Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS New Orleans/Baton Rouge, LA
Issued by NWS New Orleans/Baton Rouge, LA
711 FXUS64 KLIX 011745 AFDLIX Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service New Orleans LA 1245 PM CDT Fri Aug 1 2025 ...New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, AVIATION, MARINE... .SHORT TERM... (This evening through Saturday night) Issued at 1244 PM CDT Fri Aug 1 2025 Daily diurnal chances of showers and thunderstorms continue with the best chances starting in the afternoon before tapering off in the evening. PW in the area remain well above 2 in so while the overall coverage of storms is not going to be widespread, any individual storms will be efficient rainmakers and could bring isolated flooding. Stronger storms could also see some stronger gusty winds as well. Decided against issuing a heat advisory for Saturday due to the very borderline conditions. In addition, with decent shower and thunderstorm chances, that should help cool down areas a bit where they end up developing. Isolated spots may still be able to hit criteria (108+), but not expecting any widespread areas exceeding criteria. && .LONG TERM... (Sunday through Thursday night) Issued at 1244 PM CDT Fri Aug 1 2025 Upper level ridge will build in the SW part of the CONUS while we have troughing over on the SE half. This should help ever so slightly reduce our temperatures to near 90 instead of the mid 90s we have been seeing lately. This along with slightly depressed dew points should keep us out of heat advisories starting Sunday though mid next week. We`ll still see the daily diurnally driven seabreeze/boundary type pop up storms in the afternoon to help with the heat as well. && .AVIATION... (18Z TAFS) Issued at 1244 PM CDT Fri Aug 1 2025 VFR to MVFR conditions are expected for all terminals outside of ones getting impacted by showers and storms which could then see lower vis/cig down to IFR and gusty winds. Mostly covered this afternoon storm chances with tempos or prob30s. It should then begin to calm down in the evening after sunset. && .MARINE... Issued at 1244 PM CDT Fri Aug 1 2025 Marine conditions continue to remain benign outside of any impacts from showers and thunderstorms. However, impacts for areas hit by any stronger thunderstorms may include locally high waves/seas, strong gusty winds and waterspouts. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... MCB 92 72 89 71 / 70 40 80 30 BTR 92 75 92 74 / 70 40 80 30 ASD 93 74 90 72 / 60 30 80 50 MSY 93 78 92 78 / 60 30 80 50 GPT 92 77 91 74 / 40 30 80 70 PQL 93 75 91 74 / 40 30 80 70 && .LIX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... LA...None. GM...None. MS...None. GM...None. && $$ SHORT TERM...BL LONG TERM....BL AVIATION...BL MARINE...BL