Probability of Exceed
Issued by NWS
Issued by NWS
Versions:
1
691 FXUS01 KWNC 211331 POELTA TEMPERATURE PROB. OF EXCEEDENCE OUTLOOKS - DIVISIONS NWS CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD 830 AM UTC THU 21 NOV 2024 VALID: DECEMBER - FEBRUARY 2024 ...TEMPERATURE IN FAHRENHEIT... #. DIVISION NAME CLIM LINE1 98 95 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 5 2 LINE2 ________________________________________________________________ 1. N NEW ENGLAND 16.1 10.9 12.1 13.1 14.4 15.3 16.1 16.8 17.6 18.4 19.3 20.6 21.6 22.8 2. NE NEW ENGLAND 22.9 18.1 19.2 20.2 21.4 22.3 23.0 23.6 24.4 25.1 25.9 27.1 28.1 29.2 3. N NEW YORK 22.3 16.3 17.7 18.8 20.2 21.3 22.2 23.0 23.8 24.7 25.7 27.1 28.3 29.6 4. S NEW ENGLAND 29.2 23.9 25.1 26.2 27.5 28.5 29.3 30.0 30.8 31.6 32.6 33.9 35.0 36.2 5. E GRT LAKES 26.9 20.8 22.1 23.3 24.7 25.8 26.6 27.4 28.3 29.1 30.2 31.6 32.8 34.1 6. OHIO 30.7 24.8 26.1 27.2 28.5 29.5 30.4 31.1 31.9 32.8 33.8 35.1 36.2 37.5 7. MID-ATL COAST 35.2 30.5 31.6 32.6 33.8 34.7 35.4 36.1 36.8 37.5 38.4 39.6 40.6 41.7 8. N APPALACHNS 29.3 23.7 25.0 26.0 27.4 28.4 29.2 29.9 30.7 31.5 32.5 33.8 34.9 36.2 9. CENT APPALACHNS 34.0 29.4 30.5 31.4 32.5 33.3 34.0 34.7 35.4 36.0 36.9 38.0 38.9 40.0 10. COASTL VIRG 40.9 36.8 37.8 38.7 39.8 40.6 41.2 41.8 42.5 43.2 43.9 45.0 45.9 46.9 11. S APPALACHNS 38.4 34.5 35.4 36.2 37.3 38.0 38.6 39.2 39.8 40.4 41.2 42.2 43.0 44.0 12. COASTL CAROLNAS 47.4 43.9 44.9 45.8 46.8 47.5 48.2 48.8 49.4 50.0 50.8 51.8 52.7 53.6 13. INTERIOR CAROLNAS 43.9 40.4 41.3 42.2 43.2 43.9 44.5 45.0 45.6 46.2 46.9 47.9 48.7 49.7 14. UPPER MICH 18.7 11.0 12.5 13.9 15.5 16.7 17.8 18.7 19.7 20.7 21.9 23.5 24.9 26.4 15. N MINN 10.8 1.2 3.1 4.7 6.7 8.2 9.4 10.6 11.8 13.0 14.4 16.5 18.1 20.0 16. E NORTH DAK 11.4 0.8 2.7 4.3 6.4 7.9 9.2 10.4 11.6 12.8 14.3 16.4 18.1 20.0 17. W NORTH DAK 15.3 4.6 6.5 8.1 10.1 11.6 12.8 14.0 15.2 16.4 17.9 19.9 21.5 23.4 18. E MONT 18.6 8.6 10.4 11.9 13.8 15.2 16.4 17.5 18.6 19.8 21.1 23.0 24.6 26.4 19. N-CENT MONT 20.9 11.1 12.8 14.3 16.2 17.5 18.7 19.7 20.8 22.0 23.3 25.1 26.7 28.4 20. S-CENT MONT 25.0 17.5 18.9 20.1 21.6 22.7 23.6 24.4 25.3 26.2 27.2 28.7 29.9 31.3 21. W MONT 24.1 18.2 19.3 20.2 21.4 22.2 22.9 23.5 24.2 24.9 25.8 26.9 27.8 28.9 22. N-CENT MICH 24.5 17.5 18.9 20.1 21.6 22.7 23.7 24.5 25.4 26.4 27.5 29.0 30.2 31.6 23. S MICH 27.4 20.4 21.8 23.1 24.6 25.7 26.6 27.5 28.4 29.3 30.4 31.9 33.1 34.5 24. E-CENT ILL 29.5 22.5 23.9 25.2 26.6 27.7 28.6 29.5 30.4 31.3 32.4 33.9 35.1 36.5 25. N ILL 23.9 15.9 17.5 18.9 20.6 21.9 22.9 23.9 24.9 26.0 27.2 28.9 30.3 31.9 26. N WISC 17.1 8.5 10.2 11.8 13.6 14.9 16.0 17.1 18.2 19.3 20.6 22.5 24.0 25.7 27. SE MINN 16.7 8.2 9.8 11.3 13.1 14.4 15.5 16.6 17.6 18.7 20.0 21.9 23.3 25.0 28. E SOUTH DAK 16.1 6.8 8.5 10.1 12.0 13.3 14.5 15.6 16.7 17.9 19.2 21.1 22.7 24.5 29. CENT SOUTH DAK 20.4 11.5 13.2 14.7 16.6 17.9 19.0 20.1 21.1 22.3 23.6 25.4 26.9 28.6 30. W SOUTH DAK 23.0 14.6 16.2 17.6 19.4 20.7 21.7 22.7 23.8 24.8 26.1 27.8 29.3 30.9 31. NE WYOMING 23.9 17.4 18.6 19.8 21.1 22.1 23.0 23.7 24.5 25.4 26.4 27.7 28.8 30.1 32. NW WYOMING 21.1 15.9 16.9 17.8 18.9 19.7 20.4 21.0 21.6 22.3 23.1 24.2 25.1 26.1 33. E IOWA 22.9 14.4 16.1 17.6 19.4 20.8 21.9 22.9 24.0 25.1 26.4 28.2 29.7 31.4 34. NW IOWA 21.9 13.7 15.3 16.7 18.4 19.7 20.8 21.7 22.8 23.8 25.1 26.8 28.2 29.8 35. CENT NEBRASKA 26.6 19.6 21.0 22.3 23.8 24.9 25.8 26.6 27.5 28.5 29.6 31.1 32.3 33.7 36. S NEBRASKA 26.8 19.5 21.0 22.3 23.8 25.0 25.9 26.8 27.8 28.7 29.9 31.4 32.7 34.2 37. W NEBR/CHEYENE 27.4 21.9 23.0 24.0 25.2 26.0 26.8 27.4 28.1 28.9 29.7 30.9 31.9 33.0 38. E KENTUCKY 35.8 30.6 31.7 32.7 34.0 34.8 35.6 36.3 37.0 37.7 38.6 39.8 40.8 42.0 39. W KENTUCKY 36.4 31.0 32.1 33.1 34.3 35.2 35.9 36.6 37.3 38.1 39.0 40.2 41.2 42.3 40. SE MISSOURI 35.9 30.1 31.3 32.3 33.5 34.4 35.2 35.9 36.6 37.4 38.3 39.5 40.5 41.7 41. NE MISSOURI 30.7 23.8 25.2 26.4 27.9 29.0 29.9 30.7 31.6 32.5 33.6 35.1 36.3 37.7 42. NW MISSOURI 31.5 24.8 26.1 27.3 28.8 29.8 30.7 31.5 32.4 33.3 34.3 35.8 37.0 38.3 43. E KANSAS 34.7 28.6 29.8 30.9 32.2 33.1 33.9 34.7 35.5 36.2 37.2 38.5 39.6 40.8 44. CENT KANSAS 32.7 26.7 27.9 29.0 30.3 31.2 32.0 32.7 33.5 34.3 35.2 36.5 37.6 38.8 45. W KANSAS 33.5 28.0 29.1 30.1 31.3 32.1 32.9 33.5 34.2 35.0 35.8 37.0 38.0 39.1 46. NE COLO 28.7 24.0 25.0 25.8 26.8 27.5 28.1 28.7 29.3 29.9 30.6 31.6 32.5 33.4 47. SE COLO 30.1 26.2 27.0 27.7 28.6 29.2 29.7 30.2 30.7 31.2 31.9 32.7 33.4 34.2 48. W COLO 23.8 19.3 20.2 21.1 22.1 22.9 23.5 24.1 24.7 25.4 26.1 27.2 28.0 29.0 49. SW WYOMING 19.5 14.1 15.2 16.1 17.3 18.1 18.9 19.5 20.2 20.9 21.8 22.9 23.9 25.0 50. CENT TENN 40.5 35.7 36.7 37.7 38.8 39.6 40.3 41.0 41.6 42.3 43.2 44.3 45.2 46.3 51. W TENN 42.1 37.6 38.5 39.4 40.4 41.1 41.8 42.3 42.9 43.6 44.3 45.3 46.2 47.1 52. OZARK MOUNTNS 39.5 34.3 35.3 36.2 37.3 38.2 38.8 39.5 40.1 40.8 41.6 42.7 43.6 44.7 53. CENT OKLAHOMA 40.1 35.1 36.1 37.0 38.1 38.8 39.5 40.1 40.7 41.4 42.2 43.2 44.1 45.1 54. TX W OF ABILENE 43.8 40.0 40.8 41.5 42.4 43.0 43.6 44.1 44.6 45.1 45.8 46.6 47.3 48.2 55. N HI PLAINS TX 40.3 36.9 37.7 38.4 39.2 39.8 40.3 40.8 41.2 41.8 42.3 43.2 43.8 44.6 56. N GEORGIA 46.4 42.6 43.6 44.5 45.5 46.3 47.0 47.6 48.2 48.9 49.7 50.8 51.7 52.7 57. N ALABAMA 46.1 42.1 43.1 44.0 45.0 45.8 46.5 47.1 47.8 48.4 49.2 50.3 51.2 52.2 58. CENT MISSISSIPPI 48.3 44.1 45.1 46.0 47.1 47.9 48.5 49.1 49.8 50.4 51.2 52.3 53.2 54.2 59. S ARKANSAS 46.1 41.7 42.6 43.5 44.4 45.2 45.8 46.3 46.9 47.5 48.3 49.2 50.1 51.0 60. E TX 49.1 45.0 45.9 46.7 47.7 48.4 49.0 49.5 50.1 50.7 51.4 52.4 53.2 54.1 61. DALLAS REG TX 47.5 43.7 44.5 45.3 46.2 46.9 47.4 48.0 48.5 49.1 49.8 50.7 51.4 52.3 62. SAN ANTONIO REG TX 54.9 51.5 52.4 53.2 54.1 54.8 55.3 55.9 56.4 57.0 57.7 58.6 59.4 60.2 63. FAR S TX 58.2 55.2 56.0 56.8 57.7 58.4 59.0 59.5 60.1 60.6 61.3 62.2 63.0 63.9 64. W-CENT TX 49.5 46.5 47.3 48.0 48.8 49.4 50.0 50.4 50.9 51.4 52.0 52.8 53.5 54.3 65. W TX PANHANDLE 48.1 46.1 46.7 47.2 47.9 48.3 48.7 49.1 49.5 49.8 50.3 50.9 51.4 52.0 66. JAXONVIL FLA REG 53.6 50.3 51.3 52.1 53.2 53.9 54.6 55.2 55.8 56.4 57.2 58.2 59.0 60.0 67. CENT FLA 62.3 59.5 60.4 61.1 62.0 62.7 63.2 63.8 64.3 64.9 65.5 66.4 67.2 68.0 68. S FLA 66.8 64.0 64.8 65.5 66.4 67.0 67.6 68.1 68.6 69.1 69.7 70.6 71.3 72.1 69. FLA PANHANDLE 51.8 48.5 49.4 50.3 51.3 52.1 52.7 53.3 53.9 54.5 55.3 56.3 57.1 58.1 70. COASTL LOUISIANA 53.5 49.8 50.8 51.6 52.6 53.3 54.0 54.5 55.1 55.8 56.5 57.5 58.3 59.3 71. COASTL TX NR HOUST 54.2 50.6 51.5 52.3 53.2 53.9 54.5 55.0 55.6 56.2 56.9 57.9 58.6 59.5 72. NW WASH 28.7 22.6 23.6 24.6 25.7 26.5 27.2 27.9 28.6 29.3 30.1 31.2 32.2 33.2 73. PENDELTON REG OREG 31.1 26.1 27.0 27.8 28.8 29.5 30.2 30.7 31.3 31.9 32.7 33.7 34.5 35.4 74. CENT WASH 32.8 27.0 28.1 29.0 30.1 30.9 31.6 32.2 32.9 33.5 34.3 35.5 36.3 37.4 75. SEATTLE REG WASH 37.7 33.7 34.4 35.0 35.8 36.3 36.8 37.2 37.7 38.1 38.7 39.4 40.0 40.7 76. COASTL WASH 41.3 37.4 38.1 38.7 39.4 40.0 40.4 40.8 41.2 41.7 42.2 43.0 43.6 44.2 77. E IDAHO 24.2 18.5 19.6 20.6 21.8 22.7 23.5 24.2 24.9 25.7 26.5 27.8 28.8 29.9 78. IDAHO CENT MOUNTNS 24.7 20.0 20.9 21.7 22.7 23.4 23.9 24.5 25.0 25.6 26.3 27.3 28.0 28.9 79. SW IDAHO 31.4 26.3 27.3 28.1 29.2 30.0 30.7 31.3 32.0 32.6 33.4 34.5 35.4 36.4 80. E OREG 32.1 27.4 28.3 29.1 30.1 30.8 31.4 32.0 32.5 33.2 33.9 34.9 35.7 36.6 81. OREG COASTL VALLEY 40.5 37.0 37.6 38.2 38.9 39.5 39.9 40.3 40.7 41.2 41.7 42.4 43.0 43.7 82. OREG COAST 44.7 41.3 41.9 42.4 43.1 43.6 44.0 44.4 44.8 45.2 45.7 46.4 47.0 47.6 83. NE UTAH 25.8 20.9 21.9 22.8 23.9 24.7 25.4 26.0 26.6 27.3 28.1 29.2 30.1 31.1 84. SE UTAH 31.7 27.4 28.4 29.3 30.4 31.1 31.8 32.4 33.0 33.7 34.5 35.5 36.4 37.4 85. W UTAH 29.5 24.0 25.2 26.2 27.5 28.4 29.1 29.8 30.6 31.4 32.3 33.5 34.5 35.7 86. NE NEVADA 27.4 22.3 23.3 24.3 25.4 26.2 26.9 27.6 28.2 28.9 29.8 30.9 31.8 32.9 87. NW NEVADA 32.9 28.1 29.1 29.9 30.9 31.7 32.3 32.9 33.5 34.1 34.8 35.8 36.7 37.6 88. SACRMNTO REG CALIF 42.7 39.2 39.9 40.5 41.3 41.8 42.3 42.7 43.2 43.6 44.2 44.9 45.5 46.2 89. N CALIF COAST 45.2 41.8 42.4 43.0 43.8 44.3 44.7 45.2 45.6 46.0 46.6 47.3 47.9 48.6 90. CENT NEVADA 33.8 29.8 30.6 31.3 32.2 32.9 33.5 34.0 34.5 35.1 35.7 36.6 37.4 38.2 91. FRESNO REG CALIF 46.3 43.1 43.8 44.3 45.0 45.5 45.9 46.3 46.7 47.2 47.7 48.3 48.9 49.5 92. CENT CALIF COAST 50.5 47.3 48.0 48.5 49.2 49.7 50.1 50.5 50.9 51.3 51.8 52.4 53.0 53.6 93. S CALIF COAST 53.6 50.9 51.5 52.0 52.6 53.0 53.4 53.8 54.2 54.5 55.0 55.6 56.2 56.7 94. SE CALIF 49.3 46.3 46.9 47.5 48.3 48.8 49.2 49.6 50.1 50.5 51.0 51.8 52.3 53.0 95. LAS VEGAS NEV REG 47.5 45.0 45.5 46.1 46.7 47.2 47.6 47.9 48.3 48.7 49.2 49.8 50.3 50.9 96. SW ARIZONA 51.8 49.8 50.3 50.8 51.4 51.8 52.2 52.5 52.9 53.2 53.6 54.2 54.7 55.2 97. NE ARIZONA 34.6 32.0 32.8 33.4 34.2 34.8 35.3 35.7 36.2 36.7 37.3 38.0 38.7 39.5 98. SE ARIZONA 48.2 46.2 46.8 47.3 47.9 48.3 48.7 49.1 49.4 49.8 50.3 50.9 51.4 52.0 99. N NEW MEX 28.4 24.9 25.7 26.5 27.5 28.1 28.7 29.3 29.8 30.4 31.1 32.0 32.8 33.7 100. E NEW MEX 40.4 38.1 38.7 39.2 39.9 40.4 40.8 41.2 41.5 41.9 42.4 43.1 43.6 44.2 101. CENT NEW MEX 35.6 33.5 34.1 34.7 35.3 35.8 36.2 36.6 37.0 37.5 38.0 38.6 39.2 39.8 102. S NEW MEX 43.0 41.2 41.7 42.2 42.8 43.3 43.6 44.0 44.3 44.7 45.2 45.8 46.3 46.8 $$ $$