849
FXUS65 KLKN 192119
AFDLKN

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Elko NV
219 PM PDT Sat Apr 19 2025

.SYNOPSIS...At least a pair of shallow upper troughs riding the
persistent northwesterly flow aloft will bring at least northern
Nevada a few chances of showers arriving Easter Sunday lasting
into Monday, with the second system arriving for Thursday and
Friday of next week.


&&

.SHORT TERM...Tonight through Saturday night

Weakening shortwave ridge currently crossing the Great Basin
region Today, will shift east early Sunday morning. In the mean
time thanks to this ridge quiet conditions with clear skies and
lighter west to NW winds of 5 MPH to 15 MPH with gusts up to 25
MPH will persist for the remainder of Saturday into early Easter
morning. High this afternoon will be near to slightly above normal
for most with temperatures reaching the middle 50s to middle 60s.
Overnight lows despite the clear skies and light winds will drop
only into the upper 20s to upper 30s for Easter morning. Along
with the Easter Bunny, also arriving on Sunday will be our next
trough riding the northwesterly flow aloft. Although actually
arriving much later in the day, clouds will begin to filter in
across northern Nevada after sunrise and will increase in coverage
during the day. The first precipitation chances will arrive
across the far north by late morning/early afternoon. This trough
will be more of a clipping system with the best moisture and lift
remaining north over Idaho. However the trailing cold front will
be enough to generate some isolated to scattered showers, mainly
north of I-80 Sunday afternoon and evening. Favorable timing will
allow warmer air at the surface to work north, as cooler air aloft
spreads south. The resulting instability may be enough to
generate a few thundershowers across northern Humboldt and
northern Elko counties Sunday evening. Temperatures Sunday will be
warm enough that snow will only be possible across the high
summits of the Independence, Jarbidge, Ruby, and East Humboldt
ranges. Highs Sunday, even with the clouds and showers will be
warmer with temperatures reaching the middle 60s to mid 70s.
Shower chances look to continue across the north through Monday
morning as overnight lows look to drop into the upper 20s to upper
30s. Winds Sunday will start out of the west then shift to the NW
behind the front. Speeds Sunday will be breezy at 10 MPH to 25
MPH with gusts up to 35 MPH possible

.LONG TERM...Monday through Friday

Look for fair weather conditions through the first half of the week
with warm temperatures in the 60s to 70s each day. A slight disturbance
in weather Thursday and Friday as models show troughing over northwestern U.S.
bringing a small chance for some very light rain showers. Breezy winds in the
afternoon each day through the week with winds expected as
follows:

Monday: Westerly at 10-20 mph in NE Nevada and parts of central
Nevada at 10-15 mph.
Tuesday: Westerly throughout the region at 10-15 mph.
Wednesday: Westerly/southwesterly at 10-15 mph.
Thursday: Southerly at 10-15 mph.
Friday: Southerly/southwesterly at 15-25 mph, gusts 30-35 mph.


&&

.AVIATION...VFR conditions at all terminals over the next 24 hour
period. Light winds expected with chances for some gusts up to
15-20 kts at KELY. CIG levels across all terminals expected to
drop as cloud levels move over the terminals with FEW/SCT/BKN at
8000-10000 feet.


&&

.LKN Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
None.
&&

$$

98/97/97