632
FNUS73 KLMK 171036
FWSLMK

Spot Forecast for Kiln...USFS
National Weather Service Louisville KY
636 AM EDT Fri Oct 17 2025

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1300 EDT on October 17.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...High pressure over the Great Lakes this morning will slide off
to the east of the Appalachians by this afternoon, causing winds to veer
from easterly to southeasterly today. Scattered high clouds this morning will
increase in coverage through the afternoon and evening hours, limiting mixing
potential somewhat. On Saturday, a cold front will approach the region from the
northwest, with southwest winds bringing warm air into the area ahead of the
front. Temperatures should warm into the 80s Saturday afternoon across southern
IN and central KY, with breezy winds of 10 to 15 mph and gusts of 20 to 30 mph
likely. The cold front will pass through the region late Saturday night into
Sunday morning, bringing a chance for showers and thunderstorms, a few of which
could be strong to severe. Much cooler temperatures and continued windy conditions
are expected on Sunday.

.TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent) then becoming
                    partly sunny (60-70 percent).
Temperature.........69 at ignition...Max 74.
RH..................45 percent at ignition...Min 41 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Winds southeast at 3 mph at
                    ignition...otherwise Light winds.
Mixing height.......1500 ft AGL at ignition...otherwise 2300 ft
                    AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 8 to 12 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor /10700 knot-ft/ at ignition. Max...poor
                    /16800 knot-ft/.
LVORI...............4.
ADI.................4 to 22.

TIME (EDT)      1 PM   3 PM   5 PM
Sky (%).........60     64     59
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........
Temp............69     72     72
RH..............45     43     46
20 ft wind......SE 3   SE 3   SE 2
20 ft wind gust.7      6      6
Mix hgt (ft)....1500   2100   2200
Transport wind..SE 8   S 9    SE 8
LVORI...........2      2      2
ADI.............13     18     21
SDspl kt-ft/100011     17     16

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (60-70 percent) then becoming
                    partly cloudy (25-35 percent).
Temperature.........Min 56.
RH..................Max 96 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds.
Mixing height.......300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 7 to 9 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (2400 knot-ft).
LVORI...............4.
ADI.................3 to 5.

TIME (EDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
Sky (%).........61     79     73     70     51     35
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........
Temp............72     63     60     58     57     58
RH..............48     67     75     80     86     87
20 ft wind......SE 2   SE 2   SE 2   SE 2   S 2    S 2
20 ft wind gust.6      6      6      6      6      6
Mix hgt (ft)....700    300    400    400    400    400
Transport wind..SE 7   SE 8   SE 9   S 9    S 9    S 9
LVORI...........2      3      4      4      5      5
ADI.............5      4      4      4      4      4
SDspl kt-ft/10004      2      3      3      4      4

.SATURDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (15-25 percent) then becoming partly
                    sunny (60-70 percent). Chance of rain showers
                    late in the afternoon. Slight chance of
                    thunderstorms late in the afternoon.
Temperature.........Max 82.
RH..................Min 54 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming southwest 5 to 7 mph in
                    the late morning and afternoon. Gusty and
                    erratic winds expected near thunderstorms late
                    in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......5100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 9 to 18 mph shifting to the southwest 20
                    to 25 mph in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (3400 knot-ft) early in the morning
                    increasing to good (87700 knot-ft) in the
                    afternoon increasing to good (72800 knot-ft)
                    early in the morning increasing to excellent
                    (112600 knot-ft) in the afternoon late in the
                    afternoon.
LVORI...............4.
ADI.................5 early in the morning increasing to 149 in the
                    afternoon.

TIME (EDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
Sky (%).........16     9      7      38     65     70
Weather cov.....                            CHANCE CHANCE
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   RNSHWR RNSHWR
Tstm cov........
Temp............57     57     67     77     80     81
RH..............93     93     84     60     56     54
20 ft wind......S 2    S 2    S 4    S 6    SW 6   SW 6
20 ft wind gust.7      7      10     11     12     13
Mix hgt (ft)....400    400    900    2000   4600   4700
Transport wind..S 10   S 9    S 14   SW 18  SW 22  SW 23
LVORI...........6      6      4      1      1      1
ADI.............5      10     16     47     87     92
SDspl kt-ft/10004      3      11     32     88     93

$$
Forecaster...WFO LMK
Requested by...Logan Scherschel
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2523735.0/LMK
.DELDT 10/17/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL logan.scherschel@usda.gov