996
FXUS65 KLKN 081926
AFDLKN

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Elko NV
1226 PM PDT Fri Aug 8 2025

.KEY MESSAGES...

Updated at 1225 PM PDT Fri Aug 8 2025

* Look for slightly cooler temperatures this afternoon but a slow
  warmup through the weekend, into early next week, is expected.

* No precipitation expected for the next several days.

* Mid-level moisture may bring isolated dry thunderstorms by
  early next week.

&&


.UPDATE...
Issued at 1225 PM PDT Fri Aug 8 2025

Forecast remains on track. See previous discussion below for
details.

&&


.DISCUSSION...
(Today through next Friday)

WEATHER PATTERN OVERVIEW: Mid and high-level clouds can be seen
streaking across the night sky over northern and central Nevada,
though the latest radar loop is not showing any returns. Model
solutions are showing a large expansive and anomalously strong
upper level ridge over the southwestern United States with a
shortwave trough across the northern Rockies and southern Canada.
The flow aloft has changed to a west and northwest direction over
northern and central Nevada this morning.

Northern and central Nevada will continue to sit under a rather
dry pattern. Winds will be breezy with gusts to 20 to 25 mph out
of the northwest. Look for quiet and dry weather tonight under
mostly clear skies.

On Saturday, the northwest flow aloft will continue. This will
allow for a few degrees of moderation on high temperatures with a
degree or two of warming. Northwest winds will gust to 20 mph
during the afternoon with no precipitation expected. By the
overnight, a boundary is expected to shift southward across
northern Nevada which will bring minor gusts to 20 mph during the
overnight.

Models are trying to develop an upper ridge circulation across
central California and western Nevada on Sunday. Heights will rise
slightly under mostly sunny skies and some minor warming. Winds
are expected to remain light with afternoon gusts to 20 mph.

For the beginning of next week, heights will continue to rise
slowly across the area as the upper ridge builds. Winds are
expected to remain rather light with gusts to 20 mph. Afternoon
highs will warm to above normal levels. In addition, models
continue to suggest at the possibility of mid-level moisture
trickling into central Nevada early next week. At this time, kept
pops low and continued with isolated dry thunderstorms across
portions of eastern and central Nevada.

Temperatures for the period look cooler today behind the dry cold
front, especially in the north. Several degrees of warming are
looking likely through the weekend as the ridge is forecast to
move to the west. Highs will range from the upper 80s to low 90s
across Nevada today, warming into the low 90s to upper 90s through
the upcoming weekend through early next week. For overnight lows
look for readings each night to keep to a similar range, falling
into the 40s and 50s.

FORECAST CONFIDENCE & DEVIATIONS: Confidence is high on dry
conditions through next week with slow warming conditions. NBM
forecast looks good but continue to add isolated dry thunderstorms
for Tuesday and Wednesday afternoons for portions of central and
eastern Nevada.

&&


.AVIATION...VFR conditions will remain over all TAF sites through
the next 24 hours with west to northwest afternoon breezes
gusting to 25KT at all sites except KENV.

&&


.FIRE WEATHER...

Elevated to near critical conditions today due to low minimum RH
values and breezy winds. No notable weather expected today,
however there is some evidence for a surface boundary to cross the
area late this evening. This would cause heightened winds which
could cause existing fires to flare as the boundary passes.
Elevated fire weather conditions are expected through the rest of
the forecast. No lightning or rain are forecast through at least
Monday.

&&


.LKN Watches/Warnings/Advisories...

None.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...86
AVIATION...86
FIRE WEATHER...94