187
FXUS65 KLKN 050201
AFDLKN

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Elko NV
701 PM PDT Fri Oct 4 2024

.SYNOPSIS...Winds will continue to remain breezy to windy during
the afternoon today, leading to localized areas of blowing dust.
Temperatures will remain warm with near record to record highs
being set. Look for the winds to diminish later this evening with
dry conditions through the short term. Highs will remain in the
80s.

&&

.UPDATE...Blowing dust is diminishing across the region this
evening so the blowing dust advisory was expired. However, gusty
winds and low RH continue to bring critical fire weather
conditions to northern Nevada. Therefore, the Red Flag Warning was
extended through 8 PM this evening. Winds are expected to
diminish with rising RH by late evening.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 402 PM PDT Fri Oct 4 2024/

UPDATE...Gusty winds in northern Nevada continue to kick up dust
creating hazardous driving conditions due to sudden low
visibility. BLOW DUST ADVISORIES for portions of Humboldt and
southeastern Elko counties have been added to already existing
ADVISORIES for northern Lander, Eureka, and western Elko counties
until 7PM PDT. Precautions should be taken in the event of sudden
drops in visibility.

PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 216 PM PDT Fri Oct 4 2024/

UPDATE...A BLOWING DUST ADVISORY has been issued for northern
Lander, northern Eureka, and western portions of Elko counties for
blowing dust this evening until 7PM PDT. Gusty winds have have
produced dust plumes that will lower visibility creating hazardous
driving conditions along I-80 in Lander, Eureka, and western
portions of Elko county. Take precautions in areas where a sudden
drop in visibility occurs.

PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 209 PM PDT Fri Oct 4 2024/

SHORT TERM...Tonight through Saturday. Skies are mostly sunny
across northern and central Nevada this afternoon. Strong winds
developed earlier this afternoon in response to upper level low
pressure moving through the Pacific Northwest states and the
northern Rockies. Some remote observation platforms are showing
winds gusting to 45 mph. This has caused localized dust to become
airborne over west-central Nevada, across Churchill and Pershing
counties. This area of dust will move northeast and is expected to
affect portions of eastern Humboldt and northern Lander counties
later this afternoon with some reductions to visibility possible.
Winds will diminish later this evening with skies remaining mostly
clear. Overnight lows will be in the 40s.

For Saturday and Saturday night, upper level ridging will build
across the southwestern United States. This will lead to mainly
sunny skies across the area for the Saturday timeframe. High
temperatures will once again be well above normal levels, though
no record temperatures are expected to be set. Winds will be
breezy during the afternoon with some gusts to 25 mph in portions
of northern Nevada. Quiet and cool conditions continue Saturday
night with lows in the 40s.

LONG TERM...Sunday through next Friday

A ridge of high pressure will bring warm and dry conditions to
the CWA through next week. Highs will be in the 80s with overnight
lows in the 40s under partly cloudy to mostly clear skies. The
ridge slightly weakens Monday in response to a trough approaching
the Pacific NW region.

Uncertainty emerges starting Thursday as some long-range ensemble
solutions show another Pacific NW trough advancing eastward. This
will lead to cooler conditions to the region with highs into the
mid to upper 70s with lows in the 40s. Winds will be breezy out
the south to southwest during the afternoon with locally higher
gusts of 20 mph possible.

AVIATION...VFR conditions at all terminals through tomorrow.
Strong winds this afternoon and evening W-SW15-25G20-25KT and will
persist through the evening hours before dropping to around 10KT
overnight. Some patchy blowing dust occurring at KBAM this
afternoon and possibly KEKO may cause intermittent reductions to
visibility.

FIRE WEATHER...Red flag warnings continue through 7 PM this
evening across northern Nevada. Critical fire weather conditions
will as west to southwest winds with gusts to 45 mph combine with
minimum relative humidity values of 10 to 15%. Warm and dry
conditions persist through the middle of next week.

&&

.LKN Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
Red Flag Warning until 8 PM PDT this evening Central Elko
County...Eastern Elko County...Humboldt County-Quinn...
Southeastern Humboldt County and northern Lander County...W Elko
County, N Eureka and Lander Counties N of I80.

&&

$$

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