


Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Elko, NV
Issued by NWS Elko, NV
771 FXUS65 KLKN 151926 AFDLKN Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Elko NV 1226 PM PDT Wed Oct 15 2025 .KEY MESSAGES... Updated at 1226 PM PDT Wed Oct 15 2025 * Winter Storm Warning for the Ruby Mountains and East Humboldt Range * Periods of precipitation in most of Northern and Central Nevada this afternoon and tonight * Warming trend Friday through Sunday * Much cooler Monday and Tuesday && .DISCUSSION... (This afternoon through Tuesday) WEATHER PATTERN OVERVIEW: An upper-level area of low pressure will move northeastward across the Silver State this afternoon, before entering the Mountain West tonight. Periods of precipitaton are expected in most of Northern and Central Nevada this afternoon and tonight. Snow levels will start at around 6,000 feet, before rising to about 7,000 feet this afternoon. Snow will be heavy at times in the Ruby Mountains and East Humboldt Range. As a result, a Winter Storm Warning is in effect. Closer to the valley floor, rain amounts will generally vary from one quarter of an inch to one half of an inch. Here are probabilities of rain amounts of one quarter of an inch or more for select locations in Northern and Central Nevada this afternoon and tonight: Wells - 79% Lamoille - 76% Spring Creek - 72% Elko - 65% Carlin - 65% Jackpot - 65% Battle Mountain - 54% Owyhee - 53% Eureka - 43% Austin - 40% A trough of low pressure will pass southward across the Silver State Thursday. High temperatures throughout Northern and Central Nevada Thursday afternoon will be around ten degrees below normal for this time of year. A ridge of high pressure will build northward across Southern Nevada Friday through Sunday, resulting in a warming trend. By Sunday afternoon, maximum temperatures in Northern and Central Nevada will be about five degrees above seasonal values. A cold front should move eastward through Northern Nevada Sunday night, leading to much cooler weather. High temperatures throughout Northern and Central Nevada Monday afternoon will be around ten degrees cooler than Sunday afternoon. Maximum temperatures will only rebound by a couple of degrees Tuesday afternoon. FORECAST CONFIDENCE & DEVIATIONS: High forecast confidence regarding the Winter Storm Warning for the Ruby Mountains and East Humboldt Range. High forecast confidence in periods of precipitation in most of Northern and Central Nevada this afternoon and tonight. Moderate forecast confidence regarding a warming trend Friday through Sunday. Moderate forecast confidence in much cooler weather Monday and Tuesday. && .AVIATION... Periods of rain should result in MVFR conditions at most terminal this afternoon into tonight. Precipitation will move east of Nevada before sunrise Thursday morning. Skies will slowly clear Thursday morning into Thursday afternoon. && .FIRE WEATHER... A storm system will impact Northern and Central Nevada this afternoon and tonight, resulting in periods of precipitation. Snow levels will start at around 6,000 feet, before rising to about 7,000 feet this afternoon. The majority of precipitation will fall this afternoon. A warming trend is expected Friday through Sunday, before much cooler weather Monday and Tuesday. && .LKN Watches/Warnings/Advisories... Winter Storm Warning until 5 AM PDT Thursday NVZ034. && $$ 87