162
FXUS63 KLMK 021856
AFDLMK

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Louisville KY
256 PM EDT Wed Jul 2 2025

.KEY MESSAGES...

* Less humid today and Thursday.

* Mostly sunny Independence Day, with afternoon highs in the low
  90s.

* Turning hot and humid again this weekend, with at least small rain
  and thunderstorm chances returning on Sunday. Highs in the low to
  mid 90s.

&&

.SHORT TERM /THROUGH THURSDAY/...
Issued at 255 PM EDT Wed Jul 2 2025

Conditions are warm but less humid this afternoon with sfc dewpoints
in the upper 50s to mid 60s. Temperatures continue to warm through
the low to mid 80s under mostly sunny skies. A scattered afternoon
cumulus field has developed and will diminish this evening.
Temperatures are still expected to top out in the mid/upper 80s in
most areas, but Louisville and Bowling Green could touch 90.

Sfc high pressure is forecast to shift east across the region
tonight through tomorrow as upper level ridging builds east across
the Plains. Expect a pleasant night with mostly clear skies and lows
in the low to mid 60s. Patchy fog looks likely again early Thursday
morning. Thursday will be sunny early, becoming partly sunny by mid-
afternoon with another scattered cu field. Highs will be slightly
warmer than today, in the upper 80s to around 90 degrees.

&&

.LONG TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/...
Issued at 255 PM EDT Wed Jul 2 2025

Independence Day - Saturday...

Mid and upper level ridging will amplify over the Great Lakes and
Ohio Valley Friday and Saturday. In the lower levels, high pressure
gradually shifts off to the east. This period continues to look dry,
but hotter with highs in the low to mid 90s. In particular, highs
should reach the low 90s in most places on the Fourth of July. Skies
look mostly sunny, with a light wind from the east.

Sunday - Tuesday...

Ridging aloft is gradually suppressed to the southern part of the US
Sunday and early next week, with an active storm track featuring
multiple shortwave disturbances rotating across the Upper Midwest
and Great Lakes. Sunday could still end up mostly dry and hot, with
just a small chance for rain in southern Indiana. However, rain
chances go up early next week due to a cold front pushing in from
the northwest. Increasing low-level moisture/humidity will also
generally make conditions fairly unpleasant once again, with a
diurnal uptick in convective activity.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z FRIDAY/...
Issued at 145 PM EDT Wed Jul 2 2025

VFR conditions expected. SCT cumulus near 5 kft will linger through
00Z this evening. N/NW winds around 5-7 kts will also diminish
around sunset this evening. Some patchy fog is again possible early
Thursday morning, most likely at HNB. Thu will see another round of
afternoon cu and light winds.

&&

.LMK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
KY...None.
IN...None.

&&

$$

SHORT TERM...EBW
LONG TERM...EBW
AVIATION...EBW