Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS St. Louis, MO
Issued by NWS St. Louis, MO
Versions:
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
31
32
33
34
35
388
FNUS53 KLSX 072119
FWFLSX
Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Eastern/Central MO and Southwest IL
National Weather Service Saint Louis MO
319 PM CST Fri Nov 7 2025
Saturday will vary widely from north to south across the area.
North of I-70, plenty of cloud cover and even some light rain
will yield cool temperatures (highs in 50s). Further south, more
sunshine is expected as highs climb into the upper 60s to low
70s. Parts of southeast Missouri are expected to see relative
humidity values drop to near 30 percent, but southerly winds
should be light enough to preclude elevated fire danger.
Well-below normal temperatures are expected late Saturday night
through Monday night, with a hard freeze areawide expected both
Sunday and Monday nights.
A warmup will begin on Tuesday, but there remains some
uncertainty with how warm it will get Tuesday afternoon. The
combination of a hard freeze Tuesday morning along with weak
mixing (2.5-3.5 kft AGL) are not ingredients favorable for
elevated fire danger. The hard freeze keeps fine fuel
temperatures on the cool side and much less prone to fire spread
while the weak mixing limits daytime warming potential and keeps
relative humidity values higher than they would be with more
mixing. In addition, models show quite a bit of mid/upper level
cloudiness, which could further limit warming and raise relative
humidity values. What is more certain however is the increasing
southwest winds. Sustained wind speeds of 10-15mph are likely
(50-70%) so if temperatures are warmer and relative humidity
values lower, conditions may be marginal for elevated fire
danger. However, the limiting factors above (especially the hard
freeze/cold fuels) would still be problematic.
MOZ072-073-083-084-099-081000-
Crawford MO-Washington MO-Dent MO-Iron MO-Reynolds MO-
Including the cities of Potosi/Salem Ranger District and Salem
319 PM CST Fri Nov 7 2025
Tonight Sat Sat Night Sun
Cloud Cover Mclear Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Type None None Rain Flurries
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 10 10
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 42 (-12) 70 (-3) 33 43
RH % (24h trend) 91 (-4) 31 (-2) 99 34
Wind 20ft AM(mph) lgt/var NW 7-11 G24
Wind 20ft PM(mph) lgt/var SW 4-8 G19 NW 4-8 G20 NW 7-11 G23
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration 1 2
1700ft mixing temp 65 37
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 380 4070 620 5160
Transport Wnd (m/s) NW 4 SW 8 NW 10 NW 11
Transport Wnd (mph) NW 8 SW 18 NW 23 NW 25
Vent Rate (m/s-m) 0 13250 260 21840
Poor Good Poor Excellent
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 20s. Highs in the lower
40s. Minimum RH 35 percent. Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Warmer. Lows in the mid 20s. Highs in
the upper 50s. Minimum RH 31 percent. Southwest winds 10 to
15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows around 40. Highs in the mid 60s.
Minimum RH 34 percent. West winds 10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 30s. Highs in the mid
60s. Minimum RH 38 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 40s. Highs in the
upper 60s. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
$$
MOZ074-075-085-081000-
Saint Francois MO-Sainte Genevieve MO-Madison MO-
Including the cities of Farmington and Fredericktown Ranger
District
319 PM CST Fri Nov 7 2025
Tonight Sat Sat Night Sun
Cloud Cover Mclear Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Type None None Rain Sprinkles
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 20 10
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 41 (-12) 71 (-2) 33 44
RH % (24h trend) 92 (+2) 30 (-8) 97 34
Wind 20ft AM(mph) lgt/var NW 10-14 G24
Wind 20ft PM(mph) lgt/var SW 3-7 W 6-10 G20 NW 10-14 G25
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration 1 2
1700ft mixing temp 65 38
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 370 4220 470 5410
Transport Wnd (m/s) W 4 SW 7 SW 6 NW 12
Transport Wnd (mph) W 8 SW 16 SW 14 NW 28
Vent Rate (m/s-m) 20 10820 250 23280
Poor Good Poor Excellent
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 20s. Highs in the lower
40s. Minimum RH 34 percent. Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Warmer. Lows in the mid 20s. Highs in
the mid 50s. Minimum RH 32 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows around 40. Highs in the mid 60s.
Minimum RH 34 percent. West winds 10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 30s. Highs in the
lower 60s. Minimum RH 38 percent. West winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 40s. Highs in the upper
60s. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
$$
MOZ041-047>050-081000-
Boone MO-Moniteau MO-Cole MO-Osage MO-Callaway MO-
Including the cities of Columbia, Cedar Creek Ranger District,
Jefferson City, and Fulton
319 PM CST Fri Nov 7 2025
Tonight Sat Sat Night Sun
Cloud Cover Mclear Mcldy Pcldy Mclear
Precip Type None Rain Rain Flurries
Chance Precip (%) 0 20 20 10
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 41 (-10) 67 (-4) 30 39
RH % (24h trend) 91 (+1) 38 (+8) 94 34
Wind 20ft AM(mph) lgt/var NW 10-14 G24
Wind 20ft PM(mph) lgt/var SW 7-11 G24 NW 6-10 G19 NW 10-14 G24
Precip Amount 0.00 0.01 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration 1 2 2
1700ft mixing temp 64 34
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 390 4050 990 5260
Transport Wnd (m/s) W 5 W 11 NW 11 N 11
Transport Wnd (mph) W 10 W 24 NW 24 N 25
Vent Rate (m/s-m) 100 23140 1000 21570
Poor Excellent Poor Excellent
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 20s. Highs in the lower
40s. Minimum RH 38 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Warmer. Lows in the mid 20s. Highs in
the upper 50s. Minimum RH 34 percent. Southwest winds 10 to
15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 30s. Highs in the
lower 60s. Minimum RH 37 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 30s. Highs in the
lower 60s. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 40s. Highs in the
upper 60s. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
$$
MOZ051-059-060-062-065-081000-
Montgomery MO-Gasconade MO-Warren MO-Franklin MO-Jefferson MO-
Including the cities of Washington, Union, and Sullivan
319 PM CST Fri Nov 7 2025
Tonight Sat Sat Night Sun
Cloud Cover Mclear Mcldy Mcldy Mclear
Precip Type None Rain Rain Flurries
Chance Precip (%) 0 20 20 10
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 39 (-14) 69 (-3) 30 41
RH % (24h trend) 96 (+6) 35 (+6) 99 34
Wind 20ft AM(mph) lgt/var NW 9-13 G25
Wind 20ft PM(mph) lgt/var SW 4-8 G20 NW 5-9 G18 NW 10-14 G24
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration 0 2 2
1700ft mixing temp 63 36
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 390 3530 1140 5660
Transport Wnd (m/s) W 5 SW 8 NW 11 NW 12
Transport Wnd (mph) W 10 SW 17 NW 24 NW 26
Vent Rate (m/s-m) 100 14480 1120 23380
Poor Good Poor Excellent
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 20s. Highs in the lower
40s. Minimum RH 38 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Warmer. Lows in the mid 20s. Highs in
the upper 50s. Minimum RH 33 percent. Southwest winds 10 to
15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows around 40. Highs in the mid 60s.
Minimum RH 36 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 30s. Highs in the lower
60s. Minimum RH 40 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 40s. Highs in the
upper 60s. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
$$
MOZ061-063-064-081000-
Saint Charles MO-Saint Louis MO-Saint Louis City MO-
Including the cities of Saint Charles and Saint Louis
319 PM CST Fri Nov 7 2025
Tonight Sat Sat Night Sun
Cloud Cover Mclear Mcldy Mcldy Mclear
Precip Type None Rain Rain Flurries
Chance Precip (%) 0 30 30 10
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 39 (-16) 67 (-5) 32 40
RH % (24h trend) 98 (+11) 39 (+10) 98 37
Wind 20ft AM(mph) lgt/var NW 11-15 G25
Wind 20ft PM(mph) W 3-7 SW 3-7 NW 7-11 G18 NW 12-16 G27
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00
Precip Duration 1 2 2
1700ft mixing temp 61 36
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 410 2750 920 5820
Transport Wnd (m/s) W 5 SW 6 NW 7 NW 13
Transport Wnd (mph) W 12 SW 13 NW 16 NW 29
Vent Rate (m/s-m) 150 8410 540 25180
Poor Good Poor Excellent
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 20s. Highs in the lower
40s. Minimum RH 40 percent. Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Warmer. Lows in the upper 20s. Highs in
the upper 50s. Minimum RH 34 percent. Southwest winds 10 to
15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 40s. Highs in the
mid 60s. Minimum RH 36 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 30s. Highs in the
lower 60s. Minimum RH 39 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 40s. Highs in the
upper 60s. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
$$
ILZ064-065-069-070-074-079-100>102-081000-
Bond IL-Fayette IL-Clinton IL-Marion IL-Washington IL-Randolph IL-
Madison IL-Saint Clair IL-Monroe IL-
Including the cities of Vandalia, Centralia, Salem, Chester,
Sparta, Alton, Edwardsville, Belleville, and Cahokia
319 PM CST Fri Nov 7 2025
Tonight Sat Sat Night Sun
Cloud Cover Mclear Pcldy Mcldy Pcldy
Precip Type None Rain Rain Snow/Rain
Chance Precip (%) 0 20 40 20
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 40 (-12) 68 (-4) 34 42
RH % (24h trend) 97 (+7) 38 (+3) 97 37
Wind 20ft AM(mph) lgt/var NW 12-16 G24
Wind 20ft PM(mph) lgt/var lgt/var W 6-10 G18 NW 13-17 G25
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.00
Precip Duration 0 2 2
1700ft mixing temp 61 37
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 390 2810 370 5740
Transport Wnd (m/s) NW 4 SW 5 SE 5 NW 13
Transport Wnd (mph) NW 8 SW 12 SE 10 NW 29
Vent Rate (m/s-m) 170 9150 320 24490
Poor Good Poor Excellent
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. A chance of flurries through the day.
Lows in the mid 20s. Highs in the lower 40s. Minimum RH
40 percent. Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Warmer. Lows in the mid 20s. Highs in
the mid 50s. Minimum RH 35 percent. South winds 15 to 20 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 40s. Highs in the
lower 60s. Minimum RH 37 percent. West winds 10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 30s. Highs in the lower
60s. Minimum RH 39 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows around 40. Highs in the mid 60s.
South winds 5 to 10 mph.
$$
MOZ018-019-026-027-034>036-042-052-081000-
Knox MO-Lewis MO-Shelby MO-Marion MO-Monroe MO-Ralls MO-Pike MO-
Audrain MO-Lincoln MO-
Including the cities of Hannibal, Bowling Green, and Mexico
319 PM CST Fri Nov 7 2025
Tonight Sat Sat Night Sun
Cloud Cover Mclear Mcldy Mcldy Mclear
Precip Type None Rain Rain Flurries
Chance Precip (%) 0 50 30 10
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 38 (-11) 61 (-9) 27 38
RH % (24h trend) 98 (+6) 46 (+17) 100 38
Wind 20ft AM(mph) lgt/var NW 11-15 G25
Wind 20ft PM(mph) W 3-7 SW 4-8 G19 NW 6-10 G18 NW 11-15 G25
Precip Amount 0.00 0.07 0.01 0.00
Precip Duration 2 2 2
1700ft mixing temp 57 33
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 410 2510 940 5340
Transport Wnd (m/s) N 4 SW 6 NW 9 NW 12
Transport Wnd (mph) N 8 SW 13 NW 21 NW 28
Vent Rate (m/s-m) 150 10810 920 24860
Poor Good Poor Excellent
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 20s. Highs around 40.
Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Warmer. Lows in the mid 20s. Highs in
the mid 50s. Minimum RH 36 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 30s. Highs in the
lower 60s. Minimum RH 38 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 30s. Highs around 60.
Minimum RH 39 percent. West winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 30s. Highs in the mid
60s. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
$$
ILZ095>098-081000-
Adams IL-Brown IL-Pike IL-Calhoun IL-
Including the cities of Quincy, Mount Sterling, and Pittsfield
319 PM CST Fri Nov 7 2025
Tonight Sat Sat Night Sun
Cloud Cover Mclear Mcldy Mcldy Mclear
Precip Type None Rain Rain Flurries
Chance Precip (%) 0 80 50 10
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 38 (-14) 59 (-12) 28 38
RH % (24h trend) 97 (+5) 49 (+21) 100 38
Wind 20ft AM(mph) lgt/var NW 11-15 G25
Wind 20ft PM(mph) W 4-8 SE 3-7 G15 NW 6-10 G18 NW 12-16 G25
Precip Amount 0.00 0.07 0.05 0.00
Precip Duration 4 2 2
1700ft mixing temp 55 32
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 400 2320 1080 5490
Transport Wnd (m/s) N 4 SW 5 NW 9 NW 13
Transport Wnd (mph) N 8 SW 10 NW 21 NW 29
Vent Rate (m/s-m) 170 4930 690 24550
Poor Marginal Poor Excellent
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. A chance of flurries through the day.
Lows in the lower 20s. Highs in the lower 40s. Northwest winds
10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Warmer. Lows in the mid 20s. Highs in
the mid 50s. Minimum RH 35 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows around 40. Highs in the lower
60s. Minimum RH 37 percent. West winds 10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 30s. Highs around 60.
Minimum RH 37 percent. West winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 30s. Highs in the mid
60s. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
$$
ILZ058>060-099-081000-
Greene IL-Macoupin IL-Montgomery IL-Jersey IL-
Including the city of Litchfield
319 PM CST Fri Nov 7 2025
Tonight Sat Sat Night Sun
Cloud Cover Mclear Mcldy Mcldy Pcldy
Precip Type None Rain Rain Snow/Rain
Chance Precip (%) 0 70 50 20
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 38 (-14) 62 (-10) 31 39
RH % (24h trend) 99 (+12) 42 (+14) 98 34
Wind 20ft AM(mph) lgt/var NW 13-17 G25
Wind 20ft PM(mph) W 4-8 lgt/var NW 7-11 G18 NW 13-17 G26
Precip Amount 0.00 0.01 0.06 0.00
Precip Duration 1 2 2
1700ft mixing temp 57 34
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 390 2430 510 5600
Transport Wnd (m/s) NW 4 SW 5 N 6 NW 13
Transport Wnd (mph) NW 8 SW 10 N 13 NW 29
Vent Rate (m/s-m) 100 4210 400 24660
Poor Poor Poor Excellent
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. A chance of flurries through the day.
Lows in the lower 20s. Highs in the lower 40s. Minimum RH
38 percent. Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Warmer. Lows in the lower 20s. Highs in
the mid 50s. Minimum RH 32 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 30s. Highs in the
lower 60s. Minimum RH 35 percent. West winds 10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 30s. Highs around 60.
Minimum RH 34 percent. West winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 30s. Highs in the mid
60s. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
$$