


Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Los Angeles, CA
Issued by NWS Los Angeles, CA
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921 FXUS66 KLOX 072108 AFDLOX Area Forecast Discussion...UPDATED National Weather Service Los Angeles/Oxnard CA 208 PM PDT Sat Jun 7 2025 Updated Marine Section .SYNOPSIS...07/916 AM. Night through morning low clouds and fog will continue for the next several days over the coast and valleys with slow, if any, clearing at the coast. A warming trend will develop for the weekend and through next week, mainly for inland areas. && .SHORT TERM (TDY-TUE)...07/1213 PM. No significant changes to the forecast through Tuesday. An upper low off Central California continues to maintain a deep marine layer, keeping temperatures on the cooler side. Latest models show the deep marine layer will continue at least one more day along with a moderate to strong onshore flow which is typical for this time of year. By Monday and Tuesday most of the ensemble solutions show the upper low moving east of the area with a quick pop up ridge that will boost temperatures early in the week with warmer valley highs at least reaching the lower 90s and around 100 across the Antelope Valley. Coastal areas will continue to be influenced by a shallower but still present marine layer and still moderate to strong onshore flow, keeping coastal highs in the 60s to lower 70s. Gusty southwest winds will be a daily occurrence across the AV in additional to gusty northwest winds across southwest Santa Barbara County in the late afternoon and evening. .LONG TERM (WED-SAT)...07/1223 PM. A cooling trend will begin Wednesday as a series of weak troughs move through the Pac NW and northern California. Moderate to strong onshore flow will persist and with the shift to a trough pattern temperatures will drop 3-5 degrees each day through Friday, bringing highs back down below normal as early as Thursday and lasting into next weekend. Low clouds and fog will push back into the valleys with slow afternoon clearing.The daily gusty wind pattern will continue across the AV and southwest Santa Barbara County. Overall a very typical June weather pattern. && .AVIATION...07/1851Z. At 1659Z at KLAX, the marine inversion was 2200 feet deep. The top of the inversion was 4200 feet with a temperature of 22 degrees Celsius. High confidence in VFR TAFs at KPRB, KPMD, and KWJF. There is a 10% chance for LIFR to IFR cigs at KPRB after 12Z. Moderate confidence in TAFs for KBUR and KVNY. Arrival of cigs tonight may be as late as 10Z. There is a 20% chance for LIFR conds. Moderate to low confidence in remaining TAFs. There is a chance for no clearing at KOXR (30%), KCMA (20%), KSMO (20%), KLGB (20%) and KLAX (30%). Otherwise, arrival times of cigs may be off +/- 3 hours. Minimum flight cats may be one cat higher than minimum fcst cat overnight. KLAX...Moderate confidence in TAF. There is a 30% chance for no clearing today. Otherwise, return of cigs may be off +/- 2 hours. There is a 20% chance cigs remain 010 or higher through the period. No significant east wind component is expected. KBUR...Moderate confidence in TAF. Arrival of cigs tonight may be as late as 10Z. There is a 20% chance for LIFR conds. && .MARINE...07/203 PM. Moderate confidence in conditions remaining below Small Craft Advisory (SCA) levels through Sunday morning. NW winds will then increase to SCA levels in the Outer Waters south of Point Conception and the western portion of the Santa Barbara Channel Sunday afternoon. SCA level NW winds will become more widespread across the Outer Waters and potentially the Inner Waters along the Central Coast Monday, but especially Tuesday afternoon through much of the work week. Chances for SCA level winds for the western portion of the SBA Channel will also increase during this time period. Moderate to high confidence in winds remaining below SCA levels across the remaining Inner Waters south of Point Conception. && .LOX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... CA...NONE. PZ...NONE. && $$ PUBLIC...MW AVIATION...Lewis MARINE...Lewis SYNOPSIS...MW weather.gov/losangeles Experimental Graphical Hazardous Weather Outlook at: https://www.weather.gov/erh/ghwo?wfo=lox