Quantitative Precipitation Statement
Issued by NWS Los Angeles, CA

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FSUS46 KLOX 261315
QPSLOX

Quantitative Precipitation Forecast
National Weather Service Los Angeles/Oxnard CA
609 AM PDT Sat Apr 26 2025

Precipitation forecasts in inches are provided in 3-hour
increments until 1700 followed by 6-hour increments until 0500.
Thunderstorm chances cover up to 0500 on day 1 only.

Light rainfall amounts greater than zero but less than a tenth of an
inch are shown as lgt.

The discussion covers the period from: Sat Apr 26 2025 through Fri May 02 2025.

&&

                                    05-08  08-11  11-14  14-17  |  17-23  23-05

San Luis Obispo County...

LSRC1:Cambria                          0.2    lgt    lgt    lgt   |   0.0   0.0
SMRC1:Santa Margarita                  0.2    lgt    lgt    lgt   |   0.0   0.0
NIPC1:Lopez Lake                       0.2    lgt    lgt    lgt   |   0.0   0.0

1-Hr Rates:              Coasts/Valleys   Foothills/Mountains
Expected Peak (in/hr):   0.10-0.20        0.15-0.25
Probability 0.50+ in/hr: 15%              25%
Probability 1.00+ in/hr: <5%              <5%

Peak rates expected to occur between: 0600-1200

Chance of Thunderstorms: 20%
Isolated rates around 0.5 in/hr possible near thunderstorms.

&&                                    05-08  08-11  11-14  14-17  |  17-23  23-05

Santa Barbara County...

SIYC1:Santa Maria                      0.2    lgt    lgt    lgt   |   0.0   0.0
SBTC1:Santa Barbara Potrero            0.2    0.2    0.1    lgt   |   lgt   0.0
GBRC1:Gibraltar Dam                    0.3    0.5    0.1    lgt   |   0.0   0.0
SMCC1:San Marcos Pass                  0.3    0.5    0.1    lgt   |   0.0   0.0
SBFC1:Santa Barbara City               0.2    0.4    lgt    lgt   |   0.0   0.0

1-Hr Rates:              Coasts/Valleys   Foothills/Mountains
Expected Peak (in/hr):   0.20-0.30        0.25-0.35
Probability 0.50+ in/hr: 25%              35%
Probability 1.00+ in/hr: <5%              <5%

Peak rates expected to occur between: 0600-1200

Chance of Thunderstorms: 20%
Isolated rates around 0.5 in/hr possible near thunderstorms.

&&                                    05-08  08-11  11-14  14-17  |  17-23  23-05

Ventura County...

FGWC1:Fagan Canyon                     lgt    0.3    lgt    lgt   |   lgt   0.0
HRCC1:Hopper Canyon                    lgt    0.3    0.1    lgt   |   lgt   0.0
MTDC1:Matilija Dam                     0.1    0.5    0.1    lgt   |   lgt   0.0
VTUC1:Ventura City                     0.1    0.3    lgt    0.0   |   0.0   0.0
MORC1:Moorpark                         lgt    0.3    0.2    lgt   |   lgt   0.0
CRXC1:Circle X Ranch                   0.1    0.4    0.2    0.0   |   0.0   0.0

1-Hr Rates:              Coasts/Valleys   Foothills/Mountains
Expected Peak (in/hr):   0.20-0.30        0.25-0.35
Probability 0.50+ in/hr: 20%              30%
Probability 1.00+ in/hr: <5%              <5%

Peak rates expected to occur between: 0900-1500

Chance of Thunderstorms: 20%
Isolated rates around 0.5 in/hr possible near thunderstorms.

&&                                    05-08  08-11  11-14  14-17  |  17-23  23-05

Los Angeles County...

WFKC1:West Fork Heliport               lgt    0.1    0.4    0.3   |   lgt   0.0
BDDC1:Big Dalton Dam                   lgt    0.1    0.4    0.3   |   0.1   0.0
PCDC1:Pacoima Dam                      lgt    0.2    0.4    0.1   |   lgt   0.0
FLTC1:La Canada Flintridge             lgt    0.2    0.3    0.2   |   lgt   0.0
SAUC1:Saugus                           lgt    0.2    0.3    0.1   |   lgt   0.0
CQT:Downtown LA                        lgt    0.1    0.2    0.1   |   lgt   0.0
MLUC1:Malibu Big Rock Mesa             lgt    0.2    0.4    0.1   |   0.0   0.0

1-Hr Rates:              Coasts/Valleys   Foothills/Mountains
Expected Peak (in/hr):   0.20-0.30        0.25-0.35
Probability 0.50+ in/hr: 20%              30%
Probability 1.00+ in/hr: <5%              <5%

Peak rates expected to occur between: 1000-1600

Chance of Thunderstorms: 20%
Isolated rates around 0.5 in/hr possible near thunderstorms.

&&

DISCUSSION:

An upper low and frontal system will bring rain to most areas
today. There will be enough instability this morning into this
afternoon for a slight chance of thunderstorms, mainly in
northern areas and in the mountains.

Rainfall totals of one quarter to three quarters of an inch are
expected across the region, with local totals up to one inch from
southern Santa Barbara County through Ventura County and into
western Los Angeles County. Snow levels will be between 4500 and
5500 feet.

$$