Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Louisville, KY

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Spot Forecast for Taylor Fork Ecological Area-Prescribed Fire...Eastern Kentucky University
National Weather Service Louisville KY
548 PM EDT Mon Apr 7 2025

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1100 EDT on April 08.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION... Cool conditions will perist through the day thanks to
a north wind and a chilly start to the morning. Nevertheless, mixing
heights are expected to be sufficient in the afternoon, along with a
steady N transport wind to produce good dispersion through the
afternoon.

.TUESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (10-20 percent).
Temperature.........35 at ignition...Max 45.
RH..................45 percent at ignition...Min 34 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Winds north at 4 mph at ignition...otherwise
                    North winds around 5 mph.
Mixing height.......3600 ft AGL at ignition...otherwise 5100 ft
                    AGL.
Transport winds.....North 10 to 13 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Marginal /36000 knot-ft/ at ignition.
                    Max...good /50400 knot-ft/.
LVORI...............1.
ADI.................53 to 72.

TIME (EDT)      11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........12  20  14  17  18  16  17
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Temp............35  37  39  41  42  44  44
RH..............45  40  39  34  36  35  35
20 FT wind dir..N   N   N   N   N   NW  NW
20 FT wind spd..4   4   4   4   4   4   4
20 FT wind gust.10  10  10  10  9   8   8
Mix hgt (kft)...3.6 4.0 4.8 4.9 5.0 5.1 5.1
Transp wind dir.N   N   N   N   NW  NW  NW
Transp wind spd.12  13  12  12  12  10  10
LVORI...........1   1   1   1   1   1   1
ADI.............53  64  69  70  72  66  65
SDspl kt-ft/100036  44  48  49  50  46  46

$$
Forecaster...BTN
Requested by...David Brown
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2509111.0/LMK
.DELDT 04/08/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL david.brown@eku.edu