Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Elko, NV
Issued by NWS Elko, NV
665 FXUS65 KLKN 102038 AFDLKN Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Elko NV 138 PM PDT Sun Aug 10 2025 .KEY MESSAGES... Updated at 137 PM PDT Sun Aug 10 2025 * Look for a continued warmup through the mid-week with above normal temperatures arriving Monday through Wednesday. * No precipitation expected for the next several days. * Mid-level moisture may bring isolated dry thunderstorms by Tuesday/Wednesday afternoon across portions of central and eastern Nevada. && .UPDATE... Issued at 137 PM PDT Sun Aug 10 2025 Forecast is well on track, and no changes are needed at this time. Previous discussion included below. && .DISCUSSION... (Today through next Sunday) WEATHER PATTERN OVERVIEW: Skies are mostly clear this morning across northern and central Nevada. Only high clouds can be be seen streaming southward. Nothing is on radar at the moment. The weather will continue to be quiet and dry for the next couple days. The current synoptic depicts a similar set up from previous days. Upper level high pressure will be building across the western and southwestern United States with an open upper trough over south-central Canada. For today, heights will be rising as high pressure establishes itself over the west. This will bring a few degrees of warmth to the high temperatures. Winds will be out of the northwest; expect gusts to 20 mph during the afternoon with no precipitation expected. Mostly clear skies expected tonight with occasional breezes. For the beginning of next week, heights will continue to rise slowly across the area as models continue to build the upper ridge. Winds are expected to remain rather light with gusts to 20 mph. Afternoon highs will warm to above normal levels. In addition, models continue to suggest at the possibility of mid- level moisture trickling into central Nevada for Tuesday afternoon. At this time, kept pops low and continued with isolated dry thunderstorms across portions of eastern and central Nevada. Each day, several degrees of warming through the upcoming week will commence as the ridge is forecast to move overhead. Highs will range from the upper 80s to mid 90s across Nevada today, warming into the low 90s to upper 90s by Tuesday and Wednesday afternoons. Some of the warmer locales could see readings topping one hundred degrees. Possible headline heat products may be required for portions of northern Nevada as HeatRisk highlights critical areas. For overnight lows look for readings each night to keep to a similar range, falling into the 40s and 50s. FORECAST CONFIDENCE & DEVIATIONS: Confidence is high on dry conditions through mid-week with warming conditions. Confidence is high with regards to temperatures becoming above normal Tuesday and Wednesday. NBM forecast compares well with current trends but will continue to add isolated dry thunderstorms for Tuesday and Wednesday afternoons (and beyond) for portions of central and eastern Nevada. && .AVIATION... VFR conditions will be present at all TAF sites thru the next 24 hours. Upper level clouds will clear thru the morning with mostly sunny and clear skies present later today and tonight. Generally light winds this afternoon with occasional gusts around 18KT, primarily at KELY and KTPH. && .FIRE WEATHER... Quiet weather and light breezes are expected across all fire zones through Tuesday under high pressure. Low RH is forecast for all fire zones through the period as well with no precipitation in the forecast through Tuesday. Late afternoon isolated dry thunderstorms will impact zones 425/426/427. Wednesday the threat of dry thunderstorms expands to all fire zones except for zone 437. Wednesday afternoon westerly breezes will increase across northern NV zones 424/437/438/469/470 with sustained winds of 10-15 mph and gusts to near 25 mph through Wednesday evening. && .LKN Watches/Warnings/Advisories... None. && $$ UPDATE...98 DISCUSSION...86 AVIATION...92 FIRE WEATHER...84