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Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Los Angeles, CA
Issued by NWS Los Angeles, CA
402 FNUS56 KLOX 042307 FWFLOX Fire Weather Planning Forecast For Southwestern California National Weather Service Los Angeles/Oxnard CA 307 PM PST Tue Feb 4 2025 ...TWO STORM SYSTEMS THIS WEEK WITH GUSTY WINDS AND GENERALLY BENEFICIAL RAIN... ...DRY NORTH TO NORTHEAST WINDS FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY... .DISCUSSION... The first storm system will pass through the region by Wednesday afternoon. For San Luis Obispo and Santa Barbara Counties, rain totals of 0.75 to 1.50 inches will be common, with 1.5 to 3.0 inches in the foothills and mountains. Northwest San Luis Obispo County will likely see much higher totals. Peak rain rates should range between 0.25 to 0.50 inches per hour, with local rates of 0.50 to 0.75 inches per hour. For Los Angeles and Ventura Counties, totals of 0.25 to 0.75 inches will be common, with 0.75 to 1.50 inches in the favored hills including the Palisades and Eaton burn scars. Peak rates of 0.10 to 0.25 inches per hour will be common, with local rates of 0.25 to 0.50 inches per hour. Thunderstorm chances are very small. Snow levels are very high. Impacts should be generally minimal, but there will be a few potential problem areas. There is a low but present risk of small creek flooding in and downstream of the Santa Lucias. Vulnerable canyon roads like Topanga Canyon will likely see mud and debris flows. South to southwest wind gusts of 25 to 45 mph will be common over the mountains, interior, and Central Coast through tonight, with local gusts of 50 to 60 mph. After a break Wednesday afternoon through Thursday morning, a second storm will move through Thursday Night into Friday. This storm will be the weakest of the two, and bring more uniform rain over the region. Totals will generally fall between 0.25 and 1.00 inches, except 1 to 2 inches over the favored mountains and hills. Impacts will again be generally minor. Winds will quickly turn northwesterly Friday afternoon, then turn north to northeasterly Friday Night through Monday. Gusts of 30 to 50 mph are likely in the wind favored areas like the I-5 Corridor, the Santa Monica Mountains, much of Santa Barbara County, and the Santa Lucia Range. Humidities will lower quickly as well, with minimums falling into the 10 to 20 percent range by Sunday, especially in the mountains. While the combination of winds and humidities may approach brief critical conditions, the very recent rains should limit any fire weather danger. Please note: the LAL has been removed nationally and any thunderstorm chances will still be mentioned in the weather element. CAZ362-366>371-051415- Malibu Coast-Los Angeles County Beaches-Palos Verdes Hills- Los Angeles County Inland Coast including Downtown Los Angeles- Western Santa Monica Mountains Recreational Area- Eastern Santa Monica Mountains Recreational Area- Calabasas and Agoura Hills- Including the cities of Malibu, Pacific Palisades, LAX, Long Beach, Redondo Beach, Santa Monica, Torrance, Rancho Palos Verdes, Beverly Hills, Compton, Culver City, Downey, Hollywood, Norwalk, Malibu Bowl, Topanga, Westlake Village, and Malibu Lake 307 PM PST Tue Feb 4 2025 .TONIGHT... Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Chance of rain in the evening, then rain likely after midnight. Min temperature.....48-58. 24 hr trend......Up 4. Max humidity........90-100 percent. 24 hr trend......Up 4. 20-foot winds....... Valleys.........Southeast 6-12 mph with gusts to 20 mph. Ridges..........Southeast 8-15 mph with gusts to 25 mph. Marine layer........None. CWR (>0.10 in)......70 percent. .WEDNESDAY... Sky/weather.........Cloudy. Rain. Max temperature.....58-64. 24 hr trend......Little change. Min humidity........70-85 percent. 24 hr trend......Up 12. 20-foot winds....... Valleys.........Southeast 6-12 mph with gusts to 20 mph. Ridges..........Southeast 6-12 mph with gusts to 20 mph. Marine layer........None. CWR (>0.10 in)......90 percent. .WEDNESDAY NIGHT... Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Rain likely. Min temperature.....46-54. Max humidity........90-100 percent. 20-foot winds....... Valleys.........Southeast 6-12 mph. Ridges..........South 6-12 mph with gusts to 20 mph. CWR (>0.10 in)......30 percent. .THURSDAY... Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Rain likely. Max temperature.....56-62. Min humidity........65-80 percent. 20-foot winds....... Valleys.........Southwest 6-12 mph. Ridges..........South 6-12 mph with gusts to 20 mph CWR (>0.10 in)......20 percent. $$ CAZ288-372-373-548-051415- Santa Clarita Valley-Western San Fernando Valley- Eastern San Fernando Valley-Los Angeles County San Gabriel Valley- Including the cities of Northridge, Woodland Hills, Van Nuys, Chatsworth, Burbank, Universal City, Glendale, Sunland, La Canada Flintridge, East Los Angeles, El Monte, Pasadena, Pomona, and San Gabriel 307 PM PST Tue Feb 4 2025 .TONIGHT... Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Chance of rain in the evening, then rain likely after midnight. Min temperature.....49-56. 24 hr trend......Little change. Max humidity........95-100 percent. 24 hr trend......Little change. 20-foot winds.......Southeast 6-12 mph with gusts to 20 mph. Marine layer........None. CWR (>0.10 in)......50 percent. .WEDNESDAY... Sky/weather.........Cloudy. Rain. Max temperature.....58-64. 24 hr trend......Little change. Min humidity........70-80 percent. 24 hr trend......Up 24. 20-foot winds.......Southeast 6-12 mph with gusts to 20 mph. Marine layer........None. CWR (>0.10 in)......70 percent. .WEDNESDAY NIGHT... Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Rain likely. Min temperature.....48-54. Max humidity........90-100 percent. 20-foot winds.......Southeast 6-12 mph. CWR (>0.10 in)......30 percent. .THURSDAY... Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Rain likely in the morning, then chance of rain in the afternoon. Max temperature.....58-63. Min humidity........60-70 percent. 20-foot winds.......Variable 3-6 mph becoming south 6-12 mph in the afternoon. CWR (>0.10 in)......20 percent. $$ CAZ378>380-051415- Interstate 5 Corridor- Western San Gabriel Mountains and Highway 14 Corridor- Eastern San Gabriel Mountains- Including the cities of Tejon Pass, Gorman, Pyramid Lake, Acton, Warm Springs, Mill Creek, Mount Wilson, Mount Baldy, Wrightwood, and The Angeles Crest Highway 307 PM PST Tue Feb 4 2025 .TONIGHT... Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Chance of rain in the evening, then rain likely after midnight. Min temperature.....43-53. 24 hr trend......Up 10. Max humidity........75-100 percent. 24 hr trend......Up 42. 20-foot winds....... Valleys.........Southwest 15-25 mph with gusts to 40 mph. Ridges..........Southwest 20-30 mph with gusts to 50 mph. Marine layer........None. CWR (>0.10 in)......50 percent. .WEDNESDAY... Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Rain likely. Max temperature.....53-60 low elevations to 45-51 higher elevations. 24 hr trend......Little change. Min humidity........55-75 percent. 24 hr trend......Up 28. 20-foot winds....... Valleys.........Southwest 10-20 mph with gusts to 30 mph. Ridges..........Southwest 15-25 mph with gusts to 40 mph. Marine layer........None. CWR (>0.10 in)......60 percent. .WEDNESDAY NIGHT... Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Chance of rain. Min temperature.....44-52 except 39-41 colder valleys and slopes. Max humidity........75-100 percent. 20-foot winds....... Valleys.........Southwest 8-15 mph with gusts to 25 mph. Ridges..........Southwest 10-20 mph with gusts to 30 mph. CWR (>0.10 in)......20 percent. .THURSDAY... Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Rain likely. Max temperature.....52-59 low elevations to 42-50 higher elevations. Min humidity........45-65 percent. 20-foot winds....... Valleys.........Southwest 6-12 mph with gusts to 20 mph becoming 10-20 mph with gusts to 30 mph in the afternoon. Ridges..........Southwest 10-20 mph with gusts to 30 mph becoming 15-25 mph with gusts to 40 mph in the afternoon. CWR (>0.10 in)......20 percent. $$ CAZ381>383-051415- Western Antelope Valley Foothills-Eastern Antelope Valley Foothills- Antelope Valley- Including the cities of Elizabeth Lake, Lake Palmdale, Valyermo, Llano, Pearblossom, Palmdale, Lancaster, and Lake Los Angeles 307 PM PST Tue Feb 4 2025 .TONIGHT... Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Chance of rain. Min temperature.....42-52. 24 hr trend......Down 4. Max humidity........75-85 percent. 24 hr trend......Up 30. 20-foot winds.......Southwest 15-30 mph with gusts to 45 mph. Marine layer........None. CWR (>0.10 in)......20 percent. .WEDNESDAY... Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Rain likely in the morning, then chance of rain in the afternoon. Max temperature.....54-64. 24 hr trend......Little change. Min humidity........45-65 percent. 24 hr trend......Up 28. 20-foot winds.......Southwest 10-20 mph with gusts to 30 mph. Marine layer........None. CWR (>0.10 in)......20 percent. .WEDNESDAY NIGHT... Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy. Chance of rain. Min temperature.....38-48. Max humidity........80-100 percent. 20-foot winds.......Southwest 8-15 mph with gusts to 25 mph. CWR (>0.10 in)......10 percent. .THURSDAY... Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Chance of rain. Max temperature.....54-64. Min humidity........35-55 percent. 20-foot winds.......Southwest 8-15 mph with gusts to 25 mph becoming 15-25 mph with gusts to 40 mph in the afternoon. CWR (>0.10 in)......10 percent. $$ CAZ354>358-374-375-051415- Ventura County Beaches-Ventura County Inland Coast-Lake Casitas- Ojai Valley-Central Ventura County Valleys- Southeastern Ventura County Valleys-Santa Susana Mountains- Including the cities of Oxnard, Point Mugu, Port Hueneme, Ventura, Camarillo, East Ventura, Meiners Oaks, Oak View, Ojai, Fillmore, Piru, Santa Paula, Moorpark, Newbury Park, Simi Valley, Thousand Oaks, and Oat Mountain 307 PM PST Tue Feb 4 2025 .TONIGHT... Sky/weather.........Cloudy. Rain developing. Min temperature.....45-55. 24 hr trend......Up 12. Max humidity........95-100 percent. 24 hr trend......Little change. 20-foot winds.......Southeast 8-15 mph with gusts to 25 mph. Marine layer........None. CWR (>0.10 in)......90 percent. .WEDNESDAY... Sky/weather.........Cloudy. Rain. Max temperature.....55-64. 24 hr trend......Little change. Min humidity........75-85 percent. 24 hr trend......Up 18. 20-foot winds.......Southeast 6-12 mph with gusts to 20 mph. Marine layer........None. CWR (>0.10 in)......90 percent. .WEDNESDAY NIGHT... Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Rain likely. Min temperature.....44-53. Max humidity........90-100 percent. 20-foot winds.......South 6-12 mph. CWR (>0.10 in)......20 percent. .THURSDAY... Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Rain likely. Max temperature.....54-63. Min humidity........65-80 percent. 20-foot winds.......Variable 3-6 mph becoming southwest 6-12 mph with gusts to 20 mph in the afternoon. CWR (>0.10 in)......20 percent. $$ CAZ353-376-377-051415- Santa Barbara County Interior Mountains- Southern Ventura County Mountains-Northern Ventura County Mountains- Including the cities of Big Pine Mountain, Figueroa Mountain, San Rafael Mountain, Rose Valley, Matilija, Topatopa Mountains, Lockwood Valley, Mount Pinos, and Ozena 307 PM PST Tue Feb 4 2025 .TONIGHT... Sky/weather.........Cloudy. Rain developing. Min temperature.....47-57 except 31-36 colder valleys and slopes. 24 hr trend......Up 4. Max humidity........80-100 percent. 24 hr trend......Up 4. 20-foot winds....... Valleys.........South 20-30 mph with gusts to 50 mph. Ridges..........Southwest 25-35 mph with gusts to 60 mph. Marine layer........None. CWR (>0.10 in)......80 percent. .WEDNESDAY... Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Rain. Max temperature.....55-62 low elevations to 46-53 higher elevations. 24 hr trend......Little change. Min humidity........50-70 percent. 24 hr trend......Up 44. 20-foot winds....... Valleys.........Southwest 8-15 mph with gusts to 25 mph early becoming southeast 6-12 mph with gusts to 20 mph. Ridges..........Southwest 15-25 mph with gusts to 35 mph early becoming 10-20 mph with gusts to 30 mph. Marine layer........None. CWR (>0.10 in)......60 percent. .WEDNESDAY NIGHT... Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Chance of rain. Min temperature.....40-49 except 30-35 colder valleys and slopes. Max humidity........80-100 percent. 20-foot winds....... Valleys.........South 6-12 mph. Ridges..........Southwest 8-15 mph with gusts to 25 mph. CWR (>0.10 in)......10 percent. .THURSDAY... Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Chance of rain in the morning, then rain likely in the afternoon. Max temperature.....54-61 low elevations to 44-52 higher elevations. Min humidity........40-60 percent. 20-foot winds....... Valleys.........South 6-12 mph becoming 8-15 mph with gusts to 25 mph in the afternoon. Ridges..........Southwest 8-15 mph with gusts to 25 mph becoming 10-20 mph with gusts to 30 mph in the afternoon. CWR (>0.10 in)......20 percent. $$ CAZ349>352-051415- Santa Barbara County Southwestern Coast- Santa Barbara County Southeastern Coast- Santa Ynez Mountains Western Range-Santa Ynez Mountains Eastern Range- Including the cities of El Capitan State Beach, Gaviota, Jalama Beach, Refugio State Beach, Carpinteria, Goleta, Montecito, Santa Barbara, San Marcos Pass, and Montecito Hills 307 PM PST Tue Feb 4 2025 .TONIGHT... Sky/weather.........Cloudy. Rain. Min temperature.....44-54. 24 hr trend......Up 8. Max humidity........90-100 percent. 24 hr trend......Up 4. 20-foot winds.......Southeast 15-25 mph with gusts to 40 mph. Isolated gusts to 50 mph. Marine layer........None. CWR (>0.10 in)......100 percent. .WEDNESDAY... Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Rain. Max temperature.....53-62. 24 hr trend......Little change. Min humidity........65-85 percent. 24 hr trend......Up 4. 20-foot winds.......South 6-12 mph with gusts to 20 mph early becoming southwest in the afternoon. Marine layer........None. CWR (>0.10 in)......70 percent. .WEDNESDAY NIGHT... Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Chance of rain. Min temperature.....42-52. Max humidity........90-100 percent. 20-foot winds.......Southeast 6-12 mph with gusts to 20 mph. Isolated gusts to 30 mph. CWR (>0.10 in)......20 percent. .THURSDAY... Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Chance of rain in the morning, then rain in the afternoon. Max temperature.....51-61. Min humidity........65-80 percent. 20-foot winds.......Southeast 6-12 mph with gusts to 20 mph becoming 8-15 mph with gusts to 25 mph in the afternoon. Isolated gusts to 35 mph. CWR (>0.10 in)......20 percent. $$ CAZ340>343-346>348-051415- San Luis Obispo County Beaches- San Luis Obispo County Inland Central Coast-Santa Lucia Mountains- Southern Salinas Valley-Santa Barbara County Central Coast Beaches- Santa Barbara County Inland Central Coast-Santa Ynez Valley- Including the cities of Arroyo Grande, Avila Beach, Cambria, Morro Bay, Pismo Beach, Lopez Lake, Nipomo, San Luis Obispo, Hearst Castle, Irish Hills, Atascadero, Lake Nacimiento, Paso Robles, San Miguel, Templeton, Lompoc, Vandenberg Space Force Base, Buellton, Santa Maria, Lake Cachuma, Los Olivos, Santa Ynez, and Solvang 307 PM PST Tue Feb 4 2025 .TONIGHT... Sky/weather.........Cloudy. Rain. Min temperature.....45-55. 24 hr trend......Up 6. Max humidity........90-100 percent. 24 hr trend......Little change. 20-foot winds....... Valleys.........South 20-30 mph with gusts to 45 mph early becoming northwest 8-15 mph with gusts to 25 mph. Ridges..........South 25-35 mph with gusts to 60 mph early becoming northwest 15-25 mph with gusts to 35 mph. Marine layer........None. CWR (>0.10 in)......100 percent. .WEDNESDAY... Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Rain likely in the morning, then chance of rain in the afternoon. Max temperature.....53-63. 24 hr trend......Little change. Min humidity........50-70 percent. 24 hr trend......Down 18. 20-foot winds....... Valleys.........North 6-12 mph with gusts to 20 mph. Ridges..........Northeast 8-15 mph with gusts to 25 mph. Marine layer........None. CWR (>0.10 in)......20 percent. .WEDNESDAY NIGHT... Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Chance of rain. Min temperature.....39-49. Max humidity........80-100 percent. 20-foot winds....... Valleys.........Northeast 6-12 mph. Ridges..........East 8-15 mph with gusts to 25 mph. CWR (>0.10 in)......10 percent. .THURSDAY... Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Chance of rain in the morning, then rain in the afternoon. Max temperature.....52-62. Min humidity........65-80 percent. 20-foot winds....... Valleys.........Southeast 6-12 mph becoming south 10-20 mph with gusts to 30 mph in the afternoon. Ridges..........Southeast 6-12 mph with gusts to 20 mph becoming south 15-25 mph with gust to 40 mph in the afternoon. CWR (>0.10 in)......40 percent. $$ CAZ238-344-345-051415- Cuyama Valley-San Luis Obispo County Interior Valleys- San Luis Obispo County Mountains- Including the cities of Carrizo Plain, Creston, Shandon, Caliente Range, La Panza Range, and Santa Margarita Lake 307 PM PST Tue Feb 4 2025 .TONIGHT... Sky/weather.........Cloudy. Rain. Min temperature.....45-54. 24 hr trend......Up 10. Max humidity........95-100 percent. 24 hr trend......Little change. 20-foot winds....... Valleys.........Southwest 20-30 mph with gusts to 50 mph in the evening becoming 10-20 mph with gusts to 30 mph late. Ridges..........Southwest 25-35 mph with gusts to 60 mph in the evening becoming 15-25 mph with gusts to 35 mph late. Marine layer........None. CWR (>0.10 in)......60 percent. .WEDNESDAY... Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Rain likely in the morning, then chance of rain in the afternoon. Max temperature.....51-61. 24 hr trend......Down 4. Min humidity........45-65 percent. 24 hr trend......Down 8. 20-foot winds....... Valleys.........Northeast 6-12 mph with gusts to 20 mph. Ridges..........South 8-15 mph with gusts to 25 mph. Marine layer........None. CWR (>0.10 in)......30 percent. .WEDNESDAY NIGHT... Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Chance of rain. Min temperature.....35-44. Max humidity........80-100 percent. 20-foot winds....... Valleys.........East 5-10 mph. Ridges..........South 6-12 mph with gusts to 20 mph. CWR (>0.10 in)......10 percent. .THURSDAY... Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Chance of rain in the morning, then rain likely in the afternoon. Max temperature.....58-63 low elevations to 52-56 higher elevations. Min humidity........45-65 percent. 20-foot winds....... Valleys.........Southeast 5-10 mph becoming south 8-15 mph with gusts to 25 mph in the afternoon. Ridges..........South 6-12 mph with gusts to 20 mph becoming southwest 10-20 mph with gusts to 30 mph in the afternoon. CWR (>0.10 in)......30 percent. $$ .Extended... ...Coasts/Valleys Including the Santa Monica Range... .FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Rain. Lows in the mid 30s to lower 50s. Highs in the 50s to lower 60s. Northwest winds 15 to 25 mph. .SATURDAY...Clear. Lows in the 30s to upper 40s. Highs from the mid to upper 50s at the beaches to the mid 60s inland. North winds 15 to 25 mph with local gusts to 40 mph. .SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the 30s to upper 40s. Highs from the mid 50s to around 60 at the beaches to the mid to upper 60s inland. North winds 10 to 20 mph with gusts to 30 mph. ...Mountains / Los Padres and Angeles National Forests... .FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Rain. Lows from the 40s to around 50 at low elevations to 19 to 26 in colder valleys and peaks. Highs from the 50s at low elevations to the 40s to around 50 at high elevations. Northwest winds 15 to 25 mph with gusts to 35 mph. .SATURDAY...Clear. Lows from the mid 30s to mid 40s at low elevations to 19 to 26 in colder valleys and peaks. Highs from the 50s to lower 60s at low elevations to the 40s at high elevations. North winds 15 to 25 mph with gusts to 35 mph. .SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows from the mid 30s to mid 40s at low elevations to the 20s in colder valleys and peaks. Highs from the mid 50s to mid 60s at low elevations to the mid 40s to mid 50s at high elevations. North winds 15 to 25 mph with gusts to 35 mph. ...Antelope Valley... .FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Rain likely. Lows in the upper 20s to mid 30s except the mid to upper 40s in the hills. Highs in the mid 50s to lower 60s. West winds 20 to 30 mph with gusts to 45 mph. .SATURDAY...Clear. Lows in the upper 20s to mid 30s. Highs in the mid 50s to around 60. Northeast winds 15 to 25 mph. .SUNDAY...Clear. Lows in the mid 20s to mid 30s. Highs in the mid 50s to around 60. West winds 8 to 15 mph. $$ Kittell WWW.WEATHER.GOV/LOSANGELES