Land Management Forecasts
Issued by NWS Los Angeles, CA
Issued by NWS Los Angeles, CA
517 FNUS86 KLOX 021631 FWLLOX ECCDA Discussions National Weather Service Los Angeles/Oxnard CA 931 AM PDT Wed Jul 2 2025 ECC029-031045- Los Padres National Forest- Discussion for Vandenberg ECC Dispatch 931 AM PDT Wed Jul 2 2025 ...Discussion from Monterey... Night and morning low clouds clearing to the coast each afternoon will be a common theme heading into the weekend. Temperatures will remain seasonably cool with moderate to excellent humidity recoveries at night. A weak disturbance passing through will usher in stronger winds Thursday into Friday. Winds will be strongest along the coast, North Bay, and inland gaps/passes leading to increased fire weather concerns. Note : All winds are 20-foot Winds Unless otherwise specified. Thunderstorms imply strong, gusty and erratic winds. ...Discussion from Los Angeles/Oxnard... Some lingering mid-level moisture will bring afternoon clouds to some mountains today, with a less than 10 percent chance of a shower or thunderstorm in the San Gabriels. Otherwise, minimal day-to-day changes expected through Monday over the interior areas, including the Fourth of July Holiday. Highs between 88 and 98 will be common, with minimum humidities between 10 and 20 percent. Pockets of humidities down to 5 to 10 percent are likely in the deserts and higher peaks, especially over the weekend. Southwest to northwest winds 15 to 25 mph with gusts to 35 mph will be common over the interior valleys and mountains, peaking each afternoon and evening. Sundowner winds of similar strength will form over Santa Barbara County by Friday Night. This will result in a seasonably elevated risk for grass fires in the windy locations. Over the coastal areas, the marine layer will drive conditions. While there is always a degree of uncertainty with that, the marine layer should shrink some in coverage and depth each day starting Friday which will bring modest warming. While details are still uncertain, the risk for a significant heat wave remains targeted for next week starting Tuesday. The peak still looks to be Wednesday through Thursday (July 9-10), at which time high temperatures between 98 and 108 are looking favorable for the most lower mountains and valleys (including coastal valleys). Deep mixing heights will increase the risk for plume dominated fires. Adding to the risks, monsoonal moisture will be in the area, with a potential for thunderstorms anywhere, but especially in the mountains. Humidities will likely be low, but uncertain just how low based on the monsoonal potential. Southwest to northwest winds of 15 to 25 mph with gusts to 35 mph will likely continue over the typically wind prone areas. All of this likely adds up to an elevated to locally brief critical fire weather scenario. While not a zero chance, the risk for Red Flag Warnings is low, but Heat Advisories or Warnings are looking more likely. $$ ECC028-031045- Santa Barbara County excluding Los Padres National Forest- Discussion for Santa Barbara ECC Dispatch 931 AM PDT Wed Jul 2 2025 Some lingering mid-level moisture will bring afternoon clouds to some mountains today, with a less than 10 percent chance of a shower or thunderstorm in the San Gabriels. Otherwise, minimal day-to-day changes expected through Monday over the interior areas, including the Fourth of July Holiday. Highs between 88 and 98 will be common, with minimum humidities between 10 and 20 percent. Pockets of humidities down to 5 to 10 percent are likely in the deserts and higher peaks, especially over the weekend. Southwest to northwest winds 15 to 25 mph with gusts to 35 mph will be common over the interior valleys and mountains, peaking each afternoon and evening. Sundowner winds of similar strength will form over Santa Barbara County by Friday Night. This will result in a seasonably elevated risk for grass fires in the windy locations. Over the coastal areas, the marine layer will drive conditions. While there is always a degree of uncertainty with that, the marine layer should shrink some in coverage and depth each day starting Friday which will bring modest warming. While details are still uncertain, the risk for a significant heat wave remains targeted for next week starting Tuesday. The peak still looks to be Wednesday through Thursday (July 9-10), at which time high temperatures between 98 and 108 are looking favorable for the most lower mountains and valleys (including coastal valleys). Deep mixing heights will increase the risk for plume dominated fires. Adding to the risks, monsoonal moisture will be in the area, with a potential for thunderstorms anywhere, but especially in the mountains. Humidities will likely be low, but uncertain just how low based on the monsoonal potential. Southwest to northwest winds of 15 to 25 mph with gusts to 35 mph will likely continue over the typically wind prone areas. All of this likely adds up to an elevated to locally brief critical fire weather scenario. While not a zero chance, the risk for Red Flag Warnings is low, but Heat Advisories or Warnings are looking more likely. $$ ECC031-031045- Angeles National Forest- Discussion for Lancaster ECC Dispatch 931 AM PDT Wed Jul 2 2025 Some lingering mid-level moisture will bring afternoon clouds to some mountains today, with a less than 10 percent chance of a shower or thunderstorm in the San Gabriels. Otherwise, minimal day-to-day changes expected through Monday over the interior areas, including the Fourth of July Holiday. Highs between 88 and 98 will be common, with minimum humidities between 10 and 20 percent. Pockets of humidities down to 5 to 10 percent are likely in the deserts and higher peaks, especially over the weekend. Southwest to northwest winds 15 to 25 mph with gusts to 35 mph will be common over the interior valleys and mountains, peaking each afternoon and evening. Sundowner winds of similar strength will form over Santa Barbara County by Friday Night. This will result in a seasonably elevated risk for grass fires in the windy locations. Over the coastal areas, the marine layer will drive conditions. While there is always a degree of uncertainty with that, the marine layer should shrink some in coverage and depth each day starting Friday which will bring modest warming. While details are still uncertain, the risk for a significant heat wave remains targeted for next week starting Tuesday. The peak still looks to be Wednesday through Thursday (July 9-10), at which time high temperatures between 98 and 108 are looking favorable for the most lower mountains and valleys (including coastal valleys). Deep mixing heights will increase the risk for plume dominated fires. Adding to the risks, monsoonal moisture will be in the area, with a potential for thunderstorms anywhere, but especially in the mountains. Humidities will likely be low, but uncertain just how low based on the monsoonal potential. Southwest to northwest winds of 15 to 25 mph with gusts to 35 mph will likely continue over the typically wind prone areas. All of this likely adds up to an elevated to locally brief critical fire weather scenario. While not a zero chance, the risk for Red Flag Warnings is low, but Heat Advisories or Warnings are looking more likely. $$ ECC024-031045- San Luis Obispo County- Discussion for San Luis Obispo ECC Dispatch 931 AM PDT Wed Jul 2 2025 Some lingering mid-level moisture will bring afternoon clouds to some mountains today, with a less than 10 percent chance of a shower or thunderstorm in the San Gabriels. Otherwise, minimal day-to-day changes expected through Monday over the interior areas, including the Fourth of July Holiday. Highs between 88 and 98 will be common, with minimum humidities between 10 and 20 percent. Pockets of humidities down to 5 to 10 percent are likely in the deserts and higher peaks, especially over the weekend. Southwest to northwest winds 15 to 25 mph with gusts to 35 mph will be common over the interior valleys and mountains, peaking each afternoon and evening. Sundowner winds of similar strength will form over Santa Barbara County by Friday Night. This will result in a seasonably elevated risk for grass fires in the windy locations. Over the coastal areas, the marine layer will drive conditions. While there is always a degree of uncertainty with that, the marine layer should shrink some in coverage and depth each day starting Friday which will bring modest warming. While details are still uncertain, the risk for a significant heat wave remains targeted for next week starting Tuesday. The peak still looks to be Wednesday through Thursday (July 9-10), at which time high temperatures between 98 and 108 are looking favorable for the most lower mountains and valleys (including coastal valleys). Deep mixing heights will increase the risk for plume dominated fires. Adding to the risks, monsoonal moisture will be in the area, with a potential for thunderstorms anywhere, but especially in the mountains. Humidities will likely be low, but uncertain just how low based on the monsoonal potential. Southwest to northwest winds of 15 to 25 mph with gusts to 35 mph will likely continue over the typically wind prone areas. All of this likely adds up to an elevated to locally brief critical fire weather scenario. While not a zero chance, the risk for Red Flag Warnings is low, but Heat Advisories or Warnings are looking more likely. $$ ECC032-031045- Ventura County excluding Los Padres National Forest- Discussion for Ventura ECC Dispatch 931 AM PDT Wed Jul 2 2025 Some lingering mid-level moisture will bring afternoon clouds to some mountains today, with a less than 10 percent chance of a shower or thunderstorm in the San Gabriels. Otherwise, minimal day-to-day changes expected through Monday over the interior areas, including the Fourth of July Holiday. Highs between 88 and 98 will be common, with minimum humidities between 10 and 20 percent. Pockets of humidities down to 5 to 10 percent are likely in the deserts and higher peaks, especially over the weekend. Southwest to northwest winds 15 to 25 mph with gusts to 35 mph will be common over the interior valleys and mountains, peaking each afternoon and evening. Sundowner winds of similar strength will form over Santa Barbara County by Friday Night. This will result in a seasonably elevated risk for grass fires in the windy locations. Over the coastal areas, the marine layer will drive conditions. While there is always a degree of uncertainty with that, the marine layer should shrink some in coverage and depth each day starting Friday which will bring modest warming. While details are still uncertain, the risk for a significant heat wave remains targeted for next week starting Tuesday. The peak still looks to be Wednesday through Thursday (July 9-10), at which time high temperatures between 98 and 108 are looking favorable for the most lower mountains and valleys (including coastal valleys). Deep mixing heights will increase the risk for plume dominated fires. Adding to the risks, monsoonal moisture will be in the area, with a potential for thunderstorms anywhere, but especially in the mountains. Humidities will likely be low, but uncertain just how low based on the monsoonal potential. Southwest to northwest winds of 15 to 25 mph with gusts to 35 mph will likely continue over the typically wind prone areas. All of this likely adds up to an elevated to locally brief critical fire weather scenario. While not a zero chance, the risk for Red Flag Warnings is low, but Heat Advisories or Warnings are looking more likely. $$ ECC030-031045- Los Angeles County excluding Angeles National Forest- Discussion for Los Angeles ECC Dispatch 931 AM PDT Wed Jul 2 2025 Some lingering mid-level moisture will bring afternoon clouds to some mountains today, with a less than 10 percent chance of a shower or thunderstorm in the San Gabriels. Otherwise, minimal day-to-day changes expected through Monday over the interior areas, including the Fourth of July Holiday. Highs between 88 and 98 will be common, with minimum humidities between 10 and 20 percent. Pockets of humidities down to 5 to 10 percent are likely in the deserts and higher peaks, especially over the weekend. Southwest to northwest winds 15 to 25 mph with gusts to 35 mph will be common over the interior valleys and mountains, peaking each afternoon and evening. Sundowner winds of similar strength will form over Santa Barbara County by Friday Night. This will result in a seasonably elevated risk for grass fires in the windy locations. Over the coastal areas, the marine layer will drive conditions. While there is always a degree of uncertainty with that, the marine layer should shrink some in coverage and depth each day starting Friday which will bring modest warming. While details are still uncertain, the risk for a significant heat wave remains targeted for next week starting Tuesday. The peak still looks to be Wednesday through Thursday (July 9-10), at which time high temperatures between 98 and 108 are looking favorable for the most lower mountains and valleys (including coastal valleys). Deep mixing heights will increase the risk for plume dominated fires. Adding to the risks, monsoonal moisture will be in the area, with a potential for thunderstorms anywhere, but especially in the mountains. Humidities will likely be low, but uncertain just how low based on the monsoonal potential. Southwest to northwest winds of 15 to 25 mph with gusts to 35 mph will likely continue over the typically wind prone areas. All of this likely adds up to an elevated to locally brief critical fire weather scenario. While not a zero chance, the risk for Red Flag Warnings is low, but Heat Advisories or Warnings are looking more likely. $$