Probability of Exceed
Issued by NWS
Issued by NWS
Versions:
1
755 FXUS02 KWNC 211331 POELTB TEMPERATURE PROB. OF EXCEEDENCE OUTLOOKS - DIVISIONS NWS CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD 830 AM UTC THU 21 NOV 2024 VALID: JANUARY - MARCH 2025 ...TEMPERATURE IN FAHRENHEIT... #. DIVISION NAME CLIM LINE1 98 95 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 5 2 LINE2 ________________________________________________________________ 1. N NEW ENGLAND 17.5 12.0 13.3 14.4 15.8 16.7 17.6 18.4 19.2 20.0 21.0 22.4 23.5 24.8 2. NE NEW ENGLAND 24.3 19.2 20.4 21.5 22.8 23.7 24.5 25.2 26.0 26.7 27.7 29.0 30.0 31.2 3. N NEW YORK 23.5 17.4 18.8 19.9 21.4 22.5 23.4 24.2 25.0 25.9 27.0 28.5 29.6 31.0 4. S NEW ENGLAND 30.5 25.3 26.5 27.5 28.9 29.8 30.6 31.4 32.1 32.9 33.9 35.2 36.2 37.5 5. E GRT LAKES 28.1 21.6 23.0 24.2 25.6 26.7 27.6 28.4 29.3 30.2 31.2 32.7 33.9 35.3 6. OHIO 33.0 27.0 28.2 29.3 30.7 31.6 32.5 33.2 34.0 34.8 35.8 37.1 38.2 39.5 7. MID-ATL COAST 36.9 32.1 33.2 34.1 35.3 36.1 36.8 37.5 38.2 38.9 39.7 40.9 41.8 42.9 8. N APPALACHNS 31.0 25.0 26.2 27.4 28.7 29.8 30.6 31.4 32.2 33.0 34.0 35.4 36.5 37.8 9. CENT APPALACHNS 36.2 31.5 32.5 33.4 34.5 35.2 35.9 36.5 37.2 37.8 38.6 39.7 40.6 41.6 10. COASTL VIRG 42.9 39.0 39.9 40.7 41.6 42.3 42.9 43.4 44.0 44.6 45.2 46.2 47.0 47.8 11. S APPALACHNS 40.9 37.1 38.0 38.7 39.6 40.3 40.9 41.4 42.0 42.5 43.2 44.1 44.9 45.7 12. COASTL CAROLNAS 49.4 46.4 47.2 48.0 48.8 49.5 50.1 50.6 51.1 51.7 52.3 53.2 54.0 54.8 13. INTERIOR CAROLNAS 46.5 43.0 43.9 44.7 45.6 46.2 46.8 47.3 47.8 48.4 49.1 50.0 50.7 51.6 14. UPPER MICH 20.6 12.6 14.2 15.6 17.3 18.6 19.6 20.6 21.6 22.6 23.9 25.6 27.0 28.5 15. N MINN 14.7 5.5 7.3 8.8 10.7 12.1 13.2 14.3 15.4 16.6 18.0 19.8 21.4 23.1 16. E NORTH DAK 15.4 5.3 7.1 8.7 10.6 12.0 13.2 14.3 15.4 16.6 18.0 19.9 21.5 23.2 17. W NORTH DAK 19.4 9.1 10.9 12.4 14.3 15.6 16.8 17.8 18.9 20.1 21.5 23.3 24.9 26.6 18. E MONT 23.0 13.6 15.2 16.6 18.3 19.6 20.7 21.6 22.7 23.7 25.0 26.8 28.2 29.8 19. N-CENT MONT 24.6 15.4 17.0 18.4 20.1 21.3 22.4 23.3 24.3 25.4 26.6 28.3 29.7 31.2 20. S-CENT MONT 28.5 21.4 22.7 23.8 25.2 26.2 27.0 27.8 28.6 29.4 30.4 31.8 32.9 34.2 21. W MONT 28.1 22.8 23.7 24.6 25.6 26.3 26.9 27.5 28.1 28.7 29.4 30.5 31.3 32.2 22. N-CENT MICH 26.0 18.4 19.9 21.3 22.9 24.1 25.1 26.0 27.0 28.0 29.1 30.8 32.1 33.6 23. S MICH 29.6 22.1 23.6 25.0 26.5 27.7 28.7 29.6 30.6 31.5 32.7 34.3 35.6 37.1 24. E-CENT ILL 32.6 25.4 26.9 28.1 29.7 30.8 31.8 32.6 33.5 34.5 35.6 37.2 38.4 39.9 25. N ILL 27.1 19.2 20.8 22.2 23.9 25.1 26.2 27.1 28.1 29.2 30.4 32.1 33.5 35.1 26. N WISC 20.3 12.0 13.7 15.1 16.9 18.2 19.3 20.3 21.4 22.5 23.8 25.6 27.1 28.7 27. SE MINN 20.6 12.3 13.9 15.3 17.1 18.3 19.4 20.4 21.4 22.4 23.7 25.4 26.8 28.4 28. E SOUTH DAK 20.1 10.8 12.5 14.0 15.8 17.1 18.3 19.3 20.4 21.5 22.9 24.7 26.2 27.9 29. CENT SOUTH DAK 24.5 15.6 17.2 18.6 20.3 21.6 22.7 23.6 24.7 25.7 27.0 28.7 30.1 31.7 30. W SOUTH DAK 26.9 18.2 19.8 21.1 22.8 24.0 25.0 26.0 27.0 28.0 29.2 30.9 32.2 33.8 31. NE WYOMING 27.9 21.4 22.6 23.7 25.0 26.0 26.8 27.5 28.3 29.1 30.0 31.4 32.4 33.7 32. NW WYOMING 25.7 20.6 21.6 22.4 23.5 24.3 24.9 25.5 26.1 26.8 27.6 28.6 29.5 30.5 33. E IOWA 26.7 18.6 20.2 21.6 23.4 24.6 25.7 26.7 27.7 28.8 30.0 31.8 33.2 34.8 34. NW IOWA 26.1 18.4 19.8 21.1 22.7 23.9 24.8 25.7 26.6 27.6 28.8 30.3 31.6 33.1 35. CENT NEBRASKA 30.7 24.3 25.5 26.6 27.9 28.8 29.6 30.4 31.1 31.9 32.9 34.2 35.2 36.4 36. S NEBRASKA 31.0 23.9 25.3 26.6 28.1 29.2 30.1 31.0 31.9 32.8 33.9 35.4 36.7 38.1 37. W NEBR/CHEYENE 31.2 26.4 27.3 28.1 29.1 29.8 30.5 31.0 31.6 32.2 33.0 34.0 34.8 35.7 38. E KENTUCKY 38.4 33.2 34.3 35.2 36.4 37.2 38.0 38.6 39.3 40.0 40.9 42.0 43.0 44.1 39. W KENTUCKY 39.4 34.0 35.1 36.1 37.3 38.1 38.8 39.5 40.2 41.0 41.8 43.0 44.0 45.1 40. SE MISSOURI 39.2 33.3 34.5 35.5 36.8 37.8 38.5 39.2 40.0 40.8 41.7 43.0 44.0 45.2 41. NE MISSOURI 34.2 27.2 28.6 29.8 31.3 32.4 33.3 34.2 35.1 36.0 37.1 38.6 39.8 41.2 42. NW MISSOURI 35.2 28.3 29.7 30.9 32.4 33.5 34.4 35.2 36.1 37.0 38.1 39.6 40.8 42.2 43. E KANSAS 38.6 32.4 33.6 34.7 36.0 37.0 37.8 38.6 39.4 40.2 41.2 42.5 43.6 44.8 44. CENT KANSAS 36.9 30.7 31.9 33.0 34.3 35.3 36.1 36.9 37.6 38.5 39.4 40.7 41.8 43.0 45. W KANSAS 37.5 32.2 33.2 34.2 35.3 36.2 36.9 37.5 38.2 38.9 39.8 40.9 41.8 42.9 46. NE COLO 32.1 27.7 28.5 29.3 30.3 31.0 31.6 32.1 32.7 33.3 34.0 34.9 35.7 36.6 47. SE COLO 33.8 29.6 30.4 31.2 32.1 32.7 33.3 33.8 34.3 34.8 35.5 36.4 37.1 38.0 48. W COLO 28.2 23.5 24.5 25.3 26.3 27.1 27.7 28.3 28.9 29.6 30.3 31.4 32.2 33.2 49. SW WYOMING 23.7 18.3 19.4 20.3 21.5 22.3 23.0 23.7 24.4 25.0 25.9 27.0 28.0 29.0 50. CENT TENN 43.3 38.4 39.4 40.4 41.5 42.3 43.0 43.7 44.3 45.0 45.9 47.0 47.9 49.0 51. W TENN 45.3 39.7 40.8 41.8 43.0 43.9 44.6 45.3 46.0 46.7 47.6 48.8 49.8 50.9 52. OZARK MOUNTNS 42.9 37.4 38.5 39.5 40.6 41.5 42.2 42.9 43.5 44.3 45.1 46.3 47.2 48.3 53. CENT OKLAHOMA 44.0 38.8 39.8 40.7 41.8 42.7 43.3 44.0 44.6 45.3 46.1 47.2 48.1 49.2 54. TX W OF ABILENE 47.7 43.7 44.5 45.3 46.2 46.8 47.4 47.9 48.4 49.0 49.6 50.5 51.3 52.1 55. N HI PLAINS TX 44.2 40.8 41.5 42.1 42.9 43.5 44.0 44.4 44.9 45.4 46.0 46.7 47.4 48.1 56. N GEORGIA 49.1 45.7 46.5 47.3 48.3 49.0 49.5 50.1 50.6 51.2 51.9 52.9 53.7 54.5 57. N ALABAMA 49.0 45.1 46.0 46.9 47.9 48.7 49.3 49.9 50.5 51.1 51.9 52.9 53.8 54.7 58. CENT MISSISSIPPI 51.3 46.9 47.9 48.8 50.0 50.8 51.5 52.1 52.7 53.4 54.2 55.3 56.3 57.3 59. S ARKANSAS 49.2 44.6 45.6 46.5 47.5 48.3 48.9 49.5 50.2 50.8 51.6 52.6 53.5 54.5 60. E TX 52.4 47.8 48.8 49.7 50.7 51.5 52.1 52.8 53.4 54.0 54.8 55.9 56.7 57.7 61. DALLAS REG TX 51.0 46.7 47.6 48.4 49.4 50.2 50.8 51.3 51.9 52.5 53.3 54.3 55.1 56.0 62. SAN ANTONIO REG TX 57.9 54.2 55.2 56.0 57.1 57.9 58.5 59.1 59.7 60.4 61.1 62.2 63.0 64.0 63. FAR S TX 61.6 58.4 59.3 60.1 61.2 61.9 62.5 63.1 63.7 64.3 65.1 66.1 66.9 67.8 64. W-CENT TX 53.2 50.1 50.9 51.6 52.5 53.1 53.7 54.2 54.7 55.2 55.9 56.8 57.5 58.3 65. W TX PANHANDLE 52.0 49.7 50.4 51.0 51.8 52.3 52.7 53.2 53.6 54.0 54.6 55.3 55.9 56.6 66. JAXONVIL FLA REG 55.8 53.1 53.9 54.6 55.5 56.2 56.7 57.2 57.7 58.3 58.9 59.8 60.5 61.3 67. CENT FLA 63.5 61.0 61.8 62.4 63.2 63.8 64.3 64.8 65.2 65.7 66.3 67.1 67.8 68.6 68. S FLA 67.5 65.0 65.7 66.4 67.2 67.8 68.2 68.7 69.2 69.7 70.2 71.0 71.7 72.4 69. FLA PANHANDLE 54.3 51.0 51.9 52.8 53.8 54.5 55.2 55.7 56.3 57.0 57.7 58.8 59.6 60.5 70. COASTL LOUISIANA 56.1 52.4 53.4 54.2 55.2 56.0 56.6 57.2 57.8 58.5 59.2 60.2 61.1 62.0 71. COASTL TX NR HOUST 57.0 53.0 54.0 54.8 55.9 56.7 57.3 57.9 58.5 59.2 60.0 61.0 61.9 62.9 72. NW WASH 32.8 27.1 28.0 28.9 30.0 30.8 31.4 32.0 32.7 33.3 34.1 35.1 36.0 37.0 73. PENDELTON REG OREG 34.8 30.2 31.1 31.8 32.7 33.4 34.0 34.5 35.0 35.5 36.2 37.1 37.9 38.7 74. CENT WASH 36.7 31.6 32.5 33.3 34.3 35.0 35.6 36.2 36.7 37.3 38.1 39.0 39.8 40.8 75. SEATTLE REG WASH 39.8 35.8 36.5 37.1 37.9 38.4 38.9 39.3 39.8 40.3 40.8 41.6 42.2 42.9 76. COASTL WASH 42.9 39.2 39.8 40.4 41.1 41.6 42.0 42.4 42.8 43.2 43.8 44.5 45.0 45.7 77. E IDAHO 28.5 22.6 23.8 24.8 26.1 27.0 27.8 28.5 29.2 30.0 30.9 32.2 33.2 34.4 78. IDAHO CENT MOUNTNS 28.9 24.6 25.4 26.1 26.9 27.5 28.1 28.5 29.0 29.5 30.2 31.0 31.7 32.5 79. SW IDAHO 35.9 31.3 32.2 33.0 34.0 34.7 35.2 35.8 36.3 36.9 37.6 38.6 39.4 40.3 80. E OREG 35.3 30.9 31.7 32.5 33.4 34.1 34.7 35.2 35.8 36.4 37.0 38.0 38.8 39.6 81. OREG COASTL VALLEY 42.8 39.2 39.9 40.5 41.2 41.8 42.2 42.6 43.1 43.5 44.1 44.8 45.4 46.1 82. OREG COAST 45.9 42.3 42.9 43.5 44.3 44.8 45.2 45.6 46.1 46.5 47.0 47.8 48.4 49.0 83. NE UTAH 30.0 24.7 25.8 26.7 27.9 28.7 29.4 30.0 30.7 31.4 32.3 33.4 34.4 35.4 84. SE UTAH 36.7 32.3 33.2 34.1 35.1 35.8 36.4 37.0 37.5 38.2 38.9 39.9 40.7 41.6 85. W UTAH 34.5 29.8 30.8 31.6 32.7 33.5 34.1 34.7 35.3 35.9 36.7 37.8 38.6 39.6 86. NE NEVADA 31.4 26.2 27.2 28.1 29.3 30.1 30.8 31.4 32.0 32.7 33.5 34.7 35.6 36.6 87. NW NEVADA 36.5 32.5 33.3 34.0 34.9 35.5 36.0 36.5 37.1 37.6 38.2 39.1 39.8 40.7 88. SACRMNTO REG CALIF 45.1 41.5 42.2 42.9 43.6 44.2 44.7 45.1 45.5 46.0 46.6 47.3 47.9 48.7 89. N CALIF COAST 47.3 43.8 44.5 45.1 45.8 46.4 46.8 47.3 47.7 48.2 48.7 49.4 50.0 50.7 90. CENT NEVADA 37.8 34.0 34.8 35.4 36.2 36.8 37.3 37.8 38.2 38.7 39.3 40.1 40.8 41.5 91. FRESNO REG CALIF 49.0 45.7 46.4 47.0 47.7 48.2 48.7 49.0 49.5 49.9 50.4 51.1 51.7 52.4 92. CENT CALIF COAST 52.0 48.8 49.4 50.0 50.7 51.2 51.7 52.0 52.5 52.9 53.4 54.1 54.7 55.3 93. S CALIF COAST 54.9 51.3 52.1 52.7 53.5 54.0 54.5 54.9 55.3 55.8 56.4 57.1 57.8 58.5 94. SE CALIF 52.8 49.5 50.2 50.8 51.5 52.0 52.5 52.9 53.3 53.8 54.3 55.0 55.6 56.3 95. LAS VEGAS NEV REG 51.6 48.8 49.4 49.9 50.5 51.0 51.3 51.7 52.1 52.5 52.9 53.5 54.1 54.7 96. SW ARIZONA 55.2 52.9 53.4 53.9 54.5 55.0 55.3 55.7 56.0 56.4 56.8 57.4 57.9 58.5 97. NE ARIZONA 38.2 35.3 36.0 36.6 37.4 37.9 38.4 38.8 39.3 39.8 40.3 41.1 41.7 42.4 98. SE ARIZONA 51.2 49.0 49.6 50.2 50.8 51.3 51.7 52.0 52.4 52.8 53.3 54.0 54.5 55.1 99. N NEW MEX 32.4 28.9 29.7 30.4 31.3 32.0 32.5 33.0 33.5 34.0 34.7 35.6 36.3 37.1 100. E NEW MEX 44.1 41.6 42.2 42.8 43.5 43.9 44.3 44.7 45.1 45.5 46.0 46.7 47.2 47.9 101. CENT NEW MEX 39.1 37.0 37.5 38.1 38.7 39.2 39.6 39.9 40.3 40.7 41.2 41.8 42.3 42.9 102. S NEW MEX 46.7 44.9 45.5 45.9 46.5 46.9 47.3 47.6 48.0 48.3 48.7 49.3 49.8 50.3 $$ $$