Land Management Forecasts
Issued by NWS Los Angeles, CA

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ECCDA Discussions
National Weather Service Los Angeles/Oxnard CA
333 PM PST Tue Nov 11 2025

ECC029-121745-
Los Padres National Forest-
Discussion for Vandenberg ECC Dispatch
333 PM PST Tue Nov 11 2025

...Discussion from Monterey...

A pattern change brings unsettled weather beginning on Wednesday and
lasting through the rest of the 7-day outlook. The most intense rain
and strongest winds are expected late Wednesday into Thursday
morning with widespread wetting rains expected. Wind gusts range
from 35 to 45 mph in the interior valleys to 45 to 55 mph at the
coast and at higher elevations, with stronger gusts potentially
above 60 mph through favored gaps and passes. Lingering showers
continue through Friday, with drier conditions on Saturday before
chances for rain return on Sunday.

Note : All winds are 20-foot Winds Unless otherwise specified.
Thunderstorms imply strong, gusty and erratic winds.



...Discussion from Los Angeles/Oxnard...

...MODERATE STORM SYSTEM TO IMPACT SOUTHWEST CALIFORNIA BETWEEN LATE
WEDNESDAY AND SATURDAY, WITH BULK OF RAINFALL LIKELY THURSDAY AND
FRIDAY...

  A storm system will affect southwest California sometime between
Wednesday night and Saturday, with the bulk of the rain falling
Thursday  and Friday. Rainfall rates may be sufficiently high to
bring flash  flooding and debris flow concerns to recent burn scars.
Light rain may  start as early as Wednesday night north of Point
Conception, traveling  from north to south through the day Thursday
and into Thursday night. All  day Friday, rain will again be
possible for the region. There is a 10 to  20 percent chance of
thunderstorms for San Luis Obispo and Santa Barbara  County on
Thursday and a 10 to 20 percent chance for all counties on  Friday.
Gusty winds out of the south will occur at times Thursday and
Friday, with peak gusts of 35 to 50 mph possible across mountains,
the  Interstate 5 Corridor, and the Antelope Valley, and 20 to
35 mph common  elsewhere. Rain may persist across LA and Ventura
Counties on Saturday and Sunday, with chances for Santa Barbara
County, however confidence is  overall low for the weekend forecast.


$$

ECC028-121745-
Santa Barbara County excluding Los Padres National Forest-
Discussion for Santa Barbara ECC Dispatch
333 PM PST Tue Nov 11 2025

...MODERATE STORM SYSTEM TO IMPACT SOUTHWEST CALIFORNIA BETWEEN LATE
WEDNESDAY AND SATURDAY, WITH BULK OF RAINFALL LIKELY THURSDAY AND
FRIDAY...

  A storm system will affect southwest California sometime between
Wednesday night and Saturday, with the bulk of the rain falling
Thursday  and Friday. Rainfall rates may be sufficiently high to
bring flash  flooding and debris flow concerns to recent burn scars.
Light rain may  start as early as Wednesday night north of Point
Conception, traveling  from north to south through the day Thursday
and into Thursday night. All  day Friday, rain will again be
possible for the region. There is a 10 to  20 percent chance of
thunderstorms for San Luis Obispo and Santa Barbara  County on
Thursday and a 10 to 20 percent chance for all counties on  Friday.
Gusty winds out of the south will occur at times Thursday and
Friday, with peak gusts of 35 to 50 mph possible across mountains,
the  Interstate 5 Corridor, and the Antelope Valley, and 20 to
35 mph common  elsewhere. Rain may persist across LA and Ventura
Counties on Saturday and Sunday, with chances for Santa Barbara
County, however confidence is  overall low for the weekend forecast.


$$

ECC031-121745-
Angeles National Forest-
Discussion for Lancaster ECC Dispatch
333 PM PST Tue Nov 11 2025

...MODERATE STORM SYSTEM TO IMPACT SOUTHWEST CALIFORNIA BETWEEN LATE
WEDNESDAY AND SATURDAY, WITH BULK OF RAINFALL LIKELY THURSDAY AND
FRIDAY...

  A storm system will affect southwest California sometime between
Wednesday night and Saturday, with the bulk of the rain falling
Thursday  and Friday. Rainfall rates may be sufficiently high to
bring flash  flooding and debris flow concerns to recent burn scars.
Light rain may  start as early as Wednesday night north of Point
Conception, traveling  from north to south through the day Thursday
and into Thursday night. All  day Friday, rain will again be
possible for the region. There is a 10 to  20 percent chance of
thunderstorms for San Luis Obispo and Santa Barbara  County on
Thursday and a 10 to 20 percent chance for all counties on  Friday.
Gusty winds out of the south will occur at times Thursday and
Friday, with peak gusts of 35 to 50 mph possible across mountains,
the  Interstate 5 Corridor, and the Antelope Valley, and 20 to
35 mph common  elsewhere. Rain may persist across LA and Ventura
Counties on Saturday and Sunday, with chances for Santa Barbara
County, however confidence is  overall low for the weekend forecast.


$$

ECC024-121745-
San Luis Obispo County-
Discussion for San Luis Obispo ECC Dispatch
333 PM PST Tue Nov 11 2025

...MODERATE STORM SYSTEM TO IMPACT SOUTHWEST CALIFORNIA BETWEEN LATE
WEDNESDAY AND SATURDAY, WITH BULK OF RAINFALL LIKELY THURSDAY AND
FRIDAY...

  A storm system will affect southwest California sometime between
Wednesday night and Saturday, with the bulk of the rain falling
Thursday  and Friday. Rainfall rates may be sufficiently high to
bring flash  flooding and debris flow concerns to recent burn scars.
Light rain may  start as early as Wednesday night north of Point
Conception, traveling  from north to south through the day Thursday
and into Thursday night. All  day Friday, rain will again be
possible for the region. There is a 10 to  20 percent chance of
thunderstorms for San Luis Obispo and Santa Barbara  County on
Thursday and a 10 to 20 percent chance for all counties on  Friday.
Gusty winds out of the south will occur at times Thursday and
Friday, with peak gusts of 35 to 50 mph possible across mountains,
the  Interstate 5 Corridor, and the Antelope Valley, and 20 to
35 mph common  elsewhere. Rain may persist across LA and Ventura
Counties on Saturday and Sunday, with chances for Santa Barbara
County, however confidence is  overall low for the weekend forecast.


$$

ECC032-121745-
Ventura County excluding Los Padres National Forest-
Discussion for Ventura ECC Dispatch
333 PM PST Tue Nov 11 2025

...MODERATE STORM SYSTEM TO IMPACT SOUTHWEST CALIFORNIA BETWEEN LATE
WEDNESDAY AND SATURDAY, WITH BULK OF RAINFALL LIKELY THURSDAY AND
FRIDAY...

  A storm system will affect southwest California sometime between
Wednesday night and Saturday, with the bulk of the rain falling
Thursday  and Friday. Rainfall rates may be sufficiently high to
bring flash  flooding and debris flow concerns to recent burn scars.
Light rain may  start as early as Wednesday night north of Point
Conception, traveling  from north to south through the day Thursday
and into Thursday night. All  day Friday, rain will again be
possible for the region. There is a 10 to  20 percent chance of
thunderstorms for San Luis Obispo and Santa Barbara  County on
Thursday and a 10 to 20 percent chance for all counties on  Friday.
Gusty winds out of the south will occur at times Thursday and
Friday, with peak gusts of 35 to 50 mph possible across mountains,
the  Interstate 5 Corridor, and the Antelope Valley, and 20 to
35 mph common  elsewhere. Rain may persist across LA and Ventura
Counties on Saturday and Sunday, with chances for Santa Barbara
County, however confidence is  overall low for the weekend forecast.


$$

ECC030-121745-
Los Angeles County excluding Angeles National Forest-
Discussion for Los Angeles ECC Dispatch
333 PM PST Tue Nov 11 2025

...MODERATE STORM SYSTEM TO IMPACT SOUTHWEST CALIFORNIA BETWEEN LATE
WEDNESDAY AND SATURDAY, WITH BULK OF RAINFALL LIKELY THURSDAY AND
FRIDAY...

  A storm system will affect southwest California sometime between
Wednesday night and Saturday, with the bulk of the rain falling
Thursday  and Friday. Rainfall rates may be sufficiently high to
bring flash  flooding and debris flow concerns to recent burn scars.
Light rain may  start as early as Wednesday night north of Point
Conception, traveling  from north to south through the day Thursday
and into Thursday night. All  day Friday, rain will again be
possible for the region. There is a 10 to  20 percent chance of
thunderstorms for San Luis Obispo and Santa Barbara  County on
Thursday and a 10 to 20 percent chance for all counties on  Friday.
Gusty winds out of the south will occur at times Thursday and
Friday, with peak gusts of 35 to 50 mph possible across mountains,
the  Interstate 5 Corridor, and the Antelope Valley, and 20 to
35 mph common  elsewhere. Rain may persist across LA and Ventura
Counties on Saturday and Sunday, with chances for Santa Barbara
County, however confidence is  overall low for the weekend forecast.


$$