Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS St. Louis, MO
Issued by NWS St. Louis, MO
146
FNUS53 KLSX 160904
FWFLSX
Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Eastern/Central MO and Southwest IL
National Weather Service Saint Louis MO
404 AM CDT Thu Oct 16 2025
Temperatures will peak well above normal today and Friday as
winds become increasingly southerly ahead of an approaching cold
front on Saturday. Today and Friday mixing heights will mix above
1700 feet between 12-1 pm, reaching a maximum height between
3000-5000 ft by 3- 4 pm. This layer will be unstable, allowing
smoke to easily disperse within the mixed layer. Vent rates both
days will be best across central and northeast Missouri where
winds within the mixed layer will be slightly higher than areas
to the east.
RH values both days will reach their minimum in the mid 30s to
40s, with only a 20-30% chance that RH values will fall below 35%
on Friday. Winds will be less than 15 mph both days which will
keep the area free of critical fire danger.
Widespread showers and thunderstorms are expected to move through
the region on Saturday ahead of a cold front that will bring
elevated winds and cooler temperatures to the region. There is a
65% chance that 0.5" rain will fall across the area, with 20-30%
chance for at least 1.00". Where thunderstorms persist rainfall
amounts will be higher. This rain is expected to help ongoing
drought conditions, but will not get rid of the drought entirely.
MOZ072-073-083-084-099-162100-
Crawford MO-Washington MO-Dent MO-Iron MO-Reynolds MO-
Including the cities of Potosi/Salem Ranger District and Salem
404 AM CDT Thu Oct 16 2025
Today Tonight Fri
Cloud Cover Mclear Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Type None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 82 (-1) 55 (-2) 83
RH % (24h trend) 45 (+4) 97 (0) 41
Wind 20ft AM(mph) lgt/var S 3-7 G16
Wind 20ft PM(mph) SE 4-8 G15 lgt/var S 4-8 G16
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
1700ft mixing temp 77 77
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 4690 350 4620
Transport Wnd (m/s) SE 5 SE 4 S 6
Transport Wnd (mph) SE 12 SE 9 S 14
Vent Rate (m/s-m) 10690 0 13590
Good Poor Good
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY...Showers and a chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the
lower 60s. Highs in the lower 80s. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Cooler. Lows in the upper 40s. Highs in the mid
60s. Minimum RH 32 percent. Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY...Clear. Lows in the lower 40s. Highs in the lower 70s.
Minimum RH 35 percent. South winds 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the
lower 70s. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 40s. Highs in the
upper 60s. Minimum RH 35 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
$$
MOZ074-075-085-162100-
Saint Francois MO-Sainte Genevieve MO-Madison MO-
Including the cities of Farmington and Fredericktown Ranger
District
404 AM CDT Thu Oct 16 2025
Today Tonight Fri
Cloud Cover Clear Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Type None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 81 (-2) 55 (-1) 83
RH % (24h trend) 46 (+6) 91 (-6) 40
Wind 20ft AM(mph) lgt/var lgt/var
Wind 20ft PM(mph) SE 4-8 lgt/var S 4-8 G16
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
1700ft mixing temp 77 76
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 4490 330 3660
Transport Wnd (m/s) SE 4 S 4 S 6
Transport Wnd (mph) SE 9 S 9 S 14
Vent Rate (m/s-m) 7310 60 9200
Fair Poor Good
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY...Showers and a chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the
lower 60s. Highs in the lower 80s. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Showers and a chance of thunderstorms. Cooler. Lows in
the upper 40s. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 30 percent.
Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY...Clear. Lows in the lower 40s. Highs in the lower 70s.
Minimum RH 33 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the mid
70s. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Highs in the
upper 60s. Minimum RH 33 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
$$
MOZ041-047>050-162100-
Boone MO-Moniteau MO-Cole MO-Osage MO-Callaway MO-
Including the cities of Columbia, Cedar Creek Ranger District,
Jefferson City, and Fulton
404 AM CDT Thu Oct 16 2025
Today Tonight Fri
Cloud Cover Mclear Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Type None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 84 (0) 60 (+1) 84
RH % (24h trend) 41 (-2) 93 (-2) 41
Wind 20ft AM(mph) SE 3-7 S 6-10 G18
Wind 20ft PM(mph) SE 6-10 G17 SE 3-7 S 7-11 G18
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
1700ft mixing temp 80 81
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 5380 380 6100
Transport Wnd (m/s) S 7 S 6 SW 9
Transport Wnd (mph) S 16 S 13 SW 20
Vent Rate (m/s-m) 14180 340 20590
Good Poor Excellent
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY...Showers and a chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the
lower 60s. Highs in the upper 70s. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Showers likely. Cooler. Lows in the upper
40s. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 35 percent. Northwest winds
10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY...Clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Highs in the mid 70s. South
winds 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. A chance of showers. Lows in the lower
50s. Highs around 70. West winds 10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 40s. Highs in the
mid 60s. Minimum RH 39 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
$$
MOZ051-059-060-062-065-162100-
Montgomery MO-Gasconade MO-Warren MO-Franklin MO-Jefferson MO-
Including the cities of Washington, Union, and Sullivan
404 AM CDT Thu Oct 16 2025
Today Tonight Fri
Cloud Cover Mclear Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Type None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 83 (-1) 56 (-1) 84
RH % (24h trend) 43 (+3) 94 (-4) 39
Wind 20ft AM(mph) lgt/var S 4-8 G17
Wind 20ft PM(mph) SE 5-9 G15 SE 3-7 S 5-9 G17
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
1700ft mixing temp 79 80
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 5300 360 5620
Transport Wnd (m/s) SE 6 S 5 S 7
Transport Wnd (mph) SE 13 S 12 S 16
Vent Rate (m/s-m) 11720 230 16070
Good Poor Excellent
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY...Showers and a chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the
lower 60s. Highs around 80. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Cooler. Lows in the upper 40s. Highs in the mid
60s. Minimum RH 36 percent. West winds 10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY...Clear. Lows in the lower 40s. Highs in the lower 70s.
Minimum RH 37 percent. South winds 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the
lower 70s. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 40s. Highs in the
upper 60s. Minimum RH 38 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
$$
MOZ061-063-064-162100-
Saint Charles MO-Saint Louis MO-Saint Louis City MO-
Including the cities of Saint Charles and Saint Louis
404 AM CDT Thu Oct 16 2025
Today Tonight Fri
Cloud Cover Mclear Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Type None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 83 (-1) 57 (-2) 84
RH % (24h trend) 44 (+4) 90 (-4) 39
Wind 20ft AM(mph) lgt/var S 4-8 G16
Wind 20ft PM(mph) SE 4-8 SE 3-7 S 6-10 G16
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
1700ft mixing temp 78 79
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 4890 390 5170
Transport Wnd (m/s) SE 5 SE 6 S 7
Transport Wnd (mph) SE 10 SE 13 S 15
Vent Rate (m/s-m) 8980 330 13510
Good Poor Good
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY...Showers and a chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the
mid 60s. Highs in the lower 80s. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Showers and a chance of thunderstorms. Cooler. Lows
around 50. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 37 percent. West
winds 10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY...Clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Highs in the lower 70s.
Minimum RH 36 percent. South winds 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. A chance of showers. Lows in the mid
50s. Highs in the lower 70s. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Highs in the
upper 60s. Minimum RH 39 percent. West winds 10 to 15 mph.
$$
ILZ064-065-069-070-074-079-100>102-162100-
Bond IL-Fayette IL-Clinton IL-Marion IL-Washington IL-Randolph IL-
Madison IL-Saint Clair IL-Monroe IL-
Including the cities of Vandalia, Centralia, Salem, Chester,
Sparta, Alton, Edwardsville, Belleville, and Cahokia
404 AM CDT Thu Oct 16 2025
Today Tonight Fri
Cloud Cover Mclear Mclear Pcldy
Precip Type None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 82 (-2) 53 (-3) 83
RH % (24h trend) 44 (+6) 89 (-9) 36
Wind 20ft AM(mph) lgt/var SE 4-8
Wind 20ft PM(mph) SE 4-8 SE 3-7 S 6-10 G16
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
1700ft mixing temp 76 76
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 4450 390 3200
Transport Wnd (m/s) SE 4 S 5 S 7
Transport Wnd (mph) SE 9 S 12 S 15
Vent Rate (m/s-m) 7090 300 10450
Fair Poor Good
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY...Showers and a chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the
lower 60s. Highs in the lower 80s. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY...Showers and a chance of thunderstorms. Cooler. Lows
around 50. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 36 percent. West
winds 15 to 20 mph.
.MONDAY...Clear. Lows in the lower 40s. Highs in the lower 70s.
Minimum RH 33 percent. South winds 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the
lower 70s. Southwest winds 15 to 20 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Highs in the
upper 60s. Minimum RH 36 percent. West winds 10 to 15 mph.
$$
MOZ018-019-026-027-034>036-042-052-162100-
Knox MO-Lewis MO-Shelby MO-Marion MO-Monroe MO-Ralls MO-Pike MO-
Audrain MO-Lincoln MO-
Including the cities of Hannibal, Bowling Green, and Mexico
404 AM CDT Thu Oct 16 2025
Today Tonight Fri
Cloud Cover Mclear Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Type None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 82 (0) 59 (+1) 83
RH % (24h trend) 45 (-4) 94 (-2) 44
Wind 20ft AM(mph) SE 3-7 S 7-11 G20
Wind 20ft PM(mph) SE 6-10 G17 SE 4-8 G17 S 8-12 G20
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
1700ft mixing temp 78 79
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 5000 400 5760
Transport Wnd (m/s) S 7 SE 7 SW 9
Transport Wnd (mph) S 15 SE 15 SW 21
Vent Rate (m/s-m) 13810 250 20950
Good Poor Excellent
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. Showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the upper 70s.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Cooler. Lows in the mid 40s. Highs in the lower
60s. Minimum RH 39 percent. West winds 10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY...Clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Highs in the lower 70s.
South winds 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. A chance of showers. Lows in the lower
50s. Highs in the upper 60s. West winds 10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 40s. Highs in the
mid 60s. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
$$
ILZ095>098-162100-
Adams IL-Brown IL-Pike IL-Calhoun IL-
Including the cities of Quincy, Mount Sterling, and Pittsfield
404 AM CDT Thu Oct 16 2025
Today Tonight Fri
Cloud Cover Mclear Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Type None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 81 (-1) 59 (+1) 83
RH % (24h trend) 46 (-3) 91 (-5) 43
Wind 20ft AM(mph) E 3-7 S 7-11 G19
Wind 20ft PM(mph) SE 5-9 G16 SE 4-8 G17 S 8-12 G19
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
1700ft mixing temp 76 77
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 4600 370 5480
Transport Wnd (m/s) SE 6 SE 6 SW 8
Transport Wnd (mph) SE 13 SE 14 SW 18
Vent Rate (m/s-m) 10220 300 17620
Good Poor Excellent
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY...Showers and a chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the
lower 60s. Highs in the upper 70s. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Cooler. Lows in the upper 40s. Highs in the mid
60s. Minimum RH 39 percent. West winds 10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY...Clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Highs in the lower 70s.
Minimum RH 38 percent. South winds 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. A chance of showers. Lows in the lower
50s. Highs in the upper 60s. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Highs in the mid
60s. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
$$
ILZ058>060-099-162100-
Greene IL-Macoupin IL-Montgomery IL-Jersey IL-
Including the city of Litchfield
404 AM CDT Thu Oct 16 2025
Today Tonight Fri
Cloud Cover Mclear Mclear Pcldy
Precip Type None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 81 (-2) 54 (-3) 82
RH % (24h trend) 42 (+1) 85 (-8) 35
Wind 20ft AM(mph) E 4-8 S 6-10 G17
Wind 20ft PM(mph) SE 5-9 SE 4-8 G15 S 7-11 G17
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
1700ft mixing temp 75 76
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 4610 390 3690
Transport Wnd (m/s) SE 4 SE 5 S 7
Transport Wnd (mph) SE 9 SE 12 S 16
Vent Rate (m/s-m) 7440 230 12930
Fair Poor Good
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY...Showers and a chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the
lower 60s. Highs in the upper 70s. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Showers and a chance of thunderstorms. Cooler. Lows in
the upper 40s. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 35 percent. West
winds 10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY...Clear. Lows in the lower 40s. Highs in the lower 70s.
Minimum RH 32 percent. South winds 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. A chance of showers. Lows around 50.
Highs in the lower 70s. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 40s. Highs in the
mid 60s. Minimum RH 35 percent. West winds 10 to 15 mph.
$$