Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS New Orleans/Baton Rouge, LA

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389
FNUS74 KLIX 120211
FWSLIX

Spot Forecast for TPIC Oil Spill Insitu Burn...NOAA
National Weather Service New Orleans LA
911 PM CDT Fri Jul 11 2025

If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

We can be reached at (985) 649-0357 if you have questions or concerns
with this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...

High pressure will build over the area this weekend and remain in place
into early next week.  The main impact from this will be hotter and
drier weather conditions.  Highs will peak in the low 90s and heat index
readings will climb into the low 100s each day through the middle of
next week.  Winds will remain light at 10 mph or less and will
generally be from the south or southeast through the middle of next week.

The risk of thunderstorms will be lower than average on Monday and Tuesday
due to the high being over the area.  Thunderstorm activity will be most
likely in the early morning hours, generally between 3 am and 10 am.  In
the afternoon and evening hours, the seabreeze is expected to push any
thunderstorm threats further inland.  Overall, there is a moderate degree
of confidence that a 4 to 8 hour window of less than a 20 percent chance
of thunderstorm and lightning activity will exist between Noon and Midnight
on both Monday and Tuesday.

.SATURDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms in the morning.
                    Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms late
                    in the afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......20 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 93.
Min humidity........54 percent.
Max apparent temp...100.
Surface winds (mph).Southwest winds around 5 mph shifting to the
                    east around 6 mph early in the afternoon, then
                    shifting to the south-southeast around 6 mph
                    late in the afternoon.
Mixing height (m)...122-1006 meters AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 3 to 6 mph shifting to the southeast
                    5 to 7 mph in the late morning and afternoon.
Transport winds m/s.Southwest around 3 meters/second shifting to
                    the southeast 2 to 3 meters/second in the late
                    morning and afternoon.
CEILING (KFT).......25 decreasing to 11 in the morning and early
                    afternoon, then increasing to 25 late in the
                    afternoon.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming east around 5 mph early in
                    the afternoon, then becoming southeast late
                    in the afternoon. Gusty and erratic winds
                    expected near thunderstorms.

TIME (CDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........31  14  15  20  26  37  41  43  36  40  36  28
Weather cov.....    SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
Weather type....    RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........    SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
Chc of pcpn (%).10  20  20  20  20  20  20  20  20  20  20  20
Temp............77  79  83  85  89  89  90  91  91  91  91  90
RH..............88  88  77  70  61  59  58  56  54  54  54  56
Aparnt tmp (F)..77  79  90  93  98  97  98  100 99  99  99  97
20 FT wind dir..SSW SSW SSW SSW S   SSE ESE E   ESE SSE SSE SSE
20 FT wind spd..2   2   2   2   3   5   5   6   5   6   6   6
20 FT wind gust.6   6   6   5   5   7   7   8   8   8   8   8
Surface wnd dir.SSW SSW SSW SSW S   SSE ESE E   ESE SSE SSE SSE
Surface wnd spd.2   2   2   2   3   5   5   6   5   6   6   6
Surface wnd gst.6   6   6   5   5   7   7   8   8   8   8   8
Mix hgt (km)....0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 1.0 1.0 1.0 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.9
Transp wind dir.SSW SW  SW  SW  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SSE SSE
Transp wind spd.6   3   3   3   5   5   5   6   6   6   7   7
Trans wind dir..SSW SW  SW  SW  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SSE SSE
Trans spd (m/s).3   1   1   1   2   2   2   3   3   3   3   3
Ceiling (kft)...25  11  11  11  11  11  11  11  11  11  25  25

.SATURDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (10-20 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms early in the evening.
Chance of pcpn......20 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 77.
Max humidity........91 percent.
Max apparent temp...97.
Surface winds (mph).South winds around 6 mph decreasing to around 5
                    mph.
Mixing height (m)...152-945 meters AGL.
Transport winds.....South 5 to 8 mph.
Transport winds m/s.South 2 to 4 meters/second.
CEILING (KFT).......25.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds around 5 mph early in the evening
                    becoming light. Gusty and erratic winds
                    expected near thunderstorms early in the
                    evening.

TIME (CDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........18  11  20  18  15  14  13  12  14  15  17  14
Weather cov.....SCH
Weather type....RW
Tstm cov........SCH
Chc of pcpn (%).20  0   0   0   0   0   0   10  10  10  10  10
Temp............90  89  84  82  81  80  80  79  79  78  78  78
RH..............56  59  70  74  79  82  82  85  85  91  91  91
Aparnt tmp (F)..97  97  90  87  86  85  85  79  79  78  78  78
20 FT wind dir..SSE S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
20 FT wind spd..6   5   3   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2
20 FT wind gust.8   9   8   8   8   8   7   7   7   6   6   6
Surface wnd dir.SSE S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
Surface wnd spd.6   5   3   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2
Surface wnd gst.8   9   8   8   8   8   7   7   7   6   6   6
Mix hgt (km)....0.9 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2
Transp wind dir.SSE S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   SSW SSW
Transp wind spd.7   8   8   8   8   8   8   7   7   7   5   5
Trans wind dir..SSE S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   SSW SSW
Trans spd (m/s).3   4   4   4   4   4   4   3   3   3   2   2
Ceiling (kft)...25  25  25  25  25  25  25  25  25  25  25  25

.SUNDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent). Chance of showers
                    and thunderstorms.
Chance of pcpn......50 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 93.
Min humidity........58 percent.
Max apparent temp...101.
Surface winds (mph).Light winds becoming east around 5 mph late in
                    the morning, then shifting to the southeast
                    around 6 mph early in the afternoon.
Mixing height (m)...152-914 meters AGL.
Transport winds.....South 3 to 5 mph shifting to the southeast
                    around 6 mph in the afternoon.
Transport winds m/s.Southeast 1 to 3 meters/second.
CEILING (KFT).......25 decreasing to 10 early in the morning.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming southeast around 5 mph
                    early in the afternoon, then becoming light
                    late in the afternoon. Gusty and erratic winds
                    expected near thunderstorms.

TIME (CDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........12  9   13  16  20  26  33  39  45  50  56  46
Weather cov.....    CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
Weather type....    RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........    CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
Chc of pcpn (%).10  50  50  50  50  50  50  40  40  40  40  40
Temp............79  79  83  86  89  90  90  91  91  91  91  90
RH..............88  88  77  70  64  62  60  58  58  58  58  60
Aparnt tmp (F)..79  79  90  95  99  101 99  101 101 101 101 99
20 FT wind dir..S   S   SSE SE  ESE ESE ESE ESE ESE SE  SSE SSE
20 FT wind spd..2   2   2   3   3   5   6   6   6   5   5   5
20 FT wind gust.5   5   5   5   6   7   7   8   8   8   8   8
Surface wnd dir.S   S   SSE SE  ESE ESE ESE ESE ESE SE  SSE SSE
Surface wnd spd.2   2   2   3   3   5   6   6   6   5   5   5
Surface wnd gst.5   5   5   5   6   7   7   8   8   8   8   8
Mix hgt (km)....0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.8 0.8
Transp wind dir.SSW S   S   S   SSE SSE SSE SE  SE  SE  S   S
Transp wind spd.5   3   3   3   3   3   3   6   6   6   6   6
Trans wind dir..SSW S   S   S   SSE SSE SSE SE  SE  SE  S   S
Trans spd (m/s).2   1   1   1   1   1   1   3   3   3   3   3
Ceiling (kft)...25  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10

$$
Forecaster...GRIGSBY
Requested by...Brandi Todd
Type of request...HAZMAT
.TAG 2517849.0/LIX
.DELDT 07/11/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL brandi.todd@noaa.gov