Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Elko, NV
Issued by NWS Elko, NV
467 FXUS65 KLKN 210741 AFDLKN Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Elko NV 1241 AM PDT Thu Aug 21 2025 .KEY MESSAGES... Updated at 1241 AM PDT Thu Aug 21 2025 * A warming trend is expected today and Friday * Heat Advisory for most of Northern and Central Nevada Friday * Heat Advisory may be needed for Northern Nevada Saturday * Wetting thunderstorms likely in Eastern and Central Nevada each afternoon and evening Sunday through Wednesday && .DISCUSSION... (Today through Wednesday) WEATHER PATTERN OVERVIEW: An upper-level area of high pressure will remain parked over the Four Corners region of the United States today through Saturday. Isolated, dry thunderstorms are anticipated in White Pine and Southeastern Elko Counties this afternoon into this evening. Isolated, dry thunderstorms are expected in Eastern Nevada Friday afternoon into Friday evening. A few of these thunderstorms could be strong. The primary thunderstorm hazards will be wind gusts near 45 mph and dangerous cloud to ground lightning strikes. A warming trend is anticipated today and Friday. By Friday afternoon, high temperatures throughout Northern and Central Nevada will be seven to nine degrees above normal for this time of year. This type of heat will result in a moderate risk for heat-related illnesses. Although heat events like this are relatively common and happen many times a year, heat-related impacts are possible for those new to the area if simple precautions are not taken. A Heat Advisory is in effect for most of Northern and Central Nevada Friday. A Heat Advisory may be required for Northern Nevada Saturday. The aforementioned anticyclone aloft will shift southward Sunday and Monday. A ridge of high pressure will extend northward across the Great Basin Tuesday and Wednesday. Monsoonal moisture will move northward into Eastern and Central Nevada Sunday through Wednesday, resulting in the likelihood of wetting thunderstorms each afternoon and evening. A cooling trend trend is expected Sunday through Wednesday. By Wednesday afternoon, maximum temperatures across Northern and Central Nevada will be six to eight degrees below seasonal values. FORECAST CONFIDENCE & DEVIATIONS: High forecast confidence regarding a warming trend today and Friday. High forecast confidence in a Heat Advisory for most of Northern and Central Nevada Friday. Moderate forecast confidence regarding a Heat Advisory for Northern Nevada Saturday. Moderate forecast confidence in wetting thunderstorms in Eastern and Central Nevada each afternoon and evening Sunday through Wednesday. No deviations from the NBM model output. && .AVIATION... VFR conditions are forecast for at all terminals through Thursday. Conditions Thursday will see partly cloudy skies during the afternoon, as increasing mid level moisture will allow for convective build-ups for KELY, KEKO, KENV and KBAM. Isolated dry thunderstorms will be possible for eastern NV, with VCTS possible for KENV and KELY. Winds Thursday will be out of the SW at 5KT to 15KT with gusts up to 30KT possible. && .FIRE WEATHER... Isolated, dry thunderstorms are expected in White Pine and Southeastern Elko Counties this afternoon into this evening. Isolated, dry thunderstorms are anticipated in Eastern Nevada Friday afternoon into Friday evening. Wetting rain is likely in Central Nevada Saturday. Wetting rain is likely in Eastern and Central Nevada Sunday through Wednesday. && .LKN Watches/Warnings/Advisories... Heat Advisory from 11 AM to 8 PM PDT Friday NVZ030-031-036>039-041. && $$ DISCUSSION...87 AVIATION...98 FIRE WEATHER...87