771
FXUS65 KLKN 151926
AFDLKN

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Elko NV
1226 PM PDT Wed Oct 15 2025

.KEY MESSAGES...

Updated at 1226 PM PDT Wed Oct 15 2025

* Winter Storm Warning for the Ruby Mountains and East Humboldt
  Range

* Periods of precipitation in most of Northern and Central Nevada
  this afternoon and tonight

* Warming trend Friday through Sunday

* Much cooler Monday and Tuesday

&&

.DISCUSSION...
(This afternoon through Tuesday)

WEATHER PATTERN OVERVIEW: An upper-level area of low pressure will
move northeastward across the Silver State this afternoon, before
entering the Mountain West tonight. Periods of precipitaton are
expected in most of Northern and Central Nevada this afternoon and
tonight. Snow levels will start at around 6,000 feet, before
rising to about 7,000 feet this afternoon. Snow will be heavy at
times in the Ruby Mountains and East Humboldt Range. As a result,
a Winter Storm Warning is in effect. Closer to the valley floor,
rain amounts will generally vary from one quarter of an inch to
one half of an inch. Here are probabilities of rain amounts of one
quarter of an inch or more for select locations in Northern and
Central Nevada this afternoon and tonight:

Wells - 79%
Lamoille - 76%
Spring Creek - 72%
Elko - 65%
Carlin - 65%
Jackpot - 65%
Battle Mountain - 54%
Owyhee - 53%
Eureka - 43%
Austin - 40%

A trough of low pressure will pass southward across the Silver
State Thursday. High temperatures throughout Northern and Central
Nevada Thursday afternoon will be around ten degrees below normal
for this time of year. A ridge of high pressure will build
northward across Southern Nevada Friday through Sunday, resulting
in a warming trend. By Sunday afternoon, maximum temperatures in
Northern and Central Nevada will be about five degrees above
seasonal values. A cold front should move eastward through
Northern Nevada Sunday night, leading to much cooler weather. High
temperatures throughout Northern and Central Nevada Monday
afternoon will be around ten degrees cooler than Sunday afternoon.
Maximum temperatures will only rebound by a couple of degrees
Tuesday afternoon.

FORECAST CONFIDENCE & DEVIATIONS: High forecast confidence
regarding the Winter Storm Warning for the Ruby Mountains and East
Humboldt Range. High forecast confidence in periods of
precipitation in most of Northern and Central Nevada this
afternoon and tonight. Moderate forecast confidence regarding a
warming trend Friday through Sunday. Moderate forecast confidence
in much cooler weather Monday and Tuesday.

&&

.AVIATION...
Periods of rain should result in MVFR conditions at most terminal
this afternoon into tonight. Precipitation will move east of
Nevada before sunrise Thursday morning. Skies will slowly clear
Thursday morning into Thursday afternoon.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
A storm system will impact Northern and Central Nevada this
afternoon and tonight, resulting in periods of precipitation.
Snow levels will start at around 6,000 feet, before rising to
about 7,000 feet this afternoon. The majority of precipitation
will fall this afternoon. A warming trend is expected Friday
through Sunday, before much cooler weather Monday and Tuesday.

&&

.LKN Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
Winter Storm Warning until 5 AM PDT Thursday NVZ034.

&&

$$

87