA 43.6 41.2 41.8 42.3 42.9 43.4 43.8 44.2 44.5 44.9 45.4 46.0 46.6 47.2 98. SE ARIZONA 56.1 53.7 54.3 54.8 55.5 56.0 56.4 56.8 57.2 57.6 58.1 58.8 59.4 60.0 99. N NEW MEX 38.7 36.3 36.9 37.3 37.9 38.3 38.7 39.0 39.3 39.7 40.1 40.7 41.2 41.7 100. E NEW MEX 50.2 47.8 48.4 48.9 49.6 50.0 50.4 50.8 51.1 51.5 52.0 52.6 53.1 53.7 101. CENT NEW MEX 44.8 43.0 43.5 43.9 44.4 44.8 45.1 45.4 45.7 46.0 46.4 46.9 47.4 47.8 102. S NEW MEX 52.6 50.7 51.2 51.7 52.3 52.7 53.1 53.4 53.8 54.1 54.5 55.1 55.6 56.2 $$ $$