Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Louisville, KY

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986
FNUS73 KLMK 281305
FWSLMK

Spot Forecast for Saddle Dam Rx...USDA Forest Service
National Weather Service Louisville KY
805 AM EST Tue Jan 28 2025

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1200 CST on January 28.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...
Dry and breezy conditions are expected today and Wednesday as low
pressure crosses the Great Lakes. Smoke dispersion will be limited
today by shallow mixing heights, but some improvement is expected
on Wednesday under slightly deeper mixing. Transport winds today
will be from the west-southwest, becoming northwest for Wednesday.


.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-5 percent).
Temperature.........Max 49.
RH..................Min 37 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 6 to 7 mph. Gusts up to 20 mph
                    late in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......1900 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 16 to 18 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (28400 knot-ft).
LVORI...............2.
ADI.................28 to 41.

TIME (CST)      NOON   2 PM   4 PM
Sky (%).........3      2      4
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........
Temp............46     48     47
RH..............43     42     49
20 ft wind......SW 5   SW 6   SW 6
20 ft wind gust.12     14     12
Mix hgt (ft)....1900   1700   1200
Transport wind..W 16   SW 18  SW 18
LVORI...........1      1      2
ADI.............39     40     28
SDspl kt-ft/100026     28     18

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (0-10 percent).
Temperature.........Min 33.
RH..................Max 89 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 6 to 7 mph.
Mixing height.......500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 14 to 18 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (6700 knot-ft).
LVORI...............3.
ADI.................6 to 12.

TIME (CST)      5 PM   7 PM   9 PM   11 PM  1 AM   3 AM
Sky (%).........4      3      5      3      5      5
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........
Temp............46     41     40     39     38     37
RH..............53     65     67     73     73     75
20 ft wind......SW 5   SW 6   SW 6   SW 6   W 6    W 6
20 ft wind gust.11     11     13     13     12     11
Mix hgt (ft)....800    500    600    600    600    600
Transport wind..SW 17  SW 17  SW 18  W 17   W 16   W 15
LVORI...........2      3      3      3      3      4
ADI.............8      12     12     12     11     10
SDspl kt-ft/100012     7      10     9      9      8

.WEDNESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (5-15 percent).
Temperature.........Max 50.
RH..................Min 46 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds 5 to 6 mph becoming light.
Mixing height.......2400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest 10 to 16 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (5700 knot-ft) early in the morning
                    increasing to marginal (30300 knot-ft) in the
                    afternoon.
LVORI...............3.
ADI.................13 to 44.

TIME (CST)      5 AM   7 AM   9 AM   11 AM  1 PM   3 PM
Sky (%).........7      12     16     15     12     6
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........
Temp............35     33     39     46     50     50
RH..............82     89     76     61     52     50
20 ft wind......W 5    W 4    W 4    W 5    W 5    W 4
20 ft wind gust.11     10     11     11     11     9
Mix hgt (ft)....500    600    900    1700   2300   2200
Transport wind..W 13   W 13   NW 15  NW 16  NW 15  NW 12
LVORI...........4      5      3      1      1      1
ADI.............13     13     18     36     44     32
SDspl kt-ft/10006      6      12     24     30     22

$$
Forecaster...RAS
Requested by...Logan Scherschel
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2501541.0/LMK
.DELDT 01/28/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL logan.scherschel@usda.gov