


Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Los Angeles, CA
Issued by NWS Los Angeles, CA
733 FNUS56 KLOX 161626 FWFLOX Fire Weather Planning Forecast For Southwestern California National Weather Service Los Angeles/Oxnard CA 926 AM PDT Tue Sep 16 2025 ...ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS DUE TO VERY WARM CONDITIONS AND A RISK OF DEEP PLUME DOMINATED FIRES THROUGH WEDNESDAY... ...TROPICAL MOISTURE IMPACTING THE AREA WEDNESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY WITH RISKS FOR DRY LIGHTING AND LOCALLY STRONG WINDS EARLY, TRANSITIONING TO MODERATE TO HEAVY RAIN AND FLOODING THREAT... .DISCUSSION... Temperatures will peak today and Wednesday, with highs between 92 and 102 common inland of the beaches. This will create mixing heights between 10,000 and 14,000 feet over the mountains and interior leading to an elevated risk of plume dominated fire behavior. Tropical Storm Mario, currently centered 800 miles south of Point Conception, will continue to move towards southwest California. While the storm will weaken quickly over the next 24 hours, very deep tropical moisture will push over California Wednesday through Friday. While it is not clear if we will see thunderstorms, and the risk is NOT high enough to warrant a Fire Weather Watch, there is still a chance. With dry air near the surface through early Thursday, any thunderstorm carries a risk of dry lightning fire starts and locally strong winds. As we get deeper into Thursday, fairly widespread rain is likely, with a risk of localized pockets of heavier showers. Any heavy shower could produce isolated flash flooding or debris flow. As the core of system approaches, abrupt and erratic wind shifts are likely with gusts of 30 to 40 mph possible anywhere, but especially in the mountains and especially Wednesday afternoon into Thursday. The tropical moisture and asssociated risks should decrease Friday into Saturday, but there is now a growing chance of a repeat tropical surge sometime Sunday through Tuesday of next week. CAZ350-354-355-362-366>368-548-170045- Santa Barbara County Southeastern Coast-Ventura County Beaches- Ventura County Inland Coast-Malibu Coast-Los Angeles County Beaches- Palos Verdes Hills- Los Angeles County Inland Coast including Downtown Los Angeles- Los Angeles County San Gabriel Valley- Including the cities of Carpinteria, Goleta, Montecito, Santa Barbara, Oxnard, Point Mugu, Port Hueneme, Ventura, Camarillo, East Ventura, Malibu, Pacific Palisades, LAX, Long Beach, Redondo Beach, Santa Monica, Torrance, Rancho Palos Verdes, Beverly Hills, Compton, Culver City, Downey, Hollywood, Norwalk, East Los Angeles, El Monte, Pasadena, Pomona, and San Gabriel 926 AM PDT Tue Sep 16 2025 .TODAY... Sky/weather.........Sunny except areas of morning low clouds and fog. Max temperature.....76-86 except 93-98 in the hills. 24 hr trend......Up 4. Min humidity........35-55 percent. 24 hr trend......Down 10. 20-foot winds.......Variable 3-6 mph becoming southwest 8-15 mph in the afternoon. Marine layer........800 ft asl. CWR (>0.10 in)......0 percent. .TONIGHT... Sky/weather.........Clear in the evening then mostly cloudy. Min temperature.....63-71. Max humidity........65-85 percent. 20-foot winds.......Southwest 6-12 mph with early becoming variable 3-6 mph. CWR (>0.10 in)......0 percent. .WEDNESDAY... Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Max temperature.....77-86 except 90-95 in the hills. Min humidity........40-60 percent. 20-foot winds.......Variable 3-6 mph becoming southwest 6-12 mph with gusts to 20 mph in the afternoon. CWR (>0.10 in)......0 percent. $$ CAZ370-372-373-170045- Eastern Santa Monica Mountains Recreational Area- Western San Fernando Valley-Eastern San Fernando Valley- Including the cities of Topanga, Northridge, Woodland Hills, Van Nuys, Chatsworth, Burbank, Universal City, Glendale, Sunland, and La Canada Flintridge 926 AM PDT Tue Sep 16 2025 .TODAY... Sky/weather.........Sunny. Max temperature.....93-102. 24 hr trend......Little change. Min humidity........15-35 percent. 24 hr trend......Little change. 20-foot winds....... Valleys.........Variable 3-6 mph becoming southwest 6-12 mph with gusts to 20 mph in the afternoon. Ridges..........Variable 3-6 mph becoming southwest 6-12 mph with gusts to 20 mph in the afternoon. Marine layer........800 ft asl. CWR (>0.10 in)......0 percent. .TONIGHT... Sky/weather.........Clear in the evening then partly cloudy. Min temperature.....62-70. Max humidity........55-75 percent. 20-foot winds....... Valleys.........Southwest 6-12 mph early becoming variable 3-6 mph. Ridges..........Southwest 6-12 mph early becoming variable 3-6 mph. CWR (>0.10 in)......0 percent. .WEDNESDAY... Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Max temperature.....91-100. Min humidity........25-45 percent. 20-foot winds....... Valleys.........Variable 3-6 mph becoming southwest 6-12 mph with gusts to 20 mph in the afternoon. Ridges..........Variable 3-6 mph becoming southwest 6-12 mph with gusts to 20 mph in the afternoon. CWR (>0.10 in)......0 percent. $$ CAZ356>358-369-371-374-375-170045- Lake Casitas-Ojai Valley-Central Ventura County Valleys- Western Santa Monica Mountains Recreational Area- Calabasas and Agoura Hills-Southeastern Ventura County Valleys- Santa Susana Mountains- Including the cities of Meiners Oaks, Oak View, Ojai, Fillmore, Piru, Santa Paula, Malibu Bowl, Westlake Village, Malibu Lake, Moorpark, Newbury Park, Simi Valley, Thousand Oaks, and Oat Mountain 926 AM PDT Tue Sep 16 2025 .TODAY... Sky/weather.........Sunny. Max temperature.....87-97. 24 hr trend......Little change. Min humidity........15-35 percent. 24 hr trend......Down 20. 20-foot winds....... Valleys.........Variable 3-6 mph becoming southwest 6-12 mph with gusts to 20 mph in the afternoon. Ridges..........Variable 3-6 mph becoming southwest 6-12 mph with gusts to 20 mph in the afternoon. Marine layer........800 ft asl. CWR (>0.10 in)......0 percent. .TONIGHT... Sky/weather.........Clear in the evening then partly cloudy. Min temperature.....67-76 except 59-64 colder valleys. Max humidity........50-70 percent except 75-85 percent colder valleys and slopes. 20-foot winds....... Valleys.........West 5-10 mph early becoming variable 3-6 mph. Ridges..........West 5-10 mph early becoming variable 3-6 mph. CWR (>0.10 in)......0 percent. .WEDNESDAY... Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Max temperature.....88-97. Min humidity........25-45 percent. 20-foot winds....... Valleys.........Variable 3-6 mph becoming southwest 6-12 mph with gusts to 20 mph in the afternoon. Ridges..........Variable 3-6 mph becoming southwest 6-12 mph with gusts to 20 mph in the afternoon. CWR (>0.10 in)......0 percent. $$ CAZ288-170045- Santa Clarita Valley- 926 AM PDT Tue Sep 16 2025 .TODAY... Sky/weather.........Sunny. Max temperature.....93-97. 24 hr trend......Up 4. Min humidity........15-25 percent. 24 hr trend......Little change. 20-foot winds.......Variable 3-6 mph becoming south 8-15 mph with gusts to 25 mph in the afternoon. Marine layer........None. CWR (>0.10 in)......0 percent. .TONIGHT... Sky/weather.........Clear in the evening then partly cloudy. Min temperature.....58-67 except 68-73 in the hills. Max humidity........45-60 percent. 20-foot winds.......Southwest 6-12 mph with gusts to 20 mph early becoming variable 3-6 mph. CWR (>0.10 in)......0 percent. .WEDNESDAY... Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy. Max temperature.....92-97. Min humidity........20-25 percent. 20-foot winds.......Variable 3-6 mph becoming south 8-15 mph with gusts to 25 mph in the afternoon. CWR (>0.10 in)......0 percent. $$ CAZ379>382-170045- Western San Gabriel Mountains and Highway 14 Corridor- Eastern San Gabriel Mountains-Western Antelope Valley Foothills- Eastern Antelope Valley Foothills- Including the cities of Acton, Warm Springs, Mill Creek, Mount Wilson, Mount Baldy, Wrightwood, The Angeles Crest Highway, Elizabeth Lake, Lake Palmdale, Valyermo, Llano, and Pearblossom 926 AM PDT Tue Sep 16 2025 .TODAY... Sky/weather.........Sunny. Max temperature.....86-96 low elevations to 72-79 higher elevations. 24 hr trend......Little change. Min humidity........15-35 percent. 24 hr trend......Little change. 20-foot winds....... Valleys.........Variable 3-6 mph becoming southwest 8-15 mph with gusts to 25 mph in the afternoon. Ridges..........South 6-12 mph becoming southwest 8-15 mph with gusts to 25 mph in the afternoon. Marine layer........None. CWR (>0.10 in)......0 percent. .TONIGHT... Sky/weather.........Clear in the evening then partly cloudy. Min temperature.....67-76 except 57-62 colder valleys and slopes. Max humidity........40-55 percent. 20-foot winds....... Valleys.........Southwest 8-15 mph with gusts to 25 mph in the evening becoming west 6-12 mph. Ridges..........Southwest 8-15 mph with gusts to 25 mph in the evening becoming 6-12 mph. CWR (>0.10 in)......0 percent. .WEDNESDAY... Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy. Max temperature.....85-95 low elevations to 72-79 higher elevations. Min humidity........15-35 percent. 20-foot winds....... Valleys.........Variable 3-6 mph becoming southwest 8-15 mph with gusts to 25 mph in the afternoon. Ridges..........Southwest 6-12 mph becoming southeast 8-15 mph with gusts to 25 mph in the afternoon. CWR (>0.10 in)......0 percent. $$ CAZ383-170045- Antelope Valley- Including the cities of Palmdale, Lancaster, and Lake Los Angeles 926 AM PDT Tue Sep 16 2025 .TODAY... Sky/weather.........Sunny. Max temperature.....94-100. 24 hr trend......Little change. Min humidity........15-20 percent. 24 hr trend......Up 4. 20-foot winds.......Variable 3-6 mph becoming southwest 6-12 mph with gusts to 20 mph in the afternoon. Marine layer........None. CWR (>0.10 in)......0 percent. .TONIGHT... Sky/weather.........Clear in the evening then partly cloudy. Min temperature.....57-66 except 69-74 in the hills. Max humidity........40-55 percent. 20-foot winds.......Southwest 8-15 mph with gusts to 25 mph in the evening becoming 6-12 mph. CWR (>0.10 in)......0 percent. .WEDNESDAY... Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy. Max temperature.....93-100. Min humidity........15-20 percent. 20-foot winds.......Variable 3-6 mph becoming southwest 10-20 mph with gusts to 30 mph in the afternoon. CWR (>0.10 in)......0 percent. $$ CAZ377-378-170045- Northern Ventura County Mountains-Interstate 5 Corridor- Including the cities of Lockwood Valley, Mount Pinos, Ozena, Tejon Pass, Gorman, and Pyramid Lake 926 AM PDT Tue Sep 16 2025 .TODAY... Sky/weather.........Sunny. Max temperature.....86-96 low elevations to 73-80 higher elevations. 24 hr trend......Up 4. Min humidity........15-25 percent. 24 hr trend......Little change. 20-foot winds....... Valleys.........South 5-10 mph becoming south 8-15 mph with gusts to 25 mph in the afternoon. Ridges..........South 5-10 mph becoming south 8-15 mph with gusts to 25 mph in the afternoon. Marine layer........None. CWR (>0.10 in)......0 percent. .TONIGHT... Sky/weather.........Clear in the evening then partly cloudy. Min temperature.....65-75 except 43-48 colder valleys and slopes. Max humidity........40-60 percent. 20-foot winds....... Valleys.........Southwest 8-15 mph with gusts to 25 mph in the evening becoming northwest 6-12 mph. Ridges..........Southwest 8-15 mph with gusts to 25 mph in the evening becoming northwest 6-12 mph. CWR (>0.10 in)......0 percent. .WEDNESDAY... Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy. Max temperature.....86-96 low elevations to 73-80 higher elevations. Min humidity........20-25 percent. 20-foot winds....... Valleys.........North 5-10 mph becoming south 6-12 mph with gusts to 20 mph in the afternoon. Ridges..........North 5-10 mph becoming south 6-12 mph with gusts to 20 mph in the afternoon. CWR (>0.10 in)......0 percent. $$ CAZ352-376-170045- Santa Ynez Mountains Eastern Range-Southern Ventura County Mountains- Including the cities of Montecito Hills, Rose Valley, Matilija, and Topatopa Mountains 926 AM PDT Tue Sep 16 2025 .TODAY... Sky/weather.........Sunny. Max temperature.....87-96 low elevations to 77-85 higher elevations. 24 hr trend......Little change. Min humidity........15-35 percent. 24 hr trend......Up 4. 20-foot winds....... Valleys.........Variable 3-6 mph becoming south 8-15 mph with gusts to 25 mph in the afternoon. Ridges..........Variable 3-6 mph becoming south 8-15 mph with gusts to 25 mph in the afternoon. Marine layer........None. CWR (>0.10 in)......0 percent. .TONIGHT... Sky/weather.........Clear in the evening then partly cloudy. Min temperature.....68-78 except 46-51 colder valleys and slopes. Max humidity........40-60 percent. 20-foot winds....... Valleys.........Southwest 6-12 mph with gusts to 20 mph early becoming variable 3-6 mph. Ridges..........Southwest 6-12 mph with gusts to 20 mph early becoming variable 3-6 mph. CWR (>0.10 in)......0 percent. .WEDNESDAY... Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy. Max temperature.....88-96 low elevations to 78-86 higher elevations. Min humidity........20-40 percent. 20-foot winds....... Valleys.........Variable 3-6 mph becoming southwest 6-12 mph with gusts to 20 mph in the afternoon. Ridges..........Variable 3-6 mph becoming southwest 6-12 mph with gusts to 20 mph in the afternoon. CWR (>0.10 in)......0 percent. $$ CAZ349-351-170045- Santa Barbara County Southwestern Coast- Santa Ynez Mountains Western Range- Including the cities of El Capitan State Beach, Gaviota, Jalama Beach, Refugio State Beach, and San Marcos Pass 926 AM PDT Tue Sep 16 2025 .TODAY... Sky/weather.........Sunny except areas of morning low clouds and dense fog. Max temperature.....73-82 except 85-90 warmer hills. 24 hr trend......Up 4. Min humidity........50-70 percent except 20-35 percent in the hills. 24 hr trend......Down 24. 20-foot winds.......Variable 3-6 mph becoming southwest 5-10 mph in the afternoon. Marine layer........800 ft asl. CWR (>0.10 in)......0 percent. .TONIGHT... Sky/weather.........Clear in the evening then partly cloudy. Min temperature.....58-67 except 72-77 warmer hills. Max humidity........75-100 percent except 55-70 percent in the hills. 20-foot winds.......Northwest 5-10 mph early becoming variable 3-6 mph. CWR (>0.10 in)......0 percent. .WEDNESDAY... Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Max temperature.....76-85 except 87-92 warmer hills. Min humidity........35-55 percent. 20-foot winds.......Variable 3-6 mph becoming west 6-12 mph with gusts to 20 mph in the afternoon. CWR (>0.10 in)......0 percent. $$ CAZ340-341-346>348-170045- San Luis Obispo County Beaches- San Luis Obispo County Inland Central Coast- Santa Barbara County Central Coast Beaches- Santa Barbara County Inland Central Coast-Santa Ynez Valley- Including the cities of Arroyo Grande, Avila Beach, Cambria, Morro Bay, Pismo Beach, Lopez Lake, Nipomo, San Luis Obispo, Lompoc, Vandenberg Space Force Base, Buellton, Santa Maria, Lake Cachuma, Los Olivos, Santa Ynez, and Solvang 926 AM PDT Tue Sep 16 2025 .TODAY... Sky/weather.........Sunny except areas of morning low clouds and dense fog. Max temperature.....70-77 beaches to 87-97 inland. 24 hr trend......Up 6. Min humidity........60-70 percent beaches to 20-40 percent inland. 24 hr trend......Down 16. 20-foot winds.......Variable 3-6 mph becoming west 6-12 mph in the afternoon. Marine layer........800 ft asl. CWR (>0.10 in)......0 percent. .TONIGHT... Sky/weather.........Clear in the evening then partly cloudy. Min temperature.....53-62 except 65-70 in the hills. Max humidity........70-100 percent. 20-foot winds.......Variable 3-6 mph. CWR (>0.10 in)......0 percent. .WEDNESDAY... Sky/weather.........Cloudy in the morning then partly cloudy. Max temperature.....71-78 beaches to 88-98 inland. Min humidity........55-65 percent beaches to 25-45 percent inland. 20-foot winds.......Variable 3-6 mph becoming west 6-12 mph with gusts to 20 mph in the afternoon. CWR (>0.10 in)......0 percent. $$ CAZ342-343-170045- Santa Lucia Mountains-Southern Salinas Valley- Including the cities of Hearst Castle, Irish Hills, Atascadero, Lake Nacimiento, Paso Robles, San Miguel, and Templeton 926 AM PDT Tue Sep 16 2025 .TODAY... Sky/weather.........Sunny. Max temperature.....90-100 except 78-83 closer to the coast. 24 hr trend......Up 4. Min humidity........15-35 percent except 35-50 percent closer to the coast. 24 hr trend......Down 4. 20-foot winds....... Valleys.........Variable 3-6 mph becoming southwest 6-12 mph with gusts to 20 mph in the afternoon. Ridges..........Variable 3-6 mph becoming southwest 6-12 mph with gusts to 20 mph in the afternoon. Marine layer........800 ft asl. CWR (>0.10 in)......0 percent. .TONIGHT... Sky/weather.........Clear. Min temperature.....49-59 except 67-72 warmer hills. Max humidity........50-70 percent except 75-85 percent colder valleys and slopes. 20-foot winds....... Valleys.........Southwest 6-12 mph with gusts to 20 mph in the evening becoming variable 3-6 mph. Ridges..........Southwest 6-12 mph with gusts to 20 mph in the evening becoming southeast 5-10 mph. CWR (>0.10 in)......0 percent. .WEDNESDAY... Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy. Max temperature.....92-102 except 80-85 closer to the coast. Min humidity........20-40 percent. 20-foot winds....... Valleys.........Variable 3-6 mph becoming southwest 6-12 mph with gusts to 20 mph in the afternoon. Ridges..........East 6-12 mph becoming south 6-12 mph with gusts to 20 mph in the afternoon. CWR (>0.10 in)......0 percent. $$ CAZ238-344-345-353-170045- Cuyama Valley-San Luis Obispo County Interior Valleys- San Luis Obispo County Mountains- Santa Barbara County Interior Mountains- Including the cities of Carrizo Plain, Creston, Shandon, Caliente Range, La Panza Range, Santa Margarita Lake, Big Pine Mountain, Figueroa Mountain, and San Rafael Mountain 926 AM PDT Tue Sep 16 2025 .TODAY... Sky/weather.........Sunny. Max temperature.....92-100 low elevations to 82-90 higher elevations. 24 hr trend......Up 4. Min humidity........15-25 percent. 24 hr trend......Down 4. 20-foot winds....... Valleys.........Variable 3-6 mph becoming upvalley 6-12 mph with gusts to 20 mph in the afternoon. Ridges..........Variable 3-6 mph becoming southwest 6-12 mph with gusts to 20 mph in the afternoon. Marine layer........None. CWR (>0.10 in)......0 percent. .TONIGHT... Sky/weather.........Clear. Min temperature.....65-75 except 52-57 colder valleys and slopes. Max humidity........45-65 percent. 20-foot winds....... Valleys.........West 6-12 mph with gusts to 20 mph in the evening becoming variable 3-6 mph. Ridges..........West 6-12 mph with gusts to 20 mph in the evening becoming northeast 6-12 mph. CWR (>0.10 in)......0 percent. .WEDNESDAY... Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy. Max temperature.....93-100 low elevations to 83-91 higher elevations. Min humidity........15-25 percent. 20-foot winds....... Valleys.........Variable 3-6 mph becoming upvalley 6-12 mph with gusts to 20 mph in the afternoon. Ridges..........East 6-12 mph becoming northwest 6-12 mph with gusts to 20 mph in the afternoon. CWR (>0.10 in)......0 percent. $$ .Extended... ...Coasts/Valleys Including the Santa Monica Range... .THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and slight chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 50s to lower 70s. Highs from the upper 60s to mid 70s at the beaches to the 80s to around 90 inland. Southeast winds 8 to 15 mph. .FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of thunderstorms. Patchy fog after midnight. Lows in the upper 50s to mid 60s. Highs from the mid 60s to around 70 at the beaches to the upper 70s to mid 80s inland. Northwest winds 6 to 12 mph. .SATURDAY...Clear except night through morning low clouds and fog. Lows in the mid 50s to mid 60s. Highs from the upper 60s to mid 70s at the beaches to the upper 70s and 80s inland. Northwest winds 8 to 15 mph. ...Mountains / Los Padres and Angeles National Forests... .THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and slight chance of thunderstorms. Lows from the mid 60s to mid 70s at low elevations to the 40s in colder valleys and peaks. Highs from the mid 70s to mid 80s at low elevations to the mid 60s to lower 70s at high elevations. South winds 10 to 20 mph with gusts to 30 mph. .FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of thunderstorms. Lows from the upper 50s and 60s at low elevations to the 40s in colder valleys and peaks. Highs from the 70s to lower 80s at low elevations to the 60s at high elevations. Southwest winds 6 to 12 mph. .SATURDAY...Clear. Lows from the upper 50s to mid 60s at low elevations to the mid 40s to lower 50s in colder valleys and peaks. Highs from the mid 70s to mid 80s at low elevations to the mid 60s to lower 70s at high elevations. North winds 6 to 12 mph. ...Antelope Valley... .THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and slight chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 50s to lower 60s except around 70 in the hills. Highs in the lower to mid 80s. Southwest winds 10 to 20 mph with gusts to 30 mph. .FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 50s to mid 60s. Highs in the upper 70s to mid 80s. Southwest winds 8 to 15 mph. .SATURDAY...Clear. Lows in the mid 50s to mid 60s. Highs in the lower to mid 80s. West winds 8 to 15 mph. $$ Kittell WWW.WEATHER.GOV/LOSANGELES