161
FNUS53 KLSX 081940
FWFLSX

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Eastern/Central MO and Southwest IL
National Weather Service Saint Louis MO
140 PM CST Sat Nov 8 2025

A weather system will move across northern Missouri and into
central and northern Illinois today, bringing chance for rain to
areas along and north of I-70. Rain will be light, the best
chance for rain will be across far northeast Missouri and
west-central Illinois where there is a 70% chance for more than
0.10" of rain and a 40% chance for more than 0.25" of rain.
Further south rainfall will be limited with most areas seeing
less than 0.10" of rain. RH values will reach their minimums this
afternoon, south of I-70 minimum RH values will be in the 30s to
low 40s, while to the north they will be much higher (upper 40s
to 80s) due to the increased moisture from the weather system.
Mixing ahead of this system will not be very deep, only extending
up to 1500-2000 feet. Southwesterly winds will become
west-northwesterly and increase in speed late this afternoon and
into the evening behind the system. Central Missouri will be
impacted by these elevated winds first late this afternoon,
before they move east across the area this evening. Winds will
remain elevated overnight and through the day Sunday. Saturday
evening through Sunday afternoon sustained winds will peak in the
mid to upper teens and gusts will peak in the upper 20s. After
sunset on Sunday winds will start to diminish in speed, but will
restrengthen across portions of Illinois Monday afternoon.

We are continuing to monitor the potential for elevated fire
danger on Tuesday as strong, low-level southwesterly winds will
bring relatively warmer temperatures and drier RH values to
portions of central, east-central, and southeast Missouri as well
as southwest Illinois. While temperatures will start Tuesday in
the upper teens to low 20s, this strong southwesterly wind is
expected to allow the area to warm up to near normal by
mid-afternoon. Mixing is currently expected to extend up to
3000-4000 feet Tuesday afternoon, which may keep the strongest
winds aloft from mixing down to the surface. But sustained winds
are still expected to be able to peak in the teens with the
potential for gusts to peak in the upper 20s to 30s. Differences
in how warm we get and how high the mixing height is will impact
our potential for elevated fire danger/Red Flag criteria. As it
stands, these factors are currently limiting enough to lean us
towards elevated fire danger over Red Flag.


MOZ072-073-083-084-099-091000-
Crawford MO-Washington MO-Dent MO-Iron MO-Reynolds MO-
Including the cities of Potosi/Salem Ranger District and Salem
140 PM CST Sat Nov 8 2025

                      Tonight      Sun          Sun Night    Mon

Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Pcldy        Mclear       Mclear
Precip Type           None         Flurries     None         None
Chance Precip (%)     0            10           0            0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0            0
Temp (24h trend)      34 (-7)      39 (-30)     20           39
RH % (24h trend)      85 (-2)      38 (+4)      78           31
Wind 20ft AM(mph)                  NW 9-13 G26               NW 5-9 G22
Wind 20ft PM(mph)     W 7-11 G25   NW 9-13 G24  NW 4-8 G22   NW 4-8 G20
Precip Amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip Duration                    2
1700ft mixing temp                 37                        33
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl)    400          5040         570          4770
Transport Wnd (m/s)   NW  8        NW 12        NW  8        NW  9
Transport Wnd (mph)   NW 17        NW 26        NW 17        NW 20
Vent Rate (m/s-m)     0            20410        10           15580
                      Poor         Excellent    Poor         Excellent

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 20s. Highs in the mid
50s. Minimum RH 34 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 30s. Highs in the
mid 60s. Minimum RH 34 percent. West winds 10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 30s. Highs in the mid
60s. Minimum RH 38 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 40s. Highs in the upper
60s. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the
lower 70s. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.

$$

MOZ074-075-085-091000-
Saint Francois MO-Sainte Genevieve MO-Madison MO-
Including the cities of Farmington and Fredericktown Ranger
District
140 PM CST Sat Nov 8 2025

                      Tonight      Sun          Sun Night    Mon

Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Pcldy        Mclear       Mclear
Precip Type           None         Flurries     None         None
Chance Precip (%)     0            10           0            0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0            0
Temp (24h trend)      35 (-7)      40 (-30)     20           41
RH % (24h trend)      79 (-6)      37 (+3)      76           31
Wind 20ft AM(mph)                  NW 11-15 G26              NW 8-12 G22
Wind 20ft PM(mph)     W 6-10 G22   NW 11-15 G26 NW 7-11 G22  NW 7-11 G21
Precip Amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip Duration                    4
1700ft mixing temp                 39                        34
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl)    360          5160         540          5250
Transport Wnd (m/s)   S  3         NW 12        NW  7        NW 10
Transport Wnd (mph)   S  7         NW 28        NW 16        NW 22
Vent Rate (m/s-m)     30           21740        130          18700
                      Poor         Excellent    Poor         Excellent

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 20s. Highs in the mid
50s. Minimum RH 35 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Warmer. Lows in the upper 30s. Highs
in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 34 percent. West winds 10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 30s. Highs in the mid
60s. Minimum RH 35 percent. West winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 40s. Highs in the upper
60s. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the
lower 70s. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.

$$

MOZ041-047>050-091000-
Boone MO-Moniteau MO-Cole MO-Osage MO-Callaway MO-
Including the cities of Columbia, Cedar Creek Ranger District,
Jefferson City, and Fulton
140 PM CST Sat Nov 8 2025

                      Tonight      Sun          Sun Night    Mon

Cloud Cover           Mcldy        Pcldy        Mclear       Clear
Precip Type           None         Flurries     None         None
Chance Precip (%)     0            10           0            0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0            0
Temp (24h trend)      31 (-10)     36 (-28)     20           39
RH % (24h trend)      81 (-9)      37 (-6)      86           35
Wind 20ft AM(mph)                  NW 11-15 G25              NW 6-10 G18
Wind 20ft PM(mph)     NW 11-15 G27 NW 10-14 G24 NW 5-9 G18   NW 5-9 G17
Precip Amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip Duration                    2
1700ft mixing temp                 35                        34
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl)    590          5050         420          4450
Transport Wnd (m/s)   NW  9        NW 11        NW  7        NW  8
Transport Wnd (mph)   NW 20        NW 25        NW 16        NW 17
Vent Rate (m/s-m)     360          19820        430          13140
                      Poor         Excellent    Poor         Good

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 20s. Highs in the upper
50s. Minimum RH 37 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 30s. Highs in the
lower 60s. Minimum RH 37 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 30s. Highs in the mid
60s. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 40s. Highs in the upper
60s. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the
lower 70s. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.

$$

MOZ051-059-060-062-065-091000-
Montgomery MO-Gasconade MO-Warren MO-Franklin MO-Jefferson MO-
Including the cities of Washington, Union, and Sullivan
140 PM CST Sat Nov 8 2025

                      Tonight      Sun          Sun Night    Mon

Cloud Cover           Mcldy        Pcldy        Mclear       Mclear
Precip Type           None         Flurries     Flurries     None
Chance Precip (%)     0            10           10           0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0            0
Temp (24h trend)      32 (-9)      38 (-28)     20           39
RH % (24h trend)      82 (-15)     39 (-2)      82           34
Wind 20ft AM(mph)                  NW 11-15 G26              NW 7-11 G21
Wind 20ft PM(mph)     NW 8-12 G24  NW 11-15 G25 NW 5-9 G20   NW 6-10 G20
Precip Amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip Duration                    5            1
1700ft mixing temp                 36                        34
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl)    370          5220         410          4900
Transport Wnd (m/s)   W  5         NW 12        NW  7        NW  9
Transport Wnd (mph)   W 12         NW 26        NW 15        NW 20
Vent Rate (m/s-m)     100          22190        520          17010
                      Poor         Excellent    Poor         Excellent

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 20s. Highs in the
upper 50s. Minimum RH 35 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows around 40. Highs in the mid 60s.
Minimum RH 36 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 30s. Highs in the mid
60s. Minimum RH 39 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 40s. Highs in the upper
60s. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the
lower 70s. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.

$$

MOZ061-063-064-091000-
Saint Charles MO-Saint Louis MO-Saint Louis City MO-
Including the cities of Saint Charles and Saint Louis
140 PM CST Sat Nov 8 2025

                      Tonight      Sun          Sun Night    Mon

Cloud Cover           Mcldy        Pcldy        Mclear       Mclear
Precip Type           Showers      Flurries     Flurries     None
Chance Precip (%)     20           10           10           0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0            0
Temp (24h trend)      35 (-7)      38 (-27)     23           40
RH % (24h trend)      80 (-9)      40 (-4)      78           35
Wind 20ft AM(mph)                  NW 13-17 G26              NW 9-13 G22
Wind 20ft PM(mph)     N 8-12 G24   NW 12-16 G26 NW 8-12 G20  NW 8-12 G21
Precip Amount         0.01         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip Duration       2            5            2
1700ft mixing temp                 37                        34
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl)    390          5270         560          5170
Transport Wnd (m/s)   E  3         NW 13        NW  8        NW 10
Transport Wnd (mph)   E  6         NW 29        NW 17        NW 22
Vent Rate (m/s-m)     150          22510        700          17310
                      Poor         Excellent    Poor         Excellent

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 20s. Highs in the upper
50s. Minimum RH 35 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 40s. Highs in the
mid 60s. Minimum RH 36 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 30s. Highs in the
lower 60s. Minimum RH 38 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 40s. Highs in the upper
60s. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the
lower 70s. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.

$$

ILZ064-065-069-070-074-079-100>102-091000-
Bond IL-Fayette IL-Clinton IL-Marion IL-Washington IL-Randolph IL-
Madison IL-Saint Clair IL-Monroe IL-
Including the cities of Vandalia, Centralia, Salem, Chester,
Sparta, Alton, Edwardsville, Belleville, and Cahokia
140 PM CST Sat Nov 8 2025

                      Tonight      Sun          Sun Night    Mon

Cloud Cover           Mcldy        Pcldy        Pcldy        Mclear
Precip Type           Showers      Flurries     Flurries     None
Chance Precip (%)     30           10           10           0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0            0
Temp (24h trend)      35 (-6)      40 (-25)     22           40
RH % (24h trend)      88 (-3)      41 (-2)      77           35
Wind 20ft AM(mph)                  NW 14-18 G27              NW 11-15 G21
Wind 20ft PM(mph)     N 5-9 G23    NW 14-18 G27 NW 8-12 G20  NW 9-13 G21
Precip Amount         0.03         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip Duration       3            5            2
1700ft mixing temp                 39                        35
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl)    380          5060         430          5400
Transport Wnd (m/s)   E  3         NW 13        NW  7        NW 10
Transport Wnd (mph)   E  7         NW 29        NW 16        NW 23
Vent Rate (m/s-m)     160          22090        750          20200
                      Poor         Excellent    Poor         Excellent

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 20s. Highs in the lower
50s. Minimum RH 38 percent. South winds 15 to 20 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Warmer. Lows around 40. Highs in the
mid 60s. Minimum RH 37 percent. West winds 15 to 20 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 30s. Highs in the lower
60s. Minimum RH 37 percent. West winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 40s. Highs in the mid
60s. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the
lower 70s. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.

$$

MOZ018-019-026-027-034>036-042-052-091000-
Knox MO-Lewis MO-Shelby MO-Marion MO-Monroe MO-Ralls MO-Pike MO-
Audrain MO-Lincoln MO-
Including the cities of Hannibal, Bowling Green, and Mexico
140 PM CST Sat Nov 8 2025

                      Tonight      Sun          Sun Night    Mon

Cloud Cover           Mcldy        Pcldy        Mclear       Clear
Precip Type           Showers      Flurries     Flurries     None
Chance Precip (%)     30           10           10           0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0            0
Temp (24h trend)      29 (-10)     35 (-22)     19           39
RH % (24h trend)      95 (+1)      39 (-15)     84           36
Wind 20ft AM(mph)                  NW 13-17 G26              NW 7-11 G21
Wind 20ft PM(mph)     NW 10-14 G24 NW 12-16 G25 NW 6-10 G20  NW 6-10 G20
Precip Amount         0.02         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip Duration       4            5            1
1700ft mixing temp                 33                        33
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl)    580          5030         450          4540
Transport Wnd (m/s)   NW  7        NW 12        NW  8        NW  8
Transport Wnd (mph)   NW 16        NW 28        NW 17        NW 18
Vent Rate (m/s-m)     120          21980        510          15800
                      Poor         Excellent    Poor         Excellent

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 20s. Highs in the mid
50s. Minimum RH 38 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 30s. Highs in the
lower 60s. Minimum RH 37 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 30s. Highs in the lower
60s. Minimum RH 39 percent. West winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 40s. Highs in the
upper 60s. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the
lower 70s. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.

$$

ILZ095>098-091000-
Adams IL-Brown IL-Pike IL-Calhoun IL-
Including the cities of Quincy, Mount Sterling, and Pittsfield
140 PM CST Sat Nov 8 2025

                      Tonight      Sun          Sun Night    Mon

Cloud Cover           Mcldy        Pcldy        Pcldy        Clear
Precip Type           Showers      Flurries     Flurries     None
Chance Precip (%)     50           10           10           0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0            0
Temp (24h trend)      29 (-10)     36 (-20)     22           39
RH % (24h trend)      95 (+1)      40 (-14)     79           36
Wind 20ft AM(mph)                  NW 14-18 G26              NW 8-12 G21
Wind 20ft PM(mph)     N 9-13 G23   NW 13-17 G26 NW 7-11 G21  NW 7-11 G20
Precip Amount         0.06         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip Duration       4            5            2
1700ft mixing temp                 33                        33
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl)    380          5030         380          4790
Transport Wnd (m/s)   N  4         NW 13        NW  8        NW  9
Transport Wnd (mph)   N  9         NW 29        NW 18        NW 21
Vent Rate (m/s-m)     170          21870        400          16070
                      Poor         Excellent    Poor         Excellent

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 20s. Highs in the mid
50s. Minimum RH 38 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 30s. Highs in the
lower 60s. Minimum RH 37 percent. West winds 10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 30s. Highs around 60.
Minimum RH 36 percent. West winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 40s. Highs in the mid
60s. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the
lower 70s. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.

$$

ILZ058>060-099-091000-
Greene IL-Macoupin IL-Montgomery IL-Jersey IL-
Including the city of Litchfield
140 PM CST Sat Nov 8 2025

                      Tonight      Sun          Sun Night    Mon

Cloud Cover           Mcldy        Pcldy        Pcldy        Mclear
Precip Type           Showers      Flurries     Flurries     None
Chance Precip (%)     40           10           10           0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0            0
Temp (24h trend)      33 (-5)      36 (-24)     21           39
RH % (24h trend)      89 (-4)      37 (-7)      75           33
Wind 20ft AM(mph)                  NW 15-19 G26              NW 11-15 G21
Wind 20ft PM(mph)     N 7-11 G23   NW 14-18 G27 NW 8-12 G19  NW 9-13 G20
Precip Amount         0.05         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip Duration       4            5            2
1700ft mixing temp                 36                        33
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl)    380          5050         450          5130
Transport Wnd (m/s)   S  6         NW 13        NW  8        NW 11
Transport Wnd (mph)   S 13         NW 30        NW 17        NW 24
Vent Rate (m/s-m)     130          21760        250          19110
                      Poor         Excellent    Poor         Excellent

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 20s. Highs in the
lower 50s. Minimum RH 34 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 30s. Highs in the
lower 60s. Minimum RH 33 percent. West winds 10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 30s. Highs around 60.
Minimum RH 32 percent. West winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows around 40. Highs in the mid 60s.
South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows around 50. Highs in the lower
70s. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.

$$