586
FSUS46 KLOX 032116
QPSLOX

Quantitative Precipitation Forecast
National Weather Service Los Angeles/Oxnard CA
205 PM PDT Thu Apr 03 2025

Precipitation forecasts in inches are provided in 3-hour
increments until 0500 followed by 6-hour increments until 1700.
Thunderstorm chances cover up to 1700 on day 1 only.

Light rainfall amounts greater than zero but less than a tenth of an
inch are shown as lgt.

The discussion covers the period from: Thu Apr 03 2025 through Wed Apr 09 2025.

&&

                                    17-20  20-23  23-02  02-05  |  05-11  11-17

San Luis Obispo County...

LSRC1:Cambria                          0.0    0.0    0.0    0.0   |   0.0   0.0
SMRC1:Santa Margarita                  0.0    0.0    0.0    0.0   |   0.0   0.0
NIPC1:Lopez Lake                       0.0    0.0    0.0    0.0   |   0.0   0.0

1-Hr Rates:              Coasts/Valleys   Foothills/Mountains
Expected Peak (in/hr):   0.00             0.00
Probability 0.50+ in/hr: <5%              <5%
Probability 1.00+ in/hr: <5%              <5%

Peak rates expected to occur between: N/A

Chance of Thunderstorms: 0%

&&                                    17-20  20-23  23-02  02-05  |  05-11  11-17

Santa Barbara County...

SIYC1:Santa Maria                      0.0    0.0    0.0    0.0   |   0.0   0.0
SBTC1:Santa Barbara Potrero            0.0    0.0    0.0    0.0   |   0.0   0.0
GBRC1:Gibraltar Dam                    0.0    0.0    0.0    0.0   |   0.0   0.0
SMCC1:San Marcos Pass                  0.0    0.0    0.0    0.0   |   0.0   0.0
SBFC1:Santa Barbara City               0.0    0.0    0.0    0.0   |   0.0   0.0

1-Hr Rates:              Coasts/Valleys   Foothills/Mountains
Expected Peak (in/hr):   0.01-0.03        0.25-.0.50
Probability 0.50+ in/hr: 5%               10-15%
Probability 1.00+ in/hr: <5%              <5%

Peak rates expected to occur between: 1300-1700

Chance of Thunderstorms: 40% Isolated rates around 0.30 in/hr
possible near thunderstorms.

&&                                    17-20  20-23  23-02  02-05  |  05-11  11-17

Ventura County...

FGWC1:Fagan Canyon                     0.0    0.0    0.0    0.0   |   0.0   0.0
HRCC1:Hopper Canyon                    lgt    0.0    0.0    0.0   |   0.0   0.0
MTDC1:Matilija Dam                     0.0    0.0    0.0    0.0   |   0.0   0.0
VTUC1:Ventura City                     0.0    0.0    0.0    0.0   |   0.0   0.0
MORC1:Moorpark                         0.0    0.0    0.0    0.0   |   0.0   0.0
CRXC1:Circle X Ranch                   0.0    0.0    0.0    0.0   |   0.0   0.0

1-Hr Rates:              Coasts/Valleys   Foothills/Mountains
Expected Peak (in/hr):   0.01-0.03        0.25-0.50
Probability 0.50+ in/hr: <5%              10-15%
Probability 1.00+ in/hr: <5%              <5%

Peak rates expected to occur between: 1300-1700

Chance of Thunderstorms: 60% Isolated rates around 0.50 in/hr
possible near thunderstorms.

&&                                    17-20  20-23  23-02  02-05  |  05-11  11-17

Los Angeles County...

WFKC1:West Fork Heliport               lgt    0.0    0.0    0.0   |   0.0   0.0
BDDC1:Big Dalton Dam                   lgt    0.0    0.0    0.0   |   0.0   0.0
PCDC1:Pacoima Dam                      lgt    0.0    0.0    0.0   |   0.0   0.0
FLTC1:La Canada Flintridge             lgt    lgt    0.0    0.0   |   0.0   0.0
SAUC1:Saugus                           lgt    0.0    0.0    0.0   |   0.0   0.0
CQT:Downtown LA                        lgt    0.0    0.0    0.0   |   0.0   0.0
MLUC1:Malibu Big Rock Mesa             0.0    0.0    0.0    0.0   |   0.0   0.0

1-Hr Rates:              Coasts/Valleys   Foothills/Mountains
Expected Peak (in/hr):   0.25-0.50        0.25-0.50
Probability 0.50+ in/hr: 5-10%            5-10%
Probability 1.00+ in/hr: <5%              <5%

Peak rates expected to occur between: 1300-1800

Chance of Thunderstorms: 60% Isolated rates around 0.50 in/hr
possible near thunderstorms.

&&

DISCUSSION:

Showers and thunderstorms have developed this afternoon, mainly
across Los Angeles and Ventura Counties and eastern Santa Barbara
County. Rainfall amounts this afternoon and evening should be one
third of an inch or less. However, in any thunderstorm, brief heavy
downpours and small hail are possible. There is also a small chc of
convective training which could lead to some flooding.

Dry weather is expected Friday through at least next Thursday.

$$