926
FXUS65 KLKN 300940
AFDLKN

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Elko NV
240 AM PDT Sun Aug 30 2026

.KEY MESSAGES...

* Isolated to scattered showers and isolated thunderstorm activity
  will continue across east-central Nevada now throughout the day

* Another round of showers and isolated thunderstorms are expected
  Monday afternoon

* Temperatures continue to remain at or below normal for the next
  couple days

* A break in the active weather is possible by mid-week

&&


.DISCUSSION...
(Tonight through this Saturday)

WEATHER PATTERN OVERVIEW: Isolated showers and thunderstorms are
currently moving across portions of east-central Nevada this
morning. Remote observation platforms are showing light rainfall
amounts as a result.

For today, upper level ridging has shifted east and will be over
the southern United States this afternoon. An upper trough will be
over northeast Washington State, extending southwest across
California. The resulting southwest flow has pushed in some drier
air. Precipitable water values are around 0.25 to 0.40 inches
over much of the forecast area, with greater than 0.50 inches
across northeast Nye and the eastern half of White Pine county.
Have kept isolated to scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms
over northeast Nye and White Pine counties today as a result. Not
much in the way of rainfall accumulations are expected. High
temperatures this afternoon will be in the 70s and low 80s as a
result. Winds will generally be light with occasional gusts to 20
mph. Any convective activity is expected to dissipate by the early
evening with mostly clear skies tonight with lows in the 40s and
50s.

The aforementioned upper trough over California is forecast to
shift eastward across Nevada Monday. Precipitable water values
will be on the increase during the late morning and afternoon with
forecast amounts at or greater than two-thirds of an inch. Areal
coverage for isolated to scattered showers and isolated
thunderstorm underwent a westward expansion Monday versus Sunday.
Storms could produce brief periods of moderate rainfall though
storm motions will be quite fast at 15 to 30 knots over east-
central Nevada. Temperatures will remain near normal levels with
readings in the 70s and 80s. Afternoon breezes with gusts to 25
mph will be limited to those locales along and south of the US
Highway 50 corridor. Look for the convective activity to wane
Monday night into Tuesday from west to east with lows in the 40s
for the most part.

Southwest flow continues over northern and central Nevada Tuesday
with isolated shower activity confined to basically the eastern
halves of Elko and White Pine counties. It will be breezy in the
afternoon with gusts to 25 mph. Highs will be in the 70s and 80s
with overnight lows in the 40s.

The area may see some drier weather during the mid-week from
Wednesday through roughly Saturday with afternoon highs remaining
near normal with readings in the 70s and 80s and lows in the 40s.
Winds will be breezy each afternoon with gusts of 20 to 25 mph.
Overnight lows will be in the 40s.


FORECAST CONFIDENCE & DEVIATIONS: Near term gridded forecast was
modified to massage PoPs, Wx, and winds to reflect the possibility
of showers and thunderstorms today and Monday. Confidence improves
to moderate for precipitation chances Monday afternoon, though is
low with respect to amounts and location of convective activity.
Confidence is also low at this time regarding the mid-week break
in weather.

&&


.AVIATION...

Expect VFR conditions through the upcoming 24-hour period. There
is a twenty to thirty percent probability for -SHRA/-TSRA across
the KELY terminal today, while there will be a ten to twenty
percent probability of -SHRA/-TSRA at the KENV terminal today.
Winds will be SW-W5-10KT later this morning and afternoon with
occasional gusts to 20KT.

&&


.FIRE WEATHER...

Isolated showers and thunderstorms have continued during the
early morning hours over portions of fire zones 425-427, and 470.
The activity is expected to continue through this evening but
remain rather isolated. On Monday, an upper level disturbance will
move through the area, bringing isolated to scattered showers and
isolated thunderstorms to central and northeast Nevada. Elevated
fire weather conditions due to strong winds and low relative
humidity values are possible across fire zone 437 on Tuesday,
though relative humidity values look to improve on Wednesday. A
break from the showers and storms are possible by by mid-week.

&&


.LKN Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
None.
&&

$$

DISCUSSION...86
AVIATION...86
FIRE WEATHER...86