Land Management Forecasts
Issued by NWS Los Angeles, CA

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741
FNUS86 KLOX 161454
FWLLOX

ECCDA Discussions
National Weather Service Los Angeles/Oxnard CA
754 AM PDT Sat Aug 16 2025

ECC029-170900-
Los Padres National Forest-
Discussion for Vandenberg ECC Dispatch
754 AM PDT Sat Aug 16 2025

...Discussion from Monterey...

Winds are reducing across the region but will  remain breezy through
much of Saturday. Gusts will be strongest  directly along the coast,
mountain gaps/passes, and across the  higher terrain. Prefrontal
moisture will lead to an increase in RH overnight as well as coastal
drizzle and slight chances for light rain along the coast and in the
bays. Additional slight chances  for rain arrive along a passing
cold front for the northernmost  portions of the North Bay counties
Saturday evening. Temperatures cool after the front passes leading
to some improvement in  humidities into Sunday. The pattern shifts
into a ridge for the  next work week, leading to a compressing
marine layer and a steady warming trend. The increased warming and
drying will lead to  increasing fire concerns into the end of the
work week.


Note : All winds are 20-foot Winds Unless otherwise specified.
Thunderstorms imply strong, gusty and erratic winds.



...Discussion from Los Angeles/Oxnard...

...LONG DURATION HEATWAVE WITH WIDESPREAD ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER
CONDITIONS INCLUDING POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRES AWAY
FROM THE COAST FROM NEXT TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY...

An upper level trough over the region combined with strong onshore
flow near the surface has deepened the marine layer to around
3000 feet this morning, bringing low clouds and fog into the lower
coastal slopes.  This has brought a cooling trend with improving
fire weather conditions  to much of the region through Sunday.
However, there will still be some locally elevated fire weather
conditions across the Antelope Valleys as onshore winds are expected
to gust between 25 and 35 mph today, while  humidities lower to
between 10 and 20 percent.

A long duration heat wave is becoming more likely next week from
next  Tuesday through Sunday. With onshore flow expected to be
weaker with  this event, heat impacts could potentially spread to
inland portions of  the coastal plain. The combination of hot
temperatures and low  humidities away from the coast will likely
bring widespread elevated  fire weather conditions across the
valleys, mountains, and deserts, with an increased risk of large
plume dominated fires, especially in the  mountains and foothills.
During the peak of the heatwave, which will  likely be Thursday and
Friday, temperatures could soar to between 98  and 108 degrees,
minimum humidities could range between 8 and 20  percent, and mixing
heights could rise to between 10,000 and 16,000 feet across the
interior. The main wind concerns next week will be locally  gusty
and very warm sundowner winds across southwest Santa Barbara
county, as well as northwest to north winds across the interior
mountains, especially near the I-5 corridor. The main focus for
these  winds will likely be Monday through Thursday night.


$$

ECC028-170900-
Santa Barbara County excluding Los Padres National Forest-
Discussion for Santa Barbara ECC Dispatch
754 AM PDT Sat Aug 16 2025

...LONG DURATION HEATWAVE WITH WIDESPREAD ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER
CONDITIONS INCLUDING POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRES AWAY
FROM THE COAST FROM NEXT TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY...

An upper level trough over the region combined with strong onshore
flow near the surface has deepened the marine layer to around
3000 feet this morning, bringing low clouds and fog into the lower
coastal slopes.  This has brought a cooling trend with improving
fire weather conditions  to much of the region through Sunday.
However, there will still be some locally elevated fire weather
conditions across the Antelope Valleys as onshore winds are expected
to gust between 25 and 35 mph today, while  humidities lower to
between 10 and 20 percent.

A long duration heat wave is becoming more likely next week from
next  Tuesday through Sunday. With onshore flow expected to be
weaker with  this event, heat impacts could potentially spread to
inland portions of  the coastal plain. The combination of hot
temperatures and low  humidities away from the coast will likely
bring widespread elevated  fire weather conditions across the
valleys, mountains, and deserts, with an increased risk of large
plume dominated fires, especially in the  mountains and foothills.
During the peak of the heatwave, which will  likely be Thursday and
Friday, temperatures could soar to between 98  and 108 degrees,
minimum humidities could range between 8 and 20  percent, and mixing
heights could rise to between 10,000 and 16,000 feet across the
interior. The main wind concerns next week will be locally  gusty
and very warm sundowner winds across southwest Santa Barbara
county, as well as northwest to north winds across the interior
mountains, especially near the I-5 corridor. The main focus for
these  winds will likely be Monday through Thursday night.


$$

ECC031-170900-
Angeles National Forest-
Discussion for Lancaster ECC Dispatch
754 AM PDT Sat Aug 16 2025

...LONG DURATION HEATWAVE WITH WIDESPREAD ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER
CONDITIONS INCLUDING POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRES AWAY
FROM THE COAST FROM NEXT TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY...

An upper level trough over the region combined with strong onshore
flow near the surface has deepened the marine layer to around
3000 feet this morning, bringing low clouds and fog into the lower
coastal slopes.  This has brought a cooling trend with improving
fire weather conditions  to much of the region through Sunday.
However, there will still be some locally elevated fire weather
conditions across the Antelope Valleys as onshore winds are expected
to gust between 25 and 35 mph today, while  humidities lower to
between 10 and 20 percent.

A long duration heat wave is becoming more likely next week from
next  Tuesday through Sunday. With onshore flow expected to be
weaker with  this event, heat impacts could potentially spread to
inland portions of  the coastal plain. The combination of hot
temperatures and low  humidities away from the coast will likely
bring widespread elevated  fire weather conditions across the
valleys, mountains, and deserts, with an increased risk of large
plume dominated fires, especially in the  mountains and foothills.
During the peak of the heatwave, which will  likely be Thursday and
Friday, temperatures could soar to between 98  and 108 degrees,
minimum humidities could range between 8 and 20  percent, and mixing
heights could rise to between 10,000 and 16,000 feet across the
interior. The main wind concerns next week will be locally  gusty
and very warm sundowner winds across southwest Santa Barbara
county, as well as northwest to north winds across the interior
mountains, especially near the I-5 corridor. The main focus for
these  winds will likely be Monday through Thursday night.


$$

ECC024-170900-
San Luis Obispo County-
Discussion for San Luis Obispo ECC Dispatch
754 AM PDT Sat Aug 16 2025

...LONG DURATION HEATWAVE WITH WIDESPREAD ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER
CONDITIONS INCLUDING POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRES AWAY
FROM THE COAST FROM NEXT TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY...

An upper level trough over the region combined with strong onshore
flow near the surface has deepened the marine layer to around
3000 feet this morning, bringing low clouds and fog into the lower
coastal slopes.  This has brought a cooling trend with improving
fire weather conditions  to much of the region through Sunday.
However, there will still be some locally elevated fire weather
conditions across the Antelope Valleys as onshore winds are expected
to gust between 25 and 35 mph today, while  humidities lower to
between 10 and 20 percent.

A long duration heat wave is becoming more likely next week from
next  Tuesday through Sunday. With onshore flow expected to be
weaker with  this event, heat impacts could potentially spread to
inland portions of  the coastal plain. The combination of hot
temperatures and low  humidities away from the coast will likely
bring widespread elevated  fire weather conditions across the
valleys, mountains, and deserts, with an increased risk of large
plume dominated fires, especially in the  mountains and foothills.
During the peak of the heatwave, which will  likely be Thursday and
Friday, temperatures could soar to between 98  and 108 degrees,
minimum humidities could range between 8 and 20  percent, and mixing
heights could rise to between 10,000 and 16,000 feet across the
interior. The main wind concerns next week will be locally  gusty
and very warm sundowner winds across southwest Santa Barbara
county, as well as northwest to north winds across the interior
mountains, especially near the I-5 corridor. The main focus for
these  winds will likely be Monday through Thursday night.


$$

ECC032-170900-
Ventura County excluding Los Padres National Forest-
Discussion for Ventura ECC Dispatch
754 AM PDT Sat Aug 16 2025

...LONG DURATION HEATWAVE WITH WIDESPREAD ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER
CONDITIONS INCLUDING POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRES AWAY
FROM THE COAST FROM NEXT TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY...

An upper level trough over the region combined with strong onshore
flow near the surface has deepened the marine layer to around
3000 feet this morning, bringing low clouds and fog into the lower
coastal slopes.  This has brought a cooling trend with improving
fire weather conditions  to much of the region through Sunday.
However, there will still be some locally elevated fire weather
conditions across the Antelope Valleys as onshore winds are expected
to gust between 25 and 35 mph today, while  humidities lower to
between 10 and 20 percent.

A long duration heat wave is becoming more likely next week from
next  Tuesday through Sunday. With onshore flow expected to be
weaker with  this event, heat impacts could potentially spread to
inland portions of  the coastal plain. The combination of hot
temperatures and low  humidities away from the coast will likely
bring widespread elevated  fire weather conditions across the
valleys, mountains, and deserts, with an increased risk of large
plume dominated fires, especially in the  mountains and foothills.
During the peak of the heatwave, which will  likely be Thursday and
Friday, temperatures could soar to between 98  and 108 degrees,
minimum humidities could range between 8 and 20  percent, and mixing
heights could rise to between 10,000 and 16,000 feet across the
interior. The main wind concerns next week will be locally  gusty
and very warm sundowner winds across southwest Santa Barbara
county, as well as northwest to north winds across the interior
mountains, especially near the I-5 corridor. The main focus for
these  winds will likely be Monday through Thursday night.


$$

ECC030-170900-
Los Angeles County excluding Angeles National Forest-
Discussion for Los Angeles ECC Dispatch
754 AM PDT Sat Aug 16 2025

...LONG DURATION HEATWAVE WITH WIDESPREAD ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER
CONDITIONS INCLUDING POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRES AWAY
FROM THE COAST FROM NEXT TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY...

An upper level trough over the region combined with strong onshore
flow near the surface has deepened the marine layer to around
3000 feet this morning, bringing low clouds and fog into the lower
coastal slopes.  This has brought a cooling trend with improving
fire weather conditions  to much of the region through Sunday.
However, there will still be some locally elevated fire weather
conditions across the Antelope Valleys as onshore winds are expected
to gust between 25 and 35 mph today, while  humidities lower to
between 10 and 20 percent.

A long duration heat wave is becoming more likely next week from
next  Tuesday through Sunday. With onshore flow expected to be
weaker with  this event, heat impacts could potentially spread to
inland portions of  the coastal plain. The combination of hot
temperatures and low  humidities away from the coast will likely
bring widespread elevated  fire weather conditions across the
valleys, mountains, and deserts, with an increased risk of large
plume dominated fires, especially in the  mountains and foothills.
During the peak of the heatwave, which will  likely be Thursday and
Friday, temperatures could soar to between 98  and 108 degrees,
minimum humidities could range between 8 and 20  percent, and mixing
heights could rise to between 10,000 and 16,000 feet across the
interior. The main wind concerns next week will be locally  gusty
and very warm sundowner winds across southwest Santa Barbara
county, as well as northwest to north winds across the interior
mountains, especially near the I-5 corridor. The main focus for
these  winds will likely be Monday through Thursday night.


$$