152
FSUS46 KLOX 232128
QPSLOX

Quantitative Precipitation Forecast
National Weather Service Los Angeles/Oxnard CA
123 PM PST Sat Nov 23 2024

Precipitation forecasts in inches are provided in 3-hour
increments until 0400 followed by 6-hour increments until 1600.
Thunderstorm chances cover up to 1600 on day 1 only.

Light rainfall amounts greater than zero but less than a tenth of an
inch are shown as lgt.

The discussion covers the period from: Sat Nov 23 2024 through Fri Nov 29 2024.

&&

                                    16-19  19-22  22-01  01-04  |  04-10  10-16

San Luis Obispo County...

LSRC1:Cambria                          lgt    0.0    0.0    0.0   |   0.0   lgt
SMRC1:Santa Margarita                  lgt    0.0    0.0    0.0   |   0.0   lgt
NIPC1:Lopez Lake                       0.0    0.0    0.0    0.0   |   lgt   lgt

1-Hr Rates:              Coasts/Valleys   Foothills/Mountains
Expected Peak (in/hr):   0.01-0.03        0.01-0.03
Probability 0.50+ in/hr: <5%              <5%
Probability 1.00+ in/hr: <5%              <5%

Peak rates expected to occur between: 1000-1200

Chance of Thunderstorms: 0%

&&                                    16-19  19-22  22-01  01-04  |  04-10  10-16

Santa Barbara County...

SIYC1:Santa Maria                      0.0    0.0    0.0    0.0   |   0.0   0.0
SBTC1:Santa Barbara Potrero            0.0    0.0    0.0    0.0   |   0.0   0.0
GBRC1:Gibraltar Dam                    0.0    0.0    0.0    0.0   |   0.0   0.0
SMCC1:San Marcos Pass                  0.0    0.0    0.0    0.0   |   0.0   0.0
SBFC1:Santa Barbara City               0.0    0.0    0.0    0.0   |   0.0   0.0

1-Hr Rates:              Coasts/Valleys   Foothills/Mountains
Expected Peak (in/hr):   0.01-0.03        0.01-0.03
Probability 0.50+ in/hr: <5%              <5%
Probability 1.00+ in/hr: <5%              <5%

Peak rates expected to occur between: 1300-1400

Chance of Thunderstorms: 0%

&&                                    16-19  19-22  22-01  01-04  |  04-10  10-16

Ventura County...

FGWC1:Fagan Canyon                     0.0    0.0    0.0    0.0   |   0.0   0.0
HRCC1:Hopper Canyon                    0.0    0.0    0.0    0.0   |   0.0   0.0
MTDC1:Matilija Dam                     lgt    0.0    0.0    0.0   |   0.0   0.0
VTUC1:Ventura City                     0.0    0.0    0.0    0.0   |   0.0   0.0
MORC1:Moorpark                         lgt    0.0    lgt    0.0   |   0.0   0.0
CRXC1:Circle X Ranch                   0.0    0.0    0.0    0.0   |   0.0   0.0

1-Hr Rates:              Coasts/Valleys   Foothills/Mountains
Expected Peak (in/hr):   0.01-0.03        0.01-0.03
Probability 0.50+ in/hr: <5%              <5%
Probability 1.00+ in/hr: <5%              <5%

Peak rates expected to occur between: 1200-1400

Chance of Thunderstorms: 0%

&&                                    16-19  19-22  22-01  01-04  |  04-10  10-16

Los Angeles County...

WFKC1:West Fork Heliport               lgt    lgt    lgt    0.0   |   0.0   0.0
BDDC1:Big Dalton Dam                   lgt    lgt    lgt    0.0   |   0.0   0.0
PCDC1:Pacoima Dam                      lgt    0.0    0.0    0.0   |   0.0   0.0
FLTC1:La Canada Flintridge             lgt    lgt    lgt    0.0   |   0.0   0.0
SAUC1:Saugus                           0.0    0.0    0.0    0.0   |   0.0   0.0
CQT:Downtown LA                        lgt    0.0    0.0    0.0   |   0.0   0.0
MLUC1:Malibu Big Rock Mesa             lgt    0.0    lgt    0.0   |   0.0   0.0

1-Hr Rates:              Coasts/Valleys   Foothills/Mountains
Expected Peak (in/hr):   0.01-0.03        0.01-0.05
Probability 0.50+ in/hr: <5%              <5%
Probability 1.00+ in/hr: <5%              <5%

Peak rates expected to occur between: 1200-1500

Chance of Thunderstorms: 0%

&&

DISCUSSION:

Periods of light rain or drizzle will continue through Sunday
afternoon. A weak atmospheric river is expected to produce periods
of mainly light to moderate with periods of heavier rain across the
Central coast and especially adjacent mountains. Only moderate
confidence in the rainfall forecast as the exact location and
strength of the atmospheric river remains somewhat uncertain.
Generally 1-4 inches of rain are most likely north of Point
Conception and less than an inch for Ventura and Los Angeles
Counties.

$$