991
FXUS65 KLKN 052002
AFDLKN

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Elko NV
1202 PM PST Fri Dec 5 2025

.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 1156 AM PST Fri Dec 5 2025

* Light rain/snow showers are likely across Northern Nevada today
  through Saturday afternoon

* Gusty winds in Eastern Elko County this afternoon into Saturday
  morning

* Quiet conditions with warming temperatures return Monday, lasting
  through the new week as high pressure builds across the SW US


&&


.DISCUSSION...
(This afternoon through next Friday)

WEATHER PATTERN OVERVIEW:

Periodic snow and Rains showers will continue through Sunday
morning across mainly Eastern Humboldt and Elko counties. A Quick
moving upper trough transverses the westerly flow across the
Pacific Northwest and the tail end of this system will clip
northern NV this afternoon and evening with a few light showers
lingering into Sunday morning. The best chances for precipitation
with this system will be across the higher terrain of Elko and
Humboldt counties and will be in the form of snow. Snow levels
will start at about 7500 feet, and as the precipitation and cooler
air moves in, snow levels across the northern tier will fall to
about 5000 feet. However much of the cooler air will stay north of
I-80 until after the best window for precipitation closes late
Saturday night. Winds with this system will be elevated, but the
area of coverage of the stronger winds will be limited to NE Elko
County where NW winds of 10 to 25 MPH with gusts up to 35 MPH will
be possible through Sunday morning. Precipitation amounts outside
of the mountain ranges looks to be light with the valleys of
Elko, N Eureka, Humboldt, N Lander and N White Pine counties
seeing about a trace to 0.15 of mainly rainfall, snow amounts of
up to a trace to 0.25 will be possible for the higher elevation
valleys and I-80 passes. The big winners from this system will be
the Independence, Jarbidge, and Ruby/E Humboldt Ranges as up to a
foot of new snow will be possible across the peaks of each range.
Sunday the upper trough exits allowing the development of a strong
ridge of high pressure that will build in across the Great Basin
shoving the storm track that has been across the Pacific NW north
into Canada. This will bring quiet conditions, warming
temperatures and lighter W to SW winds beginning Monday, and
lasting through at least Friday. Temperatures for the week will
start in the low to mid 40s for highs, warming back into the upper
50s to low 60s by Friday afternoon. Low temperatures Sunday
morning start in the low 20s will also warm back into the low 30s
by Saturday morning.

FORECAST CONFIDENCE & DEVIATIONS:

There is moderate confidence in the development and coverage of
lower to mid elevation rain and snow showers across N NV tonight
through Sunday morning.

There is high confidence in the in the development of snow
showers with accumulations possible across the high mountains of
Elko County through Sunday morning.

There is high confidence in the development of a strong ridge of
high pressure across the SW US and Great Basin Regions that will
bring quiet weather and warming temperatures Monday through next
Friday.


&&


.AVIATION...
VFR conditions with Intermittent MVFR and IFR conditions are
forecast this evening through Saturday as CIGs range between
1000ft to 3500ft and precipitation chances in the form of rain
showers increase to 60% at KEKO, followed by KBAM, KWMC, and KENV.
VCSH to showers will be possible Saturday for KELY however
chances only reach 20%. There will be a period during Saturday
night when there could be a transition of precipitation to snow
for the above terminals, however confidence is low at this time to
mention in TAF. KTPH is forecast to remain dry through this
forecast period with CIGs SCT at 10kft to SKC.


&&


.LKN Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
None.
&&

$$

DISCUSSION...98
AVIATION...98