751
FXUS65 KLKN 181203
AFDLKN

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Elko NV
503 AM PDT Fri Oct 18 2024

SYNOPSIS...Strong cold front has exited the forecast area to the
southeast with snow showers also continuing to diminish this
morning. Temperatures several degrees cooler than average expected
today along with breezy and gusty winds. Warming trend into early
next week with generally fair weather.

&&

.UPDATE...The winter weather advisory for the Ruby Mountains/East
Humboldt Range has been allowed to expire on time. Snow has
subsided as the cold front has moved southeast and out of the
forecast area. A few light showers may linger into late morning
but no significant additional accumulation is expected. Winds
remain breezy and gusty today but will diminish thru the evening
hours.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 313 AM PDT Fri Oct 18 2024/

SHORT TERM...Today through Saturday night.

Surface cold front has exited the forecast area to the southeast
with snow showers and sky cover continuing to clear from northwest
to southeast. Light snow showers linger across White Pine County
this morning with activity coming to an end by mid day, though
showers likely linger over the Snake Range, including Great Basin
National Park, into the afternoon and an additional 1 to 4 inches
is expected. Trof axis situated over Utah by this afternoon with
robust and chilly northerly flow over northern and central Nevada.
Upper wind maximum translates to gusty surface winds across
central Nevada and the eastern half of Elko county with breezes in
and near Humboldt County. Strongest winds look to again be across
northern Nye County with sustained winds of 20 to 30 mph
expected, and gusts around 45 mph. This has prompted an extension
of the current wind advisory thru 900 PM this evening. Otherwise
skies will be mostly sunny and clear and temperatures cool. Look
for daytime high temperatures in the mid 40s to mid 50s. Overnight
lows reside in the mid teens to mid 20s for most, which is 5 to
10 degrees colder than average.

Upper trof evolves into a deep cut off low over the four corners
region Friday night and Saturday with weaker upper flow over
Nevada. This ushers in fairer weather Saturday as surface winds
continue to ease across central Nevada. Generally light northerly
winds expected across northern Nevada with breezes across central
Nevada, gusting 20 to 25 mph. Surface winds become light to calm
Saturday night. Skies will be mostly sunny and clear. Warmer
temperatures Saturday with daytime highs in the mid 50s to mid 60s
and overnight lows in the upper teens to upper 20s.

LONG TERM...Sunday through next Thursday.

A closed upper low will continue to spin across the southwestern
United States. Northern and central Nevada will be under the
influence of shortwave ridging for the first portion of the long
term. This will result in a rather cool and dry start for Sunday
as highs reach the low to mid 60s. Winds will be light. Dry
conditions will remain over the night with lows in the 20s and
30s.

The warming trend into Monday with high temperatures in the 60s
and 70s under mostly sunny skies. Winds will remain on the light
side. Dry and cool Monday night with lows in the 20s and 30s. Look
for a west to southwesterly aloft Tuesday through the end of the
week with temperatures continuing to trend warmer. High
temperatures Tuesday through Thursday will be in the upper 60s to
mid 70s, with overnight lows in the low to mid 30s. Winds remain
light with dry conditions.

AVIATION...VFR conditions expected at all terminals however
isolated -SHSN over KELY this morning could see MVFR or lower.
Weather conditions expected to clear as well as cloud cover by the
afternoon. Gusty northerly winds of 15-25 kts for central
terminals and 10-15 kts for northern terminals except for KWMC.

FIRE WEATHER...Cold front has exited the forecast area to the
southeast and snow showers lingering across zone 425 will continue
to dissipate thru the day. Gusty northerly winds and breezes
present across the Great Basin today with the strongest winds
within zone 426 and the southern halves of zones 427 and 425.
Sustained winds 20 to 30 mph are expected with gusts around 45
mph. Minimum afternoon RH values will be around 20% or greater and
critical fire weather conditions are not anticipated. Winds
become more modest yet breezy Saturday with gusts 20 to 25 mph
across central Nevada while generally light across northern
Nevada. Quiet weather Sunday and into early next week.

&&

.LKN Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
Winter Weather Advisory until 5 AM PDT early this morning Ruby
Mountains and East Humboldt Range in Elko.

Wind Advisory until 9 PM PDT this evening Northeastern Nye...
Northwestern Nye.

&&

$$

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