Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Louisville, KY

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881
FNUS73 KLMK 111359
FWSLMK

Spot Forecast for Springhouse Barrens SNP...OKNP
National Weather Service Louisville KY
959 AM EDT Tue Mar 11 2025

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1000 EDT on March 11.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...Another day of increasingly milder temperatures and very
dry air. Forecast high temps are expected to surge into the low and mid
70s this afternoon, with another likely dry air mix down day with crashing
RH values. This afternoon`s dispersion values will be better than yesterday
given stronger transport winds, and expect that surface winds could even
see sustained values 8 to 13 mph, with a few gusts in the 15 to 25 mph
range in the afternoon.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-5 percent).
Temperature.........51 at ignition...Max 73.
RH..................47 percent at ignition...Min 26 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Winds southwest at 6 mph at
                    ignition...otherwise Southwest winds 7 to 12
                    mph. Gusts up to 23 mph in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......800 ft AGL at ignition...otherwise 3800 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 17 to 23 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor /12400 knot-ft/ at ignition. Max...good
                    /75900 knot-ft/.
LVORI...............2.
ADI.................15 early in the morning increasing to 62 in the
                    afternoon.

TIME (EDT)      10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
Sky (%).........0      1      3      2
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........
Temp............51     62     70     73
RH..............47     36     30     26
20 ft wind......SW 6   SW 8   SW 10  SW 10
20 ft wind gust.9      13     16     16
Mix hgt (ft)....800    1700   2700   3800
Transport wind..W 17   W 20   SW 22  SW 23
LVORI...........2      1      1      1
ADI.............15     41     50     62
SDspl kt-ft/100012     28     51     76

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Clear (0-5 percent).
Temperature.........Min 48.
RH..................Max 79 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph early in the
                    evening becoming light, then becoming southwest
                    around 5 mph overnight.
Mixing height.......200 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 13 to 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Fair (48200 knot-ft) early in the evening
                    decreasing to poor (2000 knot-ft) late in the
                    night.
LVORI...............2.
ADI.................61 early in the evening decreasing to 6 late in
                    the night.

TIME (EDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
Sky (%).........3      2      1      1      1      3
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........
Temp............71     63     57     54     52     51
RH..............30     41     52     61     63     68
20 ft wind......SW 9   S 5    SW 2   SW 3   SW 4   SW 4
20 ft wind gust.12     6      4      5      6      6
Mix hgt (ft)....2800   400    300    500    500    500
Transport wind..SW 20  SW 14  SW 14  SW 14  SW 15  SW 17
LVORI...........1      2      2      3      3      3
ADI.............61     6      6      6      7      8
SDspl kt-ft/100048     5      3      5      6      8

.WEDNESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (10-20 percent).
Temperature.........Max 75.
RH..................Min 32 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
Mixing height.......5000 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 15 to 23 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (5800 knot-ft) early in the morning
                    increasing to excellent (99900 knot-ft) in the
                    afternoon.
LVORI...............3.
ADI.................7 early in the morning increasing to 95 in the
                    afternoon.

TIME (EDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
Sky (%).........2      7      17     29     18     11
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........
Temp............50     48     56     64     71     75
RH..............71     79     66     54     38     32
20 ft wind......SW 4   S 4    SW 6   SW 8   SW 9   SW 9
20 ft wind gust.6      8      11     12     13     12
Mix hgt (ft)....500    500    800    2000   3700   5000
Transport wind..SW 16  SW 15  SW 17  SW 21  SW 22  SW 23
LVORI...........3      4      3      1      1      1
ADI.............7      16     19     52     79     95
SDspl kt-ft/10007      7      13     37     71     100

$$
Forecaster...WFO LMK
Requested by...Heidi Braunreiter
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2505867.0/LMK
.DELDT 03/11/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL heidi.braunreiter@ky.gov