Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Elko, NV
Issued by NWS Elko, NV
315 FXUS65 KLKN 261952 AFDLKN Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Elko NV Issued by National Weather Service Boise ID 1252 PM PDT Thu Jun 26 2025 .KEY MESSAGES... Updated at 1242 PM PDT Thu Jun 26 2025 * Slow warming trend continues through this week with temperatures rising back above normal levels by the weekend. * Afternoon breezes the latter half of the week. && .DISCUSSION... (This afternoon through next Thursday) Issued at 1242 PM PDT Thu Jun 26 2025 WEATHER PATTERN OVERVIEW: Conditions will continue to remain rather dry over the next several days with gradually warming afternoon highs. The upper flow will remain out of the west and southwest as an upper level ridge consolidates over the desert southwest through the end of the weekend. Breezy afternoon winds will be prevalent Friday with gusts of 20 to 25 mph. Another round of breezy winds will also develop on Saturday with highs in the upper 80s to mid 90s. In addition, weak impulses in the flow from passing northern stream systems will help to bring some moisture and instability into the area. This means isolated thunderstorms are expected to develop over the far north and eastern part of Nevada during the afternoon starting Saturday, and again next Monday. The upper ridge will continue to expand its influence over the southwestern United State for early next week though models are hinting at a weak upper trough trying to work east, displacing the ridge. This will help to cool things down just a little bit, with highs in the mid 80s to low 90s by mid-week. FORECAST CONFIDENCE & DEVIATIONS: Confidence remains high as models are in very good agreement on the course of upper level ridging building across the region leading to very warm temperatures over the period. && .AVIATION... (00Z TAFS) .VFR conditions expected at all terminals over the next 24 hour period. Breezy westerly winds at 10-15 kts, with a few gusts at20-25 kts in the afternoon, dissipating this evening to light and variable at all northern terminals, 5-8 kts at KTPH and KELY. && .FIRE WEATHER... Elevated fire weather concerns over the region as upper ridging remains over Nevada with rising temperatures. Min RH values drop to below 15% in the afternoons with breezy winds up to 5-15 mph, gusts up to 25mph will keep all zones out of critical fire conditions. && .LKN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... None. && $$ DISCUSSION...86 AVIATION...97 FIRE WEATHER...97