076
FXUS65 KLKN 031926
AFDLKN

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Elko NV
1226 PM PDT Thu Apr 3 2025

.SYNOPSIS...Upper-level troughing just to our east will slowly
move into the central US into this weekend, with a few isolated
snow showers this afternoon, mostly tapering off into Friday. High
pressure will build across the West into the weekend bringing
drier and milder conditions. A weak frontal system will bring a
slight chance for showers and snow showers to northern portions of
the state on Monday before high pressure builds back across the
area into the middle of next week with much warmer conditions.

&&

.SHORT TERM...Tonight through Friday night

Scattered snow showers on radar once again across the region,
quite similar to yesterday afternoon. A quick look at the upper-
level pattern also shows little change, hence the continued weak
instability and convective snow showers. The main trough axis has
shifts to our east into Utah, leading to slightly less SB CAPE,
thus snow showers will trend slightly weaker and more widely
scattered through the balance of the day. Highs today continue
below average in the low 40s. Snow showers are expected to taper
off after sunset this evening, with clearing skies into the
overnight. Any snowfall with these showers will quickly melt with
afternoon highs well above freezing, but quick accumulations could
lead to slushy roadways on I-80 at Pequop Summit and on NV 225
near Wildhorse Reservoir with a 40% chance for half an inch of
snow or more through tonight.

The trough pushes further east into the Rockies Friday, with mid-
level height rises, thus expect slightly warmer highs and less
afternoon convection clouds. Cannot rule out an isolated snow
shower to two east of US-93 towards Ely closer to the departing
upper-level trough, but chances are less than 10%.


.LONG TERM...Saturday through Thursday

A warming trend and dry weather pattern is expected throughout
the forecast period, except for Monday, as an upper-level trough
exits the state and high pressure moves in. On Monday, a
shortwave trough will move through northern Nevada, bringing light
showers and breezy winds to the region, but temperatures will
remain warm. Afternoon highs are expected to reach the upper 60s
and lower 70s by the beginning of next week, eventually warming
to the upper 70s by midweek. Enhanced snowmelt due to the warm
temperatures may cause water levels in some rivers to rise to
action stage, increasing the potential for flooding in some areas
around rivers. Record and near record highs are possible on
Wednesday and Thursday, with a 50% chance of cities like Ely
seeing their record highs breaking.

&&

.AVIATION...Mostly VFR conditions through tonight across the area
terminals with northerly winds 5 to 10 kt, with gusts to 20 kt at
ELY and TPH. Scattered snow showers through 03Z, with brief a
10-15% chance for MVFR conditions in the strongest snow showers at
KEKO, KELY, and KBAM. Winds ease tonight and resume a north-
northeasterly flow tomorrow 5-10 kt.

&&

.LKN Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
None.

&&

$$

84/89/84