782
FXUS64 KLIX 160042 AAA
AFDLIX

Area Forecast Discussion...UPDATED
National Weather Service New Orleans LA
642 PM CST Sun Feb 15 2026

...NEW AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 513 PM CST Sun Feb 15 2026

- Wind gusts may approach 30 mph through this afternoon.

- Warmer than average temperatures this week.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(This evening through Tuesday night)
Issued at 1219 PM CST Sun Feb 15 2026

Very pleasant conditions will be in place for the rest of Mardi
Gras as a broad area of high pressure settles over the region.
Temperatures will be near to slightly above normal through the
period with highs in the upper 60s and lower 70s Monday and
Tuesday. Lows will cool into the 50s tonight and tomorrow night,
but a persistent onshore flow Tuesday night will push lows up
into the upper 50s and lower 60s that night. Some cloud cover will
develop late tonight over the area as an elevated temperature
inversion forms, but this will quickly clear by tomorrow
afternoon. Similar conditions are expected for Monday and Tuesday
nights.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Wednesday through Saturday night)
Issued at 1219 PM CST Sun Feb 15 2026

Warmer than average temperatures will be the main story in the
extended period. Highs will be 10 to 15 degrees above average
each day as temperatures climb into the upper 70s and lower 80s.
A few locations may even approach the mid 80s on Thursday and
Friday. Overnight lows will be near the average high for this time
of year with readings only dipping into the 60s Wednesday night,
Thursday night, and Friday night. These warm and humid conditions
may support some fog and cloud cover development each night. A
weak front will slip through the area on Saturday, and this will
allow temperatures to cool back into the 50s for Saturday night.
There will be also be a low chance of shower development on Friday
and Saturday as the weak front moves in from the north, but
overall a continued dry stretch of weather is expected.

&&

.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 642 PM CST Sun Feb 15 2026

MVFR/IFR conditions expected later tonight for most terminals as
low stratus begins to build down. It may take a bit of time into
Monday for clouds to mix out, but eventually the conditions will
improve back to VFR for all terminals during the afternoon.
Northwest winds will eventually lighten and become more variable.
(Frye)


&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 1219 PM CST Sun Feb 15 2026

A passing low pressure system will keep hazardous winds and seas in
place today. Winds will exceed 20 knots and waves will approach
7 feet at times over the open Gulf water through the evening hours.
A Small Craft Advisory is in effect through Sunday evening. High
pressure will then settle over the waters tonight and remain in
place through Tuesday. Light winds of less than 10 knots and calmer
seas of 3 feet or less can be expected. By mid-week, the high will
shift to the east and a persistent onshore flow of 10 to 15 knots
will develop. These conditions will last through the end of the
week.

&&

.LIX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
LA...None.
GM...Small Craft Advisory until midnight CST tonight for GMZ530-532-
     534-536-538-550-552-555-557-570-572-575-577.

MS...None.
GM...Small Craft Advisory until midnight CST tonight for GMZ532-534-
     536-538-550-552-555-557-570-572-575-577.

&&

$$

SHORT TERM...PG
LONG TERM....PG
AVIATION...RDF
MARINE...PG