Land Management Forecasts
Issued by NWS Los Angeles, CA

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ECCDA Discussions
National Weather Service Los Angeles/Oxnard CA
342 PM PST Fri Nov 22 2024

ECC029-231745-
Los Padres National Forest-
Discussion for Vandenberg ECC Dispatch
342 PM PST Fri Nov 22 2024

...Discussion from Monterey...

The fire weather threat will be limited due  to widespread wetting
rainfall, particularly across the Bay Area.  Additional rainfall is
anticipated to spread southward toward the Central Coast later this
evening and into Saturday. Rainfall amounts across the area will
generally average between 1 and 3 inches, with greater amounts
across the higher terrain. Lighter rainfall is anticipated this
weekend before an additional period of moderate to at times heavy
rainfall unfolds across the Central Coast Thanksgiving week.

Note : All winds are 20-foot Winds Unless otherwise specified.
Thunderstorms imply strong, gusty and erratic winds.



...Discussion from Los Angeles/Oxnard...

...ELEVATED TO BRIEF CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS TODAY AWAY FROM
THE COAST DUE TO LOCALLY GUSTY ONSHORE WINDS AND SINGLE  DIGIT
HUMIDITIES...

...WIDESPREAD WETTING RAINS LIKELY WITH SIGNIFICANT COOLING AND
MOISTENING TONIGHT THROUGH AT LEAST WEDNESDAY...

An extremely dry air mass has moved into southwest California,
focused over the mountains, foothills, and many valleys, where many
stations are continuing to report humidities in the 5 to 10 percent
range.  Meanwhile, onshore wind gusts of 20 to 30 mph will be common
over the mountains and foothills this afternoon and evening. Due to
the very dry air, widespread elevated fire weather conditions are
expected today away from the coast, with brief critical conditions
over the windier mountains and foothills.

A significant pattern change will commence tonight and persist
through Wednesday, with a few impluses bringing threats of rain at
times to the region. Confidence is high in widespread rain over the
region, and that impacts will be minimal through at least Sunday.
Confidence on the details for Monday through Wednesday however
remains low. The most likely outcome is for widespread light to
moderate rain with impacts focused on the roads. However, there is a
20 percent chance of more impactful heavier rainfall for San Luis
Obispo County Monday into Monday night. The preliminary rainfall
estimates for tonight through Wednesday are generally expected to
range between 1.50 to 2.50 inches across much of Santa Barbara and
San Luis Obispo counties, with locally higher amounts likely in the
Santa Lucias. For Ventura and LA counties, rainfall amounts are
generally expected to range betwen 0.33 and 1.50 inches (highest in
western Ventura County). The chance for rain over Thanksgiving
Thursday and Friday is lowering, with some model solutions showing
the potential for some offshore winds and lowering humidity to
develop on Thanksgiving.


$$

ECC028-231745-
Santa Barbara County excluding Los Padres National Forest-
Discussion for Santa Barbara ECC Dispatch
342 PM PST Fri Nov 22 2024

...ELEVATED TO BRIEF CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS TODAY AWAY FROM
THE COAST DUE TO LOCALLY GUSTY ONSHORE WINDS AND SINGLE  DIGIT
HUMIDITIES...

...WIDESPREAD WETTING RAINS LIKELY WITH SIGNIFICANT COOLING AND
MOISTENING TONIGHT THROUGH AT LEAST WEDNESDAY...

An extremely dry air mass has moved into southwest California,
focused over the mountains, foothills, and many valleys, where many
stations are continuing to report humidities in the 5 to 10 percent
range.  Meanwhile, onshore wind gusts of 20 to 30 mph will be common
over the mountains and foothills this afternoon and evening. Due to
the very dry air, widespread elevated fire weather conditions are
expected today away from the coast, with brief critical conditions
over the windier mountains and foothills.

A significant pattern change will commence tonight and persist
through Wednesday, with a few impluses bringing threats of rain at
times to the region. Confidence is high in widespread rain over the
region, and that impacts will be minimal through at least Sunday.
Confidence on the details for Monday through Wednesday however
remains low. The most likely outcome is for widespread light to
moderate rain with impacts focused on the roads. However, there is a
20 percent chance of more impactful heavier rainfall for San Luis
Obispo County Monday into Monday night. The preliminary rainfall
estimates for tonight through Wednesday are generally expected to
range between 1.50 to 2.50 inches across much of Santa Barbara and
San Luis Obispo counties, with locally higher amounts likely in the
Santa Lucias. For Ventura and LA counties, rainfall amounts are
generally expected to range betwen 0.33 and 1.50 inches (highest in
western Ventura County). The chance for rain over Thanksgiving
Thursday and Friday is lowering, with some model solutions showing
the potential for some offshore winds and lowering humidity to
develop on Thanksgiving.


$$

ECC031-231745-
Angeles National Forest-
Discussion for Lancaster ECC Dispatch
342 PM PST Fri Nov 22 2024

...ELEVATED TO BRIEF CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS TODAY AWAY FROM
THE COAST DUE TO LOCALLY GUSTY ONSHORE WINDS AND SINGLE  DIGIT
HUMIDITIES...

...WIDESPREAD WETTING RAINS LIKELY WITH SIGNIFICANT COOLING AND
MOISTENING TONIGHT THROUGH AT LEAST WEDNESDAY...

An extremely dry air mass has moved into southwest California,
focused over the mountains, foothills, and many valleys, where many
stations are continuing to report humidities in the 5 to 10 percent
range.  Meanwhile, onshore wind gusts of 20 to 30 mph will be common
over the mountains and foothills this afternoon and evening. Due to
the very dry air, widespread elevated fire weather conditions are
expected today away from the coast, with brief critical conditions
over the windier mountains and foothills.

A significant pattern change will commence tonight and persist
through Wednesday, with a few impluses bringing threats of rain at
times to the region. Confidence is high in widespread rain over the
region, and that impacts will be minimal through at least Sunday.
Confidence on the details for Monday through Wednesday however
remains low. The most likely outcome is for widespread light to
moderate rain with impacts focused on the roads. However, there is a
20 percent chance of more impactful heavier rainfall for San Luis
Obispo County Monday into Monday night. The preliminary rainfall
estimates for tonight through Wednesday are generally expected to
range between 1.50 to 2.50 inches across much of Santa Barbara and
San Luis Obispo counties, with locally higher amounts likely in the
Santa Lucias. For Ventura and LA counties, rainfall amounts are
generally expected to range betwen 0.33 and 1.50 inches (highest in
western Ventura County). The chance for rain over Thanksgiving
Thursday and Friday is lowering, with some model solutions showing
the potential for some offshore winds and lowering humidity to
develop on Thanksgiving.


$$

ECC024-231745-
San Luis Obispo County-
Discussion for San Luis Obispo ECC Dispatch
342 PM PST Fri Nov 22 2024

...ELEVATED TO BRIEF CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS TODAY AWAY FROM
THE COAST DUE TO LOCALLY GUSTY ONSHORE WINDS AND SINGLE  DIGIT
HUMIDITIES...

...WIDESPREAD WETTING RAINS LIKELY WITH SIGNIFICANT COOLING AND
MOISTENING TONIGHT THROUGH AT LEAST WEDNESDAY...

An extremely dry air mass has moved into southwest California,
focused over the mountains, foothills, and many valleys, where many
stations are continuing to report humidities in the 5 to 10 percent
range.  Meanwhile, onshore wind gusts of 20 to 30 mph will be common
over the mountains and foothills this afternoon and evening. Due to
the very dry air, widespread elevated fire weather conditions are
expected today away from the coast, with brief critical conditions
over the windier mountains and foothills.

A significant pattern change will commence tonight and persist
through Wednesday, with a few impluses bringing threats of rain at
times to the region. Confidence is high in widespread rain over the
region, and that impacts will be minimal through at least Sunday.
Confidence on the details for Monday through Wednesday however
remains low. The most likely outcome is for widespread light to
moderate rain with impacts focused on the roads. However, there is a
20 percent chance of more impactful heavier rainfall for San Luis
Obispo County Monday into Monday night. The preliminary rainfall
estimates for tonight through Wednesday are generally expected to
range between 1.50 to 2.50 inches across much of Santa Barbara and
San Luis Obispo counties, with locally higher amounts likely in the
Santa Lucias. For Ventura and LA counties, rainfall amounts are
generally expected to range betwen 0.33 and 1.50 inches (highest in
western Ventura County). The chance for rain over Thanksgiving
Thursday and Friday is lowering, with some model solutions showing
the potential for some offshore winds and lowering humidity to
develop on Thanksgiving.


$$

ECC032-231745-
Ventura County excluding Los Padres National Forest-
Discussion for Ventura ECC Dispatch
342 PM PST Fri Nov 22 2024

...ELEVATED TO BRIEF CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS TODAY AWAY FROM
THE COAST DUE TO LOCALLY GUSTY ONSHORE WINDS AND SINGLE  DIGIT
HUMIDITIES...

...WIDESPREAD WETTING RAINS LIKELY WITH SIGNIFICANT COOLING AND
MOISTENING TONIGHT THROUGH AT LEAST WEDNESDAY...

An extremely dry air mass has moved into southwest California,
focused over the mountains, foothills, and many valleys, where many
stations are continuing to report humidities in the 5 to 10 percent
range.  Meanwhile, onshore wind gusts of 20 to 30 mph will be common
over the mountains and foothills this afternoon and evening. Due to
the very dry air, widespread elevated fire weather conditions are
expected today away from the coast, with brief critical conditions
over the windier mountains and foothills.

A significant pattern change will commence tonight and persist
through Wednesday, with a few impluses bringing threats of rain at
times to the region. Confidence is high in widespread rain over the
region, and that impacts will be minimal through at least Sunday.
Confidence on the details for Monday through Wednesday however
remains low. The most likely outcome is for widespread light to
moderate rain with impacts focused on the roads. However, there is a
20 percent chance of more impactful heavier rainfall for San Luis
Obispo County Monday into Monday night. The preliminary rainfall
estimates for tonight through Wednesday are generally expected to
range between 1.50 to 2.50 inches across much of Santa Barbara and
San Luis Obispo counties, with locally higher amounts likely in the
Santa Lucias. For Ventura and LA counties, rainfall amounts are
generally expected to range betwen 0.33 and 1.50 inches (highest in
western Ventura County). The chance for rain over Thanksgiving
Thursday and Friday is lowering, with some model solutions showing
the potential for some offshore winds and lowering humidity to
develop on Thanksgiving.


$$

ECC030-231745-
Los Angeles County excluding Angeles National Forest-
Discussion for Los Angeles ECC Dispatch
342 PM PST Fri Nov 22 2024

...ELEVATED TO BRIEF CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS TODAY AWAY FROM
THE COAST DUE TO LOCALLY GUSTY ONSHORE WINDS AND SINGLE  DIGIT
HUMIDITIES...

...WIDESPREAD WETTING RAINS LIKELY WITH SIGNIFICANT COOLING AND
MOISTENING TONIGHT THROUGH AT LEAST WEDNESDAY...

An extremely dry air mass has moved into southwest California,
focused over the mountains, foothills, and many valleys, where many
stations are continuing to report humidities in the 5 to 10 percent
range.  Meanwhile, onshore wind gusts of 20 to 30 mph will be common
over the mountains and foothills this afternoon and evening. Due to
the very dry air, widespread elevated fire weather conditions are
expected today away from the coast, with brief critical conditions
over the windier mountains and foothills.

A significant pattern change will commence tonight and persist
through Wednesday, with a few impluses bringing threats of rain at
times to the region. Confidence is high in widespread rain over the
region, and that impacts will be minimal through at least Sunday.
Confidence on the details for Monday through Wednesday however
remains low. The most likely outcome is for widespread light to
moderate rain with impacts focused on the roads. However, there is a
20 percent chance of more impactful heavier rainfall for San Luis
Obispo County Monday into Monday night. The preliminary rainfall
estimates for tonight through Wednesday are generally expected to
range between 1.50 to 2.50 inches across much of Santa Barbara and
San Luis Obispo counties, with locally higher amounts likely in the
Santa Lucias. For Ventura and LA counties, rainfall amounts are
generally expected to range betwen 0.33 and 1.50 inches (highest in
western Ventura County). The chance for rain over Thanksgiving
Thursday and Friday is lowering, with some model solutions showing
the potential for some offshore winds and lowering humidity to
develop on Thanksgiving.


$$