Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS New Orleans/Baton Rouge, LA

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164
FNUS74 KLIX 121747
FWSLIX

Spot Forecast for TPIC Oil Spill Insitu Burn...NOAA
National Weather Service New Orleans LA
1247 PM CDT Sat Jul 12 2025

If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

We can be reached at (985) 649-0357 if you have questions or concerns
with this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...
The current forecast is on track and a copy of the previous forecast
below.


High pressure will build over the area this weekend and remain in place
into early next week.  The main impact from this will be hotter and
drier weather conditions.  Highs will peak in the low 90s and heat index
readings will climb into the low 100s each day through the middle of
next week.  Winds will remain light at 10 mph or less and will
generally be from the south or southeast through the middle of next week.

The risk of thunderstorms will be lower than average on Monday and Tuesday
due to the high being over the area.  Thunderstorm activity will be most
likely in the early morning hours, generally between 3 am and 10 am.  In
the afternoon and evening hours, the seabreeze is expected to push any
thunderstorm threats further inland.  Overall, there is a moderate degree
of confidence that a 4 to 8 hour window of less than a 20 percent chance
of thunderstorm and lightning activity will exist between Noon and Midnight
on both Monday and Tuesday.



.TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms late in the morning.
Chance of pcpn......20 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 93.
Min humidity........57 percent.
Max apparent temp...98.
Surface winds (mph).Light winds becoming northeast around 5 mph
                    early in the morning, then shifting to the east
                    late in the morning shifting to the southeast
                    around 6 mph late in the afternoon.
Mixing height (m)...122-1036 meters AGL.
Transport winds.....South 3 to 6 mph shifting to the southeast 6 to
                    8 mph in the afternoon.
Transport winds m/s.Southwest around 3 meters/second decreasing to
                    around 2 meters/second early in the morning,
                    then shifting to the southeast 1 to 4
                    meters/second in the late morning and
                    afternoon.
CEILING (KFT).......25 decreasing to 11 in the morning, then
                    increasing to 25 in the afternoon.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming southeast around 5 mph
                    late in the afternoon. Gusty and erratic winds
                    expected near thunderstorms late in the
                    morning.

TIME (CDT)      1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P
Sky (%).........32  9   14  25  27  29  45  61  50  59  41  52
Weather cov.....            SCH SCH SCH SCH
Weather type....            RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........            SCH SCH SCH SCH
Chc of pcpn (%).10  10  10  20  20  20  20  10  10  10  10  0
Temp............78  80  84  85  87  89  89  90  90  90  89  89
RH..............88  88  82  77  70  61  59  58  58  58  57  57
Aparnt tmp (F)..78  86  95  96  98  98  97  98  98  98  96  96
20 FT wind dir..SSW S   N   NNW NE  ESE E   E   ESE ESE SE  SE
20 FT wind spd..2   1   5   1   2   5   5   5   5   5   6   6
20 FT wind gust.6   5   10  5   5   7   7   7   8   8   8   9
Surface wnd dir.SSW S   N   NNW NE  ESE E   E   ESE ESE SE  SE
Surface wnd spd.2   1   5   1   2   5   5   5   5   5   6   6
Surface wnd gst.6   5   10  5   5   7   7   7   8   8   8   9
Mix hgt (km)....0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 1.0 1.0 1.0 0.9 0.9 0.9 1.0 1.0
Transp wind dir.SSW SW  SW  SW  SSE SSE SSE E   E   E   SE  SE
Transp wind spd.6   5   5   5   3   3   3   6   6   6   8   8
Trans wind dir..SSW SW  SW  SW  SSE SSE SSE E   E   E   SE  SE
Trans spd (m/s).3   2   2   2   1   1   1   3   3   3   4   4
Ceiling (kft)...25  11  11  11  11  11  11  25  25  25  25  25

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (15-25 percent).
Chance of pcpn......10 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 78.
Max humidity........91 percent.
Max apparent temp...96.
Surface winds (mph).South winds around 6 mph decreasing to around 5
                    mph.
Mixing height (m)...122-1036 meters AGL.
Transport winds.....South 5 to 10 mph.
Transport winds m/s.South 2 to 4 meters/second.
CEILING (KFT).......25.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds around 5 mph early in the evening
                    becoming light.

TIME (CDT)      1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID
Sky (%).........34  27  31  24  33  24  18  15  10  14  30  23
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0   10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10
Temp............89  88  84  83  81  81  80  79  79  78  78  78
RH..............57  61  70  74  79  79  85  88  91  91  91  91
Aparnt tmp (F)..96  96  90  90  86  86  85  79  79  78  78  78
20 FT wind dir..SSE S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
20 FT wind spd..6   5   3   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2
20 FT wind gust.8   8   7   7   7   7   6   6   6   6   6   6
Surface wnd dir.SSE S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
Surface wnd spd.6   5   3   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2
Surface wnd gst.8   8   7   7   7   7   6   6   6   6   6   6
Mix hgt (km)....1.0 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1
Transp wind dir.SE  SSE SSE SSE S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
Transp wind spd.8   10  10  10  9   9   9   7   7   7   5   5
Trans wind dir..SE  SSE SSE SSE S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
Trans spd (m/s).4   4   4   4   4   4   4   3   3   3   2   2
Ceiling (kft)...25  25  25  25  25  25  25  25  25  25  25  25

.SUNDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms early in the morning.
                    Chance of showers and thunderstorms in the late
                    morning and early afternoon, then slight chance
                    of showers and thunderstorms late in the
                    afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......50 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 92.
Min humidity........59 percent.
Max apparent temp...99.
Surface winds (mph).Southeast winds around 5 mph shifting to the
                    east early in the afternoon, then shifting to
                    the southeast around 6 mph early in the
                    afternoon shifting to the west around 5 mph
                    early in the afternoon shifting to the south.
Mixing height (m)...122-1006 meters AGL.
Transport winds.....South 3 to 5 mph.
Transport winds m/s.South 1 to 2 meters/second.
CEILING (KFT).......25 decreasing to 10.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming southeast around 5 mph
                    early in the afternoon, then becoming light
                    late in the afternoon. Gusty and erratic winds
                    expected near thunderstorms early in the
                    morning. Gusty and erratic winds expected near
                    thunderstorms in the late morning and early
                    afternoon, then gusty and erratic winds
                    expected near thunderstorms late in the
                    afternoon.

TIME (CDT)      1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P
Sky (%).........24  11  17  19  24  28  38  47  43  46  44  42
Weather cov.....    SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC SCH SCH
Weather type....    RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........    SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC SCH SCH
Chc of pcpn (%).10  20  20  20  30  40  50  40  40  40  20  20
Temp............78  80  85  87  89  90  90  90  90  89  88  88
RH..............88  85  75  68  61  60  60  60  60  59  61  63
Aparnt tmp (F)..78  85  94  96  98  99  99  99  99  97  96  97
20 FT wind dir..S   S   S   S   SE  SE  E   SE  W   S   SSE S
20 FT wind spd..2   1   1   2   2   5   5   6   5   5   5   5
20 FT wind gust.6   5   5   5   6   6   7   7   7   8   8   8
Surface wnd dir.S   S   S   S   SE  SE  E   SE  W   S   SSE S
Surface wnd spd.2   1   1   2   2   5   5   6   5   5   5   5
Surface wnd gst.6   5   5   5   6   6   7   7   7   8   8   8
Mix hgt (km)....0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 1.0 1.0 1.0 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.7 0.7
Transp wind dir.S   SSE SSE SSE SE  SE  SE  SSE SSE SSE SSW SSW
Transp wind spd.5   3   3   3   5   5   5   3   3   3   5   5
Trans wind dir..S   SSE SSE SSE SE  SE  SE  SSE SSE SSE SSW SSW
Trans spd (m/s).2   1   1   1   2   2   2   1   1   1   2   2
Ceiling (kft)...25  11  11  11  10  10  10  10  10  10  11  11

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.MONDAY...
Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the
upper 70s. Highs in the lower 90s. Light winds.
.TUESDAY...
Mostly clear. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the
upper 70s. Highs in the mid 90s. Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY...
Mostly cloudy. Showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows in the
upper 70s. Highs in the lower 90s. Northwest winds around 5 mph.

$$
Forecaster...LIM
Requested by...Brandi Todd
Type of request...HAZMAT
.TAG 2517849.0/LIX
.DELDT 07/11/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL brandi.todd@noaa.gov