Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS New Orleans/Baton Rouge, LA

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FNUS74 KLIX 081552
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Spot Forecast for Operation Artemis...U.S. Coast Guard
National Weather Service New Orleans LA
952 AM CST Fri Nov 8 2024

If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

We can be reached at (985) 649-0357 if you have questions or concerns
with this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...
Peripheral impacts from the interaction between Rafael and the
strong ridging over the gulf coast will occur in the form of winds
and seas. This will depend on how close it comes to the area while
the system does its loop. Rafael will slowly move east across the
Gulf and begin to weaken but will slowly turn and drift north.
The shear will also keep most of the deep convective bursts to the
NE of the center during this time which could cause some concerns
depending on far west Rafael gets before it tries to loop. However,
seas will be made of wind waves and a lot of swell coming from Rafael
for the next several days. Inside the passes along Plaquemines parish
waves of 1-2 feet are likely but just outside of the passes wave
heights will ramp up very quickly possibly in excess of 4 feet only
a few miles out and continuing to increase farther out. Wave period
just outside of the pass will be around 6 to 8 seconds.

.REST OF TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent).
Chance of pcpn......10 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 73.
Max apparent temp...74.
Surface winds (kts).East winds 9 to 10 knots.
Wave height.........Less than 1 foot.
Wave period.........1 SECONDS.
CEILING (KFT).......5.4 increasing to 8.5 early in the morning.
Wind (20 ft)........East winds 7 to 8 knots.

TIME (CST)      3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........71  72  75
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   10
Temp............74  74  73
Aparnt tmp (F)..74  74  73
20 FT wind dir..E   E   E
20 FT wind spd..9   10  10
20 FT wind gust.19  19  19
SFC wnd dir.....E   E   E
SFC wnd spd kts.9   10  10
SFC wnd gst.....19  19  19
Wave height (ft)2   2   2
Ceiling (kft)...5.4 6.0 8.5

.SATURDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent). Slight chance of
                    thunderstorms early in the evening. Chance of
                    showers through the night. Slight chance of
                    thunderstorms after 3 am.
Chance of pcpn......30 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 71.
Max apparent temp...77.
Surface winds (kts).Southeast winds 9 to 10 knots with gusts to
                    around 20 knots.
Wave height.........Less than 1 foot.
Wave period.........1 SECONDS.
CEILING (KFT).......2.3 early in the evening.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 7 to 8 knots with gusts to
                    around 20 knots. Gusty and erratic winds
                    expected near thunderstorms early in the
                    evening. Gusty and erratic winds expected near
                    thunderstorms after 3 am.

TIME (CST)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........90  89  89  88  91  93  96  94  92  90  88  86
Weather cov.....CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
Weather type....RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........SCH SCH SCH                         SCH SCH SCH
Chc of pcpn (%).30  30  30  30  30  30  30  30  30  30  30  30
Temp............77  76  76  75  75  74  74  74  73  73  73  72
Aparnt tmp (F)..77  76  76  75  75  74  74  74  73  73  73  72
20 FT wind dir..ESE ESE ESE ESE ESE ESE ESE ESE SE  SE  SE  SE
20 FT wind spd..10  10  10  10  10  9   9   9   10  10  10  9
20 FT wind gust.19  19  20  20  20  19  19  19  19  19  18  18
SFC wnd dir.....ESE ESE ESE ESE ESE ESE ESE ESE SE  SE  SE  SE
SFC wnd spd kts.10  10  10  10  10  9   9   9   10  10  10  9
SFC wnd gst.....19  19  20  20  20  19  19  19  19  19  18  18
Wave height (ft)2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2
Ceiling (kft)...2.4 2.3 2.3 2.4

$$
Forecaster...BANNAN
Requested by...ENS James Coyne
Type of request...MARINE
.TAG 2426117.0/LIX
.DELDT 11/08/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL james.d.coyne@uscg.mil,d08-dg-secneworleans-response-enforcement@uscg.mil