Land Management Forecasts
Issued by NWS Los Angeles, CA

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ECCDA Discussions
National Weather Service Los Angeles/Oxnard CA
343 PM PDT Tue Mar 11 2025

ECC029-112345-
Los Padres National Forest-
Discussion for Vandenberg ECC Dispatch
343 PM PDT Tue Mar 11 2025

...Discussion from Monterey...

A series of low pressure systems will bring widespread wetting rains
to the area this week starting late  tonight (Tuesday) with the
first round of rain expected late  Tuesday through Thursday. Winds
will be breezy with widespread  gusts between 35 to 45 mph across
gaps and passes with locally  higher gusts up to 60 mph possible
along mountain ridgetops on  Wednesday. There is a 15 to 20% chance
of thunderstorms (highest  probability directly along the coast)
Wednesday into early  Thursday. Snow levels drop to around 3000 feet
on Thursday with  some potential for snow in the Santa Lucia Range.
While the  initial Tuesday to Thursday storm looks to be the most
impactful,  additional rounds of wetting rains are expected Friday
into next  week.

Note : All winds are 20-foot Winds Unless otherwise specified.
Thunderstorms imply strong, gusty and erratic winds.



...Discussion from Los Angeles/Oxnard...

...PERIODS OF RAIN AND MOUNTAIN SNOW THROUGH FRIDAY, WITH POTENTIAL FOR
FLOODING, DEBRIS FLOWS, MOUNTAIN SNOW, THUNDERSTORMS, AND GUSTY
WINDS...

...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT WEDNESDAY NIGHT INTO THURSDAY FOR MANY
AREAS SOUTH OF POINT CONCEPTION, MAINLY FOCUSED ON RECENT BURN SCARS
WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR DEBRIS FLOWS...

Isolated off and on again light showers will linger through tonight,
then increase in coverage during the day on Wednesday. Widespread
moderate to heavy rain and mountain snow will work down the coast
Wednesday Night into early Thursday. Peak rain rates of 0.5 to 1.0
inches per hour will be common, especially in the favored foothills.
 Minor flooding and shallow debris flows are likely, with a moderate
risk for deeper more impactful debris flows. Moderate to strong
south winds  are also expected, with gusts of 45 to 65 mph focused
over the  mountains, interior valleys, and Central Coast. On
Thursday the flooding risk will lower some but not go away as
scattered showers and  thunderstorms persist. Any thunderstorm that
forms will be capable of  producing brief heavy rain, gusty winds,
and a remote risk of a weak  tornado. Rain totals of 1 to 2 inches
will be common, with 2 to 4 inches in the favored south-facing
mountains and foothills. Snow levels will  lower with impacts to
most mountain roads including Interstate 5. Fairly widespread west
to northwest wind gusts of 30 to 50 mph will form  Thursday
afternoon and evening.

After a break on Thursday Night, another but weak storm will move
through the area on Friday with minimal impacts. Fairly quiet
conditions over the weekend, with another weak storm possible around
Monday. Warmer and drier conditions to follow through the rest of
next week.


$$

ECC028-112345-
Santa Barbara County excluding Los Padres National Forest-
Discussion for Santa Barbara ECC Dispatch
343 PM PDT Tue Mar 11 2025

...PERIODS OF RAIN AND MOUNTAIN SNOW THROUGH FRIDAY, WITH POTENTIAL FOR
FLOODING, DEBRIS FLOWS, MOUNTAIN SNOW, THUNDERSTORMS, AND GUSTY
WINDS...

...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT WEDNESDAY NIGHT INTO THURSDAY FOR MANY
AREAS SOUTH OF POINT CONCEPTION, MAINLY FOCUSED ON RECENT BURN SCARS
WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR DEBRIS FLOWS...

Isolated off and on again light showers will linger through tonight,
then increase in coverage during the day on Wednesday. Widespread
moderate to heavy rain and mountain snow will work down the coast
Wednesday Night into early Thursday. Peak rain rates of 0.5 to 1.0
inches per hour will be common, especially in the favored foothills.
 Minor flooding and shallow debris flows are likely, with a moderate
risk for deeper more impactful debris flows. Moderate to strong
south winds  are also expected, with gusts of 45 to 65 mph focused
over the  mountains, interior valleys, and Central Coast. On
Thursday the flooding risk will lower some but not go away as
scattered showers and  thunderstorms persist. Any thunderstorm that
forms will be capable of  producing brief heavy rain, gusty winds,
and a remote risk of a weak  tornado. Rain totals of 1 to 2 inches
will be common, with 2 to 4 inches in the favored south-facing
mountains and foothills. Snow levels will  lower with impacts to
most mountain roads including Interstate 5. Fairly widespread west
to northwest wind gusts of 30 to 50 mph will form  Thursday
afternoon and evening.

After a break on Thursday Night, another but weak storm will move
through the area on Friday with minimal impacts. Fairly quiet
conditions over the weekend, with another weak storm possible around
Monday. Warmer and drier conditions to follow through the rest of
next week.


$$

ECC031-112345-
Angeles National Forest-
Discussion for Lancaster ECC Dispatch
343 PM PDT Tue Mar 11 2025

...PERIODS OF RAIN AND MOUNTAIN SNOW THROUGH FRIDAY, WITH POTENTIAL FOR
FLOODING, DEBRIS FLOWS, MOUNTAIN SNOW, THUNDERSTORMS, AND GUSTY
WINDS...

...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT WEDNESDAY NIGHT INTO THURSDAY FOR MANY
AREAS SOUTH OF POINT CONCEPTION, MAINLY FOCUSED ON RECENT BURN SCARS
WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR DEBRIS FLOWS...

Isolated off and on again light showers will linger through tonight,
then increase in coverage during the day on Wednesday. Widespread
moderate to heavy rain and mountain snow will work down the coast
Wednesday Night into early Thursday. Peak rain rates of 0.5 to 1.0
inches per hour will be common, especially in the favored foothills.
 Minor flooding and shallow debris flows are likely, with a moderate
risk for deeper more impactful debris flows. Moderate to strong
south winds  are also expected, with gusts of 45 to 65 mph focused
over the  mountains, interior valleys, and Central Coast. On
Thursday the flooding risk will lower some but not go away as
scattered showers and  thunderstorms persist. Any thunderstorm that
forms will be capable of  producing brief heavy rain, gusty winds,
and a remote risk of a weak  tornado. Rain totals of 1 to 2 inches
will be common, with 2 to 4 inches in the favored south-facing
mountains and foothills. Snow levels will  lower with impacts to
most mountain roads including Interstate 5. Fairly widespread west
to northwest wind gusts of 30 to 50 mph will form  Thursday
afternoon and evening.

After a break on Thursday Night, another but weak storm will move
through the area on Friday with minimal impacts. Fairly quiet
conditions over the weekend, with another weak storm possible around
Monday. Warmer and drier conditions to follow through the rest of
next week.


$$

ECC024-112345-
San Luis Obispo County-
Discussion for San Luis Obispo ECC Dispatch
343 PM PDT Tue Mar 11 2025

...PERIODS OF RAIN AND MOUNTAIN SNOW THROUGH FRIDAY, WITH POTENTIAL FOR
FLOODING, DEBRIS FLOWS, MOUNTAIN SNOW, THUNDERSTORMS, AND GUSTY
WINDS...

...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT WEDNESDAY NIGHT INTO THURSDAY FOR MANY
AREAS SOUTH OF POINT CONCEPTION, MAINLY FOCUSED ON RECENT BURN SCARS
WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR DEBRIS FLOWS...

Isolated off and on again light showers will linger through tonight,
then increase in coverage during the day on Wednesday. Widespread
moderate to heavy rain and mountain snow will work down the coast
Wednesday Night into early Thursday. Peak rain rates of 0.5 to 1.0
inches per hour will be common, especially in the favored foothills.
 Minor flooding and shallow debris flows are likely, with a moderate
risk for deeper more impactful debris flows. Moderate to strong
south winds  are also expected, with gusts of 45 to 65 mph focused
over the  mountains, interior valleys, and Central Coast. On
Thursday the flooding risk will lower some but not go away as
scattered showers and  thunderstorms persist. Any thunderstorm that
forms will be capable of  producing brief heavy rain, gusty winds,
and a remote risk of a weak  tornado. Rain totals of 1 to 2 inches
will be common, with 2 to 4 inches in the favored south-facing
mountains and foothills. Snow levels will  lower with impacts to
most mountain roads including Interstate 5. Fairly widespread west
to northwest wind gusts of 30 to 50 mph will form  Thursday
afternoon and evening.

After a break on Thursday Night, another but weak storm will move
through the area on Friday with minimal impacts. Fairly quiet
conditions over the weekend, with another weak storm possible around
Monday. Warmer and drier conditions to follow through the rest of
next week.


$$

ECC032-112345-
Ventura County excluding Los Padres National Forest-
Discussion for Ventura ECC Dispatch
343 PM PDT Tue Mar 11 2025

...PERIODS OF RAIN AND MOUNTAIN SNOW THROUGH FRIDAY, WITH POTENTIAL FOR
FLOODING, DEBRIS FLOWS, MOUNTAIN SNOW, THUNDERSTORMS, AND GUSTY
WINDS...

...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT WEDNESDAY NIGHT INTO THURSDAY FOR MANY
AREAS SOUTH OF POINT CONCEPTION, MAINLY FOCUSED ON RECENT BURN SCARS
WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR DEBRIS FLOWS...

Isolated off and on again light showers will linger through tonight,
then increase in coverage during the day on Wednesday. Widespread
moderate to heavy rain and mountain snow will work down the coast
Wednesday Night into early Thursday. Peak rain rates of 0.5 to 1.0
inches per hour will be common, especially in the favored foothills.
 Minor flooding and shallow debris flows are likely, with a moderate
risk for deeper more impactful debris flows. Moderate to strong
south winds  are also expected, with gusts of 45 to 65 mph focused
over the  mountains, interior valleys, and Central Coast. On
Thursday the flooding risk will lower some but not go away as
scattered showers and  thunderstorms persist. Any thunderstorm that
forms will be capable of  producing brief heavy rain, gusty winds,
and a remote risk of a weak  tornado. Rain totals of 1 to 2 inches
will be common, with 2 to 4 inches in the favored south-facing
mountains and foothills. Snow levels will  lower with impacts to
most mountain roads including Interstate 5. Fairly widespread west
to northwest wind gusts of 30 to 50 mph will form  Thursday
afternoon and evening.

After a break on Thursday Night, another but weak storm will move
through the area on Friday with minimal impacts. Fairly quiet
conditions over the weekend, with another weak storm possible around
Monday. Warmer and drier conditions to follow through the rest of
next week.


$$

ECC030-112345-
Los Angeles County excluding Angeles National Forest-
Discussion for Los Angeles ECC Dispatch
343 PM PDT Tue Mar 11 2025

...PERIODS OF RAIN AND MOUNTAIN SNOW THROUGH FRIDAY, WITH POTENTIAL FOR
FLOODING, DEBRIS FLOWS, MOUNTAIN SNOW, THUNDERSTORMS, AND GUSTY
WINDS...

...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT WEDNESDAY NIGHT INTO THURSDAY FOR MANY
AREAS SOUTH OF POINT CONCEPTION, MAINLY FOCUSED ON RECENT BURN SCARS
WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR DEBRIS FLOWS...

Isolated off and on again light showers will linger through tonight,
then increase in coverage during the day on Wednesday. Widespread
moderate to heavy rain and mountain snow will work down the coast
Wednesday Night into early Thursday. Peak rain rates of 0.5 to 1.0
inches per hour will be common, especially in the favored foothills.
 Minor flooding and shallow debris flows are likely, with a moderate
risk for deeper more impactful debris flows. Moderate to strong
south winds  are also expected, with gusts of 45 to 65 mph focused
over the  mountains, interior valleys, and Central Coast. On
Thursday the flooding risk will lower some but not go away as
scattered showers and  thunderstorms persist. Any thunderstorm that
forms will be capable of  producing brief heavy rain, gusty winds,
and a remote risk of a weak  tornado. Rain totals of 1 to 2 inches
will be common, with 2 to 4 inches in the favored south-facing
mountains and foothills. Snow levels will  lower with impacts to
most mountain roads including Interstate 5. Fairly widespread west
to northwest wind gusts of 30 to 50 mph will form  Thursday
afternoon and evening.

After a break on Thursday Night, another but weak storm will move
through the area on Friday with minimal impacts. Fairly quiet
conditions over the weekend, with another weak storm possible around
Monday. Warmer and drier conditions to follow through the rest of
next week.


$$