Land Management Forecasts
Issued by NWS Los Angeles, CA

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075
FNUS86 KLOX 042223
FWLLOX

ECCDA Discussions
National Weather Service Los Angeles/Oxnard CA
323 PM PDT Fri Oct 4 2024

ECC029-051630-
Los Padres National Forest-
Discussion for Vandenberg ECC Dispatch
323 PM PDT Fri Oct 4 2024

...Discussion from Monterey...

...Red Flag Warning in effect through 9 AM Saturday for the  higher
elevations of the Bay Area and Central Coast due to critical fire
weather conditions with very dry humidities...

...Near critical fire weather continues across the district with
warm to hot temperatures, offshore winds, and very dry air...

Very low humidities and hot temperatures are contributing to near
critical fire weather conditions across the district continuing into
the weekend. Humidities above 1200 feet  remain low with values
around 10-20%. In addition, nocturnal  drying is possible on
Saturday morning. Winds are mainly light,  but pulses of gusty
offshore flow continue in the higher  elevations through Sunday
morning.

Note : All winds are 20-foot Winds Unless otherwise specified.
Thunderstorms imply strong, gusty and erratic winds.



...Discussion from Los Angeles/Oxnard...

...HOT AND DRY WITH ELEVATED TO BRIEF CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ACROSS THE VALLEYS, MOUNTAINS, FOOTHILLS, AND DESERTS THROUGH MONDAY
WITH A LIGHT OFFSHORE WIND INFLUENCE ACROSS THE INTERIOR THIS
WEEKEND...

...ELEVATED RISK OF PLUME DOMINATED FIRES AWAY FROM THE COAST...

A return of weak onshore flow and marine layer influence across the
coast brought slight cooling to the region today, however
temperatures remained very warm across the interior. High
temperatures between 90 and  102 have been common over the hotter
valleys and mountains with minimum  humidities between 8 and
20 percent. Some mid level moisture and instability has maintained
deep mixing heights today, generally 10,000 to 18,000 feet across
the interior. There is a 5 percent chance of a brief shower or a dry
lightning strike through the afternoon hours associated with the mid
level clouds and instability.

A weak offshore wind influence with gusts generally between 15 and
25 mph will reinforce hotter and drier conditions across the
interior this weekend. Isolated northeast gusts as high as 30 mph
will be likely across the LA county mountains over the weekend. High
temperatures this weekend will range from 95 to 107 degrees across
the interior, while humidities lower to  between 7 and 15 percent.
Mixing heights will remain very deep over the weekend, generally
ranging between 10,000 and 17,000 feet, maintaining an elevated risk
of large plume dominated fires away from the coast.  While the risk
for Red Flag Warnings is low through the weekend, there will be an
elevated risk of large fires and erratic fire behavior due to the
deep mixing heights and hot and dry conditions. Significant cooling
and improvement is on track for Tuesday through Friday of next week.


$$

ECC028-051630-
Santa Barbara County excluding Los Padres National Forest-
Discussion for Santa Barbara ECC Dispatch
323 PM PDT Fri Oct 4 2024

...HOT AND DRY WITH ELEVATED TO BRIEF CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ACROSS THE VALLEYS, MOUNTAINS, FOOTHILLS, AND DESERTS THROUGH MONDAY
WITH A LIGHT OFFSHORE WIND INFLUENCE ACROSS THE INTERIOR THIS
WEEKEND...

...ELEVATED RISK OF PLUME DOMINATED FIRES AWAY FROM THE COAST...

A return of weak onshore flow and marine layer influence across the
coast brought slight cooling to the region today, however
temperatures remained very warm across the interior. High
temperatures between 90 and  102 have been common over the hotter
valleys and mountains with minimum  humidities between 8 and
20 percent. Some mid level moisture and instability has maintained
deep mixing heights today, generally 10,000 to 18,000 feet across
the interior. There is a 5 percent chance of a brief shower or a dry
lightning strike through the afternoon hours associated with the mid
level clouds and instability.

A weak offshore wind influence with gusts generally between 15 and
25 mph will reinforce hotter and drier conditions across the
interior this weekend. Isolated northeast gusts as high as 30 mph
will be likely across the LA county mountains over the weekend. High
temperatures this weekend will range from 95 to 107 degrees across
the interior, while humidities lower to  between 7 and 15 percent.
Mixing heights will remain very deep over the weekend, generally
ranging between 10,000 and 17,000 feet, maintaining an elevated risk
of large plume dominated fires away from the coast.  While the risk
for Red Flag Warnings is low through the weekend, there will be an
elevated risk of large fires and erratic fire behavior due to the
deep mixing heights and hot and dry conditions. Significant cooling
and improvement is on track for Tuesday through Friday of next week.


$$

ECC031-051630-
Angeles National Forest-
Discussion for Lancaster ECC Dispatch
323 PM PDT Fri Oct 4 2024

...HOT AND DRY WITH ELEVATED TO BRIEF CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ACROSS THE VALLEYS, MOUNTAINS, FOOTHILLS, AND DESERTS THROUGH MONDAY
WITH A LIGHT OFFSHORE WIND INFLUENCE ACROSS THE INTERIOR THIS
WEEKEND...

...ELEVATED RISK OF PLUME DOMINATED FIRES AWAY FROM THE COAST...

A return of weak onshore flow and marine layer influence across the
coast brought slight cooling to the region today, however
temperatures remained very warm across the interior. High
temperatures between 90 and  102 have been common over the hotter
valleys and mountains with minimum  humidities between 8 and
20 percent. Some mid level moisture and instability has maintained
deep mixing heights today, generally 10,000 to 18,000 feet across
the interior. There is a 5 percent chance of a brief shower or a dry
lightning strike through the afternoon hours associated with the mid
level clouds and instability.

A weak offshore wind influence with gusts generally between 15 and
25 mph will reinforce hotter and drier conditions across the
interior this weekend. Isolated northeast gusts as high as 30 mph
will be likely across the LA county mountains over the weekend. High
temperatures this weekend will range from 95 to 107 degrees across
the interior, while humidities lower to  between 7 and 15 percent.
Mixing heights will remain very deep over the weekend, generally
ranging between 10,000 and 17,000 feet, maintaining an elevated risk
of large plume dominated fires away from the coast.  While the risk
for Red Flag Warnings is low through the weekend, there will be an
elevated risk of large fires and erratic fire behavior due to the
deep mixing heights and hot and dry conditions. Significant cooling
and improvement is on track for Tuesday through Friday of next week.


$$

ECC024-051630-
San Luis Obispo County-
Discussion for San Luis Obispo ECC Dispatch
323 PM PDT Fri Oct 4 2024

...HOT AND DRY WITH ELEVATED TO BRIEF CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ACROSS THE VALLEYS, MOUNTAINS, FOOTHILLS, AND DESERTS THROUGH MONDAY
WITH A LIGHT OFFSHORE WIND INFLUENCE ACROSS THE INTERIOR THIS
WEEKEND...

...ELEVATED RISK OF PLUME DOMINATED FIRES AWAY FROM THE COAST...

A return of weak onshore flow and marine layer influence across the
coast brought slight cooling to the region today, however
temperatures remained very warm across the interior. High
temperatures between 90 and  102 have been common over the hotter
valleys and mountains with minimum  humidities between 8 and
20 percent. Some mid level moisture and instability has maintained
deep mixing heights today, generally 10,000 to 18,000 feet across
the interior. There is a 5 percent chance of a brief shower or a dry
lightning strike through the afternoon hours associated with the mid
level clouds and instability.

A weak offshore wind influence with gusts generally between 15 and
25 mph will reinforce hotter and drier conditions across the
interior this weekend. Isolated northeast gusts as high as 30 mph
will be likely across the LA county mountains over the weekend. High
temperatures this weekend will range from 95 to 107 degrees across
the interior, while humidities lower to  between 7 and 15 percent.
Mixing heights will remain very deep over the weekend, generally
ranging between 10,000 and 17,000 feet, maintaining an elevated risk
of large plume dominated fires away from the coast.  While the risk
for Red Flag Warnings is low through the weekend, there will be an
elevated risk of large fires and erratic fire behavior due to the
deep mixing heights and hot and dry conditions. Significant cooling
and improvement is on track for Tuesday through Friday of next week.


$$

ECC032-051630-
Ventura County excluding Los Padres National Forest-
Discussion for Ventura ECC Dispatch
323 PM PDT Fri Oct 4 2024

...HOT AND DRY WITH ELEVATED TO BRIEF CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ACROSS THE VALLEYS, MOUNTAINS, FOOTHILLS, AND DESERTS THROUGH MONDAY
WITH A LIGHT OFFSHORE WIND INFLUENCE ACROSS THE INTERIOR THIS
WEEKEND...

...ELEVATED RISK OF PLUME DOMINATED FIRES AWAY FROM THE COAST...

A return of weak onshore flow and marine layer influence across the
coast brought slight cooling to the region today, however
temperatures remained very warm across the interior. High
temperatures between 90 and  102 have been common over the hotter
valleys and mountains with minimum  humidities between 8 and
20 percent. Some mid level moisture and instability has maintained
deep mixing heights today, generally 10,000 to 18,000 feet across
the interior. There is a 5 percent chance of a brief shower or a dry
lightning strike through the afternoon hours associated with the mid
level clouds and instability.

A weak offshore wind influence with gusts generally between 15 and
25 mph will reinforce hotter and drier conditions across the
interior this weekend. Isolated northeast gusts as high as 30 mph
will be likely across the LA county mountains over the weekend. High
temperatures this weekend will range from 95 to 107 degrees across
the interior, while humidities lower to  between 7 and 15 percent.
Mixing heights will remain very deep over the weekend, generally
ranging between 10,000 and 17,000 feet, maintaining an elevated risk
of large plume dominated fires away from the coast.  While the risk
for Red Flag Warnings is low through the weekend, there will be an
elevated risk of large fires and erratic fire behavior due to the
deep mixing heights and hot and dry conditions. Significant cooling
and improvement is on track for Tuesday through Friday of next week.


$$

ECC030-051630-
Los Angeles County excluding Angeles National Forest-
Discussion for Los Angeles ECC Dispatch
323 PM PDT Fri Oct 4 2024

...HOT AND DRY WITH ELEVATED TO BRIEF CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ACROSS THE VALLEYS, MOUNTAINS, FOOTHILLS, AND DESERTS THROUGH MONDAY
WITH A LIGHT OFFSHORE WIND INFLUENCE ACROSS THE INTERIOR THIS
WEEKEND...

...ELEVATED RISK OF PLUME DOMINATED FIRES AWAY FROM THE COAST...

A return of weak onshore flow and marine layer influence across the
coast brought slight cooling to the region today, however
temperatures remained very warm across the interior. High
temperatures between 90 and  102 have been common over the hotter
valleys and mountains with minimum  humidities between 8 and
20 percent. Some mid level moisture and instability has maintained
deep mixing heights today, generally 10,000 to 18,000 feet across
the interior. There is a 5 percent chance of a brief shower or a dry
lightning strike through the afternoon hours associated with the mid
level clouds and instability.

A weak offshore wind influence with gusts generally between 15 and
25 mph will reinforce hotter and drier conditions across the
interior this weekend. Isolated northeast gusts as high as 30 mph
will be likely across the LA county mountains over the weekend. High
temperatures this weekend will range from 95 to 107 degrees across
the interior, while humidities lower to  between 7 and 15 percent.
Mixing heights will remain very deep over the weekend, generally
ranging between 10,000 and 17,000 feet, maintaining an elevated risk
of large plume dominated fires away from the coast.  While the risk
for Red Flag Warnings is low through the weekend, there will be an
elevated risk of large fires and erratic fire behavior due to the
deep mixing heights and hot and dry conditions. Significant cooling
and improvement is on track for Tuesday through Friday of next week.


$$