Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS New Orleans/Baton Rouge, LA
Issued by NWS New Orleans/Baton Rouge, LA
372 FXUS64 KLIX 092316 AFDLIX Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service New Orleans LA 616 PM CDT Wed Apr 9 2025 ...New AVIATION... .SHORT TERM... (This evening through Thursday night) Issued at 218 PM CDT Wed Apr 9 2025 Dry and sunny conditions continue across the CWFA this afternoon. The region continues to rest under a dry northwesterly flow on the western periphery of a broader scale trough just to our east. A surface high pressure also resides over the northern Gulf, which again is allowing for some very favorable weather conditions. Temperatures have warmed into the mid and upper 70s this afternoon. Temperatures tonight will drop back into the 50s for most so another coolish night across the region before again warming back into the 80`s for most on Thursday. (Frye) && .LONG TERM... (Friday through Tuesday night) Issued at 218 PM CDT Wed Apr 9 2025 Eyes will be focused on a cold frontal boundary and parent trough moving southward/amplifying from the Ohio River Valley early Friday. This front should pass through our region early in the day, but with very little return flow and simply put very little moisture quality, rainfall will only be limited to portions of Alabama and Georgia north and east of our region. Behind the front temperatures during the day will not change too much with the sun angle getting stronger and stronger this time of year and effective surface heating, so we will still warm into the 70s or even lower 80s going into the weekend. Winds will shift to a northerly direction behind the front ushering in even more dry air. And that will be the story for much of the long term dry northerly flow with temperatures around average for this time of year...perhaps a bit on a cooler side overnight. The next chance for rain looks to possibly move into the region on Tuesday with another surface front. Globals are agreeing on timing, but neither the GFS nor ECM are very bullish with their respective QPF numbers. (Frye) && .AVIATION... (00Z TAFS) Issued at 614 PM CDT Wed Apr 9 2025 VFR conditions are forecast for all terminals for the whole forecast period. Winds will remain light and generally southwesterly. -BL && .MARINE... Issued at 218 PM CDT Wed Apr 9 2025 Tranquil marine conditions mostly through the period. Winds and seas to increase behind a cold front later this week and early in the weekend. Cautionary headlines may be required at least briefly as northerly winds set up. High pressure moves back into the region by Sunday, which will improve conditions once again. (Frye) && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... MCB 75 50 82 54 / 0 0 0 0 BTR 77 53 82 57 / 0 0 0 0 ASD 77 54 82 59 / 0 0 0 0 MSY 75 57 82 62 / 0 0 0 0 GPT 75 55 78 59 / 0 0 0 0 PQL 75 52 79 57 / 0 0 0 0 && .LIX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... LA...None. GM...None. MS...None. GM...None. && $$ SHORT TERM...RDF LONG TERM....RDF AVIATION...BL MARINE...RDF