Land Management Forecasts
Issued by NWS Los Angeles, CA
Issued by NWS Los Angeles, CA
315 FNUS86 KLOX 101649 FWLLOX ECCDA Discussions National Weather Service Los Angeles/Oxnard CA 949 AM PDT Mon Aug 10 2026 ECC029-111100- Los Padres National Forest- Discussion for Vandenberg ECC Dispatch 949 AM PDT Mon Aug 10 2026 ...Discussion from Monterey... ...ELEVATED TO NEAR-CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS PERSIST TODAY ACROSS THE INTERIOR AND THE SANTA LUCIA RANGE DUE TO HOT AND DRY CONDITIONS... The marine layer has deepened overnight while it was still warm and dry across the higher terrain of the district. Coastal stratus and fog have redeveloped with some inland intrusion of stratus and fog taking place this morning. Stratus and fog will mix out by late morning, with stratus and fog returning tonight and Tuesday morning. With a steadily deepening marine layer this week expect an increase in humidity each day through the rest of the week. Gusty onshore winds will persist especially each afternoon and evening with gusts up to 25 to 35 mph through gaps, passes and favored valleys. Note : All winds are 20-foot Winds Unless otherwise specified. Thunderstorms imply strong, gusty and erratic winds. ...Discussion from Los Angeles/Oxnard... ...ELEVATED TO BRIEF CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS AND INCREASED RISK FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRES TODAY INTO TUESDAY ACROSS INTERIOR VALLEYS, MOUNTAINS, AND DESERTS... ...INFLUX OF MONSOONAL MOISTURE WILL BRING CHANCES OF THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH WEDNESDAY ACROSS THE MOUNTAINS AND DESERTS, WITH A VERY SMALL RISK EXTENDING INTO ALL OF SAN LUIS OBISPO AND SANTA BARBARA COUNTIES TUESDAY AFTERNOON INTO WEDNESDAY... Widespread elevated to brief critical fire weather conditions will continue today into Tuesday across interior valleys, mountains, and deserts due to hot, dry, and breezy conditions. Deep mixing heights and the influx of some monsoonal moisture/instability will lead to an increased risk for plume dominated fire behavior today and Tuesday. Mixing heights will continue to range between 10,000 and 16,000 feet across the interior today and Tuesday. There is a 10 to 15 percent chance of monsoonal thunderstorms this afternoon across the northern Ventura county mountains and eastern San Gabriels/eastern Antelope Valley. Any storms today will bring the potential for isolated dry lightning strikes and strong/erratic outflow wind gusts of 40 to 50 mph. From tuesday into Wednesday, the monsoonal moisture and instability are somewhat enhanced, leading to a 30-50 percent chance of thunderstorms across the Ventura County/Santa Barbara county interior mountains and eastern San Gabriels extneding into eastern Antelope Valley. The storms in these areas on Tuesday and Wednesday are expected to be wetter. Enhanced upper level instability will also bring a 5-10 percent chance of thunderstorms with isolated dry lightning risk across the remaining portions of San Luis Obispo, Santa Barbara, and Ventura counties on Tuesday, then mainly confined to the Central Coast on Wednesday. Humidites over the far interior will commonly be in the 8 to 20 percent range with fairly typical onshore winds of 10 to 25 mph with gusts up to 20 to 35 mph in windiest areas over the interior. The best overlap of gusty onshore winds with low humidities to bring brief critical fire weather conditions each afternoon will be today. A gradual cooling trend is expected today, with the potential for temperatures to reach normal or even below normal by Wednesday and Thursday. An upper level low pressure system off the coast could pull in some subtropical moisture into the region sometime between Thursday and Saturday, with a 5-10 percent chance of showers and elevated thunderstorms (with highest risk across the Central Coast). If any thunderstorms were to develop, the main risk would be isolated dry lightning strikes. $$ ECC028-111100- Santa Barbara County excluding Los Padres National Forest- Discussion for Santa Barbara ECC Dispatch 949 AM PDT Mon Aug 10 2026 ...ELEVATED TO BRIEF CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS AND INCREASED RISK FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRES TODAY INTO TUESDAY ACROSS INTERIOR VALLEYS, MOUNTAINS, AND DESERTS... ...INFLUX OF MONSOONAL MOISTURE WILL BRING CHANCES OF THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH WEDNESDAY ACROSS THE MOUNTAINS AND DESERTS, WITH A VERY SMALL RISK EXTENDING INTO ALL OF SAN LUIS OBISPO AND SANTA BARBARA COUNTIES TUESDAY AFTERNOON INTO WEDNESDAY... Widespread elevated to brief critical fire weather conditions will continue today into Tuesday across interior valleys, mountains, and deserts due to hot, dry, and breezy conditions. Deep mixing heights and the influx of some monsoonal moisture/instability will lead to an increased risk for plume dominated fire behavior today and Tuesday. Mixing heights will continue to range between 10,000 and 16,000 feet across the interior today and Tuesday. There is a 10 to 15 percent chance of monsoonal thunderstorms this afternoon across the northern Ventura county mountains and eastern San Gabriels/eastern Antelope Valley. Any storms today will bring the potential for isolated dry lightning strikes and strong/erratic outflow wind gusts of 40 to 50 mph. From tuesday into Wednesday, the monsoonal moisture and instability are somewhat enhanced, leading to a 30-50 percent chance of thunderstorms across the Ventura County/Santa Barbara county interior mountains and eastern San Gabriels extneding into eastern Antelope Valley. The storms in these areas on Tuesday and Wednesday are expected to be wetter. Enhanced upper level instability will also bring a 5-10 percent chance of thunderstorms with isolated dry lightning risk across the remaining portions of San Luis Obispo, Santa Barbara, and Ventura counties on Tuesday, then mainly confined to the Central Coast on Wednesday. Humidites over the far interior will commonly be in the 8 to 20 percent range with fairly typical onshore winds of 10 to 25 mph with gusts up to 20 to 35 mph in windiest areas over the interior. The best overlap of gusty onshore winds with low humidities to bring brief critical fire weather conditions each afternoon will be today. A gradual cooling trend is expected today, with the potential for temperatures to reach normal or even below normal by Wednesday and Thursday. An upper level low pressure system off the coast could pull in some subtropical moisture into the region sometime between Thursday and Saturday, with a 5-10 percent chance of showers and elevated thunderstorms (with highest risk across the Central Coast). If any thunderstorms were to develop, the main risk would be isolated dry lightning strikes. $$ ECC031-111100- Angeles National Forest- Discussion for Lancaster ECC Dispatch 949 AM PDT Mon Aug 10 2026 ...ELEVATED TO BRIEF CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS AND INCREASED RISK FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRES TODAY INTO TUESDAY ACROSS INTERIOR VALLEYS, MOUNTAINS, AND DESERTS... ...INFLUX OF MONSOONAL MOISTURE WILL BRING CHANCES OF THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH WEDNESDAY ACROSS THE MOUNTAINS AND DESERTS, WITH A VERY SMALL RISK EXTENDING INTO ALL OF SAN LUIS OBISPO AND SANTA BARBARA COUNTIES TUESDAY AFTERNOON INTO WEDNESDAY... Widespread elevated to brief critical fire weather conditions will continue today into Tuesday across interior valleys, mountains, and deserts due to hot, dry, and breezy conditions. Deep mixing heights and the influx of some monsoonal moisture/instability will lead to an increased risk for plume dominated fire behavior today and Tuesday. Mixing heights will continue to range between 10,000 and 16,000 feet across the interior today and Tuesday. There is a 10 to 15 percent chance of monsoonal thunderstorms this afternoon across the northern Ventura county mountains and eastern San Gabriels/eastern Antelope Valley. Any storms today will bring the potential for isolated dry lightning strikes and strong/erratic outflow wind gusts of 40 to 50 mph. From tuesday into Wednesday, the monsoonal moisture and instability are somewhat enhanced, leading to a 30-50 percent chance of thunderstorms across the Ventura County/Santa Barbara county interior mountains and eastern San Gabriels extneding into eastern Antelope Valley. The storms in these areas on Tuesday and Wednesday are expected to be wetter. Enhanced upper level instability will also bring a 5-10 percent chance of thunderstorms with isolated dry lightning risk across the remaining portions of San Luis Obispo, Santa Barbara, and Ventura counties on Tuesday, then mainly confined to the Central Coast on Wednesday. Humidites over the far interior will commonly be in the 8 to 20 percent range with fairly typical onshore winds of 10 to 25 mph with gusts up to 20 to 35 mph in windiest areas over the interior. The best overlap of gusty onshore winds with low humidities to bring brief critical fire weather conditions each afternoon will be today. A gradual cooling trend is expected today, with the potential for temperatures to reach normal or even below normal by Wednesday and Thursday. An upper level low pressure system off the coast could pull in some subtropical moisture into the region sometime between Thursday and Saturday, with a 5-10 percent chance of showers and elevated thunderstorms (with highest risk across the Central Coast). If any thunderstorms were to develop, the main risk would be isolated dry lightning strikes. $$ ECC024-111100- San Luis Obispo County- Discussion for San Luis Obispo ECC Dispatch 949 AM PDT Mon Aug 10 2026 ...ELEVATED TO BRIEF CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS AND INCREASED RISK FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRES TODAY INTO TUESDAY ACROSS INTERIOR VALLEYS, MOUNTAINS, AND DESERTS... ...INFLUX OF MONSOONAL MOISTURE WILL BRING CHANCES OF THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH WEDNESDAY ACROSS THE MOUNTAINS AND DESERTS, WITH A VERY SMALL RISK EXTENDING INTO ALL OF SAN LUIS OBISPO AND SANTA BARBARA COUNTIES TUESDAY AFTERNOON INTO WEDNESDAY... Widespread elevated to brief critical fire weather conditions will continue today into Tuesday across interior valleys, mountains, and deserts due to hot, dry, and breezy conditions. Deep mixing heights and the influx of some monsoonal moisture/instability will lead to an increased risk for plume dominated fire behavior today and Tuesday. Mixing heights will continue to range between 10,000 and 16,000 feet across the interior today and Tuesday. There is a 10 to 15 percent chance of monsoonal thunderstorms this afternoon across the northern Ventura county mountains and eastern San Gabriels/eastern Antelope Valley. Any storms today will bring the potential for isolated dry lightning strikes and strong/erratic outflow wind gusts of 40 to 50 mph. From tuesday into Wednesday, the monsoonal moisture and instability are somewhat enhanced, leading to a 30-50 percent chance of thunderstorms across the Ventura County/Santa Barbara county interior mountains and eastern San Gabriels extneding into eastern Antelope Valley. The storms in these areas on Tuesday and Wednesday are expected to be wetter. Enhanced upper level instability will also bring a 5-10 percent chance of thunderstorms with isolated dry lightning risk across the remaining portions of San Luis Obispo, Santa Barbara, and Ventura counties on Tuesday, then mainly confined to the Central Coast on Wednesday. Humidites over the far interior will commonly be in the 8 to 20 percent range with fairly typical onshore winds of 10 to 25 mph with gusts up to 20 to 35 mph in windiest areas over the interior. The best overlap of gusty onshore winds with low humidities to bring brief critical fire weather conditions each afternoon will be today. A gradual cooling trend is expected today, with the potential for temperatures to reach normal or even below normal by Wednesday and Thursday. An upper level low pressure system off the coast could pull in some subtropical moisture into the region sometime between Thursday and Saturday, with a 5-10 percent chance of showers and elevated thunderstorms (with highest risk across the Central Coast). If any thunderstorms were to develop, the main risk would be isolated dry lightning strikes. $$ ECC032-111100- Ventura County excluding Los Padres National Forest- Discussion for Ventura ECC Dispatch 949 AM PDT Mon Aug 10 2026 ...ELEVATED TO BRIEF CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS AND INCREASED RISK FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRES TODAY INTO TUESDAY ACROSS INTERIOR VALLEYS, MOUNTAINS, AND DESERTS... ...INFLUX OF MONSOONAL MOISTURE WILL BRING CHANCES OF THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH WEDNESDAY ACROSS THE MOUNTAINS AND DESERTS, WITH A VERY SMALL RISK EXTENDING INTO ALL OF SAN LUIS OBISPO AND SANTA BARBARA COUNTIES TUESDAY AFTERNOON INTO WEDNESDAY... Widespread elevated to brief critical fire weather conditions will continue today into Tuesday across interior valleys, mountains, and deserts due to hot, dry, and breezy conditions. Deep mixing heights and the influx of some monsoonal moisture/instability will lead to an increased risk for plume dominated fire behavior today and Tuesday. Mixing heights will continue to range between 10,000 and 16,000 feet across the interior today and Tuesday. There is a 10 to 15 percent chance of monsoonal thunderstorms this afternoon across the northern Ventura county mountains and eastern San Gabriels/eastern Antelope Valley. Any storms today will bring the potential for isolated dry lightning strikes and strong/erratic outflow wind gusts of 40 to 50 mph. From tuesday into Wednesday, the monsoonal moisture and instability are somewhat enhanced, leading to a 30-50 percent chance of thunderstorms across the Ventura County/Santa Barbara county interior mountains and eastern San Gabriels extneding into eastern Antelope Valley. The storms in these areas on Tuesday and Wednesday are expected to be wetter. Enhanced upper level instability will also bring a 5-10 percent chance of thunderstorms with isolated dry lightning risk across the remaining portions of San Luis Obispo, Santa Barbara, and Ventura counties on Tuesday, then mainly confined to the Central Coast on Wednesday. Humidites over the far interior will commonly be in the 8 to 20 percent range with fairly typical onshore winds of 10 to 25 mph with gusts up to 20 to 35 mph in windiest areas over the interior. The best overlap of gusty onshore winds with low humidities to bring brief critical fire weather conditions each afternoon will be today. A gradual cooling trend is expected today, with the potential for temperatures to reach normal or even below normal by Wednesday and Thursday. An upper level low pressure system off the coast could pull in some subtropical moisture into the region sometime between Thursday and Saturday, with a 5-10 percent chance of showers and elevated thunderstorms (with highest risk across the Central Coast). If any thunderstorms were to develop, the main risk would be isolated dry lightning strikes. $$ ECC030-111100- Los Angeles County excluding Angeles National Forest- Discussion for Los Angeles ECC Dispatch 949 AM PDT Mon Aug 10 2026 ...ELEVATED TO BRIEF CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS AND INCREASED RISK FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRES TODAY INTO TUESDAY ACROSS INTERIOR VALLEYS, MOUNTAINS, AND DESERTS... ...INFLUX OF MONSOONAL MOISTURE WILL BRING CHANCES OF THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH WEDNESDAY ACROSS THE MOUNTAINS AND DESERTS, WITH A VERY SMALL RISK EXTENDING INTO ALL OF SAN LUIS OBISPO AND SANTA BARBARA COUNTIES TUESDAY AFTERNOON INTO WEDNESDAY... Widespread elevated to brief critical fire weather conditions will continue today into Tuesday across interior valleys, mountains, and deserts due to hot, dry, and breezy conditions. Deep mixing heights and the influx of some monsoonal moisture/instability will lead to an increased risk for plume dominated fire behavior today and Tuesday. Mixing heights will continue to range between 10,000 and 16,000 feet across the interior today and Tuesday. There is a 10 to 15 percent chance of monsoonal thunderstorms this afternoon across the northern Ventura county mountains and eastern San Gabriels/eastern Antelope Valley. Any storms today will bring the potential for isolated dry lightning strikes and strong/erratic outflow wind gusts of 40 to 50 mph. From tuesday into Wednesday, the monsoonal moisture and instability are somewhat enhanced, leading to a 30-50 percent chance of thunderstorms across the Ventura County/Santa Barbara county interior mountains and eastern San Gabriels extneding into eastern Antelope Valley. The storms in these areas on Tuesday and Wednesday are expected to be wetter. Enhanced upper level instability will also bring a 5-10 percent chance of thunderstorms with isolated dry lightning risk across the remaining portions of San Luis Obispo, Santa Barbara, and Ventura counties on Tuesday, then mainly confined to the Central Coast on Wednesday. Humidites over the far interior will commonly be in the 8 to 20 percent range with fairly typical onshore winds of 10 to 25 mph with gusts up to 20 to 35 mph in windiest areas over the interior. The best overlap of gusty onshore winds with low humidities to bring brief critical fire weather conditions each afternoon will be today. A gradual cooling trend is expected today, with the potential for temperatures to reach normal or even below normal by Wednesday and Thursday. An upper level low pressure system off the coast could pull in some subtropical moisture into the region sometime between Thursday and Saturday, with a 5-10 percent chance of showers and elevated thunderstorms (with highest risk across the Central Coast). If any thunderstorms were to develop, the main risk would be isolated dry lightning strikes. $$