568
FNUS73 KLMK 121301
FWSLMK

Spot Forecast for Abbey Rx Fire...Kentucky Department of Fish and Wildlife
National Weather Service Louisville KY
901 AM EDT Tue May 12 2026

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1000 EDT on May 14.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION... High pressure over the Mid-Atlantic will keep things
sunny and dry for today. With high pressure off to the east winds will
become more southwest between 5-10 mph and highs into the mid/upper 70s
later this afternoon. Overall we have good transport winds and dispersal.
Mixing heights approach 7000 ft in the afternoon.

.THURSDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-10 percent).
Temperature.........57 at ignition...Max 70.
RH..................55 percent at ignition...Min 34 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Winds north at 2 mph at ignition...otherwise
                    Light winds becoming north 5 to 6 mph in the
                    afternoon.
Mixing height.......3100 ft AGL at ignition...otherwise 6800 ft
                    AGL.
Transport winds.....North 14 to 16 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Fair /38700 knot-ft/ at ignition. Max...good
                    /86100 knot-ft/.
LVORI...............1.
ADI.................57 early in the morning increasing to 107 in
                    the afternoon.

TIME (EDT)      10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........5   4   4   5   5   4   3   2
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Temp............57  61  64  66  68  69  70  70
RH..............55  48  43  40  37  35  34  34
20 FT wind dir..N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N
20 FT wind spd..2   3   4   5   5   5   5   4
20 FT wind gust.6   7   8   8   8   8   8   7
Mix hgt (kft)...3.1 4.3 5.0 5.5 5.8 6.4 6.8 6.4
Transp wind dir.N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N
Transp wind spd.14  16  16  16  15  15  15  14
LVORI...........1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
ADI.............57  87  101 98  98  105 107 107
SDspl kt-ft/100039  60  71  75  76  83  86  77

.THURSDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (10-20 percent).
Temperature.........Min 46.
RH..................Max 84 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds.
Mixing height.......0 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....North 6 to 12 mph shifting to the southeast 6
                    to 7 mph overnight.
Smoke dispersal.....Fair (46800 knot-ft) early in the evening
                    decreasing to poor (100 knot-ft) late in the
                    night.
LVORI...............3.
ADI.................68 early in the evening decreasing to 3 late in
                    the night.

TIME (EDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........2   2   2   3   5   6   8   10  12  18  24  30
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Temp............70  69  67  63  58  54  51  49  48  47  46  46
RH..............34  37  40  46  53  61  68  73  77  80  82  83
20 FT wind dir..N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N
20 FT wind spd..3   2   2   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
20 FT wind gust.6   4           1   1   1
Mix hgt (kft)...4.6 2.4 0.5 0.1 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4
Transp wind dir.N   N   N   N   NE  NE  NE  E   E   E   SE  SE
Transp wind spd.12  9   7   6   6   6   6   6   6   6   7   7
LVORI...........1   2   2   2   2   3   3   3   4   5   5   5
ADI.............68  4   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3
SDspl kt-ft/100047  19  3   0   1   2   2   2   2   2   2   2

.FRIDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent).
Temperature.........Max 78.
RH..................Min 39 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds early in the morning.
Mixing height.......400 ft AGL early in the morning.
Transport winds.....Southeast 8 to 9 mph early in the morning.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (2600 knot-ft) early in the morning.
LVORI...............5 early in the morning.
ADI.................3 to 9 early in the morning.

TIME (EDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........33  37  40  39  37  36  38  41  43  38  32  27
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Temp............46  47  50  55  61  67  70  72  74  76  77  78
RH..............84  82  77  66  55  47  43  41  40  39  39  40
20 FT wind dir..N   N   SE  S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
20 FT wind spd..0   0   1   2   2   3   4   4   4   4   4   4
20 FT wind gust.1   1   4   4   6   6   7   8   8   8   7   7
Mix hgt (kft)...0.4 0.4 0.4 M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M
Transp wind dir.SE  S   S   M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M
Transp wind spd.8   8   9   M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M
LVORI...........5   4   4   M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M
ADI.............3   8   9   M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M
SDspl kt-ft/10003   3   3   M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M

$$
Forecaster...BTN
Requested by...James Bryan Cobban
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2613442.0/LMK
.DELDT 05/12/26
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL bryan.cobban@ky.gov