Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS New Orleans/Baton Rouge, LA

Home |  Current Version |  Previous Version |  Text Only |  Print | Product List |  Glossary On
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6
436
FNUS74 KLIX 191333
FWSLIX

Spot Forecast for Carson Fire...USFS
National Weather Service New Orleans LA
833 AM CDT Sat Oct 19 2024

If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

We can be reached at (985) 649-0357 if you have questions or concerns
with this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...

Humidity values will be a bit higher today with minimum
RH falling to between 40 and 45 percent this afternoon.
Winds will be persistent between 5 and 10 mph with occasional
gusts to 15 mph from a generally east direction through the
day.  Tonight, some humidity recovery is expected with
max RH values rising to between 70 and 75 percent.  Winds will
decrease to around 5 mph and will shift to a more northeast
direction as a weak reinforcing backdoor front moves through,
so smoke concerns could drift closer to more populated areas
along I-10 in the early morning hours as a weak temperature
inversion forms. Any smoke will quickly mix out after sunrise.
Tomorrow will lower min RH values behind the front at between
30 and 35 percent.  Winds will remain from the northeast, but
will increase to near 10 mph with gusts to 15 mph.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-10 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 78.
Min humidity........45 percent.
Dewpoint............51 increasing to 54 in the afternoon.
Max apparent temp...78.
Wind (20 ft)........East winds 6 to 8 mph.
Mixing height (m)...122-1524 meters AGL.
Transport winds.....East 10 to 14 mph.
Transport winds m/s.East 4 to 6 meters/second.
LVORI...............2.
Rainfall amount.....0.00 inches.
Eye level winds.....East winds up to 5 mph.

TIME (CDT)      9 AM   11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM
Sky (%).........1      4      4      1      2
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0      0      0      0      0
Temp............61     70     76     78     76
Dewpoint........49     52     54     55     54
RH..............65     53     46     45     46
Aparnt tmp (F)..61     70     76     78     76
20 FT wind dir..ENE    ENE    E      E      E
20 FT wind spd..9      9      9      9      7
20 FT wind gust.14     14     15     15     12
Eye lvl wnd dir.ENE    ENE    E      E      E
Eye lvl wnd spd.5      5      5      5      4
Eye lvl wnd gst.8      8      9      9      7
Mix hgt (m).....120    430    1340   1340   1520
Transp wind dir.ENE    E      E      E      E
Transp wind spd.13     14     12     12     10
Trans wind dir..ENE    E      E      E      E
Trans spd (m/s).6      6      5      5      4
LVORI...........3      2      1      1      1

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Clear (0-5 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 54.
Max humidity........72 percent.
Dewpoint............53 decreasing to 48 overnight.
Max apparent temp...75.
Wind (20 ft)........East winds around 5 mph becoming northeast
                    in the late evening and overnight.
Mixing height (m)...122-1524 meters AGL.
Transport winds.....East 8 to 10 mph.
Transport winds m/s.East around 4 meters/second.
LVORI...............3.
Rainfall amount.....0.00 inches.
Eye level winds.....East winds around 4 mph early in the evening
                    becoming light, then becoming northeast up to 4
                    mph in the late evening and overnight.

TIME (CDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
Sky (%).........1      0      1      0      1      1
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0      0      0      0      0      0
Temp............75     66     63     61     59     56
Dewpoint........55     54     52     50     48     47
RH..............50     65     67     67     67     72
Aparnt tmp (F)..75     66     63     61     59     56
20 FT wind dir..E      ENE    NE     NE     NE     NE
20 FT wind spd..6      3      6      6      6      6
20 FT wind gust.9      7      10     10     10     10
Eye lvl wnd dir.E      ENE    NE     NE     NE     NE
Eye lvl wnd spd.4      2      4      4      4      4
Eye lvl wnd gst.5      4      6      6      6      6
Mix hgt (m).....1520   120    120    120    120    120
Transp wind dir.E      ENE    ENE    ENE    ENE    ENE
Transp wind spd.10     8      9      9      10     10
Trans wind dir..E      ENE    ENE    ENE    ENE    ENE
Trans spd (m/s).4      4      4      4      4      4
LVORI...........2      3      3      3      3      3

.SUNDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-10 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 80.
Min humidity........34 percent.
Dewpoint............47.
Max apparent temp...79.
Wind (20 ft)........Northeast winds 5 to 6 mph.
Mixing height (m)...122-1189 meters AGL.
Transport winds.....East 8 to 10 mph.
Transport winds m/s.East around 4 meters/second.
LVORI...............3.
Rainfall amount.....0.00 inches.
Eye level winds.....Northeast winds around 4 mph.

TIME (CDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
Sky (%).........1      0      1      3      5      1
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0      0      0      0      0      0
Temp............54     56     67     75     78     79
Dewpoint........46     46     48     49     49     48
RH..............74     69     50     40     35     34
Aparnt tmp (F)..54     56     67     75     78     79
20 FT wind dir..NE     NE     NE     ENE    NE     NE
20 FT wind spd..6      7      7      7      7      7
20 FT wind gust.10     12     12     12     13     12
Eye lvl wnd dir.NE     NE     NE     ENE    NE     NE
Eye lvl wnd spd.4      4      4      4      4      4
Eye lvl wnd gst.6      7      7      7      8      7
Mix hgt (m).....120    120    370    370    1040   1190
Transp wind dir.ENE    ENE    ENE    ENE    ENE    ENE
Transp wind spd.10     10     10     10     8      10
Trans wind dir..ENE    ENE    ENE    ENE    ENE    ENE
Trans spd (m/s).4      4      4      4      4      4
LVORI...........4      3      2      2      2      2

$$
Forecaster...GRIGSBY
Requested by...Cliff Willis
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2424363.2/LIX
.DELDT 10/19/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL clifton.willis@usda.gov