852
FXUS66 KLOX 082144
AFDLOX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Los Angeles/Oxnard CA
244 PM PDT Mon Jun 8 2026

.SYNOPSIS...08/225 PM.

Today marks the beginning of a warming trend as high pressure builds
in from offshore. Desert areas will reach triple digit temperatures
by mid week. Low clouds and fog are still expected across most of
the coast and some coastal valleys during the overnight and morning
hours through the end of the week. The marine layer will trend
shallower through the week with skies clearing by late morning into
early afternoon. Gusty sundowner winds are expected in western Santa
Barbara County today and Tuesday. Winds will also pick up along the
Central Coast Tuesday evening overnight into Wednesday.

&&

.SHORT TERM (TDY-THU)...08/225 PM.

The upper level trough that has been bringing cooler weather will
begin to shift east of the region over the next couple of days as a
ridge of high pressure builds in from offshore. With the transition
to a ridging pattern will come an increase in temperatures Tuesday
and Wednesday, most notably across coastal valleys and interior
areas. Marine influences will still be felt along the coasts through
Tuesday with moderate onshore flow. Wednesday, however, the onshore
LAX-DAG pressure gradient weakens dramatically which will limit
marine influences and bring warming to coastal locations typically
kept cool by marine air. The warmest coastal valleys will see
daytime highs rising into the mid to upper 90s by Wednesday. There
remains a 20 percent chance of pushing into Heat Advisory territory
across valleys including the southern Salinas, Santa Clarita, and
western San Fernando Valleys.

Wind Advisories remain in place for northwest winds across
southwestern Santa Barbara County and down the I-5 Corridor tonight
into early Tuesday morning. Another period of strong northwest flow
Tuesday may bring a second round of Advisory-level winds for the
aforementioned areas as well as the immediate Central Coast Tuesday
afternoon and evening.

.LONG TERM (FRI-MON)...08/227 PM.

Persistent high pressure and onshore flow will keep temperatures
relatively consistent over the second half of the week into the
weekend. Daytime high temperatures will run between 5 and 10 degrees
above seasonal normals. Marine layer clouds will recur each morning,
clearing by afternoon. Higher pressure will keep the clouds focused
over the beaches and coastal plains with limited inland extent. Mid-
level monsoonal moisture and instability is forecast to approach the
southeast boundary of the forecast area Friday and Saturday,
bringing a small (5 percent), but nonzero chance of thunderstorms
over the San Gabriel mountains.

&&

.AVIATION...08/1824Z.

At 1640Z at KLAX, the marine layer was 2700 feet deep. The top of
the inversion was 4400 feet with a maximum temperature of 17 C.

High confidence in VFR TAFs for KPRB, KPMD, and KWJF.

Moderate confidence in remaining TAFs. Timing may be off +/- 2
hours, there is a 30-50% chance of IFR cigs tonight.

KLAX...Moderate confidence in TAF. Timing of flight category
changes could be +/- 2 hours of current forecast, there is a 25%
chance of IFR cigs tonight. Any east wind component is expect to
be less than 6 kt.

KBUR...Moderate confidence in TAF. Timing of flight cat changes
may be off +/- 3 hours, with a 20% chance of IFR cigs tonight.

&&

.MARINE...08/244 PM.

For the Outer Waters, moderate to high confidence in current
forecast. High confidence in a combination of Small Craft
Advisory (SCA) level winds and seas through Thursday. Today and
Tuesday, there is a 40-70% chance of Gale force winds over PZZ673
and PZZ676 during the late afternoon and night period, with the
best chances today. In addition, localize Gale force gusts are
also a possible over PZZ670 this afternoon and evening. SCA winds
are likely to persist through Wednesday night, then weakening
Thursday through Friday.

For the Inner Waters north of Point Sal, moderate to high
confidence in current forecast. Through Wednesday, SCA level wind
are expected, mainly in the afternoon and evening hours, with
seas near or above SCA levels. On Thursday and Friday, winds and
seas are expected to remain below SCA levels.

For the Inner Waters south of Point Conception, moderate to high
confidence in current forecast. For a majority of the southern
Inner Waters, high confidence in winds and seas remaining below
SCA levels through Friday. The only exception will be the western
half of the Santa Barbara Channel, where there is a 40-60% chance
of SCA level winds today and Tuesday, mainly in the late
afternoon and evening hours. Conditions are expected to improve
to below SCA levels winds Tuesday night and Wednesday, followed by
weak winds Thursday and Friday.

&&

.LOX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
CA...Beach Hazards Statement in effect from Tuesday morning
      through Thursday evening for zones 87-354-362-366. (See LAXCFWLOX).
     Wind Advisory in effect until midnight PDT tonight for zones
      349-351. (See LAXNPWLOX).
     Wind Advisory in effect from 9 PM this evening to 10 AM PDT
      Tuesday for zone 378. (See LAXNPWLOX).
PZ...Small Craft Advisory in effect until 3 AM PDT Tuesday for
      zones 645-650. (See LAXMWWLOX).
     Small Craft Advisory in effect until 3 AM PDT Thursday for
      zone 670. (See LAXMWWLOX).
     Small Craft Advisory in effect until 8 PM PDT this evening
      for zones 673-676. (See LAXMWWLOX).
     Gale Warning in effect from 8 PM this evening to 3 AM PDT
      Tuesday for zones 673-676. (See LAXMWWLOX).

&&

$$

PUBLIC...Fewkes
AVIATION...Velez
MARINE...Velez
SYNOPSIS...Fewkes

weather.gov/losangeles

Experimental Graphical Hazardous Weather Outlook at:
https://www.weather.gov/erh/ghwo?wfo=lox