Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Los Angeles, CA

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534
FNUS76 KLOX 041049
FWSLOX

Spot Forecast for Madre...USFS LPF
National Weather Service Los Angeles/Oxnard CA
349 AM PDT Fri Jul 4 2025

If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

5 AM Forecast Update - No Major Changes

.DISCUSSION...
Hot conditions are expected to persist through at least Saturday,
with minimum humidities likely to lower into the mid teens, with
lower teens possible (30-40% chance). High mixing heights will also
continue the risk of plume dominated fire behavior, especially in
the afternoon to early evening hours. Today into Saturday expect
a trend of decreasing winds, especially on Saturday.

.TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny.
Max temperature.....90-95.
Min humidity........13-17 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light early becoming east 4-8 mph around 8am, then
                    west-northwest 8-15 mph with gusts to 25 mph around 3pm.
Mixing height.......2000 ft AGL early, becoming 9000 ft AGL in the afternoon.
Transport winds.....Northeast 5-10 mph becoming northwest 10-15 mph in the afternoon.
Ridgetop wind.......Northeast 5-10 mph becoming northwest 10-20 mph in the afternoon.

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Clear.
Min temperature.....50-55 in the cooler valleys, 60-65 in the hills and plains.
Max humidity........40-60 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........West 10-15 mph with gusts to 25 mph through 9pm becoming
                    northwest 5-10 mph, then downslope 3-6 mph after 3am.
Mixing height.......4000 ft AGL early, lowering to AOB 1000 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest 10-15 mph early becoming northeast to east 5 mph.
Ridgetop wind.......Northwest 10-20 mph in the evening becoming northeast 10-15 mph.

.SATURDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny.
Max temperature.....Around 91-96.
Min humidity........12-16 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........East winds 4 to 6 mph becoming west to northwest 8 to 12 mph
                    with gusts to 20 mph in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......1000 ft AGL rising to 8000 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East 5 to 8 mph becoming northwest 10 mph.
Ridgetop wind.......East winds 3 to 6 mph becoming northwest 10 to 15 mph in the
                    afternoon.


$$
Forecaster...SMITH/SCHOENFELD
Requested by...David Helgeson (FBAN(t)
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2517276.1/LOX
.DELDT 07/04/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL peter.stephenson@usda.gov,Nicole.Gaudenti@usda.gov,sm.fs.lpcc@usda.gov,david.helgeson@usda.gov,vincent.montes@usda.gov,phillip.hernandez@usda.gov, satchison@prcity.com