Land Management Forecasts
Issued by NWS Los Angeles, CA

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899
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ECCDA Discussions
National Weather Service Los Angeles/Oxnard CA
320 PM PST Sun Nov 24 2024

ECC029-251730-
Los Padres National Forest-
Discussion for Vandenberg ECC Dispatch
320 PM PST Sun Nov 24 2024

...Discussion from Monterey...

Fire weather concerns are low with an unsettled pattern for the
beginning of the upcoming work week. Widespread scattered light
showers across our area can be expected from late tonight through
much of the day Monday. By late Monday into early Tuesday, the focus
of the most intense rain will be in the higher elevations of the
Santa Lucias, with lesser amounts for low lying  interior portions
of Monterey County and San Benito County.

Note : All winds are 20-foot Winds Unless otherwise specified.
Thunderstorms imply strong, gusty and erratic winds.



...Discussion from Los Angeles/Oxnard...

...PERIODS OF RAIN THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING...

Periods of rain will impact the region later tonight through
Wednesday morning.  Confidence is high in widespread rain over the
region, with the highest rainfall amounts and intensities focused
across San Luis Obispo and Santa Barbara counties.  The next impulse
is expected to bring more widespread light to moderate rain to the
region between Monday and Tuesday, with a chance of lingering shower
activity into Wednesday morning.  The most likely outcome is for
widespread light to moderate rain with the threat of some locally
heavier rainfall at times Monday into early Tuesday causing roadway
flooding in San Luis Obispo and Santa Barbara counties. There is
also a 10 percent chance of thunderstorms across San Luis Obispo
county Monday afternoon into evening.

Rainfall amounts through Wednesday are expected to range between
1.50 to 2.50 inches across much of San Luis Obispo County (except
3 to 5 inches in the Santa Lucias), 1.00 to 2.50 inches in Santa
Barbara County, 0.33 to 1.00 inches in Ventura County, and 0.20 to
0.50 inches in LA county. Peak rainfall rates for San Luis Obispo
County are expected to be 0.25 to 0.50 inches per hour, and 0.25 to
0.33 inches per hour for Santa Barbara County. While these rainfall
amounts and intensities are the most likely outcome with this event,
there is a 10-20 percent chance of totals and intensities up to
double the amounts listed above. There is a cutoff low that develops
later in the week that will bring a chance of showers at times from
Thanksgiving Day through Saturday, but confidence remains low, and
there is also an equal chance of drier offshore flow developing
during that time frame.



$$

ECC028-251730-
Santa Barbara County excluding Los Padres National Forest-
Discussion for Santa Barbara ECC Dispatch
320 PM PST Sun Nov 24 2024

...PERIODS OF RAIN THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING...

Periods of rain will impact the region later tonight through
Wednesday morning.  Confidence is high in widespread rain over the
region, with the highest rainfall amounts and intensities focused
across San Luis Obispo and Santa Barbara counties.  The next impulse
is expected to bring more widespread light to moderate rain to the
region between Monday and Tuesday, with a chance of lingering shower
activity into Wednesday morning.  The most likely outcome is for
widespread light to moderate rain with the threat of some locally
heavier rainfall at times Monday into early Tuesday causing roadway
flooding in San Luis Obispo and Santa Barbara counties. There is
also a 10 percent chance of thunderstorms across San Luis Obispo
county Monday afternoon into evening.

Rainfall amounts through Wednesday are expected to range between
1.50 to 2.50 inches across much of San Luis Obispo County (except
3 to 5 inches in the Santa Lucias), 1.00 to 2.50 inches in Santa
Barbara County, 0.33 to 1.00 inches in Ventura County, and 0.20 to
0.50 inches in LA county. Peak rainfall rates for San Luis Obispo
County are expected to be 0.25 to 0.50 inches per hour, and 0.25 to
0.33 inches per hour for Santa Barbara County. While these rainfall
amounts and intensities are the most likely outcome with this event,
there is a 10-20 percent chance of totals and intensities up to
double the amounts listed above. There is a cutoff low that develops
later in the week that will bring a chance of showers at times from
Thanksgiving Day through Saturday, but confidence remains low, and
there is also an equal chance of drier offshore flow developing
during that time frame.



$$

ECC031-251730-
Angeles National Forest-
Discussion for Lancaster ECC Dispatch
320 PM PST Sun Nov 24 2024

...PERIODS OF RAIN THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING...

Periods of rain will impact the region later tonight through
Wednesday morning.  Confidence is high in widespread rain over the
region, with the highest rainfall amounts and intensities focused
across San Luis Obispo and Santa Barbara counties.  The next impulse
is expected to bring more widespread light to moderate rain to the
region between Monday and Tuesday, with a chance of lingering shower
activity into Wednesday morning.  The most likely outcome is for
widespread light to moderate rain with the threat of some locally
heavier rainfall at times Monday into early Tuesday causing roadway
flooding in San Luis Obispo and Santa Barbara counties. There is
also a 10 percent chance of thunderstorms across San Luis Obispo
county Monday afternoon into evening.

Rainfall amounts through Wednesday are expected to range between
1.50 to 2.50 inches across much of San Luis Obispo County (except
3 to 5 inches in the Santa Lucias), 1.00 to 2.50 inches in Santa
Barbara County, 0.33 to 1.00 inches in Ventura County, and 0.20 to
0.50 inches in LA county. Peak rainfall rates for San Luis Obispo
County are expected to be 0.25 to 0.50 inches per hour, and 0.25 to
0.33 inches per hour for Santa Barbara County. While these rainfall
amounts and intensities are the most likely outcome with this event,
there is a 10-20 percent chance of totals and intensities up to
double the amounts listed above. There is a cutoff low that develops
later in the week that will bring a chance of showers at times from
Thanksgiving Day through Saturday, but confidence remains low, and
there is also an equal chance of drier offshore flow developing
during that time frame.



$$

ECC024-251730-
San Luis Obispo County-
Discussion for San Luis Obispo ECC Dispatch
320 PM PST Sun Nov 24 2024

...PERIODS OF RAIN THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING...

Periods of rain will impact the region later tonight through
Wednesday morning.  Confidence is high in widespread rain over the
region, with the highest rainfall amounts and intensities focused
across San Luis Obispo and Santa Barbara counties.  The next impulse
is expected to bring more widespread light to moderate rain to the
region between Monday and Tuesday, with a chance of lingering shower
activity into Wednesday morning.  The most likely outcome is for
widespread light to moderate rain with the threat of some locally
heavier rainfall at times Monday into early Tuesday causing roadway
flooding in San Luis Obispo and Santa Barbara counties. There is
also a 10 percent chance of thunderstorms across San Luis Obispo
county Monday afternoon into evening.

Rainfall amounts through Wednesday are expected to range between
1.50 to 2.50 inches across much of San Luis Obispo County (except
3 to 5 inches in the Santa Lucias), 1.00 to 2.50 inches in Santa
Barbara County, 0.33 to 1.00 inches in Ventura County, and 0.20 to
0.50 inches in LA county. Peak rainfall rates for San Luis Obispo
County are expected to be 0.25 to 0.50 inches per hour, and 0.25 to
0.33 inches per hour for Santa Barbara County. While these rainfall
amounts and intensities are the most likely outcome with this event,
there is a 10-20 percent chance of totals and intensities up to
double the amounts listed above. There is a cutoff low that develops
later in the week that will bring a chance of showers at times from
Thanksgiving Day through Saturday, but confidence remains low, and
there is also an equal chance of drier offshore flow developing
during that time frame.



$$

ECC032-251730-
Ventura County excluding Los Padres National Forest-
Discussion for Ventura ECC Dispatch
320 PM PST Sun Nov 24 2024

...PERIODS OF RAIN THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING...

Periods of rain will impact the region later tonight through
Wednesday morning.  Confidence is high in widespread rain over the
region, with the highest rainfall amounts and intensities focused
across San Luis Obispo and Santa Barbara counties.  The next impulse
is expected to bring more widespread light to moderate rain to the
region between Monday and Tuesday, with a chance of lingering shower
activity into Wednesday morning.  The most likely outcome is for
widespread light to moderate rain with the threat of some locally
heavier rainfall at times Monday into early Tuesday causing roadway
flooding in San Luis Obispo and Santa Barbara counties. There is
also a 10 percent chance of thunderstorms across San Luis Obispo
county Monday afternoon into evening.

Rainfall amounts through Wednesday are expected to range between
1.50 to 2.50 inches across much of San Luis Obispo County (except
3 to 5 inches in the Santa Lucias), 1.00 to 2.50 inches in Santa
Barbara County, 0.33 to 1.00 inches in Ventura County, and 0.20 to
0.50 inches in LA county. Peak rainfall rates for San Luis Obispo
County are expected to be 0.25 to 0.50 inches per hour, and 0.25 to
0.33 inches per hour for Santa Barbara County. While these rainfall
amounts and intensities are the most likely outcome with this event,
there is a 10-20 percent chance of totals and intensities up to
double the amounts listed above. There is a cutoff low that develops
later in the week that will bring a chance of showers at times from
Thanksgiving Day through Saturday, but confidence remains low, and
there is also an equal chance of drier offshore flow developing
during that time frame.



$$

ECC030-251730-
Los Angeles County excluding Angeles National Forest-
Discussion for Los Angeles ECC Dispatch
320 PM PST Sun Nov 24 2024

...PERIODS OF RAIN THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING...

Periods of rain will impact the region later tonight through
Wednesday morning.  Confidence is high in widespread rain over the
region, with the highest rainfall amounts and intensities focused
across San Luis Obispo and Santa Barbara counties.  The next impulse
is expected to bring more widespread light to moderate rain to the
region between Monday and Tuesday, with a chance of lingering shower
activity into Wednesday morning.  The most likely outcome is for
widespread light to moderate rain with the threat of some locally
heavier rainfall at times Monday into early Tuesday causing roadway
flooding in San Luis Obispo and Santa Barbara counties. There is
also a 10 percent chance of thunderstorms across San Luis Obispo
county Monday afternoon into evening.

Rainfall amounts through Wednesday are expected to range between
1.50 to 2.50 inches across much of San Luis Obispo County (except
3 to 5 inches in the Santa Lucias), 1.00 to 2.50 inches in Santa
Barbara County, 0.33 to 1.00 inches in Ventura County, and 0.20 to
0.50 inches in LA county. Peak rainfall rates for San Luis Obispo
County are expected to be 0.25 to 0.50 inches per hour, and 0.25 to
0.33 inches per hour for Santa Barbara County. While these rainfall
amounts and intensities are the most likely outcome with this event,
there is a 10-20 percent chance of totals and intensities up to
double the amounts listed above. There is a cutoff low that develops
later in the week that will bring a chance of showers at times from
Thanksgiving Day through Saturday, but confidence remains low, and
there is also an equal chance of drier offshore flow developing
during that time frame.



$$