Land Management Forecasts
Issued by NWS Los Angeles, CA
Issued by NWS Los Angeles, CA
830 FNUS86 KLOX 232328 FWLLOX ECCDA Discussions National Weather Service Los Angeles/Oxnard CA 328 PM PST Sat Nov 23 2024 ECC029-241730- Los Padres National Forest- Discussion for Vandenberg ECC Dispatch 328 PM PST Sat Nov 23 2024 ...Discussion from Monterey... Fire weather concerns are low with recent rainfall from an Atmospheric River that canvassed our region the past few days. Increased chances for rainfall continue tomorrow into the first half of the upcoming work week. Portions of the Bay Area may see an additional 0.5 inches to 2.0 inches through Wednesday, 0.5 to 1.5 inches for Central Coast, and 2.0 to 4.0 inches for the Santa Lucias. Expect drier conditions for the latter part of the week. Note : All winds are 20-foot Winds Unless otherwise specified. Thunderstorms imply strong, gusty and erratic winds. ...Discussion from Los Angeles/Oxnard... ...PERIODS OF RAIN THROUGH WEDNESDAY... A significant pattern change is underway today and will continue through Wednesday, with a few impulses bringing threats of rain at times to the region. Confidence is high in widespread rain over the region, and that impacts will be minimal through at least Sunday night. For the remainder of today, a weakening cold front will bring areas of light rain to areas south of Point Conception. The next impulse is expected to bring more widespread light to moderate rain to the region between Sunday night and Tuesday, with a chance of lingering shower activity into Wednesday. The most likely outcome is for widespread light to moderate rain with impacts focused on the roads. However, there is a 10-20 percent chance of more impactful heavier rainfall for San Luis Obispo and Santa Barbara Counties Monday into Tuesday morning. Rainfall amounts through Wednesday are expected to range between 1.50 to 4.00 inches in San Luis Obispo County, 1.00 to 2.50 in Santa Barbara County, 0.50 to 1.50 inches in Ventura County, and 0.20 to 0.75 inches in LA county. Peak rainfall rates for San Luis Obispo County are expected to be 0.25 to 0.50 inches per hour, and 0.25 to 0.33 inches per hour for Santa Barbara County. While these rainfall amounts and intensities are the most likely outcome with this event, there is a 10-20 percent chance of totals and intensities up to double the amounts listed above. The chance for rain over Thanksgiving is lowering, with some model solutions showing the potential for some offshore winds and lowering humidity to develop. $$ ECC028-241730- Santa Barbara County excluding Los Padres National Forest- Discussion for Santa Barbara ECC Dispatch 328 PM PST Sat Nov 23 2024 ...PERIODS OF RAIN THROUGH WEDNESDAY... A significant pattern change is underway today and will continue through Wednesday, with a few impulses bringing threats of rain at times to the region. Confidence is high in widespread rain over the region, and that impacts will be minimal through at least Sunday night. For the remainder of today, a weakening cold front will bring areas of light rain to areas south of Point Conception. The next impulse is expected to bring more widespread light to moderate rain to the region between Sunday night and Tuesday, with a chance of lingering shower activity into Wednesday. The most likely outcome is for widespread light to moderate rain with impacts focused on the roads. However, there is a 10-20 percent chance of more impactful heavier rainfall for San Luis Obispo and Santa Barbara Counties Monday into Tuesday morning. Rainfall amounts through Wednesday are expected to range between 1.50 to 4.00 inches in San Luis Obispo County, 1.00 to 2.50 in Santa Barbara County, 0.50 to 1.50 inches in Ventura County, and 0.20 to 0.75 inches in LA county. Peak rainfall rates for San Luis Obispo County are expected to be 0.25 to 0.50 inches per hour, and 0.25 to 0.33 inches per hour for Santa Barbara County. While these rainfall amounts and intensities are the most likely outcome with this event, there is a 10-20 percent chance of totals and intensities up to double the amounts listed above. The chance for rain over Thanksgiving is lowering, with some model solutions showing the potential for some offshore winds and lowering humidity to develop. $$ ECC031-241730- Angeles National Forest- Discussion for Lancaster ECC Dispatch 328 PM PST Sat Nov 23 2024 ...PERIODS OF RAIN THROUGH WEDNESDAY... A significant pattern change is underway today and will continue through Wednesday, with a few impulses bringing threats of rain at times to the region. Confidence is high in widespread rain over the region, and that impacts will be minimal through at least Sunday night. For the remainder of today, a weakening cold front will bring areas of light rain to areas south of Point Conception. The next impulse is expected to bring more widespread light to moderate rain to the region between Sunday night and Tuesday, with a chance of lingering shower activity into Wednesday. The most likely outcome is for widespread light to moderate rain with impacts focused on the roads. However, there is a 10-20 percent chance of more impactful heavier rainfall for San Luis Obispo and Santa Barbara Counties Monday into Tuesday morning. Rainfall amounts through Wednesday are expected to range between 1.50 to 4.00 inches in San Luis Obispo County, 1.00 to 2.50 in Santa Barbara County, 0.50 to 1.50 inches in Ventura County, and 0.20 to 0.75 inches in LA county. Peak rainfall rates for San Luis Obispo County are expected to be 0.25 to 0.50 inches per hour, and 0.25 to 0.33 inches per hour for Santa Barbara County. While these rainfall amounts and intensities are the most likely outcome with this event, there is a 10-20 percent chance of totals and intensities up to double the amounts listed above. The chance for rain over Thanksgiving is lowering, with some model solutions showing the potential for some offshore winds and lowering humidity to develop. $$ ECC024-241730- San Luis Obispo County- Discussion for San Luis Obispo ECC Dispatch 328 PM PST Sat Nov 23 2024 ...PERIODS OF RAIN THROUGH WEDNESDAY... A significant pattern change is underway today and will continue through Wednesday, with a few impulses bringing threats of rain at times to the region. Confidence is high in widespread rain over the region, and that impacts will be minimal through at least Sunday night. For the remainder of today, a weakening cold front will bring areas of light rain to areas south of Point Conception. The next impulse is expected to bring more widespread light to moderate rain to the region between Sunday night and Tuesday, with a chance of lingering shower activity into Wednesday. The most likely outcome is for widespread light to moderate rain with impacts focused on the roads. However, there is a 10-20 percent chance of more impactful heavier rainfall for San Luis Obispo and Santa Barbara Counties Monday into Tuesday morning. Rainfall amounts through Wednesday are expected to range between 1.50 to 4.00 inches in San Luis Obispo County, 1.00 to 2.50 in Santa Barbara County, 0.50 to 1.50 inches in Ventura County, and 0.20 to 0.75 inches in LA county. Peak rainfall rates for San Luis Obispo County are expected to be 0.25 to 0.50 inches per hour, and 0.25 to 0.33 inches per hour for Santa Barbara County. While these rainfall amounts and intensities are the most likely outcome with this event, there is a 10-20 percent chance of totals and intensities up to double the amounts listed above. The chance for rain over Thanksgiving is lowering, with some model solutions showing the potential for some offshore winds and lowering humidity to develop. $$ ECC032-241730- Ventura County excluding Los Padres National Forest- Discussion for Ventura ECC Dispatch 328 PM PST Sat Nov 23 2024 ...PERIODS OF RAIN THROUGH WEDNESDAY... A significant pattern change is underway today and will continue through Wednesday, with a few impulses bringing threats of rain at times to the region. Confidence is high in widespread rain over the region, and that impacts will be minimal through at least Sunday night. For the remainder of today, a weakening cold front will bring areas of light rain to areas south of Point Conception. The next impulse is expected to bring more widespread light to moderate rain to the region between Sunday night and Tuesday, with a chance of lingering shower activity into Wednesday. The most likely outcome is for widespread light to moderate rain with impacts focused on the roads. However, there is a 10-20 percent chance of more impactful heavier rainfall for San Luis Obispo and Santa Barbara Counties Monday into Tuesday morning. Rainfall amounts through Wednesday are expected to range between 1.50 to 4.00 inches in San Luis Obispo County, 1.00 to 2.50 in Santa Barbara County, 0.50 to 1.50 inches in Ventura County, and 0.20 to 0.75 inches in LA county. Peak rainfall rates for San Luis Obispo County are expected to be 0.25 to 0.50 inches per hour, and 0.25 to 0.33 inches per hour for Santa Barbara County. While these rainfall amounts and intensities are the most likely outcome with this event, there is a 10-20 percent chance of totals and intensities up to double the amounts listed above. The chance for rain over Thanksgiving is lowering, with some model solutions showing the potential for some offshore winds and lowering humidity to develop. $$ ECC030-241730- Los Angeles County excluding Angeles National Forest- Discussion for Los Angeles ECC Dispatch 328 PM PST Sat Nov 23 2024 ...PERIODS OF RAIN THROUGH WEDNESDAY... A significant pattern change is underway today and will continue through Wednesday, with a few impulses bringing threats of rain at times to the region. Confidence is high in widespread rain over the region, and that impacts will be minimal through at least Sunday night. For the remainder of today, a weakening cold front will bring areas of light rain to areas south of Point Conception. The next impulse is expected to bring more widespread light to moderate rain to the region between Sunday night and Tuesday, with a chance of lingering shower activity into Wednesday. The most likely outcome is for widespread light to moderate rain with impacts focused on the roads. However, there is a 10-20 percent chance of more impactful heavier rainfall for San Luis Obispo and Santa Barbara Counties Monday into Tuesday morning. Rainfall amounts through Wednesday are expected to range between 1.50 to 4.00 inches in San Luis Obispo County, 1.00 to 2.50 in Santa Barbara County, 0.50 to 1.50 inches in Ventura County, and 0.20 to 0.75 inches in LA county. Peak rainfall rates for San Luis Obispo County are expected to be 0.25 to 0.50 inches per hour, and 0.25 to 0.33 inches per hour for Santa Barbara County. While these rainfall amounts and intensities are the most likely outcome with this event, there is a 10-20 percent chance of totals and intensities up to double the amounts listed above. The chance for rain over Thanksgiving is lowering, with some model solutions showing the potential for some offshore winds and lowering humidity to develop. $$