328
FXUS66 KLOX 301708
AFDLOX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Los Angeles/Oxnard CA
1008 AM PDT Thu Jul 30 2026

.SYNOPSIS...30/247 AM.

Temperatures will become dangerously hot in many areas Friday
through the upcoming weekend, as the next heat wave arrives. Some
cooling is expected next week, though temperatures will remain
above normal. Dangerous surf conditions are expected at area
beaches this week into this weekend, as a result of swells from a
distant tropical cyclone located west of Mexico.

&&

.SHORT TERM (TDY-SAT)...30/915 AM.

***UPDATE***

The extra marine layer clouds along the south coast has
temperatures down a few degrees from yesterday at this time, but
still expecting the afternoon to heat up. No impactful changes to
the forecast at this time.

***From Previous Discussion***

Overall the forecast remains largely unchanged as high pressure is
expected to push in from the east over the next few days. The
marine layer is still exerting its influence during the morning
hours with a depth of around 2000 feet in LA, sloping down to
around 1000 feet along the Central Coast. However, that influence
will be decreasing as high pressure builds over the next couple
days, potentially resulting in some areas of dense morning fog
near the coast Friday morning. After that it will be all about the
heat as a nearly 600dam high moves over the area. Valleys and
interior areas will see highs well over 100 Friday and Saturday
while intermediate areas between the coast and the valleys
(including Downtown LA) will be in the upper 80s to mid 90s.
Current forecast highs are mostly within a degree or two of daily
records with Saturday having the the highest chance for that. In
addition to the traditional daytime heat threat, overnight lows
will remain well above normal in response to the very warm ocean
temperatures, so there won`t be as much relief at night as we are
accustomed to. Areas closer to the coast where there are typically
fewer homes with AC will be the ones that are impacted most by
this.

A large south swell from Tropical Cyclone Genevieve will further
enhance large wave and potentially deadly rip currents for some
area beaches.

.LONG TERM (SUN-WED)...30/334 AM.

A slow cooling trend is expected to begin Sunday, though
temperatures will still be 5-10 degrees above normal and
increasing moisture aloft will limit overnight cooling and keep
humidities higher than normal. And in addition, high pressure
aloft will continue to dominate the weather pattern along the West
Coast all of next week, meaning highs will remain above normal
for the foreseeable future. Heat hazards may continue into next
week.

&&

.AVIATION...30/1708Z.

At 1631Z at KLAX, the marine layer was 1600 feet deep. The top of
the inversion was 3800 feet with a temperature of 24 degrees
Celsius.

High confidence in VFR TAFs for KPRB, KBUR, KVNY, KPMD, KWJF. 10%
chance for VLIFR-LIFR conds at KBUR/KVNY 10Z-16Z.

Low confidence in TAFs for KSBP and KSMX. 30% chance for VFR conds
to prevail, but if cigs arrive, 40% chance for VLIFR conds due to
dense fog.

Good to moderate confidence in remaining TAFs, higher for LA
County sites. Timing of flight cat changes may be off +/- 2 hours
and flight cats may be off by 1 cat, but good confidence in low
clouds overnight.

KLAX...Moderate confidence in TAF. Timing of flight cat changes
may be off +/- 2 hours from TAF, and lowest cigs may be off +/-
200 feet. 10% cahnce for brief LIFR conds near onset of cloud
arrival. No signficant east wind component expected.

KBUR...High confidence in VFR TAF. There is a 10% chance for
VLIFR to LIFR conds 10Z-16Z.

&&

.MARINE...30/906 AM.

For the Outer Waters, Small Craft Advisory (SCA) winds and seas
will occur through the remainder of this week through into this
weekend, before subsiding early next week.

For the Inner Waters north of Point Sal, there is an 80% chance
for SCA winds each afternoon and evening through Saturday. For
the Inner Waters south of Point Conception, there is 40% chance
of SCA winds each afternoon and evening through this weekend over
the western one-third of the Santa Barbara Channel.

Additionally seas of 8-12 feet will impact the outer waters into
this weekend, owing to a long-period southerly swell from a distant
tropical cyclone, combining with shorter-period northwesterly
swell/wind waves resulting from the moderate to strong NW winds.
As a result, steep, hazardous seas will be common over especially
the outer waters, extending to the coast especially for the
Central Coast.

&&

.BEACHES...30/906 AM.

Hurricane Genevieve is generating long period S-SE swells that
will affect the beaches for the remainder of this week into this
weekend. A High Surf Advisory is in effect for the south facing
beaches of LA and Ventura Counties through Saturday afternoon.
Very strong, severe rip currents have been reported from some area
beaches, with a risk of strong long-shore currents and sneaker
waves. Use extra caution if you are at the beach, and be sure to
ask lifeguards if and where it is safe to swim.

Please reference the Coastal Hazard Message for details
on High Surf and Coastal Flood Advisories, as well as Beach
Hazards Statements. Dangerous rip currents will be of particular
concern this weekend.

&&

.LOX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
CA...Extreme Heat Warning in effect from 10 AM Friday to 8 PM PDT
      Sunday for zones
      38-88-343>345-351>353-355>358-368>376-378-379-548. (See LAXNPWLOX).
     Coastal Flood Advisory in effect until 3 AM PDT Saturday for
      zones 87-354-362-366. (See LAXCFWLOX).
     High Surf Advisory in effect until 5 PM PDT Saturday for
      zones 87-354-362-366. (See LAXCFWLOX).
     Beach Hazards Statement in effect through Saturday afternoon
      for zones 340-346-349-350-356. (See LAXCFWLOX).
     Heat Advisory in effect from 10 AM Friday to 8 PM PDT Sunday
      for zones 341-342-347>350-354-362-366-367-377. (See LAXNPWLOX).
     Heat Advisory in effect until 10 AM PDT Friday for zones
      378-379. (See LAXNPWLOX).
     Heat Advisory in effect until 8 PM PDT Sunday for zone 380. (See LAXNPWLOX).
     Extreme Heat Warning in effect until 8 PM PDT Sunday for
      zones 381>383. (See LAXNPWLOX).
PZ...Small Craft Advisory in effect from 3 PM this afternoon to 3
      AM PDT Friday for zone 645. (See LAXMWWLOX).
     Small Craft Advisory in effect until 5 AM PDT Monday for
      zones 670-673-676. (See LAXMWWLOX).

&&

$$

PUBLIC...MW/JLD
AVIATION...Lewis
MARINE...Cohen/Lewis
BEACHES...Cohen/Lewis
SYNOPSIS...Cohen/MW/CC

weather.gov/losangeles

Experimental Graphical Hazardous Weather Outlook at:
https://www.weather.gov/erh/ghwo?wfo=lox