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FNUS86 KLOX 152345
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ECCDA Discussions
National Weather Service Los Angeles/Oxnard CA
345 PM PST Sat Nov 15 2025

ECC029-161745-
Los Padres National Forest-
Discussion for Vandenberg ECC Dispatch
345 PM PST Sat Nov 15 2025

...Discussion from Monterey...

Fire weather concerns are low with ample recent rainfall, and
multiple rounds of rainfall and cooler than normal  temperatures
through the weekend and the remainder of the extended forecast.

Note : All winds are 20-foot Winds Unless otherwise specified.
Thunderstorms imply strong, gusty and erratic winds.



...Discussion from Los Angeles/Oxnard...

...PERIODS OF RAIN EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH TUESDAY WITH ANOTHER
POSSIBLE STORM LATE WEEK...

  The current strong early season storm system will continue to
impact the area through tonight. Rainfall coverage and overall
intensity will continue to decrease through the afternoon and
tonight, but isolated stronger storms or thunderstorms will still be
possible through this evening, resulting in the continuation of the
Flood Watch. Areas under a Flood Watch will still have the potential
for brief heavy downpours capable of producing shallow debris flows,
roadway flooding, and additional rock/mudslide activity.  Light to
moderate shower activity is still expected to continue on Sunday,
then another storm will bring widespread light to moderate rain to
the region Monday into Tuesday. This system could bring 1 to
2 inches in the Monday through Tuesday time frame, but rainfall
rates and associated impacts are expected to be less than today`s
storm. Another storm is then possible to impact the area Thursday
into Friday, but there is still a good amount of uncertainty in
timing and amounts.


$$

ECC028-161745-
Santa Barbara County excluding Los Padres National Forest-
Discussion for Santa Barbara ECC Dispatch
345 PM PST Sat Nov 15 2025

...PERIODS OF RAIN EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH TUESDAY WITH ANOTHER
POSSIBLE STORM LATE WEEK...

  The current strong early season storm system will continue to
impact the area through tonight. Rainfall coverage and overall
intensity will continue to decrease through the afternoon and
tonight, but isolated stronger storms or thunderstorms will still be
possible through this evening, resulting in the continuation of the
Flood Watch. Areas under a Flood Watch will still have the potential
for brief heavy downpours capable of producing shallow debris flows,
roadway flooding, and additional rock/mudslide activity.  Light to
moderate shower activity is still expected to continue on Sunday,
then another storm will bring widespread light to moderate rain to
the region Monday into Tuesday. This system could bring 1 to
2 inches in the Monday through Tuesday time frame, but rainfall
rates and associated impacts are expected to be less than today`s
storm. Another storm is then possible to impact the area Thursday
into Friday, but there is still a good amount of uncertainty in
timing and amounts.


$$

ECC031-161745-
Angeles National Forest-
Discussion for Lancaster ECC Dispatch
345 PM PST Sat Nov 15 2025

...PERIODS OF RAIN EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH TUESDAY WITH ANOTHER
POSSIBLE STORM LATE WEEK...

  The current strong early season storm system will continue to
impact the area through tonight. Rainfall coverage and overall
intensity will continue to decrease through the afternoon and
tonight, but isolated stronger storms or thunderstorms will still be
possible through this evening, resulting in the continuation of the
Flood Watch. Areas under a Flood Watch will still have the potential
for brief heavy downpours capable of producing shallow debris flows,
roadway flooding, and additional rock/mudslide activity.  Light to
moderate shower activity is still expected to continue on Sunday,
then another storm will bring widespread light to moderate rain to
the region Monday into Tuesday. This system could bring 1 to
2 inches in the Monday through Tuesday time frame, but rainfall
rates and associated impacts are expected to be less than today`s
storm. Another storm is then possible to impact the area Thursday
into Friday, but there is still a good amount of uncertainty in
timing and amounts.


$$

ECC024-161745-
San Luis Obispo County-
Discussion for San Luis Obispo ECC Dispatch
345 PM PST Sat Nov 15 2025

...PERIODS OF RAIN EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH TUESDAY WITH ANOTHER
POSSIBLE STORM LATE WEEK...

  The current strong early season storm system will continue to
impact the area through tonight. Rainfall coverage and overall
intensity will continue to decrease through the afternoon and
tonight, but isolated stronger storms or thunderstorms will still be
possible through this evening, resulting in the continuation of the
Flood Watch. Areas under a Flood Watch will still have the potential
for brief heavy downpours capable of producing shallow debris flows,
roadway flooding, and additional rock/mudslide activity.  Light to
moderate shower activity is still expected to continue on Sunday,
then another storm will bring widespread light to moderate rain to
the region Monday into Tuesday. This system could bring 1 to
2 inches in the Monday through Tuesday time frame, but rainfall
rates and associated impacts are expected to be less than today`s
storm. Another storm is then possible to impact the area Thursday
into Friday, but there is still a good amount of uncertainty in
timing and amounts.


$$

ECC032-161745-
Ventura County excluding Los Padres National Forest-
Discussion for Ventura ECC Dispatch
345 PM PST Sat Nov 15 2025

...PERIODS OF RAIN EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH TUESDAY WITH ANOTHER
POSSIBLE STORM LATE WEEK...

  The current strong early season storm system will continue to
impact the area through tonight. Rainfall coverage and overall
intensity will continue to decrease through the afternoon and
tonight, but isolated stronger storms or thunderstorms will still be
possible through this evening, resulting in the continuation of the
Flood Watch. Areas under a Flood Watch will still have the potential
for brief heavy downpours capable of producing shallow debris flows,
roadway flooding, and additional rock/mudslide activity.  Light to
moderate shower activity is still expected to continue on Sunday,
then another storm will bring widespread light to moderate rain to
the region Monday into Tuesday. This system could bring 1 to
2 inches in the Monday through Tuesday time frame, but rainfall
rates and associated impacts are expected to be less than today`s
storm. Another storm is then possible to impact the area Thursday
into Friday, but there is still a good amount of uncertainty in
timing and amounts.


$$

ECC030-161745-
Los Angeles County excluding Angeles National Forest-
Discussion for Los Angeles ECC Dispatch
345 PM PST Sat Nov 15 2025

...PERIODS OF RAIN EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH TUESDAY WITH ANOTHER
POSSIBLE STORM LATE WEEK...

  The current strong early season storm system will continue to
impact the area through tonight. Rainfall coverage and overall
intensity will continue to decrease through the afternoon and
tonight, but isolated stronger storms or thunderstorms will still be
possible through this evening, resulting in the continuation of the
Flood Watch. Areas under a Flood Watch will still have the potential
for brief heavy downpours capable of producing shallow debris flows,
roadway flooding, and additional rock/mudslide activity.  Light to
moderate shower activity is still expected to continue on Sunday,
then another storm will bring widespread light to moderate rain to
the region Monday into Tuesday. This system could bring 1 to
2 inches in the Monday through Tuesday time frame, but rainfall
rates and associated impacts are expected to be less than today`s
storm. Another storm is then possible to impact the area Thursday
into Friday, but there is still a good amount of uncertainty in
timing and amounts.


$$